Trofo
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November 03, 2020, 01:19:28 PM |
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Don't forget the Champion's League games tonight and tomorrow. Half the pool hasn't done theirs yet. I'll probably watch the Real Madrid V Inter match, though Liverpool is tempting. No games I'm that interested in tomorrow but might watch the Barca V Kiev just to see if Barca spank them. Hopefully I can keep onto my number one spot but I'm not that confident about my picks this round and rushed them a bit. Might have to go over them at some point today.
I had big troubles choosing the picks for this week. There is a lot of games which can go wither direction. I just opted for gut feeling over research to make things easier for myself. I am looking forward to Liverpool game tonight. This one could be profitable to make a bet on but will wait for the line ups before actually putting any money on it. Atalanta is a good team and their games are full of goals so over goals and both to score bets look like nice bargain. I am bit concerned that Liverpool could decide to give a rest to some key players. They have an easy group so not every point is a must while they have to play against City in few days. If that happens I will look to pounce on some juicy Atalanta odds.
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casperBGD
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November 03, 2020, 01:34:57 PM |
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it is obvious that match in Madrid should draw much attention, but i will try to watch Bavarian giant in Salzburg, just for goals and open match sake, maybe would even try with some more goals, over4.5 or more, since i expect goals from home side as well regarding other matches, Liverpool depend on the importance that away team will give to this game, and Real has to win, and i think they will win tonight, but that does not seem as interesting to watch
regarding first two, will oversee match in Kyiv, could be a good one, as Shakhtar does not have home advantage, and that was felt against Inter, probably will be the same tonight, but it is good to see attendance on the stadium, and that is why i will oversee it in the background, nevertheless, expect Ukrainians to win tonight
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big_daddy
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November 03, 2020, 02:32:44 PM |
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Prediction & match day one: Lokomotiv is in a series of three defeats, Atletico won three matches and their mutual duels are in Atletico's favour as well, I think that the tradition will not be broken tonight Shakhtar is in a perfect series, they haven't not lost a single game this season. Borussia M'gladbach plays a little weaker on away games, the host can win this tonight, but Borussia is able to score. Both matches of Salzburg in the Champions League were very efficient, RB Salzburg has scored a lot of goals this season, Bayern is even more efficient and can score even more goals, so here, an over, both to score and Bayern to win can be a single for my ticket today I just hope that Real Madrid is still in a crisis, and waiting Inter to exit with some balls on the field tonight Donno, maybe a draw, but I'm going for Inter, I can't go against them Lukaku, save the day, please. Manchester City has two sure victories in the Champions League, Olympiacos showed a lot of weaknesses in the previous away game City is in a six-game unbeaten streak, they should take this one as well, with a handicap Porto is playing significantly better this season at home, Marseille was defeated both times in the Champions League without scoring a goal Porto won four of their five games and I think that will take this 3 points tonight as well Midtjylland easily scores and concedes goals this season, Ajax has been very efficient in the last four games Those rivals conceded goals in both Champions League matches Ajax should take this duel, cause it's maybe the last chance to grab some points and secure their position for the UEFA League, cause they will probably finish third in their group Atalanta has already scored six goals in the first two rounds of the Champions League and Liverpool is not shining this season and is conceding goals easily Atalanta could take advantage of Liverpool's absences An over scored and both to score, yes, but I donno who can take this win, maybe a draw, but I would like to see Liverpool as a winner tonight of course Cheers!
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If you don't believe it or don't get it, I don't have the time to try to convince you, sorry.
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LTU_btc
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November 03, 2020, 05:04:10 PM |
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@big_daddy, nice analysis. I just want to give my input about Shakhtar - I wouldn't say that they are in perfect series. Yes, win against Real and draw against Inter is great result. But they aren't doing very well in national league, 4 draws mainly against weak teams, while usually they don't have serious competitors there other than Dynamo Kyiv. But I'm backing them tonight, also it seems that almost all their player recovered from Covid and will play tonight. Ajax will miss some players today, but I think they still should win this game. I also will back Liverpool, Atalanta doesn't looks so good now. It should be great game. I would like to see Inter winning, but it will be very difficult without Lukaku.
