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Question: When will BTC get back above $70K:
7/14 - 0 (0%)
7/21 - 1 (1%)
7/28 - 11 (10.5%)
8/4 - 16 (15.2%)
8/11 - 7 (6.7%)
8/18 - 6 (5.7%)
8/25 - 7 (6.7%)
After August - 57 (54.3%)
Total Voters: 105

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26461855 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 3 users with 9 merit deleted.)
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November 19, 2022, 05:01:16 AM


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November 19, 2022, 05:05:14 AM

Bitcoin looking eerily stable as volume drops back down to normal.  Seems like somebody is doing some buying and keeping a floor on the price.  The trading range over the last few days is only a few percent.  That to me signals that some sort of market change might be happening.  This is probably a point in time where you don't want to be the guy who capitulated at $16K after riding out the bubble through $60K.  It feels a lot like the pain is coming to an end soon and good times are right around the corner for Bitcoin speculators.

Wow!

You are coming off as more bullish than me, at least at the moment.

We have a lot of contagion continuing to be revealed.. so sure there could be a lot of ongoing downward pressures on the BTC price - while at the same time, we could end up getting a pump or a short squeeze.. but we would still need to get at least into the mid-20s before I might be wanting to feel like the "bottom is in," but whatever, I have never claimed to be anything more than a "lagging indicator" anyhow?  At least that's my recollection of the way that I approach these short term BTC price performance matters.

And, by the way, I might not even be happy with mid-$20ks because that is just getting us to the 200-week moving average price arena.. which is a bottom in and of itself.. so I am still thinking that I need to see some dancing between the 200-week moving average and the 100-week moving average (which is actually in the upper $30ks) before I am going to be getting into my "bottom is in" smuggenings.


I was kind of like that in 20215/16 too, and also I was like that in 2019 - even though we were surely spoiled by the early 2019 pump - and also I seem to understand some of the indicators better, even though they are not really leading me to ways of getting out of my tendencies to employ lagging indicator mental frameworks.
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November 19, 2022, 06:01:21 AM


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November 19, 2022, 06:07:31 AM
Last edit: November 19, 2022, 09:12:48 AM by ivomm
Merited by vapourminer (1), xhomerx10 (1), Biodom (1), JayJuanGee (1), HI-TEC99 (1), DdmrDdmr (1)

I just came by to say hi. It's been a busy 10 days for me with a business trip. I had made some plans during the last bull run and I started pursuing them. Firstly, I realized that no matter how rich I'm, I will need to have a job for various reasons. For example monthly expenses, retirement and so on. And my job is very good, it is like a hobby - part time with above the average salary and 5 months of paid vacation yearly.

I entered Bitcoin world thanks to the gpu mining and soon after I became a strong hand Bitcoin hodler. At times being more than all in. I was confident when we fell to 3K in 2018 that I even took a bank loan to add some more corn to my stash. But now the mining is not profitable and I use my rigs only for heating. Since I continue buying Bitcoin, I decided to look for a better job in a bigger city which is one of the most beatiful cities in Europe btw. Luckily I was approved and I went to sign the part time contract for the first year. If everything is OK, I will sign a permanent contract next year. In the meantime I will keep my current job, which means some travel, but I'm okay with that. I transferred some cash before my travel, and each day I bought some. I didn't care what was the reason for the drop, I always buy first and then read. (FTX, what the heck is that, I don't care!) Every crash empties the exchanges and opens the door for the next massive bull run.

In general I follow the DCA strategy, but if shits hit the fan, I buy more. For example, my ratio Bitcoin/total savings is currently 77% and I plan to reach 79% in the next 2 years. If shit gets bigger, I can get close to 90%.  I have the firm belief that in the next bull run, no matter when exactly it will happen, the price should reach 150K. My SOMA prediction is 168K top of the next cycle. Anyway, I know that the good things won't last forever, so the usual stuff will happen after some time in ATHs territory - Chinese communist clonws will pannic and start spreading their FUD banning Bitcoin, putting in jail the users of VPN; Feds and EU bankers banning Bitcoin for its POW; the new harvest of fools trusting crooks with their savings will emerge again, new shitcoins pumps and so on. And then new bankrupts will come starting the next bear cycle with lows under 100K.

But no matter what the top will be, I will sell some of my stash above 110K with a gradual percentage increase to have enough to buy a house in the new place. I can always buy a cheaper one or postpone the buying and use half of the fiat to rebuy back the same amount of Bitcoins if the price falls 50%. I developed a software that helps me a lot in all kinds of market scenarious. The trick is to re-finance my Bitcoin debt by DCAing with the new income no matter the price. Despite rebuyng higher in the last year, now I buy lower, i.e. I would have more bitcoins with my current fiat, although I spent some to buy a lot of stuff - computers, music gear, etc. And this is quite a new and pleasant experience for me Smiley And as a priority, Bitcoin will always be first, compared to fiat. So I prefer increasing my stash than having some spectacular savings. With the exception of the fiat for the future house of course.

