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Author Topic: FreeBitco.in - Win a Lamborghini Huracan LP 580-2!!  (Read 321802 times)
wetsuit
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March 23, 2014, 08:14:40 PM
 #821

What happened to my referrals on freebitco.in

 BTC: 1CRUZnLFULVhwyNC2o8Fs7fzDBwWSoW88T

 they have all gone Huh

 

They are still there. Can you send me a screenshot of what you are seeing ?

Sorry cann't copy, paste.

This is what I see, 4 referrals where active everyweek for 2 months plus, all 4 referrals abruptly stoped in the same week.


REFERRAL ADDRESS   COMMISSIONS   SHARE RECEIVED
TOTAL   RECENT   TOTAL   RECENT
1Caa9UdWt3EN1Lyv9C31wSQ1dbfYX2J4YG   0.00000190   0.00000000   0.00000000   0.00000000
1C3BAjvFVNo1dGf2mMfXcvJxrHspX7x2oc           0.00000206   0.00000000   0.00000000   0.00000000
15nVq95yiCSBEe619ZaZSjw2cD2GefZKwe           0.00050942 0.00000000   0.00000000   0.00000000
12VKiaXnQRMMsj1SRWKRjPZ2GuVrZTMi9h           0.00000078   0.00000000   0.00000000   0.00000000
1BbhbBARoe7GNouTH9pLHpKK2QGKkca6gq       0.00046578   0.00000000   0.00000000   0.00000000
1D8sAX5B2CCUVHLPDcWrDY4r732WM8bG4X   0.00000988   0.00000000   0.00000000   0.00000000
17v7vqSpwpCGo7uivBMEdV8xETxHRSR24L           0.00000194   0.00000000   0.00000000   0.00000000
1EtQathWbCPaFbhp5udGxPFg54mh7NAAMJ   0.00015602   0.00000000   0.00000000   0.00000000
1CiJLbZVSe13a7F7VUH7kCZ88PRzCzaGK7           0.00000224   0.00000000   0.00000000   0.00000000





The recent commissions were just zeroed out for the week as payments went into pending. Give it a day or two.

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March 26, 2014, 04:05:40 PM
 #822

Just out of interest anyone ever hit 10000 on Freeplay?
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March 26, 2014, 04:10:18 PM
 #823

I guess it's 1 time over 10000 times you roll.
Without interruptions of sleep and such, without counting the luck you have, it would take 416 days straight to win the 10K prize.


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BEYOND    TRANSPARENCY













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rikkie
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March 26, 2014, 04:10:39 PM
 #824

Thanks for the tip. I 'm gonna try this for a while.
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March 26, 2014, 04:16:55 PM
 #825

Today I have good day because 2 time I hit some good amount in single roll 9950 

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March 26, 2014, 04:18:04 PM
 #826

I didn't have so much luck. But hope keeps alive they say.
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March 26, 2014, 04:19:03 PM
 #827

I didn't have so much luck. But hope keeps alive they say.
I am trying 12 to 18 time daily just because of this I have some good amount in my wallet every week  Cheesy

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March 26, 2014, 04:19:28 PM
 #828

Just out of interest anyone ever hit 10000 on Freeplay?
I guess it's 1 time over 10000 times you roll.
Without interruptions of sleep and such, without counting the luck you have, it would take 416 days straight to win the 10K prize.
I calculated the probability in another thread (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=319540.msg5483640#msg5483640), and it's ~ 1/20000 with current algorithm, so you need at least 20000-40000 rolls. Here's the formula for probability of rolling "10000" at least once in Wolfram Alpha (for 40000 rolls, feel free to insert other value):

https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=1-%281-0.00005000014789402484893798828125%29^40000

P.S. You will get only 63% after 20000 rolls.

BTC: 1DzAEtLoFxqmJoNH5ZYHyWxaSNYUGKf2S6
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March 26, 2014, 04:40:36 PM
 #829

Then I was being optimistic.