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big_daddy
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November 03, 2020, 05:11:56 PM |
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@big_daddy, nice analysis. I just want to give my input about Shakhtar - I wouldn't say that they are in perfect series. Yes, win against Real and draw against Inter is great result. But they aren't doing very well in national league, 4 draws mainly against weak teams, while usually they don't have serious competitors there other than Dynamo Kyiv. But I'm backing them tonight, also it seems that almost all their player recovered from Covid and will play tonight. Ajax will miss some players today, but I think they still should win this game. I also will back Liverpool, Atalanta doesn't looks so good now. It should be great game. I would like to see Inter winning, but it will be very difficult without Lukaku.
that's right, thanks for your thoughts, and I forgot that Lukaku is out for injury I have just changed my prediction on pool
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If you don't believe it or don't get it, I don't have the time to try to convince you, sorry.
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buwaytress
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November 03, 2020, 08:30:20 PM |
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Damn, Lokomotiv drew another game as the sheer underdog, would have won 4/1 if I did a handicap on both, oh well. And Salzburg damn, leading 1-0 with 9 shots to Bayern's 1, then concede a penalty. I saw Ajax's goal at 50 seconds before finally finding Liverpool (and now they just gave Midtylland their first goal of the campaign! Trent - Jota, goal. His finishing's improved since coming over from Wolves.
Benzema on the mark. Least tonight's turning out exciting in first half hour!
We're actually not playing SO shitty, except Alisson is... uncharacteristically fumbly tonight hmm.
Funny how these games go, but still plenty of time for all teams to turn it around. Benzema on the mark now.
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Trofo
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November 03, 2020, 10:33:37 PM |
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What an evening in Champions League, this is why we watch football. So many great games and so many nice goals. If this continues tomorrow I am sure we will break some most goals scored ever record. Congrats to all you reds, you did very well tonight. I expected Atalanta to be much harder nut but Jota cracked it almost by himself. I guess this now puts him before Firminho in Klopp vision for future games. I was waiting for Real to win and Bayern to cover -1.5 handicap for nice amount and thought everything has gone against me around 70th minute. Both Inter and Salzburg equalized in matter of minutes but it all got much better soon enough Looking forward to games tomorrow.
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cryptofrka
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November 04, 2020, 10:32:53 AM |
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What an evening in Champions League, this is why we watch football. So many great games and so many nice goals. If this continues tomorrow I am sure we will break some most goals scored ever record. Congrats to all you reds, you did very well tonight. I expected Atalanta to be much harder nut but Jota cracked it almost by himself. I guess this now puts him before Firminho in Klopp vision for future games.I was waiting for Real to win and Bayern to cover -1.5 handicap for nice amount and thought everything has gone against me around 70th minute. Both Inter and Salzburg equalized in matter of minutes but it all got much better soon enough Looking forward to games tomorrow. Nah, probably not. Firmino is really important, he does a lot of dirty work for Salah and Mane. He's having trouble scoring and it's great that Jota is here to provide another option, but I feel Firmino is really safe - at least for now. I'd argue he's one of Liverpool's most important players and although I agree he should be scoring more, he's the reason why Liverpool's been playing so fluidly in attack. Jota has shown a lot of great things since his arrival but I expect Firmino against City on Sunday.
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buwaytress
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November 04, 2020, 07:26:49 PM |
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Gotta agree with cryptofrka here. I know people say Bobby should be scoring more but you watch the games and see how he just opens channels up for the other two, linking them and drawing away defenders, plus there isn't any striker who does as much defending as he does. Positive defending, winning the ball, forcing errors... you still don't see Jota have the same telepathy especially not with Salah or Mane yet. He starts against City, I'm sure of it. Jota to mix things up and yes, nice to have him as an option but for me, I like Mane/Salah/Bobby together. There is really no substitute yet.
Oh, and damn. My Lazio +0.5 looks like it's going down the drain. Heh. Way to start a parlay! And United, hmm.