P.S. I'm sorry for the JJG style post, but it won't happen again soon, I promise! And I had to patiently read 40+ pages backlog, so I'm excused Wink As someone mentioned, thanks to exphorizon etc. ignored spammers for making my task a bit easier.
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November 19, 2022, 06:18:35 AM

You guys maybe heard of Bitcointalk Pumpkin Carving Contest.
In case you didn't follow up on the result. Here is the result.


After adjustment, the results are:
Code:
+-----------------+---------------+
| user            | adjustedVotes |
+-----------------+---------------+
| taufik123       |            32 |
| BigBos          |            15 |
| rat03gopoh      |            15 |
| LFC_Bitcoin     |            12 |
| xsyren          |             8 |
| creep_o         |             7 |
| Rigon           |             6 |
| geophphreigh    |             6 |
| polymerbit      |             5 |
| KrispyKrypto    |             5 |
| Remsjack        |             4 |
| cygan           |             3 |
| SFR10           |             3 |
| Ahli38          |             3 |
| Marvell1        |             3 |
| henkcryptotank  |             2 |
| tread93         |             2 |
| smartaction     |             2 |
| xSlyy           |             2 |
| Renampun        |             1 |
| lMinerl         |             1 |
| Die_empty       |             1 |
| famososMuertos  |             1 |
| Woodie          |             1 |
| LDL             |             1 |
| Hamza2424       |             1 |
| topman21        |             1 |
| JanEmil         |             1 |
| John Abraham    |             1 |
| Gallar          |             1 |
| inthelongrun    |             1 |
| lovesmayfamilis |             1 |
| kamvreto        |             1 |
| Porfirii        |             1 |
| aoluain         |             1 |
+-----------------+---------------+

Here are the winning Carved Pumpkins


Created and posted today by taufik123


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November 19, 2022, 07:01:16 AM


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November 19, 2022, 07:26:02 AM
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id ask for a do over for '22...except i def do not want to go thru this again    could be 3-6 months before this purge shakes out cause im not sure the other shoe has dropped yet
usually comes about the time you raise your head up and begin to wonder if its all clear

disappointed with the whole space right now


happy fucking holidays


dyor

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November 19, 2022, 07:36:31 AM

ps

backwardation and all the other shenanigans are being observed as institutions look short imo

again imo i dont think this lvl is worth defending...a decent place to DCA but i am waiting for sub 14 bargain prices


see what happens as Dec. arrives....'23 has to be better....right?
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November 19, 2022, 08:01:16 AM


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November 19, 2022, 09:01:20 AM


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November 19, 2022, 10:01:16 AM


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November 19, 2022, 10:02:01 AM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)

Due to this market condition, everyone is feeling hesitant to trust Bitcoin. And everyone has a reason to worry, many tokens/coins have already become scams due to this market condition and people are becoming more panicked after being scammed like FTX exchanger.
Now I noticed 2 things in cryptocurrency. Some say now is the best time to buy Bitcoin while others say now is the time to get out of Bitcoin.
And maybe many have said goodbye to Bitcoin. But I believe now is a good time to buy Bitcoin. Which will be part of our huge profit later. How people who held Bitcoin in 2014 have now profited.
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November 19, 2022, 11:01:17 AM


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November 19, 2022, 11:17:34 AM

Hope everybody is buying at the moment. I still think we will go lower, $12,000 to $14,000 on the cards imo. I am buying at the current price though. Just need to have substantial funds ready for the absolute bottom range. It’s impossible to buy the bottom but you can sure as hell try your best to get close.

We are 100% going to 6 figures in $ per bitcoin by the end of 2025. Do not miss this (for some of you noobs) once in a lifetime opportunity. Easy 10 x your money from here.

DCA & HODL mid to long term, brothers!
It would be very nice to catch the bottom, but I understand that it is very difficult, so I buy every time, when I have the opportunity. I bought before, I buy now and if the fall continues, I will buy more. Unfortunately, I don’t have a lot of money so that I can make big savings in case of a further fall, but I also cannot save and wait for the price to fall further, because there is a possibility, that it's price is already the bottom, and if I don't buy now, then I'll just miss out on the best price.

6 figures in $ per bitcoin that would be great, not much left until 2025, looking forward to it!  Cool
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November 19, 2022, 11:31:11 AM

At this stage of the market, everyone has their prediction, so the predictions even confuses us, Pantera gives his own prediction that in 2024 March is the time of the ATH of $149,000. As it is I am really worry of the market right now because I bought Bitcoin at the time of 21$ and I want to use the money for the Xmas. Though it is not much but at least it can but small things, I was planning to hodle it till the next bull.

Is it that the fall of FXT is the cause of this 16$ for this long period it time?
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November 19, 2022, 12:01:22 PM


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November 19, 2022, 12:27:49 PM
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Wondering what exactly is the advice
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Wondering what exactly is the advice

Always remember where you park your car?…
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November 19, 2022, 01:01:18 PM


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November 19, 2022, 01:01:56 PM

Everything will burn, but we have to hold on to bitcoin. Cool Angry
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