Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[Torque]

Remember the end of may? Volume got very low.

Whale Investors: "Sell in May and go away."

They won't come back until the Fall.

sell into what? are Whale Investors holding fiat or gold?

Fiat.  They don't really want to have to micro-manage their investments during their summer months, and have to pay the tax man.  Also, it would not surprise me if some of them took profits in April-May, and invested them into something else in the meantime to keep the return going.

But investors always return in the Fall.  They need to get their ROI pump in once more before the year end.  Watch the stock market, you'll see these same Spring-Fall patterns played out over and over again.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation

[EuroTrash]

a few hours ago we were over 625 for a moment on Stamp. Then we had 150 coins to 625. Then 300. Now 762. For a low volume day, the selling pressure is increasing considerably...

[Krabby]

Long term trendline is nearing once again...

[edwardspitz]

a few hours ago we were over 625 for a moment on Stamp. Then we had 150 coins to 625. Then 300. Now 762. For a low volume day, the selling pressure is increasing considerably...

Yes, it is starting to look a bit difficult. But traders at Finex don't care if China doesn't follow or if things start to look difficult on Stamp. They just buy more  

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation

[thezerg]

a few hours ago we were over 625 for a moment on Stamp. Then we had 150 coins to 625. Then 300. Now 762. For a low volume day, the selling pressure is increasing considerably...

Yes, it is starting to look a bit difficult. But traders at Finex don't care if China doesn't follow or if things start to look difficult on Stamp. They just buy more  

The amount of longs really is quite large on BitFinex at 30.5 million now.  At these levels it seems like someone could create a flash crash with a small push that would feed upon itself as margins get called.  It has happened before on BitFinex.

Total Speculation: So how could this amount of leverage happen?  Let's say a whale was ready to move in with 20-50 million... clearly this would bring us to a new price level.  Would it be illegal manipulation for that whale to first leverage long, knowing he will soon buy it up to a higher price?  Or how about tempting leverage harvesters to attempt to flash crash, but also keeping a hidden bid of USD on BitFinex so he can sweep in and purchase the BTC at the flash-crash price.

[hyphymikey]

Manipulator on bitstamp is trying to create panic sells near the trend line by putting up huge sell walls. Good thing is its not working. I hope a whale comes along and takes his damn coins from him. You can tell it is mostly one person because he keeps shifting his asks around, as seen on bitcoinity.

[edwardspitz]

a few hours ago we were over 625 for a moment on Stamp. Then we had 150 coins to 625. Then 300. Now 762. For a low volume day, the selling pressure is increasing considerably...

Yes, it is starting to look a bit difficult. But traders at Finex don't care if China doesn't follow or if things start to look difficult on Stamp. They just buy more  

The amount of longs really is quite large on BitFinex at 30.5 million now.  At these levels it seems like someone could create a flash crash with a small push that would feed upon itself as margins get called.  It has happened before on BitFinex.

Total Speculation: So how could this amount of leverage happen?  Let's say a whale was ready to move in with 20-50 million... clearly this would bring us to a new price level.  Would it be illegal manipulation for that whale to first leverage long, knowing he will soon buy it up to a higher price?  Or how about tempting leverage harvesters to attempt to flash crash, but also keeping a hidden bid of USD on BitFinex so he can sweep in and purchase the BTC at the flash-crash price.

That sounds scary and not totally unlikely.

[Raystonn]

Would it be illegal manipulation for that whale to first leverage long, knowing he will soon buy it up to a higher price?

Sorry, how would that work again?  How do you go long on leverage without buying?

[derpinheimer]

That bitstamp bot asks have finally moved down to near current price.. (From something like $680 a few days ago)

Hope to see it get eaten.

[edwardspitz]

Manipulator on bitstamp is trying to create panic sells near the trend line by putting up huge sell walls. Good thing is its not working. I hope a whale comes along and takes his damn coins from him. You can tell it is mostly one person because he keeps shifting his asks around, as seen on bitcoinity.

I agree. I'am also watching Bitcoinity. It seems that the ask walls shrink as soon as someone buys something. So it appears he doesn't really want to part with those coins But it is clearly a positive sign that he doesn't just dump in order to bring the price down. At this point he prefers to achieve his goals by manipulation. That is my interpretation. So many games being played. Not only do we have to guess whales intentions we also have to guess if he will be successful in his manipulation attempts

[elux]

DFS making good progress on virtual currency regs. Sorry for running slightly behind. Should have proposal out in next week or 2.

https://twitter.com/BenLawsky/status/486962799784914944

[kireinaha]

I'm pretty sure we're going down again within a day or two max. I wish it weren't so, but the market sentiment seems to be dropping again and I'm getting strong vibes here.

[empowering]

DFS making good progress on virtual currency regs. Sorry for running slightly behind. Should have proposal out in next week or 2.

https://twitter.com/BenLawsky/status/486962799784914944

Ermahgerd 

[BitChick]

I'm pretty sure we're going down again within a day or two max. I wish it weren't so, but the market sentiment seems to be dropping again and I'm getting strong vibes here.

Hmmm.  It seems when things get this "tight" with little movement we are about to push up again so I would disagree.  I think another day or two at most before we break out upwards. 

[Krabby]

I agree with moving upward; RSI, Low Volatility & Trend line all say so.

[edwardspitz]

I'm pretty sure we're going down again within a day or two max. I wish it weren't so, but the market sentiment seems to be dropping again and I'm getting strong vibes here.

I have the same feeling. Another leg down to the $600 $610 area before going up again. Maybe we will see another pump and dump on the Chinese exchanges followed by a dump on Stamp and/or Finex.

Edit: Maybe $610 is more likely.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation

[elux]

DFS making good progress on virtual currency regs. Sorry for running slightly behind. Should have proposal out in next week or 2.

https://twitter.com/BenLawsky/status/486962799784914944

Ermahgerd  

Lawsky Bitlicense due "in about two weeks"?