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Author Topic: NBA 2023-2024 betting  (Read 115385 times)
boltz
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December 17, 2023, 09:32:25 PM
 #14261

I smell a trap game between Suns and Wizards but on the same time I really can't trust Wizards to win a game and especially to win 2 games in a row  Grin but I think they can cover the spread so taking Wizards +7.5 should be a safe bet. Also , it would worth to trow 10$ on ML as well as the odds are ~@7 and I think it will go down around 2.5 during the game as long as Wizards will keep up the pace with Suns.

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December 17, 2023, 11:59:26 PM
Last edit: December 18, 2023, 02:26:10 AM by ralle14
 #14262

I got lucky last night, hitting a 5 game parlay with a odds of 11.63 Here.
Congrats on cashing that sweet five-legged.  Wink

I smell a trap game between Suns and Wizards but on the same time I really can't trust Wizards to win a game and especially to win 2 games in a row  Grin but I think they can cover the spread so taking Wizards +7.5 should be a safe bet. Also , it would worth to trow 10$ on ML as well as the odds are ~@7 and I think it will go down around 2.5 during the game as long as Wizards will keep up the pace with Suns.
I have to go with the Suns regardless of their poor form (1/5) because Booker and KD are still a scary duo to go against.

Then again, you might be up to something since the Wizards are a decent team in covering the spread (8-6 on the road).



Edit:  My ticket is probably dead. Instead of the Suns taking the lead, it's the opposite.  Tongue

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December 18, 2023, 02:14:06 AM
 #14263

I smell a trap game between Suns and Wizards but on the same time I really can't trust Wizards to win a game and especially to win 2 games in a row  Grin but I think they can cover the spread so taking Wizards +7.5 should be a safe bet. Also , it would worth to trow 10$ on ML as well as the odds are ~@7 and I think it will go down around 2.5 during the game as long as Wizards will keep up the pace with Suns.

What's the odds for +7.5? I think the pre-game spread was +12.5 and you took +7.5, would that mean you take a bigger odds on that particular bet?

Guess it's time for the Suns backers to take the moneyline now, it's currently at 1.84 as the Suns are down 12 points now.
If the Suns would come back in the 3rd quarter and take the lead going to the 4th quarter, it's possible that they can still cover the spread which was -12.5.

Good luck to both sides though!

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December 18, 2023, 03:09:03 AM
 #14264

I smell a trap game between Suns and Wizards but on the same time I really can't trust Wizards to win a game and especially to win 2 games in a row  Grin but I think they can cover the spread so taking Wizards +7.5 should be a safe bet. Also , it would worth to trow 10$ on ML as well as the odds are ~@7 and I think it will go down around 2.5 during the game as long as Wizards will keep up the pace with Suns.

What's the odds for +7.5? I think the pre-game spread was +12.5 and you took +7.5, would that mean you take a bigger odds on that particular bet?

Guess it's time for the Suns backers to take the moneyline now, it's currently at 1.84 as the Suns are down 12 points now.
If the Suns would come back in the 3rd quarter and take the lead going to the 4th quarter, it's possible that they can still cover the spread which was -12.5.

Good luck to both sides though!

As predicted by you, Suns were able to make a come back with their good run, they didn't take the lead yet but it's now already a single digit game and per betting odds, Suns is likely to win now.

This is the Wizards, they aren't a team you can trust even if they'll have a good start and earn the big lead because they cannot hold on to that, they usually gas out in the 2nd half, probably due to poor coaching, or some weakness they have, but the Suns, you know they are a strong team, they'll come back to win.

I'm now certain that the Suns will win, but as to covering the spread, I'm 50/50 on that.

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December 18, 2023, 06:55:27 AM
 #14265


I'm now certain that the Suns will win, but as to covering the spread, I'm 50/50 on that.

You were correct, Suns were able to come back and win but they didn't cover the high spread. 108-112, it's just a 4 point win, so @Boltz was right as the underdog have covered the handicap. You know what I saw in the game? Poole again with a bad shot selection, I mean it doesn't look like a usual shot, looks like an acrobatic shot for me, he didn't wait until he got a clear view or maybe just pass it to someone with, he just shoot the ball with his low percentage shot.

