LoyceV's Avatar for Rent [🦊🦊🦊🦊🦊 5 YEARS 🦊🦊🦊🦊🦊 (266 weeks) rented out]

[LoyceMobile]

One hundred and ninety-ninth week paid.

Thanks again for your flawless timing! I'm a tad late, kids weren't in bed yet. But now they are

[1714079671]

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[fillippone]

A little update from the forecasting sheet:

Code:

Date	        Block	Method1 Method2	Winner
11 Jan 23:20	771,502	774,386	774,435	Fillippone

[fillippone]

Weekly update on the Bonbon L competition.

Code:

Date   Block   Method1 Method2 Winner      
18 Jan 772556 774461 774505 RickDeckard 

We had a few gyrations on the projected winner: the week started with LoyceV, then hash power rose and Fillippone, then jumped immediately after the difficulty adjustment to o_e_l_e_o, to gradually ease toward 1miau, Icopress Rickdeckard, and Neuroticfish. Sadly, I never was elected winner after the difficulty adjustment.

[Foxpup]

Two hundredth week paid.

[LoyceV]

Two hundredth week paid.

Thanks again for your much better timing than mine I blame the kids, and cleaning the kitchen. But all good now I may even consider some of my favourite 38% tonight, I've been slacking in drinking this year

[1miau]

Weekly update on the Bonbon L competition.

Very unexpected to see Bitcoin jumping above 20k so quickly. But of course, I won't complain, I'm not a bear. 
Block numbers are increasing already and I'll also contribute my calculations based on current numbers and how it would look like if we'll find 1 Block each 10 min from now on:

Time left until January 31, 2023, 23.59h:
12 days

On average, each day will be mined (1 Block per 10 minutes) 144 Blocks per day (6 Blocks per hour x 24 hours = 144 Blocks)

Calculation if we won't see any hashrate change:
12 days * 144 Blocks per day = 1.728 Blocks

=>

1.728 + 772.748 (current Block) = 774.476


And keep in mind: if Bitcoin's price doesn't increase further, we'll get a similar Block number from our current 10-min calculation because most likely, the hashrate won't be changed much.

[Foxpup]

Two hundred and first week paid.

[LoyceMobile]

Two hundred and first week paid.

Thanks again for your flawless timing! I can only blame the kids today for being late, but they're in bed now do life is quiet again.

[fillippone]

Yet another  update on the Bonbon L competition.

Code:

Date   Block   Method1 Method2 Winner   
25 Jan 773,608 774,482 774,493 Icopress 

After a period of relative low hash rate (and signalling yours very truly as a winner), hashpower was on the rise again, and icopress is now the projected winner!

[1miau]

Yet another  update on the Bonbon L competition.

Code:

Date   Block   Method1 Method2 Winner   
25 Jan 773,608 774,482 774,493 Icopress 

Yes, it's getting very interesting!
Only 2 days and 22h left, so I'll also prepare an update:


Time left until January 31, 2023, 23.59h:
2 days, 22 hours

On average, each day will be mined (1 Block per 10 minutes) 144 Blocks per day (6 Blocks per hour x 24 hours = 144 Blocks)

Calculation if we won't see any hashrate change:
2 days * 144 Blocks per day = 288 Blocks
22 hours * 6 Blocks per hour = 132 Blocks
=> 420 Blocks

=>

420 + 774.104 (current Block) = 774.524


Our last prediction from a few days ago:

=>

1.728 + 772.748 (current Block) = 774.476

Similar to fillippone's prediction, numbers were going up and are expected to go up even more.
Maybe o_e_l_e_o will win our special BonBon L giveaway rewarding his bullish prediction. 0O

[NeuroticFish]

Maybe o_e_l_e_o will win our special BonBon L giveaway rewarding his bullish prediction. 0O

I've just took a look and I think that the last block number was 774505 and if I'm right then o_e_l_e_o may have won place #4.
However, let's wait for the official announcement.

[Foxpup]

Two hundred and second week paid.

[LoyceV]

Two hundred and second week paid.

Thanks again for your flawless timing!

[1miau]

Maybe o_e_l_e_o will win our special BonBon L giveaway rewarding his bullish prediction. 0O

I've just took a look and I think that the last block number was 774505 and if I'm right then o_e_l_e_o may have won place #4.
However, let's wait for the official announcement.

You are right, last mined Bitcoin Block in January 2023 is No. 774.505:



After evaluating our predictions, we have a winner:

Name	Number	Gap
_______________________	________________________	________________________
The Sceptical Chymist	769786	4.719
TheBeardedBaby	774167	338
GazetaBitcoin	774168	337
CoinEraser	774299	206
LoyceV	774396	109
fillippone	774454	51
NeuroticFish	774455	50
icopress	774500	5
RickDeckard	774501	4
1miau	774510	5
o_e_l_e_o	774526	21

RickDeckard has won our giveaway, many congratulations to him, well done!
Here is his winner prediction. In my opinion, his win is 100% deserved, because RickDeckard's prediction has been very detailed.



Places 2 and 3 are a draw because icopress and 1miau both have a 5 point gap.  
Now, we need a solution to determine a winner for the second place. My suggestion would be: predict the last Bitcoin Block mined in February 2023.
But icopress and a majority of our participants need to agree here.
Place 4 goes to o_e_l_e_o.

