tokeweed
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February 15, 2021, 12:19:51 PM |
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^ That draw no bet for RB Leipzig, at home priced at 2.12 vs a physically and metally fatigued Liverpool looks good value tho. ![Grin](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/grin.gif) RBL lost only once at home in the Budesliga this season and no losses in the CL. And it’s hard to back Liverpool rn.
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▀▀▀▀▀▀▀██████▄▄ ████████████████ ▀▀▀▀█████▀▀▀█████ ████████▌███▐████ ▄▄▄▄█████▄▄▄█████ ████████████████ ▄▄▄▄▄▄▄██████▀▀ | LLBIT | | | 4,000+ GAMES███████████████████ ██████████▀▄▀▀▀████ ████████▀▄▀██░░░███ ██████▀▄███▄▀█▄▄▄██ ███▀▀▀▀▀▀█▀▀▀▀▀▀███ ██░░░░░░░░█░░░░░░██ ██▄░░░░░░░█░░░░░▄██ ███▄░░░░▄█▄▄▄▄▄████ ▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀ | █████████ ▀████████ ░░▀██████ ░░░░▀████ ░░░░░░███ ▄░░░░░███ ▀█▄▄▄████ ░░▀▀█████ ▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀ | █████████ ░░░▀▀████ ██▄▄▀░███ █░░█▄░░██ ░████▀▀██ █░░█▀░░██ ██▀▀▄░███ ░░░▄▄████ ▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀ |
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LTU_btc
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February 15, 2021, 08:13:01 PM |
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^ That draw no bet for RB Leipzig, at home priced at 2.12 vs a physically and metally fatigued Liverpool looks good value tho. ![Grin](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/grin.gif) RBL lost only once at home in the Budesliga this season and no losses in the CL. And it’s hard to back Liverpool rn. As I said somewhere when draw was made, it's too early to predict something, lot of thing may change in tthese few months. If Liverpool were favorites initially, now I would say it's 50/50. Leipziglooks really solid and I can't say it about LFC. I thought that Barca will haveno chance against PSG. But now they improved a lot, while PSG lost Neymar. Now I'm not such sceptical about our chances.
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Harkorede
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February 15, 2021, 10:42:01 PM |
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^ That draw no bet for RB Leipzig, at home priced at 2.12 vs a physically and metally fatigued Liverpool looks good value tho. ![Grin](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/grin.gif) RBL lost only once at home in the Budesliga this season and no losses in the CL. And it’s hard to back Liverpool rn. As I said somewhere when draw was made, it's too early to predict something, lot of thing may change in tthese few months. If Liverpool were favorites initially, now I would say it's 50/50. Leipziglooks really solid and I can't say it about LFC. I thought that Barca will haveno chance against PSG. But now they improved a lot, while PSG lost Neymar. Now I'm not such sceptical about our chances. I so much hate the fact I'll be backing both Liverpool and Barcelona despite the fact both teams aren't in their best form, as for Barcelona they'll be playing at home and PSG are just equally as inconsistent, but for Liverpool, I'd say it's a different tournament and I'd expect a different approach/performance.
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Trofo
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February 16, 2021, 08:12:48 AM |
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I so much hate the fact I'll be backing both Liverpool and Barcelona despite the fact both teams aren't in their best form, as for Barcelona they'll be playing at home and PSG are just equally as inconsistent, but for Liverpool, I'd say it's a different tournament and I'd expect a different approach/performance.
I have taken a different approach today and chosen Leipzig to not loose @1.6 which seems like really value odds when we all know how much Liverpool is struggling lately and would probably be happy with a draw. In other game I have both to score on Barca game, I would be even happier with this bet if Neymar and DiMaria were ready to play but anyway there should be goals in this one.
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buwaytress
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February 16, 2021, 05:16:11 PM |
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I so much hate the fact I'll be backing both Liverpool and Barcelona despite the fact both teams aren't in their best form, as for Barcelona they'll be playing at home and PSG are just equally as inconsistent, but for Liverpool, I'd say it's a different tournament and I'd expect a different approach/performance.