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December 18, 2023, 07:50:04 AM
 #14266

I got lucky last night, hitting a 5 game parlay with a odds of 11.63 Here.
Very nice win. Congratulations.
@danherbias07 - I skipped the Pacers game and have the OKC +6.5 against the Nuggets to complete my parlay. I thought I have lost my bet as the Nuggets is leading by 8 points in the last 3 minutes.
Lucky! Yes, 8 points but the Nuggets slowed down. OKC did turn the tables on that game which surprised me a lot.
Portland Trail Blazers - Golden State Warriors - Golden State Warriors (-3.5) @1.69
Milwaukee Bucks - Houston Rockets - Milwaukee Bucks (-5.5)
San Antonio Spurs - New Orleans Pelicans - New Orleans Pelicans (-5.5)
3 of 3.
It was just the right amount of spread for the Golden State Warriors as they won by 4 points. Thankfully my greed didn't activate and I accepted the 1.69 odds. Cheesy
Houston Rockets gave the Milwaukee Bucks a bit of trouble but like I said, their stars are rested well enough due to their big win in their previous game so they can still play until the end without any sign of exhaustion. Plus it's a home game so they might as well win it for the crowd. Giannis let Lillard do his thing and he scored 39 points in the process.
The New Orleans Pelicans won by a big margin. San Antonio Spurs are back to losing games.

We have lots of games later. I am still waiting if there will be changes in the odds so I will share my early bets later. Also, I am preparing another long parlay and maybe luckily win it this time. 11 games will get you to 200+ or maybe even better with the right picks.

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December 18, 2023, 09:49:19 AM
 #14267


It was just the right amount of spread for the Golden State Warriors as they won by 4 points. Thankfully my greed didn't activate and I accepted the 1.69 odds. Cheesy
Great job, reducing the spread help it. Looks like you know what's gonna happen, Genius!

Houston Rockets gave the Milwaukee Bucks a bit of trouble but like I said, their stars are rested well enough due to their big win in their previous game so they can still play until the end without any sign of exhaustion. Plus it's a home game so they might as well win it for the crowd. Giannis let Lillard do his thing and he scored 39 points in the process.
Rockets were able to make it close actually, they aren't going anywhere but they were fighting the whole game. However, frustrations probably sink in to them as they weren't playing within their pace anymore, in additiona, Brooks was ejected and their coach, so it's a total mess.

Despite that, I still think it's good to back the Rockets on their next game as they are a legit team with a good standing this season compared to the last. Actually I won on this game as I took a live bet with a handicap of +9.5 in favor of the Rockets.


The New Orleans Pelicans won by a big margin. San Antonio Spurs are back to losing games.


They were lucky they beat the Lakers and their long losing streak was stopped, but they are back to reality again, I think they'll start filing a losing streak.

R


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December 18, 2023, 11:45:00 AM
 #14268


I'm now certain that the Suns will win, but as to covering the spread, I'm 50/50 on that.

You were correct, Suns were able to come back and win but they didn't cover the high spread. 108-112, it's just a 4 point win, so @Boltz was right as the underdog have covered the handicap. You know what I saw in the game? Poole again with a bad shot selection, I mean it doesn't look like a usual shot, looks like an acrobatic shot for me, he didn't wait until he got a clear view or maybe just pass it to someone with, he just shoot the ball with his low percentage shot.

Something that he needed while growing up in this league, taking low percent shots compared to passing it over to a much open teammate,
if he will not adjust and continue throwing ball like this, I'm sure the management will look for good alternative.

I guess that's also one of those reason why GSW trade him aside from that conflict against Draymond, his shot selection and his offensive production
from the last season is far from what he got during the last title they shared.

Lucky for those who take the handicap as Suns failed to cover but to those who risk for ML a sorry missed for them.
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December 18, 2023, 10:41:17 PM
 #14269

I got lucky last night, hitting a 5 game parlay with a odds of 11.63 Here.
Congrats on cashing that sweet five-legged.  Wink

I got lucky last night, hitting a 5 game parlay with a odds of 11.63 Here.
Very nice win. Congratulations.

Congrats to you as well, it was a sweep on your end,  Grin

Thanks mate, I skipped the Suns game, not confident with them having that -10.5 (or isn't it 12.5?) initial line and same with the the GSW, although they've won and cover the spread by just .5 points. hehehe.

