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Question: What happens first:
New ATH - 43 (69.4%)
<$60,000 - 19 (30.6%)
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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26368764 times)
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December 21, 2023, 02:16:03 PM
Merited by JimboToronto (2), vapourminer (1), LFC_Bitcoin (1), jojo69 (1), AlcoHoDL (1), Gachapin (1)

~snip

 Stop it, man.  You look silly.



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just ignore IAW problem solved.
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December 21, 2023, 03:15:42 PM
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This "in cash" thing about the ETF is ticking me off. They're just looking for a way into paper btc, which as of now isn't a (real) thing. They will have their way, I'm sure.

I hope they get burned by the mightiest short squeeze on the "underlying" the Earth has ever seen. That will teach them and enrich others (notably, some of the people reading these words).
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December 21, 2023, 04:57:36 PM
Merited by LFC_Bitcoin (3), xhomerx10 (1), JayJuanGee (1)

Good morning Bitcoinland. Still hovering around $44k.

Hoping for a nice price boost before I have to sell some before going to Mexico in January.

Speaking of price boosts here are some more images from my archives:

 
 

Bitcoin smashing through the one dollar barrier followed by $1000 and then $10k. Somewhere I've got one for a hundred bucks. Maybe I'll find it. Also my read on the long-term circa 2016-7.

Ahh, the memories.
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December 21, 2023, 05:02:16 PM

Good morning Bitcoinland. Still hovering around $44k.

Still hoping for a nice price boost before I have to sell some before going to Mexico in January.

Speaking of price boosts here are some more images from my archives:

 
 

Bitcoin smashing through the one dollar barrier followed by $1000 and then $10k. Somewhere I've got one for a hundred bucks. Maybe I'll find it. Also my read on the long-term circa 2016-7.

Ahh, the memories.

10 days to get to 48.1 k. lets do it Buddy

go btc go.


Hey where is that lovely top 100 day thread I would love to see some entries go in it soon.
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December 21, 2023, 05:04:14 PM
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Have had good holiday soon

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December 21, 2023, 05:20:14 PM

"When you're buying this much, it could take 3 or 4 days. It takes a day to accumulate 50 million dollars worth of Bitcoin. If you're buying it every 5 seconds, 24 hours a day, it takes you a day. Every 5 seconds. So, while I'm doing that, I've a lot of time to stare at the screen and think about it, and, you know what I'm thinking while I'm actually buying every 5 seconds, for 4 days in a row? I'm thinking, who are these people that are selling this to me? And I feel sorry for them. What are you going to buy with the cash that I'm giving you, that's better than what you're selling to me? I hope that they're getting married with the money, or they're buying a yacht, or a jet, or something that they really love, because if they're trading it in order to buy another asset, I just pity them."

— Michael Saylor

[Source]

This interview is 3 years old when price of Bitcoin was around 10k$. Three years passed but it still has weight in it. Its always fascinating to listen to Saylor, the real Bitcoin enthusiastic.  

Edit: Upon posting, I just noticed I passed 4k merits. Thanx all!

A perfect Christmas gift after 10 years of journey here. Congrats dude.
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December 21, 2023, 05:25:03 PM
Merited by LFC_Bitcoin (2), AlcoHoDL (1), goldkingcoiner (1), OutOfMemory (1)

Quote
Hi <redacted>,
On April 9, 2021, the Internal Revenue Service (“IRS”) issued a summons, pursuant to a court order, demanding that Circle Internet Financial, LLC f/k/a Circle Internet Financial, Inc. (“Circle”) and affiliates, produce records relating only to U.S. taxpayers that engaged in the trading of digital assets with at least $20K in value of transactions in any one year between 2016 through 2020. Notice of the court order authorizing service of the summons on Circle which the Department of Justice made public on or about April 1, 2021, can be found here. We are writing to inform you that we are complying with this summons which requires us to produce information specific to your account.

If you have any concerns about this, we encourage you to seek legal advice from an attorney.

We also want to highlight that because the IRS served the summons to Circle on April 9, 2021, and our response to the summons has not been fully resolved after more than six months, it is our understanding that the periods of limitations under 26 U.S.C. §§ 6501 (relating to assessment and collection) and 6531 (relating to criminal prosecution) were suspended as of October 9, 2021, and will continue until Circle’s response to the summons is fully resolved. This may be relevant to the tax returns that you have filed for the 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, and 2020 calendar years. If you have questions about your tax liability for those years, we encourage you to consult with your tax advisor.