I have taken a different approach today and chosen Leipzig to not loose @1.6 which seems like really value odds when we all know how much Liverpool is struggling lately and would probably be happy with a draw. In other game I have both to score on Barca game, I would be even happier with this bet if Neymar and DiMaria were ready to play but anyway there should be goals in this one. Definitely the smart bet, but I've been watching the games of Liverpool and yes, I'm the undying supporter, but we've really lost a lot of games where we actually played good football. Again, expected goals mean nothing in terms of eventual goals but you keep creating the chances we do and we're bound to win more regularly, returning to the mean. Leipzig's a crazy good team, might even pip Bayern to the title if they keep performing like that (and Bayern keep dropping points), but it's generally against open playing teams that the Reds do well. A lot of good promos on. Correct score Barca PSG I went for 3:1 haha -- massive 167/10. Been having pretty good correct score wins in EPL, gonna see if it transfers over to UCL. I know it's hugely underestimating PSG but yeah, without Neymar, they're just not as good. Even if Moise Kean is proving his mettle.
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Harkorede
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February 16, 2021, 08:59:11 PM |
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It's all square at all ends of the both matches, Barcelona couldn't protect their 1 goal lead after Messi converted from the spot, it's been all PSG there after, and Greizmann as usual with a huge miss.
PS: Has the pool fee payment started already ? Or am I missing something ?
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buwaytress
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February 16, 2021, 09:51:41 PM |
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PSG on the wrong end of my 3-1 bet, and way out on my 2-0 prediction, ouch! Can't see Barca coming back from this loss. Paid the price for Griezmann's profligacy otherwise, not having eyes on the game but some highlight I saw suggest that game could have swung either way.
Much like Leipzig, to be honest. Plenty of close shaves, another day and we'd be behind but Salah snapped up the mistake from defence happily. Hope Alisson and co get a lot of confidence from this. Kabak applauded really loudly his keeper's first rushing clearance hahaha. I don't even mind just getting 1.5 points for this pool, happy for the win and something to take back to the return leg.
I can finally sleep.
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casperBGD
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February 17, 2021, 09:19:16 AM |
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PSG on the wrong end of my 3-1 bet, and way out on my 2-0 prediction, ouch! Can't see Barca coming back from this loss. Paid the price for Griezmann's profligacy otherwise, not having eyes on the game but some highlight I saw suggest that game could have swung either way.
Much like Leipzig, to be honest. Plenty of close shaves, another day and we'd be behind but Salah snapped up the mistake from defence happily. Hope Alisson and co get a lot of confidence from this. Kabak applauded really loudly his keeper's first rushing clearance hahaha. I don't even mind just getting 1.5 points for this pool, happy for the win and something to take back to the return leg.
I can finally sleep.
yeah, but while Barca has no chances to go through, I could not say the same for Leipzig, they will try to overcome this lose in second match it was a neutral ground, and second match would not make a difference for Leipzig, and Liverpool has issues in their play, which could not be fixed with 0:2 win, if Leipzig scores fast on Anfield, and they will certainly try, and could do it, it will be a fight there, whereas goals do not suite Liverpool at home, each after first conceived would mean easier go through for Leipzig
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tokeweed
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February 17, 2021, 12:07:30 PM |
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^ That draw no bet for RB Leipzig, at home priced at 2.12 vs a physically and metally fatigued Liverpool looks good value tho. ![Grin](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/grin.gif) RBL lost only once at home in the Budesliga this season and no losses in the CL. And it’s hard to back Liverpool rn. As I said somewhere when draw was made, it's too early to predict something, lot of thing may change in tthese few months. If Liverpool were favorites initially, now I would say it's 50/50. Leipziglooks really solid and I can't say it about LFC. I thought that Barca will haveno chance against PSG. But now they improved a lot, while PSG lost Neymar. Now I'm not such sceptical about our chances. In hindsight I think I got overly excited about that spot. I thought it was value so I made the bet... Little did I know the match was gonna be played in Budapest. But it was too late. I’m an idiot. But I’m not too sure it would’ve made a difference anyway without any fans.
