MICRO
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 2478
Merit: 1037
Oldschool!
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November 02, 2014, 06:10:08 PM |
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this is the scary part. no one knows what puffys next move is.
wwhat he did last night if he can do the same tonight and then te same tomorrow. stunna will be having no hot tub parties in the VIP room anymore
I hope that doesn't happen. not the hot tub thing.
stunna losing all his backers and his BTC
He is not yet that near to the pd bankroll  Stunna will be having that hot tub parties at least for some while
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omahapoker
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November 02, 2014, 06:20:09 PM |
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this is the scary part. no one knows what puffys next move is.
wwhat he did last night if he can do the same tonight and then te same tomorrow. stunna will be having no hot tub parties in the VIP room anymore
I hope that doesn't happen. not the hot tub thing.
stunna losing all his backers and his BTC
He is not yet that near to the pd bankroll  Stunna will be having that hot tub parties at least for some while cool last time he invited dooglus and not me. i wonder how that went
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Cyrax89721
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November 02, 2014, 06:23:34 PM |
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this is the scary part. no one knows what puffys next move is.
wwhat he did last night if he can do the same tonight and then te same tomorrow. stunna will be having no hot tub parties in the VIP room anymore
I hope that doesn't happen. not the hot tub thing.
stunna losing all his backers and his BTC
He is not yet that near to the pd bankroll  Stunna will be having that hot tub parties at least for some while I still say it's a good thing he didn't increase the limit to 80 BTC!
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galbros
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1022
Merit: 1000
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November 02, 2014, 09:16:20 PM |
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Second, this is a max profit flat betting (sorry if I'm not correct on the max bet, but I can't publicly find PD limits).
It's weird from the screenshot how 3x pays out differently whether you roll hi or lo. He's winning 24 BTC when he rolls low, but only 23.99988 when he rolls high. Is this some kind of rounding error? The "Over" Chance is actually 33.01000000000001%. I might have misplaced the first and last '1' but that's apparently where "Over 66.99" sits as opposed to the straight 33% that 'Under 33.00" is. To quote the provably fair page at PrimeDice: The resulting number 0-999,999 is applied a modulus of 10^4, to obtain a roll number 0-9999, and divided by 10^2 to result a 0-99.99 number.
So there are 10,000 possible different rolls, each with the same probability. 00.00 through 99.99. Of the 10,000 possible rolls, 3300 of them are under 33.00 (00.00 through 32.99 inclusive) and 3300 of them are over 66.99 (67.00 through 99.99 inclusive) so they both have a 33% chance of winning and should both pay out 3x (99/33) for a 1% house edge. So the payout is wrong. It is being paid out as if the chance of winning was 33.00011%, which it isn't: >>> 99/(23.99988/12+1) 33.00011 So it's only a small error in this case. It would be good to understand why it is happening, and whether the error is more significant in other cases. Multiplication by 3 should be relatively easy to get right. When I first saw the disparity in Hufflepuff's payouts I also assumed it was because you could roll a 0 but not a 10000. Thank you dooglus for locking it down and showing the mistake in such a clear way. Quoted to give higher visibility to this issue. I'm pretty sure "Multiplication by 3 should be relatively easy to get right." is going into the classic dooglus comments book. I hope Stunna and PD explain fully or fix this quickly. Good Luck!
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zzaza
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 926
Merit: 1000
Zoltan - PD Moderator
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November 02, 2014, 10:49:32 PM |
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How many times exactly has the odds/payout been wrong? The last time I saw it, I recall it being both obviously and majorly fucked at one of the extremities. You'd think it'd be a priority for a dice site to get this right. Is MICRO the dev or something?
Nope, he is a moderator at PD.
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Stunna (OP)
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 3192
Merit: 1280
Primedice.com, Stake.com
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November 03, 2014, 01:16:50 AM |
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Site just went down, working on restoring access. Should be back soon.
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danksheeet
Member

Offline
Activity: 89
Merit: 10
Fuck Randall
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November 03, 2014, 01:19:00 AM |
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if the guy who owns the "purplehaze" account on primedice see's this, send me a pm. I wana buy that account name
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kleineaap
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November 03, 2014, 01:22:53 AM |
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You realise that "pausing" has no effect, right?
I mean mentally wise, so have to disagree. Frustration after losing streaks are way too common, leading to dumb gambling. Way too many bets in very little time. Pausing your session to evaluate your behaviour is a smart move and yes, it does effect further betting.
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Stunna (OP)
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 3192
Merit: 1280
Primedice.com, Stake.com
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November 03, 2014, 01:25:13 AM |
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We're back up, sorry about that. There's a query we have running once or twice a day which seems to strain the site to the point of it going offline for a few minutes. Will try and find an alternative way around that.
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kleineaap
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November 03, 2014, 01:34:33 AM |
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 That's a sweet warning.
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kleineaap
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November 03, 2014, 01:48:12 AM |
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 Inverting last roll before another coffee break. And bank keeps growing insanely steady. He made 600btc in the last 3 or 4 days? Correct, right? We'll see this betting until a reversal market trend on dollar face value... Or until Huff faces a large disappointment.
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kleineaap
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November 03, 2014, 01:58:16 AM |
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 And then pause on a lousy run. He'll come back today to try to get it back. PROFIT 1,221.95413991 Update: PROFIT 1,113.95413991
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dooglus
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 2940
Merit: 1334
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November 03, 2014, 02:34:25 AM |
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Stunna will be having that hot tub parties at least for some while cool last time he invited dooglus and not me. i wonder how that went Something about "gave me his seed"?  
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Just-Dice | ██ ██████████ ██████████████████ ██████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████ ██████████████ ██████ | Play or Invest | ██ ██████████ ██████████████████ ██████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████████████ ██████████████████████ ██████████████ ██████ | 1% House Edge |
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danksheeet
Member

Offline
Activity: 89
Merit: 10
Fuck Randall
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November 03, 2014, 03:39:24 AM |
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man this bot is spamming up chat. if any mods see this we need you
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yenzae0215
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November 03, 2014, 04:27:47 AM |
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Hufflepuff is on fire right now having a total of 25,307BTC wagered today!! 
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Banned**
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ltcnim
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 914
Merit: 1001
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November 03, 2014, 07:41:31 AM |
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he's at 1700btc+ unbelievable to win over such a long time. i always believed in math...
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myohmy81
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November 03, 2014, 08:03:28 AM |
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Hufflepuff super lucky guy  Primedice are u ok??  but as i said, I DONT THINK THEY BE REAL, theyre staff members^^
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Xiaoxiao
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1274
Merit: 1000
The Golden Rule Rules
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November 03, 2014, 08:30:54 AM |
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maybe he is a house player. and they are just doing this as publicity stunt for the site. let's see some blockchain transactions and stuff.
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zzaza
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 926
Merit: 1000
Zoltan - PD Moderator
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November 03, 2014, 08:31:56 AM |
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maybe he is a house player. and they are just doing this as publicity stunt for the site. let's see some blockchain transactions and stuff.
I dont think he is connected to PD, i guess he is just really lucky...
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adaseb
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 3990
Merit: 1753
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November 03, 2014, 08:40:36 AM |
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HE could easily be an earlier adopter and 1000 BTC Is nothing to him. Just having fun.
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