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LTU_btc
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November 04, 2020, 09:36:39 PM |
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WTF I just did today ? I was sure that I left predictions for games, but when early matches was already in play, I noticed that I haven't left any predictions. It's pity, because I had Zenit 1:1 Lazio in my mind. What is even more ridiculous that when I made my predictions for late games just few minutes before kick-off, I mistyped 3:4 In Chelsea Rennes game, instead of 3:1. It's good lesson for me.. At least this round is very profitable for me in betting.
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Trofo
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November 04, 2020, 11:17:17 PM |
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At least this round is very profitable for me in betting.
Same here, this 2 days of CL football were very profitable for me. I erased all the recent losses and the year ROI is firmly back in the green. Now just to keep it that way until actual end of the year
Some very strange games today. United lost and confirmed once again that they are unable to play well when they need to actually build the attacks. Perfect squad to make money on, pick them when they are outsiders and avoid them or bet against them when they are favourites. Their defending on both goals was comical look it up. Barca having problems against decimated Dynamo squad. Barca could have scored 4 goals in first 15 minutes but after that Dynamo could have even won the match. Try to find compilation of both goalkeepers actions in this match. They were by far best players in the teams.
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casperBGD
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November 05, 2020, 07:48:36 AM |
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Barca having problems against decimated Dynamo squad. Barca could have scored 4 goals in first 15 minutes but after that Dynamo could have even won the match. Try to find compilation of both goalkeepers actions in this match. They were by far best players in the teams.
actually, expected that, even expected from Dynamo to took a point, it was a tough start, and Dynamo was good (maybe could say really good, bearing in mind the opponent in the second half), or i just a have a sympathy for Ukrainians in CL usually do not comment on referee, but the penalty was a bit questionable for me, those defenders were merely just standing there, and he just jumped into them, it would not be a penalty for Dynamo, pretty sure on that what caught me by surprise is Leipzig, expected more from PSG, now they could even stand out from kick-out phase, Manchester is good to play against them, what you just pointed out, and they are three points down, this Istanbul loss could be an expensive one for Manchester United in the end, if they lose home match with ParisSG
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hilariousetc
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November 05, 2020, 10:05:04 AM |
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Happy with my results and managed to only fall one place to second. I didn't expect Man United to lose. I wonder if Ollie's head is on the chopping block again. A loss to Arsenal at home last weekend and they're playing Everton away this week which could be tough though Everton have lost two games in a row but that could add more fuel to the fire if United lose as it's not going to luck good if that happens. I think I'll go for a draw in that game. Turns out he only got 3 points which is a shame. I think you could still play though. Some weeks people get next to zero points so winning something is still achievable though I would understand if you didn't want to play on. Maybe play up until I collect the money in and see how well you do. Won't hurt to give it a go.
There are few reasons for me not to join this year. 1. Having only 3 points sucks where the others have 40+ points 2. I will have very busy time in the coming weeks so not sure about watching many games except Liverpool's 3. I really do not have much idea about other teams than English teams. Well I don't know much about most teams either. Haven't even heard of a few this year and I'm doing alright.
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hilariousetc
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November 19, 2020, 10:30:22 AM |
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Next round starts on Tuesday so don't forget to make your picks. There's a lot of suspensions and injuries and will probably be a few more before the next round with the Premier League games this weekend: https://www.sportsgambler.com/football/injuries-suspensions/uefa-champions-league/They're isn't really many games I'm that excited about this round. PSG v RB Leipzig on Tuesday and Inter v Real on Wednesday maybe but I wouldn't be bothered if I missed them. Much better match-ups in the December rounds: Man United v PSG, ATL V Bayern etc.
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big_daddy
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November 20, 2020, 10:16:46 PM |
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^big games next week All I can predict from a quick look at those pairs above is that a both to score and over 2.5 is a good option for all of them in a nice multi bet slip
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If you don't believe it or don't get it, I don't have the time to try to convince you, sorry.