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hilariousetc
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February 17, 2021, 12:42:13 PM |
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Well I got zero points from yesterday. Didn't watch either games and have yet to see the highlights but I didn't expect Liverpool to win especially given their recent performances and how well RB Leipzig are doing in the Bundesliga and then Barca getting turned over at home with a Neymar-less PSG. Tonight's games are very hard to pick as well as both stronger teams are playing away. Don't know whether to go for draws or narrow away wins but home wins wouldn't surprise me either. I'll probably get another nil points from today either way ![Grin](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/grin.gif) .
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Trofo
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February 17, 2021, 12:43:22 PM |
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In hindsight I think I got overly excited about that spot. I thought it was value so I made the bet... Little did I know the match was gonna be played in Budapest. But it was too late. I’m an idiot. But I’m not too sure it would’ve made a difference anyway without any fans.
It was a value bet and I took 1x on Leipzig so got rektd as well. Did not watch the game but from what I read it could have been whole lot different if Leipzig score something while it was 0:0. I knew the game will be played in Budapest but thought that Leipzig will manage to hold their own purely based on current form. Had it in a double with both to score on Barca game. That one passed nice and early just like I prefer it. @buwaytress Congratz mate I saw you cashed a nice ticket on LFC ![Grin](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/grin.gif)
I am leaning towards Sevilla win today and both to score on Porto game. Sevilla is playing great football and Dortumd seems unsettled at the moment. Juve is not that granite defense as they were in previous seasons and I expect Porto to find the net once.
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LTU_btc
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February 17, 2021, 11:16:18 PM |
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0 points from 4 Champions league games so far. I was afraid to look at the table on Superbru after games, I thought I will be near to the bottom. But I checked it now and everything is better than I expected, I'm still 2nd. But it will be to reach @Harkorede, he is up by 7 points. It's big gap, considering that there is not so many games like domestic leagues every round. All 4 games had more or less unexpected outcomes. Liverpool and Borussia were understimated because of poor performance in national leagues, but both teams had very solid games in UCL. Damn, I'm not even talking about how much money I lost on Champions league betting recently...
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Harkorede
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February 18, 2021, 08:54:40 PM |
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0 points from 4 Champions league games so far. I was afraid to look at the table on Superbru after games, I thought I will be near to the bottom. But I checked it now and everything is better than I expected, I'm still 2nd. But it will be to reach @Harkorede, he is up by 7 points. It's big gap, considering that there is not so many games like domestic leagues every round. All 4 games had more or less unexpected outcomes. Liverpool and Borussia were understimated because of poor performance in national leagues, but both teams had very solid games in UCL. Damn, I'm not even talking about how much money I lost on Champions league betting recently...
I honestly wouldn't consider 7 points as huge gap until the semi finals, even in the quarter there will be very close matches and it will be tougher to choose a side, except there are certain picks where most users might have in common, so in essence on good for anyone can make significant changes to the leaderboard. It's just myself and Bigdaddy with 3 points so far in this round.
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buwaytress
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February 23, 2021, 06:38:49 PM |
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@buwaytress Congratz mate I saw you cashed a nice ticket on LFC ![Grin](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/grin.gif) Thank you, I'm actually still down on big Liverpool bets, but not by much thanks to that win. I'm risking a bet on my Superbru predictions for a correct score 2:0, but also some favourite parlays with tomorrow's matches. Now I am also considering Lazio ML but I want to see the lineup first fully confirmed as odds aren't QUITE so exciting with not even 45/10, so no value there. But definitely worth predicting an upset for Superbru haha. Bayern 1.8 is arguably super value... any takers?