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BEYOND    TRANSPARENCY













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March 27, 2014, 03:23:31 AM
 #830

Just out of interest anyone ever hit 10000 on Freeplay?
I guess it's 1 time over 10000 times you roll.
Without interruptions of sleep and such, without counting the luck you have, it would take 416 days straight to win the 10K prize.
I calculated the probability in another thread (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=319540.msg5483640#msg5483640), and it's ~ 1/20000 with current algorithm, so you need at least 20000-40000 rolls. Here's the formula for probability of rolling "10000" at least once in Wolfram Alpha (for 40000 rolls, feel free to insert other value):

https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=1-%281-0.00005000014789402484893798828125%29^40000

P.S. You will get only 63% after 20000 rolls.

63% after 20,000rolls means the probability is greater than 1/20,000

If you look at the statistic page you may be able to guess the probability

***People that have a lot of affiliates don't even get one of their affiliate to roll 10,000 :
Amount won-number of affiliates
6-0.25252830 BTC   7748   
7-0.20269780 BTC   1059
8-0.20220446 BTC   1182
9-0.19664634 BTC   575

***2 000 000 games played and only 1.8BTC awarded everyday, does a multiply btc game counts as a game?

***WON BY USERS
153.23314610 BTC
GAMES PLAYED
280,577,455
10-0.19556508 BTC 2059

The website is great anyway but it would be nice to know the odds of rolling 10,000

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March 27, 2014, 07:01:43 AM
 #831

Just out of interest anyone ever hit 10000 on Freeplay?
I guess it's 1 time over 10000 times you roll.
Without interruptions of sleep and such, without counting the luck you have, it would take 416 days straight to win the 10K prize.
I calculated the probability in another thread (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=319540.msg5483640#msg5483640), and it's ~ 1/20000 with current algorithm, so you need at least 20000-40000 rolls. Here's the formula for probability of rolling "10000" at least once in Wolfram Alpha (for 40000 rolls, feel free to insert other value):

https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=1-%281-0.00005000014789402484893798828125%29^40000

P.S. You will get only 63% after 20000 rolls.

63% after 20,000rolls means the probability is greater than 1/20,000

If you look at the statistic page you may be able to guess the probability

***People that have a lot of affiliates don't even get one of their affiliate to roll 10,000 :
Amount won-number of affiliates
6-0.25252830 BTC   7748   
7-0.20269780 BTC   1059
8-0.20220446 BTC   1182
9-0.19664634 BTC   575

***2 000 000 games played and only 1.8BTC awarded everyday, does a multiply btc game counts as a game?

***WON BY USERS
153.23314610 BTC
GAMES PLAYED
280,577,455
10-0.19556508 BTC 2059

The website is great anyway but it would be nice to know the odds of rolling 10,000

Yes, each Multiply BTC roll counts as a game. Luror is right about the odds of rolling a 10,000

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March 27, 2014, 07:11:25 AM
 #832

Just out of interest anyone ever hit 10000 on Freeplay?
I guess it's 1 time over 10000 times you roll.
Without interruptions of sleep and such, without counting the luck you have, it would take 416 days straight to win the 10K prize.
I calculated the probability in another thread (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=319540.msg5483640#msg5483640), and it's ~ 1/20000 with current algorithm, so you need at least 20000-40000 rolls. Here's the formula for probability of rolling "10000" at least once in Wolfram Alpha (for 40000 rolls, feel free to insert other value):

https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=1-%281-0.00005000014789402484893798828125%29^40000

P.S. You will get only 63% after 20000 rolls.