Regards,

Team Circle

I imagine that was an e-mail that you (or someone else) received in late 2021 (or perhaps early 2022), but it is not referring to any recent e-mail that you received.

well the way i see it the ETF being approved is the reason we had a run up from 25K, its priced in now. So not getting approved means we need a massive correction, and a massive correction generally leads to some panic selling,  if we don't have the ETF to look forward to and insted we are faced with a system that is Clearly trying to stifle bitcoin...  in this scenario 20K seems very posibile imo. but, it seems more likely than ever before, that these ETFs will get a green light. and again because i believe this fact is already priced in, i'm betting in the short term we are moving DOWN and not up on this news, buy the rumor sell the news type deal, Its a solid trade imo, it sure is a lot easier to just buy now and hope that the etf approval means new ATH's, but we dont make money taking easy trades.
We have each said our parts, and I don't really disagree with anything that you said in terms of various ways to play both sides, and sure, you have to have something at stake in order to make money in those kinds of presumptions that you have, and even if some of the pre-ETF type discussions were likely a lot of the run up from $26k/$27k, that does not even mean that complete denial of such an ETF would mean that we would have to correct down to those kinds of levels or that they would even be reasonable, including the idea that they might have  already been quite suppressed BTC prices as our starting point... so if we are starting from quite suppressed prices (just thinking in terms of the 200-week moving average as a kind of guideline for what bottoms tend to be and what is reasonable for possible bottoms), then going back down to either those low prices of $26k/$27k or even $24k/$25k - which was also not that long ago that we were there, but even more so your expectation of $20k-ish just seems like similar kinds pie in the sky expectations for sub $500 that were being made in March 2017, and sure anything is possible, but sometimes, we get to a point where that ship has likely sailed and you are being a bit of a dumb ass to be considering 30% to 40% below the 200-week moving average as any kind of base-case possibilities of something that could happen, even if some bad news (regarding ETF rejection or whatever) ends up happening.
we have seen -30% below 200 week ema before, it's not impossible.

Of course, we had right around 16 months from June 2022 until October 2023 that BTC spot pricer spent quite a bit of time below the 200-WMA, but that was a particular unique kind of circumstances and set up for that kind of play, and even though I am not suggesting that it is impossible to get another correction that goes 30% to 40% to play out, I still am suggesting that it is not really any thing close to a kind of realistic scenario to be pointing out as being possible, even if you are describing some possible dire event that could end up happening, it still likely does not rise to the same kind of a level that the various cascading liquidating events of 2022 - including the various kinds of hidden corruption, including FTX that took even close to 5 months before the situation of that FTX scoundrel (business set up of not having coins they claimed to have) was ferreted out (in November-ish) to get us even more down from the already down situation that had been playing out in the earlier months between May and October.

the ETF getting  rejected seems to have a nearly 0% chance of happening, so it if IS rejected to me this signals somthing very wrong and thats why im putting my target so damn low for this crazy scenario. crazy scenario, crazy target. the most likely scenario is that the ETF gets approved, followed by a nice little price crash to 31K

Fair enough that you believe it is a crazy scenario, but I would place the ETF getting rejected or delayed at around 20%.. and surely a complete rejection that is coupled with some other kinds of crazy happenings could end up playing out with lower likelihoods, yet it does not even seem very realistic to be presenting possible black swan events as if they were something that we should prepare for in any direct sense... . and yeah, even you seem to be exaggerating with a 0% probability assignment, but even if you put it at less than 1% or even less than 5% to 10%, then still those might be considered black swan type events.. if it is getting into the less than 5% levels of probabilities.

So yeah, I personally feel that there are ways to be prepared for blackswan events but it makes little sense to be talking about them as if they were something that we need to prepare for.

yes yes yes i am a degen gambleing with the most tasty corn the world has ever seen. but its fun you should try it sometime.

not my style, at least where I am at in life.

And, I am not really against either degen gambling or those who are wanting to try that kind of thing, but it is not really a BTC investment approach that is something that we would be promoting in a thread like this.. I mean we are a bit hostile to shitcoiners, traders/gamblers, bitcoin naysayers in this thread, and surely there still can be some level of tolerance for some of those kinds of ideas, but you are still likely to get some push back when you are putting out those kinds of ideas as if they were ways that guys should be managing their BTC holdings... maybe ONLY around less than a 1/4 of anyone should be trading at all, and even amongst those many are going to end up losing money by fucking around like that, but people do it, and so we cannot really stop them engaging in such temptations.

Day 5,825: The government still doesn't understand wallets.
Are you guys afraid of the upcoming "unhosted wallet" ban? I am shaking right now. Sobbing and screaming. That madwoman Elizabeth Warren is going to do it, she is going to take away our memories, notepads and pens. We are no longer allowed to remember how to access our decentralized Bitcoin wallets.