My 3 game parlay here, handicap and then over and under. My handicap is @5.95 and then over and under @.6.50.

my picks,

Cavs -3.5, Clippers -1.5, Wolves -1.5 Mavs +8.5.

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December 18, 2023, 11:59:47 PM
 #14270

Cavs -3.5, Clippers -1.5, Wolves -1.5 Mavs +8.5.
I'm in the same boat with a couple of your picks, mainly on the Twolves, as the Heat still looks questionable with their recent results, while the Twolves remain dominant even on the road.



Thanks mate, I skipped the Suns game, not confident with them having that -10.5 (or isn't it 12.5?) initial line and same with the the GSW, although they've won and cover the spread by just .5 points. hehehe.
Good choice on skipping the Suns match because they only woke up once the fourth quarter started.

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December 19, 2023, 04:25:48 AM
 #14271

Cavs -3.5, Clippers -1.5, Wolves -1.5 Mavs +8.5.
I'm in the same boat with a couple of your picks, mainly on the Twolves, as the Heat still looks questionable with their recent results, while the Twolves remain dominant even on the road.





You were right again on this one, Miami Heat started strong but the 2nd half all belonged to the Timberwolves.

I got a wrong pick today because I bet on the Sixers thinking they'll again dominate their opponent. Unfortunately, it's the Bulls who ended up winning the game, I didn't notice that the Bulls has been playing recently, should have bet on the other side, but that's gambling, just gotta move on to the other game.

Right now, lakers are down a double digit, but I believe they'll come back. Betting line now @2.65 moneyline.

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December 19, 2023, 06:03:21 AM
 #14272

You were right again on this one, Miami Heat started strong but the 2nd half all belonged to the Timberwolves.

I got a wrong pick today because I bet on the Sixers thinking they'll again dominate their opponent. Unfortunately, it's the Bulls who ended up winning the game, I didn't notice that the Bulls has been playing recently, should have bet on the other side, but that's gambling, just gotta move on to the other game.

Right now, lakers are down a double digit, but I believe they'll come back. Betting line now @2.65 moneyline.
Thanks, I was about to accept my loss on the Timberwolves when the Heat was close to a 20-point lead in the second quarter and then came back to see a turnaround in the near end. Grin

Nice catch on the Lakers' live odds, but their shooting was a bit off when they had some uncontested shots.

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December 19, 2023, 08:55:30 AM
 #14273

Cavs -3.5, Clippers -1.5, Wolves -1.5 Mavs +8.5.
I'm in the same boat with a couple of your picks, mainly on the Twolves, as the Heat still looks questionable with their recent results, while the Twolves remain dominant even on the road.



Thanks mate, I skipped the Suns game, not confident with them having that -10.5 (or isn't it 12.5?) initial line and same with the the GSW, although they've won and cover the spread by just .5 points. hehehe.
Good choice on skipping the Suns match because they only woke up once the fourth quarter started.

Congrats on your win, although I didn't put a bet on tonight's game, but I did keep tabs on the score. That was a huge comeback by the Wolves, I thought that the Heat are going to pull an upset win here.

But then again, the Wolves will not be on the top of the West if they don't have the mentality to make a strong comeback and win big even in the road. So that's what they did here against the Heat. Just imagine though if someone do live betting on the Wolves when they are down in the first half, it could be a very attractive odds.

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December 19, 2023, 12:05:19 PM
 #14274


It was just the right amount of spread for the Golden State Warriors as they won by 4 points. Thankfully my greed didn't activate and I accepted the 1.69 odds. Cheesy
Great job, reducing the spread help it. Looks like you know what's gonna happen, Genius!
With a bit of luck. Cheesy

I literally forgot my bets yesterday. It was all set at Stake.com but I got so sleepy that I shut down my computer without knowing I didn't press the bet button. Well, I was lucky because most of my bets could've been lost.
The Philadelphia 76ers lost against the Chicago Bulls. Big upset.
Houston Rockets too against the Cavaliers, I could've bet for the Rockets there as they are a hot team.
Miami Heat also lost against the Timberwolves.
Then finally the Lakers lost against the New York Knicks.