63% after 20,000rolls means the probability is greater than 1/20,000

If you look at the statistic page you may be able to guess the probability

***People that have a lot of affiliates don't even get one of their affiliate to roll 10,000 :
Amount won-number of affiliates
6-0.25252830 BTC   7748   
7-0.20269780 BTC   1059
8-0.20220446 BTC   1182
9-0.19664634 BTC   575

***2 000 000 games played and only 1.8BTC awarded everyday, does a multiply btc game counts as a game?

***WON BY USERS
153.23314610 BTC
GAMES PLAYED
280,577,455
10-0.19556508 BTC 2059

The website is great anyway but it would be nice to know the odds of rolling 10,000

Yes, each Multiply BTC roll counts as a game. Luror is right about the odds of rolling a 10,000

Oh ok, I guess there is not so many rolls played everyday

I thought you couldn't make a profit if you pay 0.35 every 20,000 in average but I should do my calculations again and I will find that you make a 2% profit or something Wink

Congrats on the website, are you developing other websites or does this one take all your free time?

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March 27, 2014, 07:21:26 AM
 #833

Just out of interest anyone ever hit 10000 on Freeplay?
I guess it's 1 time over 10000 times you roll.
Without interruptions of sleep and such, without counting the luck you have, it would take 416 days straight to win the 10K prize.
I calculated the probability in another thread (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=319540.msg5483640#msg5483640), and it's ~ 1/20000 with current algorithm, so you need at least 20000-40000 rolls. Here's the formula for probability of rolling "10000" at least once in Wolfram Alpha (for 40000 rolls, feel free to insert other value):

https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=1-%281-0.00005000014789402484893798828125%29^40000

P.S. You will get only 63% after 20000 rolls.

63% after 20,000rolls means the probability is greater than 1/20,000

If you look at the statistic page you may be able to guess the probability

***People that have a lot of affiliates don't even get one of their affiliate to roll 10,000 :
Amount won-number of affiliates
6-0.25252830 BTC   7748   
7-0.20269780 BTC   1059
8-0.20220446 BTC   1182
9-0.19664634 BTC   575

***2 000 000 games played and only 1.8BTC awarded everyday, does a multiply btc game counts as a game?

***WON BY USERS
153.23314610 BTC
GAMES PLAYED
280,577,455
10-0.19556508 BTC 2059

The website is great anyway but it would be nice to know the odds of rolling 10,000

Yes, each Multiply BTC roll counts as a game. Luror is right about the odds of rolling a 10,000

Oh ok, I guess there is not so many rolls played everyday

I thought you couldn't make a profit if you pay 0.35 every 20,000 in average but I should do my calculations again and I will find that you make a 2% profit or something Wink

Congrats on the website, are you developing other websites or does this one take all your free time?

Haha yeah, I do make a profit but it is quite small. This takes up all my free time, I had a couple of other ideas but they have been moved to the back burner for now. I try to keep adding features to the site, have a big update coming in a couple of weeks.

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March 27, 2014, 07:26:16 AM
 #834

Are you guys trying to "earn" from faucets?

You migh want to  reconsider.
 
Read this thread https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=509107.0



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INTERNET OF VALUE OMNILEDGER
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wetsuit
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March 27, 2014, 07:52:53 AM
 #835

Are you guys trying to "earn" from faucets?

You migh want to  reconsider.
 
Read this thread https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=509107.0

Here is an excellent post from Portnoy about why faucets are not as much of a waste of time as many people may think : https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=74046.msg1088930#msg1088930

Of course, working for Bitcoins or buying them directly is the best way to get a lot of coins fast but I don't think people who used to do Gavin's original faucet (which gave out 5 bitcoins every dispense back in the day) regret spending a couple of minutes a day doing it. If you believe in Bitcoin and think that it's value will only appreciate in the long term, spending a couple of minutes a day doing faucets may end up to be well worth your time in a couple of years.

deisik
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March 27, 2014, 08:26:05 AM
 #836

wetsuit, could you please implement a feature that would allow automatic sharing? Once I almost forgot to share the commissions. The time had run out but you hadn't yet sent the money, so I was just in time... Grin

.WOLF.BET.
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wetsuit
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March 27, 2014, 09:10:00 AM
 #837

wetsuit, could you please implement a feature that would allow automatic sharing? Once I almost forgot to share the commissions. The time had run out but you hadn't yet sent the money, so I was just in time... Grin

Sure, i'll add that in the next update.

