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Author Topic: ASICMINER Speculation Thread  (Read 808627 times)
silverfuture
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September 03, 2014, 09:05:22 PM
 #5001

Just FYI, anyone talking about the price going lower has already sold out and is hoping to buy in lower.

Pitiful, guys.  I thought you were better.



+1

Considering the last wave of divs was well over 0.2 BTC in total...honestly, you'd have to be a damn fool at this point.

The Patient

...must keep reminding myself

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September 03, 2014, 09:33:12 PM
 #5002

4) Started mining again, from july (300ish~ position in BTCGuild on July grew steadily to 4th position NOW)

So what are you saying is that AM has only 200Th/s for the self mining?

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September 04, 2014, 09:41:25 AM
 #5003

One thing is pure trolling. Recognizing reality is something completely different.

I am amazed by the fact that there are always some shareholders who are openly hostile to the second group and are bashing every one trying to discuss problems/week aspects by accusing them for all evil intentions like 'talking down' shares. Such approach limits useability of this forum.

However, I admit that in current 'machiavellic' reality that surrounds most of us it's quite difficult to keep objectivity. Good luck guys.




+1

I'm one small step from just insta-putting into ignore anyone claiming that another user's post is just made in the hope of altering the price.

1LohorisJie8bGGG7X4dCS9MAVsTEbzrhu
DefaultTrust is very BAD.
trek27
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September 06, 2014, 02:45:45 PM
 #5004

Playing the rumors and news cycles on the orderbook is a big risk at this point. If dividends come you are 100% shut out, and it has been a long wait to come to this point so I feel the amount of investors working this angle is exaggerated.
100% true.


Interesting. Worth reading in it's entirety.
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September 11, 2014, 04:57:33 PM
 #5005

Time for speculation:

Currently there is a 10BTC/hr income showing up an address that appears to have ties to the company. If AM is trickling in mining revenue in preparation for a dividend some point in September, shareholders will be happy with the end result. AM may indeed have started its climb to regain the 2013 average network percentage as forecasted by Fried Cat in early August. Let the good times roll.
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September 11, 2014, 10:26:02 PM
 #5006

Time for speculation:

Currently there is a 10BTC/hr income showing up...

It would be interesting if FC was testing market reaction to dividends. Am I wrong in thinking that Jutarul and maybe others put up walls in an attempt to decelerate the increasing share price last year? I wonder how things are going behind the curtain. With such limited information its going to be nutz if/when divs come and people try to figure out the appropriate share price, whether low or high. Havelock's thin order book is a pressure cooker.

Death is nothing to us, since when we are, death has not come, and when death has come, we are not. #yolo

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September 11, 2014, 10:35:00 PM
 #5007

Time for speculation:

Currently there is a 10BTC/hr income showing up...

It would be interesting if FC was testing market reaction to dividends. Am I wrong in thinking that Jutarul and maybe others put up walls in an attempt to decelerate the increasing share price last year? I wonder how things are going behind the curtain. With such limited information its going to be nutz if/when divs come and people try to figure out the appropriate share price, whether low or high. Havelock's thin order book is a pressure cooker.

Make your bets, and place your asks to take advantage of the overshoot  Tongue  Fireworks will be on for sure.   With a little luck I can grow my accumulation.   If not, some BTC in my wallet.  It's been a long winter summer year.
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September 12, 2014, 09:10:47 AM
 #5008

Time for speculation:

Currently there is a 10BTC/hr income showing up an address that appears to have ties to the company. If AM is trickling in mining revenue in preparation for a dividend some point in September, shareholders will be happy with the end result. AM may indeed have started its climb to regain the 2013 average network percentage as forecasted by Fried Cat in early August. Let the good times roll.

which address?
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September 12, 2014, 09:35:26 AM
 #5009

Time for speculation:

Currently there is a 10BTC/hr income showing up an address that appears to have ties to the company. If AM is trickling in mining revenue in preparation for a dividend some point in September, shareholders will be happy with the end result. AM may indeed have started its climb to regain the 2013 average network percentage as forecasted by Fried Cat in early August. Let the good times roll.

which address?

