Brian123321's Sports Betting Picks | All Sports | Full Tracking Inside

[zneww]

youre a fucking idiot.

[alabamafan1]

Curious Brian, what did your system say the line SHOULD be for each game? Like truly no value, 50/50 chance for each side.

[brian123321]

Curious Brian, what did your system say the line SHOULD be for each game? Like truly no value, 50/50 chance for each side.

I can tell you what my numbers came out to be when calculating the spread.  The number that i get when calculating the spread on the Lafayette game is Creighton -13

However, that is just a small factor when i pick my games and is just one of the many factors that have to line up in order for a team to be a play.

[brian123321]

I calculate my spreads using a calculation that has been around for a very long time and is not new to sports betting.  However i have added an additional stat to it that i feel gives a more accurate number.

The calculation i use for NCAAF spreads is something i would imagine no one has ever thought of.  However, there is a flaw in it that i noticed last season.  It is very very very accurate in certain situations.  However, in other situations it is not accurate at all.  I realized this hole about 3/4ths of the way through last season and i am working on pugging it but have not found a way to do it yet.

[alabamafan1]

I calculate my spreads using a calculation that has been around for a very long time and is not new to sports betting.  However i have added an additional stat to it that i feel gives a more accurate number.

The calculation i use for NCAAF spreads is something i would imagine no one has ever thought of.  However, there is a flaw in it that i noticed last season.  It is very very very accurate in certain situations.  However, in other situations it is not accurate at all.  I realized this hole about 3/4ths of the way through last season and i am working on pugging it but have not found a way to do it yet.

Biggest thing I admire about your plays is that your disciplined. Many people who start charging start making additional plays just to make sure they have that subscriber income coming still. Stick to your systems and I'll def start subscribing. For baseball though you should do a couple weeks for free to provide good sample size of your system for that for potential subscribers. I know I'm personally not profitable in NBA at all prob profitable to fade me actually but NFL I have made a sizable profit last four seasons.

[brian123321]

I do not plan on charging for my MLB plays early on if ever. 

The MLB system (it is an actual system) i use has been around and most people know about it.  Even if you did not know about it you would be able to quickly catch on to it.

Also i came across it very late in the season and therefore i have a very limited tracking size on it.  It is also something that i can not backtrack.  I looked but the stats i use are not available for back tracking so its not possible. 

Also it does not have the winning % that i have in college basketball.  In fact, no other sport i bet on has a high of % as college basketball. 

For the limited tracking i had last year it was hitting 59%.  But that was very limited tracking.  Something like 40 plays and the juice could sometimes be as high as like -140 on some of the plays.

[brian123321]

LA Lafayette covers!

[alabamafan1]

Woo! Was closer to the line though at the end then it should have been. Fell apart last 10 minutes.

[brian123321]

Robert Morris looks like it is going to be safe to lock in whenever you feel like it.  That being said a lot of places have the line at +9.5 now and i am going to wait a little longer to see if i can get that line where i place my bets.

[alabamafan1]

Robert Morris looks like it is going to be safe to lock in whenever you feel like it.  That being said a lot of places have the line at +9.5 now and i am going to wait a little longer to see if i can get that line where i place my bets.

Will be putting the profit from the 1st game on the 2nd. Break even worst case scenario. Hope we win man!

[brian123321]

I have to head out to a show that starts in a couple hours so i have to go ahead and lock in Robert Morris +9 right now.

It could become a no play but i dont see that happening as almost every single fiat site has them at +9.5 right now.

[alabamafan1]

Damn 1-1 today. Broke even. Not bad couldn't complain. Thanks for the plays man and hope you do well the rest of the tourney if you make any more plays.

[brian123321]

Finished 1-1 today.

74-33-2

69%

+37.7 Units



Might be it for college basketball.

Have a profitable tournament!

[brian123321]

March 22

Looks like we had some overnight line movement to create a play.

7pm EST

Yale +4.5 (+4.5)[/s]

Easily could become a no play especially since over night line movement made it become a play.  I would wait until right before game time to lock this in making sure the spread listed on covers is +4.5 or higher

Another thing i am not sure if i have made clear.  If the spread is listed at +4.5 or above on covers shortly before tip off then it is fine take +4 if that is all you can get at book of your choice.  I know this seems like it doesnt make sense but that is how it works.

[brian123321]

This has moved back to a no play

[brian123321]

wanted to make sure its clear that yale was a no play bc of line

[jeremypwr]

wanted to make sure its clear that yale was a no play bc of line

Got it!  You've been on a ROLL lately!  Keep it up 

[brian123321]

March 23

Have one system play today

3pm EST

St Marys +7


Good luck everyone!

[brian123321]

bump. games starts in 15 min.

[MoneyGod]

March 23

Have one system play today

3pm EST

St Marys +7


Good luck everyone!

I have last 2 days very horrible now going with your this pick hope its bring some luck for me