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March 27, 2014, 01:27:54 PM
 #838

63% after 20,000rolls means the probability is greater than 1/20,000
I calculated "63% after 20,000 rolls" exactly from 1/20,000 probability Smiley It's how probabilities work: if probability of an event is 1/n, and you perform n trials (and n is a big number), usually you'll get ~ 63% probability of getting an event at least once, because 1 - 1/e ~ 0.63 (if you would do the math, it's easy to show this is the limit when n->infinity).

***People that have a lot of affiliates don't even get one of their affiliate to roll 10,000 :
Amount won-number of affiliates
6-0.25252830 BTC   7748   
7-0.20269780 BTC   1059
8-0.20220446 BTC   1182
9-0.19664634 BTC   575
The important number here is a total amount of rolls by all affiliates, if most of those 8000 affiliates done just a few rolls, this isn't so strange.

BTC: 1DzAEtLoFxqmJoNH5ZYHyWxaSNYUGKf2S6
boumalo
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March 27, 2014, 03:34:44 PM
 #839

63% after 20,000rolls means the probability is greater than 1/20,000
I calculated "63% after 20,000 rolls" exactly from 1/20,000 probability Smiley It's how probabilities work: if probability of an event is 1/n, and you perform n trials (and n is a big number), usually you'll get ~ 63% probability of getting an event at least once, because 1 - 1/e ~ 0.63 (if you would do the math, it's easy to show this is the limit when n->infinity).

***People that have a lot of affiliates don't even get one of their affiliate to roll 10,000 :
Amount won-number of affiliates
6-0.25252830 BTC   7748   
7-0.20269780 BTC   1059
8-0.20220446 BTC   1182
9-0.19664634 BTC   575
The important number here is a total amount of rolls by all affiliates, if most of those 8000 affiliates done just a few rolls, this isn't so strange.

It is possible that those affiliates only did a few rolls each but my affiliates still do more than 1roll/each/week after 2months so I presumed they got similar stats but all affiliates may not be created equal

You are right for the 63% I remembered it being 53-58% but your math is correct here; 1/20,000 is pretty good, let's roll!

Can you calculate how much he get from publicity per roll compared to how much he gives away?

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March 31, 2014, 03:13:56 PM
 #840

Can you calculate how much he get from publicity per roll compared to how much he gives away?
Too many unknowns, do you want to start a similar faucet? Smiley I can tell you probabilities of payouts, and therefore average payout from one roll (without referrals):

[0 - 9885]: ~ 1/20000 + 9885/10000 = 0.98855
[9886 - 9985] ~ (9985-9886+1)/10000 = 0.01 (~ once per 100 rolls)
[9986 - 9993] ~ (9993-9986+1)/10000 = 0.0008 (~ once per 1250 rolls)
[9994 - 9997] ~ (9997-9994+1)/10000 = 0.0004 (~ once per 2500 rolls)
[9998 - 9999] ~ (9999-9998+1)/10000 = 0.0002 (~ once per 5000 rolls)
[10000] ~ 1/20000 = 0.00005 (~ once per 20 000 rolls)

sanity check: 0.98855+0.01+0.0008+0.0004+0.0002+0.00005 = 1

average payout (using values right now): (0.98855*0.00000438)+(0.01*0.00004376)+(0.0008*0.00043764)+(0.0004*0.00437637)+(0.0002*0.04376368)+(0.00005*0.43763676) =  0.00003750 BTC

Whoa, that's much bigger than I thought, but math checks out, it seems.

BTC: 1DzAEtLoFxqmJoNH5ZYHyWxaSNYUGKf2S6
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