Anyway, we have just 4 games later.
This will be the return of Ja Morant but I doubt they can win this against the Pelicans. With Zion Williamson, CJ McCollum, Brandon Ingram, and Valanciunas, all they need is to put Jared Jackson Jr. in foul trouble and then they can dominate the paint.
New Orleans Pelicans - Memphis Grizzlies - New Orleans Pelicans (-4.5)

Milwaukee Bucks - San Antonio Spurs - Milwaukee Bucks (-14.5) Malik Beasley is the only probable to play for the Bucks. Wemby was ruled out to play.

Portland Trail Blazers - Phoenix Suns - Phoenix Suns (-5.5) Grayson Allen is probable, and Josh Okogie is ruled out to play. Well, they still have KD and Booker so I think that -5.5 is low enough. @1.73.

Good luck everyone.

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December 19, 2023, 02:16:54 PM
Last edit: December 19, 2023, 07:46:29 PM by Jating
 #14275

Anyone get trap on the Philly's lost to the Bulls? I didn't expect that Joel will be absent on that game, and so it was a big upset and Philly's lost their winning streak as they mostly covered the double digit handicap they have in the last 3 games.

Dallas also lost by a big margin against the Nuggets. I thought that the Mavs will fare good in this game, but it's the same game for them. It was only Luka and the support cast is not there to provide anything. Only Luka and Exum scored double digits for Dallas.

Edit: @Russlenat - thanks, because when I try to watch the game for a brief moment, the announcer said that Joel Embiid is absent, and I thought that he didn't play. Now I realized that he did play but the announcer might have been just referring to that quarter around, (if I'm not mistaken, it was the second quarter). So I didn't continue to watch that game as I have misunderstood it and knows that my bet will take a L without Joel.
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December 19, 2023, 02:27:34 PM
 #14276

Anyone get trap on the Philly's lost to the Bulls? I didn't expect that Joel will be absent on that game, and so it was a big upset and Philly's lost their winning streak as they mostly covered the double digit handicap they have in the last 3 games.
I did fall the trap but you are wrong with Joel being absent because he played in this game.

As you can see in the boxscore (https://www.espn.ph/nba/boxscore/_/gameId/401584979)
Embiid was the top scorer with 40 points, it's just that the Bulls have been playing very well recently, and thanks to Lavine being out.

Dallas also lost by a big margin against the Nuggets. I thought that the Mavs will fare good in this game, but it's the same game for them. It was only Luka and the support cast is not there to provide anything. Only Luka and Exum scored double digits for Dallas.

This one I was right, I knew that the line was a trap, Dallas after playing good basketball was given -8, that's too much, so most probably bettors were able to side the Dallas and probably some ends up betting on the moneyline.

I hate to say this, but Dallas are only good against a mediocre team, Luka can score a triple double but if his buddies cannot score at least 20 points, we know what to expect already.

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December 19, 2023, 06:41:43 PM
 #14277

Lakers once again screwed up my bet. I honestly don't know what to think about for this team, I mean sometimes they look good and sometimes they do not look good at all. I can't really see how they will be, it just makes me feel like they are doing something that is beyond my understanding.

I get that they may not be all that much of a big deal, and I get that they are not the top seed team, but they gotta know that they need to beat the Knicks, they have to be better than that. I managed to get 4 games right, and just one loss and it is all out the window so that always hurts anyway but when it's Lakers, it hurts even more because I want Lebron to have one more ring and every single day that looks like even more impossible.

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December 19, 2023, 09:52:39 PM
 #14278

We have 4 new games for today, and for this one, I like to take up a notch on my betting so I will be making multi-bets for all of the games today and going with the favorites on this one here are my picks for today's game

New Orleans Pelicans (1.34) VS Memphis Grizzlies (3.40)


  • New Orleans Pelicans Injury List

Zion Williamson (Illness/ Game Time Decision)
Naji Marshall (Ankle/ Game Time Decision)
Matt Ryan (Elbow/ out until at least Jan 29)
Larry Nance Jr. (Ribs/ out until at least Dec 31)

  • Memphis Grizzlies Injury List

Steven Adams (Knee/ Out for the season)
Marcus Smart (Foot/ out until at least Dec 21)
Luke Kennard (Knee/ out until at least Dec 21)
Derrick Rose (Hamstring/ out until at least Dec 26)
Brandon Clarke (Achilles/ out until at least Feb 1)

Milwaukee Bucks (1.07) VS San Antonio Spurs (9.80)