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Harkorede
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February 23, 2021, 07:04:53 PM |
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@buwaytress Congratz mate I saw you cashed a nice ticket on LFC ![Grin](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/grin.gif) Thank you, I'm actually still down on big Liverpool bets, but not by much thanks to that win. I'm risking a bet on my Superbru predictions for a correct score 2:0, but also some favourite parlays with tomorrow's matches. Now I am also considering Lazio ML but I want to see the lineup first fully confirmed as odds aren't QUITE so exciting with not even 45/10, so no value there. But definitely worth predicting an upset for Superbru haha. Bayern 1.8 is arguably super value... any takers? Oh man! I really love the odds for Bayern, but playing away from home and Bayern Munich haven't even been flawless in the Bundesliga, I'm more tending towards both teams to score or over 2.5 goals. Although my pick in the pool is the contrast of this. I went with a 2-0 win for Bayern. I really don't know what to expect or who to back on Chelsea vs Atletico, I've got the game Under 2.5 goals for my slip but I've no idea on which team to pick in the pool ![Huh](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/huh.gif)
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buwaytress
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February 24, 2021, 11:02:04 AM |
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Oh man! I really love the odds for Bayern, but playing away from home and Bayern Munich haven't even been flawless in the Bundesliga, I'm more tending towards both teams to score or over 2.5 goals. Although my pick in the pool is the contrast of this. I went with a 2-0 win for Bayern. I really don't know what to expect or who to back on Chelsea vs Atletico, I've got the game Under 2.5 goals for my slip but I've no idea on which team to pick in the pool ![Huh](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/huh.gif) Looks like we both got what we wanted for Bayern. I did take a simple ML so that more than made up for what I thought would be Atleti's night (strange that they rather switched back to their old dogged ways in Europe competition, reminds me of how they played against Liverpool) but finalle Simeone got undone by Chelsea. Still, maybe this is his plan after all and second leg is where it unfolds. Tuchel 1 so far though. And Giroud as usual bringing in the goods!
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Harkorede
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February 24, 2021, 11:08:54 AM |
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Oh man! I really love the odds for Bayern, but playing away from home and Bayern Munich haven't even been flawless in the Bundesliga, I'm more tending towards both teams to score or over 2.5 goals. Although my pick in the pool is the contrast of this. I went with a 2-0 win for Bayern. I really don't know what to expect or who to back on Chelsea vs Atletico, I've got the game Under 2.5 goals for my slip but I've no idea on which team to pick in the pool ![Huh](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/huh.gif) Looks like we both got what we wanted for Bayern. I did take a simple ML so that more than made up for what I thought would be Atleti's night (strange that they rather switched back to their old dogged ways in Europe competition, reminds me of how they played against Liverpool) but finalle Simeone got undone by Chelsea. Still, maybe this is his plan after all and second leg is where it unfolds. Tuchel 1 so far though. And Giroud as usual bringing in the goods! Yeah! I got exactly what I wanted on my bet slip, but I shot myself in the leg by changing my pick just some minutes after I posted, I had Chelsea to win 1 - 0, initially! That'd have given me a better advantage at the top of the pool.
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buwaytress
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February 25, 2021, 11:30:01 AM |
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Slipped one position to 7th so I'm finely in the middle. Not many games left but I'll know if I have a chance after 2nd leg I guess.
Real 3/1 bet was a good hedge on my Gladbach bet (I know, I know City easy win) but will be super cool to see who they match up in QF since they never got past it.
Guess it's really only just PSG who've got a proper foot in the door now.
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casperBGD
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February 25, 2021, 02:37:33 PM |
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Slipped one position to 7th so I'm finely in the middle. Not many games left but I'll know if I have a chance after 2nd leg I guess.
Real 3/1 bet was a good hedge on my Gladbach bet (I know, I know City easy win) but will be super cool to see who they match up in QF since they never got past it.
Guess it's really only just PSG who've got a proper foot in the door now.
would add Bayern as team that already qualified for next round, even Barca could be expected to come back, do not think that they will just go to training in Paris, but Lazio could put all-in and it would not be enough to get more than just a honest defeat in Munich most of teams won on a away matches, but it is a strange season, and things go turn around in no-time, but Bavarians would not let that happen
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Trofo
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February 25, 2021, 03:45:13 PM |
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Guess it's really only just PSG who've got a proper foot in the door now.
Looks like it but just remember Barca results in LP in last few years. They have managed to come back after loosing first game with big score and they managed to drop out of the competition after winning first leg with great score. I know this time is different since Barca is in really bad shape and they lost the game at home, usually it is away games giving them problems.
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