https://blockchain.info/address/1HtUGfbDcMzTeHWx2Dbgnhc6kYnj1Hp24i

It was yesterday morning.  Prompted the (brief) price bump.
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September 12, 2014, 12:27:06 PM
 #5010

Time for speculation:

Currently there is a 10BTC/hr income showing up an address that appears to have ties to the company. If AM is trickling in mining revenue in preparation for a dividend some point in September, shareholders will be happy with the end result. AM may indeed have started its climb to regain the 2013 average network percentage as forecasted by Fried Cat in early August. Let the good times roll.

which address?

https://blockchain.info/address/1HtUGfbDcMzTeHWx2Dbgnhc6kYnj1Hp24i

It was yesterday morning.  Prompted the (brief) price bump.

Thing i dont get is some 10BTC came from known BTC-guild addy. others come from random adresses. Huh
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September 12, 2014, 12:30:45 PM
 #5011

Time for speculation:

Currently there is a 10BTC/hr income showing up an address that appears to have ties to the company. If AM is trickling in mining revenue in preparation for a dividend some point in September, shareholders will be happy with the end result. AM may indeed have started its climb to regain the 2013 average network percentage as forecasted by Fried Cat in early August. Let the good times roll.

which address?

https://blockchain.info/address/1HtUGfbDcMzTeHWx2Dbgnhc6kYnj1Hp24i

It was yesterday morning.  Prompted the (brief) price bump.

Thing i dont get is some 10BTC came from known BTC-guild addy. others come from random adresses. Huh


That doesn't mean those are not BTCGuild addresses. As the payments came exactly the same time every hour, those other addresses are very likely to be BTCGuild's also.
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September 12, 2014, 01:11:19 PM
 #5012

Guys keep your wits about you. Just because BTC is getting shuffled around, doesn't mean that dividends are imminent. It doesn't even mean that the BTC is going to be used for any purpose. If it's going to be spent though, there could be numerous things it could be spent on. It could be dividends, gen 4 tape-out and batches, gen3 farms, more batches of gen 3, refunds even.

Divs would be nice though.
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September 13, 2014, 12:14:16 AM
 #5013

Yeah none of that looks like mining activity. . . mostly because it occurs exactly one hour apart (within a few seconds) for exactly 10 btc.  That would have purposely scheduled transferred funds for reasons that are nothing more than purely made up, unless an official channel declares publicly otherwise.  In general, that just shows odd behavior on the part of AM.
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September 13, 2014, 01:10:30 AM
 #5014

Yeah none of that looks like mining activity. . . mostly because it occurs exactly one hour apart (within a few seconds) for exactly 10 btc.  That would have purposely scheduled transferred funds for reasons that are nothing more than purely made up, unless an official channel declares publicly otherwise.  In general, that just shows odd behavior on the part of AM.

You are a genius. Get lost posting what had been discussed over and over again. Yes, a repeated payout of 10 BTC per hour has been set, and nobody needs you fucktard to repeat the obvious again.
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September 13, 2014, 03:17:01 PM
 #5015

Yeah none of that looks like mining activity. . . mostly because it occurs exactly one hour apart (within a few seconds) for exactly 10 btc.  That would have purposely scheduled transferred funds for reasons that are nothing more than purely made up, unless an official channel declares publicly otherwise.  In general, that just shows odd behavior on the part of AM.

You are a genius. Get lost posting what had been discussed over and over again. Yes, a repeated payout of 10 BTC per hour has been set, and nobody needs you fucktard to repeat the obvious again.

lol you should probably take a vacation and unwind man. Grudge much?

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September 18, 2014, 06:17:43 AM
 #5016


https://blockchain.info/address/1HtUGfbDcMzTeHWx2Dbgnhc6kYnj1Hp24i

Looks like that balance got emptied then 10 BTC put back in yesterday
Otherwise nothing really worth speculating on just keeping it around since it may get interesting in the next little while
Hopefully

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September 19, 2014, 01:12:52 PM
 #5017

https://blockchain.info/address/3MkwFfGNQDve7vz1z6gUDVxkuQpcSV3Mz8

I'm still pretty sure this is the address to look out for it has been receiving 300-1000btc per day for at least two weeks back from other AM addresses

Today it received 6000btc so far
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September 19, 2014, 01:30:06 PM
 #5018

https://blockchain.info/address/3MkwFfGNQDve7vz1z6gUDVxkuQpcSV3Mz8

I'm still pretty sure this is the address to look out for it has been receiving 300-1000btc per day for at least two weeks back from other AM addresses

Today it received 6000btc so far

wow so we will get 10% of the current price in one go since the div stopped ages ago! The price will go to the moooon more than how it stabilized at 20% yield on steady divs....

smell my sarcazm.