  • Milwaukee Bucks Injury List

TyTy Washington Jr. (Ankle/ Game Time Decision)
Malik Beasley (Illness/ Game Time Decision)
Jae Crowder (Groin/ out until at least Jan 17)

  • San Antonio Spurs Injury List

Charles Bassey (Knee/ Out for the season)
Victor Wembanyama (Ankle/ out until at least Dec 21)

Golden State Warriors (2.90) VS Boston Celtics (1.43)


  • Golden State Warriors Injury List

Chris Paul (Illness/ Game Time Decision)
Gary Payton II (Calf/ out until at least Dec 22)

  • Boston Celtics Injury List

Kristaps Porzingis (Calf/ Game Time Decision)
Luke Kornet (Thigh/ out until at least Dec 23)

Portland Trail Blazers (3.40) VS Phoenix Suns (1.34)


  • Portland Trail Blazers Injury List

Shaedon Sharpe (Groin/ Game Time Decision)
Robert Williams III (Knee/ Out for the season)

  • Phoenix Suns Injury List

Grayson Allen (Hamstring/ Game Time Decision)
Josh Okogie (Hip/ out until at least Dec 22)
Bradley Beal (Ankle/ out until at least Jan 7)
Damion Lee (Knee/ out until at least Dec 31)

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December 19, 2023, 10:23:54 PM
Last edit: December 20, 2023, 01:03:36 PM by YuginKadoya
 #14279

What are your thoughts on the Brooklyn vs Warriors tomorrow?

Warriors are back at home and will be hosting Brooklyn, as we all have witness the struggle of the Warriors, the question is, can we still trust them to win even at home. By the way, those who aren't updated, Draymond is suspended so Warriors are gonna be playing without Draymond in most of their games.

The handicap for the Brookly is +3.5, I'm thinking of betting on the moneyline.

Sorry, I didn't make any bet last time well maybe it is because the Golden State Warriors is not consistent in their winnings and they have some issues with some players having shooting slumps and some anger issue but I really wish at the end of the day that they will be fixed this, but here is my bet and prediction for games today and I haven't made any bets for the Golden State Warriors for today's game,

New Orleans Pelicans VS Memphis Grizzlies

The stake odds for this game are 1.34 for the Pelicans and 3.40 for the Grizzlies, for this game Zion Williamson and Naji Marshall are both questionable if they can play for the New Orleans Pelicans, and Matt Ryan and Larry Nance Jr. can not play for today's game, while Steven Adams is out for the season for the Grizzlies, Marcus Smart, Luke Kennard, Derrick Rose, and Brandon Clarke are all can not play for the Memphis Grizzlies, for this game even though the Pelicans didn't have Williamson for this game they can still manage a great performance for sure so my pick is the New Orleans Pelicans,

Milwaukee Bucks VS San Antonio Spurs

The stake odds for this game are 1.07 for the Bucks and 9.80 for the Spurs, for this game Malik Beasley and TyTy Washington Jr. are both questionable if they can play for the Bucks and Jae Crowder can not play in this game for the Milwaukee Bucks while Charles Bassey is out for the season and Victor Wembanyama can not play for the San Antonio Spurs, so far the San Antonio Spurs is not going anywhere with their kind of game, and now that Victor Wembanyama can not play for this game my pick is the Milwaukee Bucks,

Portland Trail Blazers VS Phoenix Suns

The stake odds for this game are 3.40 for the Trail Blazers and 1.34 for the Suns, for this game Shaedon Sharpe is questionable if he can play for the Trail Blazers and Robert Williams III is out for this season, while Grayson Allen is questionable if he can play for the Suns and Josh Okogie, Bradley Beal and Damion Lee can not play for the Phoenix Suns, for this game, the Portland Trail Blazers is not doing too good, so for this game, my pick is the Phoenix Suns,



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December 19, 2023, 10:42:53 PM
 #14280

I think today you gotta go Bucks, Celtics and Suns for the wins over the Spurs, Warriors and Trail Blazers. I’m a bit hesitant to bet on Ja’s return in the Memphis Grizzlies vs New Orleans Pelicans. I’m tempted to bet the Pelicans but I’d keep that out of a parlay. Games are showing on TNT tonight, so it should be a fun one.

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