The moment the government finds out that my brain produces DMT, I am afraid I will be considered a drug mule and put in prison. I am so scared. Tongue

https://twitter.com/BitcoinMagazine/status/1734274493055398006

These kinds of attacks are likely to continue while anyone is allowing them to have power, and so it is difficult to say if normies are going to end up seeing through this kinds of overreach.

This "in cash" thing about the ETF is ticking me off. They're just looking for a way into paper btc, which as of now isn't a (real) thing. They will have their way, I'm sure.

I hope they get burned by the mightiest short squeeze on the "underlying" the Earth has ever seen. That will teach them and enrich others (notably, some of the people reading these words).

It "in cash" does seem like an inferior product, and surely it runs the risk of fractional reserve, but it also runs the risk of trying to control the BTC price - that hopefully ends up back-firing on them in the ways that you say.... but there could be some ways in which they are discouraging the promotion of their own products, especially if BTC holders are not going to want to convert to an ETF if they have to sell their BTC first, and even to suffer several buys and sells in order to get in and out (tax consequences for individuals and tax revenue for the government)... but people might end up getting discouraged out of those kinds of products that do not allow "in kind" distributions.. .. and the "in cash" is also seeming to try to fuck over GBTC clients because they have to get in and out of their already existing shares (and suffer a tax event) in order to convert into an ETF.

It looks like we have to get back over $55,375 (for the daily weighted average) just to get back into the top 100... not sure how long that is going to take... and it is looking like a fairly tight range between $55,375 (in 100th place) and the top one is $67,482.  By the way, weighted average is the average of the BTC price for the whole day, accounting for trade volume and price.

     BitStamp USD/BTC             Kraken EUR/BTC           CoinFloor GBP/BTC            Kraken CAD/BTC             Bitflyer JPY/BTC
 ------------------------    -----------------------    -----------------------    -----------------------    --------------------------
   1  2021-11-09  67,482  |   1  2021-11-09  58,263  |                          |                          |
   2  2021-11-10  66,256  |   2  2021-11-10  57,576  |                          |                          |
   3  2021-11-08  65,762  |   3  2021-11-15  56,938  |                          |                          |
   4  2021-10-20  65,701  |   4  2021-11-08  56,858  |                          |                          |
   5  2021-11-15  65,064  |   5  2021-11-11  56,652  |                          |                          |
   6  2021-11-11  64,931  |   6  2021-11-14  56,493  |                          |                          |
   7  2021-10-21  64,502  |   7  2021-10-20  56,204  |                          |                          |
   8  2021-11-14  64,456  |   8  2021-11-13  55,994  |                          |                          |
   9  2021-11-13  64,112  |   9  2021-11-12  55,822  |                          |                          |
  10  2021-11-12  63,900  |  10  2021-10-21  55,213  |                          |                          |
  11  2021-04-14  63,314  |  11  2021-11-02  54,458  |                          |                          |
  12  2021-10-19  63,168  |  12  2021-10-25  54,110  |                          |                          |
  13  2021-04-15  62,948  |  13  2021-11-03  54,101  |                          |                          |
  14  2021-10-25  62,745  |  14  2021-11-07  53,978  |                          |                          |
  15  2021-11-03  62,607  |  15  2021-10-19  53,893  |                          |                          |
  16  2021-11-02  62,446  |  16  2021-10-26  53,526  |                          |                          |
  17  2021-11-07  62,216  |  17  2021-11-04  53,440  |                          |                          |
  18  2021-04-13  62,142  |  18  2021-10-22  53,435  |                          |                          |
  19  2021-10-22  62,069  |  19  2021-11-16  53,378  |                          |                          |
  20  2021-10-26  61,895  |  20  2021-11-05  53,365  |                          |                          |
  21  2021-11-04  61,788  |  21  2021-10-30  53,239  |                          |                          |
  22  2021-10-18  61,674  |  22  2021-10-18  53,089  |                          |                          |
  23  2021-10-30  61,605  |  23  2021-04-14  53,063  |                          |                          |
  24  2021-10-29  61,534  |  24  2021-11-17  52,978  |                          |                          |
  25  2021-04-16  61,477  |  25  2021-11-01  52,903  |                          |                          |
...........
  91  2021-05-05  56,177  |  91  2021-03-22  47,241  |                          |                          |
  92  2021-03-22  55,988  |  92  2021-02-21  47,241  |                          |                          |
  93  2021-05-11  55,819  |  93  2021-05-06  47,235  |                          |                          |
  94  2021-10-13  55,790  |  94  2021-03-28  47,229  |                          |                          |
  95  2021-03-28  55,687  |  95  2021-05-10  47,207  |                          |                          |
  96  2021-03-10  55,654  |  96  2021-03-17  47,187  |                          |                          |
  97  2021-04-30  55,629  |  97  2021-05-07  47,150  |                          |                          |
  98  2021-04-18  55,574  |  98  2021-03-11  47,087  |                          |                          |
  99  2021-04-20  55,497  |  99  2021-04-18  47,074  |                          |                          |
 100  2021-04-21  55,375  | 100  2021-10-07  46,896  |                          |                          |
 ------------------------    -----------------------    -----------------------    -----------------------    --------------------------
     BitStamp USD/BTC             Kraken EUR/BTC           CoinFloor GBP/BTC            Kraken CAD/BTC             Bitflyer JPY/BTC
                                                  * Chart Legend/Explanation *