Will take me a while to climb up again, But where is a will, there is a way...
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September 19, 2014, 02:21:49 PM
 #5019

https://blockchain.info/address/3MkwFfGNQDve7vz1z6gUDVxkuQpcSV3Mz8

I'm still pretty sure this is the address to look out for it has been receiving 300-1000btc per day for at least two weeks back from other AM addresses

Today it received 6000btc so far

wow so we will get 10% of the current price in one go since the div stopped ages ago! The price will go to the moooon more than how it stabilized at 20% yield on steady divs....

smell my sarcazm.
im definitely not saying this is the div payout address...just a wallet most likely owned by AM that has alot of BTC flowing thru it daily
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September 19, 2014, 02:26:05 PM
 #5020

https://blockchain.info/address/3MkwFfGNQDve7vz1z6gUDVxkuQpcSV3Mz8

I'm still pretty sure this is the address to look out for it has been receiving 300-1000btc per day for at least two weeks back from other AM addresses

Today it received 6000btc so far

wow[...]

im definitely not saying this is the div payout address...just a wallet most likely owned by AM that has alot of BTC flowing thru it daily

New post to highlight significance.  Funds moved out of original (old solo) mining address to https://blockchain.info/address/1ERszMSERwHNR9Xty73KZXpsg1jjBXWcHh.  

This address in turn links to many of the other addresses mentioned through a ~500 BTC  transaction to https://blockchain.info/address/16V3hoVfbQmpQQpCSkAirjVHGfSFoDFSbW (to sign these tx's, FC would have to hold the private keys to all inputs), including, most notably:

https://blockchain.info/address/19iVyH1qUxgywY8LJSbpV4VavjZmyuEyxV
https://blockchain.info/address/3MkwFfGNQDve7vz1z6gUDVxkuQpcSV3Mz8
https://blockchain.info/address/13p5iQkqBEVgKmPeJqEL2LBRS44PjX1dZL
https://blockchain.info/address/1KryFUt9tXHvaoCYTNPbqpWPJKQ717YmL5

In addition, these link through 13p5iQkqBEVgKmPeJqEL2LBRS44PjX1dZL via https://blockchain.info/tx/8c958ec1993b9b64442db8e591746a5f93ed0787921df6627ba86474e9576bfa
https://blockchain.info/tx/e3fd553c14699ec480c588c963c22515d869fed59a8cc2aaecb30e84ab4be30e
https://blockchain.info/tx/3426ad6a3be780b008b0d8f392d4d62fe098271f1f23de38b483655ef7086273
!!


https://blockchain.info/address/12WRnQR85ZUT7dhmaHBNL5dde2QLYieW6v
https://blockchain.info/address/1B9KrM7bjhJ42qJSWr1KJrNTAP1SNGMpJu


The transactions

I'd seen these addresses a number of times before and have mentioned them in this forum, but the tx that definitively links them is when the funds were sent from 1HtUGfbDcMzTeHWx2Dbgnhc6kYnj1Hp24i (AM's old solomining address which has been receiving the BTCGuild output) to 1ERszMSERwHNR9Xty73KZXpsg1jjBXWcHh earlier this morning.

Also, in case anyone's looking (I'm out of BTC after buying AM shares earlier in the night after the aforementioned tx) - there's an arb opp to sell MINE/SELL pairs back to twentyseventy for BDD at the 0.01051/0.0055 level.

 Wink

So either those are AM wallets or friedcat transferred a bulk share of AM's books to an exchange to temporarily crash the BTC-USD price and allow potential buyers to buy tubes/shares before using the fiat to buy back in at a BTC profit (which, granted, would be pretty far-fetched, extremely risky, and would make shareholders very uncomfortable)
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