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hilariousetc
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November 24, 2020, 10:16:37 AM |
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Don't forget about the matches tonight and tomorrow. Can't say I'm that interested in many of the games today. PSG vs RB Leizpig will likely be the most competitive but Juve playing Ferencvaros could be a slaughtering as they beat them 4-1 away in the first leg so I expect possibly more goals tonight at home for Juve. Ronaldo might not have been playing the first leg either due to covid. I'll Probably go for Inter/Real tomorrow. ^big games next week All I can predict from a quick look at those pairs above is that a both to score and over 2.5 is a good option for all of them in a nice multi bet slip Yeah, I can see lots of goals and both teams scoring at least. Might have to do my both teams to score in both halves multi, with the two cards each and two corners. Always lots of value there. I think both games could be draws, but I might back PSG at home. I'll have to check both teams' form domestically though as I don't really keep up with any of the non-English European leagues and they could be either in ruts or on fire right now. Of course the starting line-us will be a factor as well as I'm sure all teams are missing players due to covid and the injuries from the international break.
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casperBGD
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November 24, 2020, 10:36:11 AM |
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Don't forget about the matches tonight and tomorrow. Can't say I'm that interested in many of the games today. PSG vs RB Leizpig will likely be the most competitive but Juve playing Ferencvaros could be a slaughtering as they beat them 4-1 away in the first leg so I expect possibly more goals tonight at home for Juve. Ronaldo might not have been playing the first leg either due to covid. I'll Probably go for Inter/Real tomorrow.
yeah, two most interesting will be between PSG and Leipzig and Inter and Real, since the highest stake is in these matches, because PSG and Inter will be in very tough position in case they lose these matches nevertheless, I do not think that PSG will have an easy task with Leipzig, and would not go for PSG win, not sure what will I play, but will certainly not go for PSG to win, Leipzig has a good team, and this is a good chance for them to revenge for last season semi-final lose in a match between Inter and Real, draw does not suite any of them, so goals could be expected, and I would probably pick Real to win, since Inter does not have stability to keep Real away from their goal for a whole match, but Real as well does not play great, although experience is there for them, will be very interesting
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big_daddy
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November 24, 2020, 04:04:41 PM |
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Rennes has lost three games in a row and in those three games they wan't able even to score one goal, and Chelsea on the other side has recorded five wins in a row That's a good single, even for a handicap bet, I'm undecided for my pool pick 0:2 or 0:3 Krasnodar plays more efficiently at home but Sevilla is playing much better, quite effectively lately We could see here over scored and both to score, but my opinion is that Sevilla will take this 3 points at the end Lazio is in a series of six matches without defeat, Zenit won just one point in the first three rounds of the Champions League and plays bad as a guest Lazio to win. Borussia played three very efficient matches lately, Club Brugge can score away goals Over and both? I think that Borussia should win this one Dynamo - Barcelona, omg, both teams with some problems lately, this one could end like a 1:1 boring match, but Barca has a bigger roaster available, but still without Messi Juventus is playing better and better as the season progresses, Ferencvaros has already conceded 11 goals in three Champions League matches In the first game, Juventus, as a guest, convincingly defeated Ferencvaros, the same scenario am I expecting tonight, Juventus to win with a handicap PSG is in a series of efficient matches and Leipzig in the Champions League easily scores and concedes goals We could see loads of goals on this match All three Manchester United's games in the Champions League were effective, Basaksehir is in a series of matches where they can score and also easily concede a goal It's a 3:0 for me on pool here Cheers!
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If you don't believe it or don't get it, I don't have the time to try to convince you, sorry.
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casperBGD
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November 25, 2020, 08:03:14 AM |
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in the end, all came as expected, there is no single one exception, it is probably because I have look for a few in PSG, Barcelona and Sevilla matches Chelsea and Sevilla both secured their wins in extra time of extra time, practically in the same moment, very interesting for first two matches in CL
it is mostly all clear now, who will enter the next round, only fight will be between MUtd, PSG and Leipzig, where I would like to see PSG out, but it is not likely anymore
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