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December 21, 2023, 05:48:52 PM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)

If you invested $1,000, 10 years ago:   

Google: $5,000
Facebook: $6,000
Amazon: $7,500
Tesla: $25,000
Bitcoin: $44,000
BM
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December 21, 2023, 06:15:16 PM

If you invested $1,000, 10 years ago:   

Google: $5,000
Facebook: $6,000
Amazon: $7,500
Tesla: $25,000
Bitcoin: $44,000
BM

Google 8000$

1000$ invested in BTC 6 years ago, 2000$ now  Grin
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December 21, 2023, 06:43:21 PM
Merited by JimboToronto (1)

If you invested $1,000, 10 years ago:   

Google: $5,000
Facebook: $6,000
Amazon: $7,500
Tesla: $25,000
Bitcoin: $44,000
BM

show us dec 2017 to dec 2023

btc is 19 to 43 so 1000 would be around 2300

google
facebook
amazon
tesla

do the math bro


or better do btc dec 2012 to dec 2023

10 dollars to 43000

or

1,000 to 4,300,000

so btc is godlike 2012 to 2023

and great 2013 to 2023

and good 2017 to 2023

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December 21, 2023, 06:43:30 PM
Last edit: December 21, 2023, 07:17:30 PM by OutOfMemory
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)

This "in cash" thing about the ETF is ticking me off. They're just looking for a way into paper btc, which as of now isn't a (real) thing. They will have their way, I'm sure.

I hope they get burned by the mightiest short squeeze on the "underlying" the Earth has ever seen. That will teach them and enrich others (notably, some of the people reading these words).

I suppose they had to give in to the pressure of the SEC, which preferred the in-cash method, while ETF applicants were in favor of the in-BTC method of doing business.
This isn't written in stone, however, and therefore subject to change at some future point in time. The expectations of paper-investors seem to be high, so why would ETF applicants risk another "no-no" by the SEC? I think they want to get things started, and take the compromise. Once BTC is established and trusted enough in these realms (it's still considered to be an alternative asset, imo), things may change fast again, as it currently does with the ETFs.
No?

(EDIT: Or just my wishful thinking?)

If short squeezed to death, the investing world will likely fall back to push the good old "it's a risky scam" narrative.


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December 21, 2023, 07:50:45 PM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)

@houseperu
🚨 Breaking: Argentina has just taken an innovative step in the world of finance and technology. The country's Minister of Foreign Affairs has announced that it will now be possible to arrange contracts in Bitcoin. This decision is seen as a major victory for cryptocurrency enthusiasts and a potential game changer for the Argentine economy.

This news comes at a time when the country is facing economic challenges, and the adoption of Bitcoin could provide a much-needed boost. With its decentralized nature and growth potential, Bitcoin offers an alternative to traditional financial systems and could help combat issues like inflation and currency devaluation.
https://x.com/houseperu/status/1737891620752683026


For our Spanish speakers, this is the Tweet by Minister of Foreign Affairs

@DianaMondino
Ratificamos y confirmamos que en Argentina se podrán pactar contratos en Bitcoin.
https://x.com/dianamondino/status/1737874320322424984

Roughly translates to ‘We ratify and confirm that in Argentina contracts can be agreed in Bitcoin.’
(Google Translate provided by X)


Little by little we are readying for the monster of all bull runs.
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December 21, 2023, 07:59:40 PM

I like making money while sleeping.  Smiley
I like making money in both states: Sleeping and Waking! Ah, sure it's fun to make money when you're sleeping but it's also fun to make money when you are waking. Waking money comes from trading, while sleeping money comes from investing. I think we need both of those if we want to earn money in both states!
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