So, I would need 1 BTC Address from RickDeckard and o_e_l_e_o to send out your won BTC.
RickDeckard can PM GazetaBitcoin for the Bitcoin Romania card.

Many thanks to all participants once again!

And we are a bit sad to realize that our giveaway for celebrating GazetaBitcoin's new couch, Bonbon L, is already over.  

[fillippone]

And we are a bit sad to realize that our giveaway for celebrating GazetaBitcoin's new couch, Bonbon L, is already over. 

This is the worst part

[GazetaBitcoin]

RickDeckard has won our giveaway, many congratulations to him, well done! [...]

Place 4 goes to o_e_l_e_o.

Congrats RickDeckard and o_e_l_e_o! And thank you, 1miau, for this crazy, funny and nice raffle! I also thank to hilariousandco for giving us his approval to organize this raffle here 

RickDeckard can PM GazetaBitcoin for the Bitcoin Romania card.

I will PM him today, in case he does not see the post. If he refuses it I propose to make a short raffle with the participants of the "couch raffle".

Places 2 and 3 are a draw because icopress and 1miau both have a 5 point gap. 
Now, we need a solution to determine a winner for the second place. My suggestion would be: predict the last Bitcoin Block mined in February 2023.
But icopress and a majority of our participants need to agree here.

I also agree

And we are a bit sad to realize that our giveaway for celebrating GazetaBitcoin's new couch, Bonbon L, is already over. 

Awww don't be sad... You are almost making me buy another couch, and make another raffle, for not seeing you sad

Kidding! Let's see the bright part though: the fun will still continue until end of February if your proposal is agreed by the majority 

[LoyceV]

Name	Number	Gap
_______________________	________________________	________________________
LoyceV	774396	109

Can I argue I thought January has only 30 days?

RickDeckard has won our giveaway

Congrats!

Now, we need a solution to determine a winner for the second place. My suggestion would be: predict the last Bitcoin Block mined in February 2023.
But icopress and a majority of our participants need to agree here.

I like it! And if there's a draw again, make them predict the last block of the year

And we are a bit sad to realize that our giveaway for celebrating GazetaBitcoin's new couch, Bonbon L, is already over. 

But the couch is still there, right?

[CoinEraser]

-snip- RickDeckard has won our giveaway, many congratulations to him, well done!

Congratulations on the first place. With such an accurate prediction, it's definitely deserved! 

-snip- Places 2 and 3 are a draw because icopress and 1miau both have a 5 point gap.  
Now, we need a solution to determine a winner for the second place. My suggestion would be: predict the last Bitcoin Block mined in February 2023.
But icopress and a majority of our participants need to agree here. -snip-

Congratulations to you both too. You were very close with your predictions. I would also be in favor of you predicting another block for the end of February. This is certainly the fairest way to determine a winner. 

-snip- Place 4 goes to o_e_l_e_o. -snip-

Congratulations to you too. You were all good with your predictions. Impressive. 


I would like to thank 1miau and GazetaBitcoin for this great competition. As always, it was a lot of fun and it stayed exciting until the end. Thanks also to everyone else who provided us with their statistics and thanks also to LoyceV for allowing us to use his thread for this event. Keep enjoying your deserved Bonbon L Couch, GazetaBitcoin!! 

[RickDeckard]

RickDeckard has won our giveaway, many congratulations to him, well done!
Here is his winner prediction. In my opinion, his win is 100% deserved, because RickDeckard's prediction has been very detailed.

To win an event made in honor of Bonbon L is something that I couldn't be more happier! Thank you 1miau and GazetaBitcoin for hosting such an event that ended up gathering an amazing pool of talented and prestigious users of our forum! While I'm not sure, I think that this was the first contest of this kind that I took part in, so it ended up being a great first experience for me as well!

Places 2 and 3 are a draw because icopress and 1miau both have a 5 point gap.  
Now, we need a solution to determine a winner for the second place. My suggestion would be: predict the last Bitcoin Block mined in February 2023.
But icopress and a majority of our participants need to agree here. 

I tend to agree with this option albeit I think it may be a long period between the end of the 1st run and the guessing of the 2nd and 3rd place winner... What do you think of meeting half way - EOD 14 February - as the final date for guessing the last mined BTC block?

Congrats RickDeckard and o_e_l_e_o! And thank you, 1miau, for this crazy, funny and nice raffle! I also thank to hilariousandco for giving us his approval to organize this raffle here 

RickDeckard has won our giveaway

Congrats!

Congratulations on the first place. With such an accurate prediction, it's definitely deserved! 

Thank you for the greetings guys! It was really great to take part into the contest with users whose BTC knowledge far surpasses my own!
I wonder, who will be the next user who'll buy a couch worthy of such a similar celebration? 

[o_e_l_e_o]

And you all thought my bullish prediction was crazy! For my next prediction, Bitcoin to $1 million by end of the year month.

Thanks for organizing the raffle - was a fun little game. And thanks of course for the prize, and cheers to the new sofa!

Alternative solution for 2nd/3rd place: Combine the prizes and split evenly, so both get 0.375 mBTC.

I'll PM 1miau with an address.