LoyceV's Avatar for Rent [🦊🦊🦊🦊🦊 5 YEARS 🦊🦊🦊🦊🦊 (267 weeks) rented out]

[LoyceV]

One piece of furniture actually stole my heart   O fully-modular couch!
~
It's name is Bonbon L and it's absolutely stunning!

I'm just wondering.... Have you tested it yet? And I mean tested Congratulations!

Winners will be determined censorship-resistant via Blockchain because members will need to determine the last Bitcoinblock mined in January 2022 (CET Timezone).

That's easy: 721,257 Lol

To determine a winner, we are looking for the last Bitcoin block mined in January 2023 CET Time.

That's a bit more difficult.
Currently, at 10:40 CET, the latest block is 769699. There are 45440 minutes left. The next difficulty adjustment will make it 5.2% easier for miners. Let's say it takes 9.6 minutes per block on average. That leaves 4733 blocks. But what do I know, so let's add a random number between -50 and 50: -36. That leaves 4697 blocks. My estimate for the last block of January 2023: 774396!
I promise I did not use my time machine to get this number.

Bitcointalk Account: LoyceV
Last Block of January 2023: 774396

Edited posts will be rejected!

I made a mistake, and edited it When you see it, it's obvious. I couldn't use my time machine again, it's still charging.

[1714618844]

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[1714618844]

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[1714618844]

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[GazetaBitcoin]

How could I miss to mention the name of your couch, Bonbon L?  

I thought you wanted to let me have the honor of introducing it  

Bonbon L is a name perfectly suited for your couch because it's a cute name and a cute couch. But it's not only cute, it's cute while it's large at the same time because it's Bonbon L.  
Not Bonbon S, not Bonbon M, no it's Bonbon L.  

Hihi!

It's a very inspiring couch, so we considered launching a giveaway and did it finally, too.  

Thank you once more for doing this!

Unfortunately, I'm always out of Merit, when it's very inconvenient.  

No worry, my friend

I'm just wondering.... Have you tested it yet? And I mean tested Congratulations!

Of course! And thank you!  


And now (...drums...) please allow me say a few words for the end of the year If in my earlier post I described you the Romanian ritual on Christmas, involving barbaric behavior toward pigs, now let me tell you how Romanians celebrated the end of the world (for those unaware yet, world has ended on December 12th, 2012) (Again, NeuroticFish may (or may not) confirm all these )

20 December 2012: preparations for the end of the world
21 December 2012: the beginning of the end of the world
22 December 2012: celebration of the official end of the world
23 December 2012: the end of the end of the world celebration
24 December 2012: the hangover after celebrating the end of the world
25,26 December 2012: Christmas
31 December 2012: The New Year, shopping for gifts, champagne etc.
1 January: the beginning of the new year
2, 3 January: the hangover after the new year's party
4 January: preparations for the end of the world of those following the old rite (those using the older (Julian) calendar).

All in all, it was a great end of the world!

Happy New Year, everybody!

[1miau]

Winners will be determined censorship-resistant via Blockchain because members will need to determine the last Bitcoinblock mined in January 2022 (CET Timezone).

That's easy: 721,257 Lol

Indeed LOL, somehow I've expected it already, that I've missed it to weed out all errors but luckily, the year is mentioned in the rules correctly.  
Many thanks for pointing this out and your win are 4 Merits.  

To determine a winner, we are looking for the last Bitcoin block mined in January 2023 CET Time.

That's a bit more difficult.
Currently, at 10:40 CET, the latest block is 769699. There are 45440 minutes left. The next difficulty adjustment will make it 5.2% easier for miners. Let's say it takes 9.6 minutes per block on average. That leaves 4733 blocks. But what do I know, so let's add a random number between -50 and 50: -36. That leaves 4697 blocks. My estimate for the last block of January 2023: 774396!

Bitcointalk Account: LoyceV
Last Block of January 2023: 774396

Great prediction and a very accurate one.
I'm expecting also an average of below 10 minutes per block mined, so more blocks will be mined until our given date. If Bitcoin's price doesn't drop much more, it's a likely outcome.

I promise I did not use my time machine to get this number.

Ok, we'll believe you.  

Edited posts will be rejected!

I made a mistake, and edited it When you see it, it's obvious. I couldn't use my time machine again, it's still charging.

No problem, dear LoyceV, since you've mentioned it, I've now confirmed your number and archived it here, your entry is eligible.

How could I miss to mention the name of your couch, Bonbon L?  

I thought you wanted to let me have the honor of introducing it  

Yes, it's a good excuse, can I request to apply that excuse? /s  
Sure, it's your couch so you have been entitled to introduce it.  


Happy new year @everyone from me as well.
Take care in the Foxhole and protect it from rockets.  

[NeuroticFish]

Happy New Year, gang! May this new year make your wishes come true!


I've read about the couch, I didn't get to say a word on it yet though...
Congratulations, Gazeta! May this couch last at least as long as you like it! Felicitari si sa te tina cat mai mult!
It looks impressively versatile, although I prefer the "taller" couches, where I don't need extra pillows at my back.
I guess that this was the very last step of the renovation, so congratulations for that too!

how Romanians celebrated the end of the world (for those unaware yet, world has ended on December 12th, 2012) (Again, NeuroticFish may (or may not) confirm all these )

Um, I remember I've seen this or that back then on the topic, but in my head it never went past the meme stage... Hence I cannot really confirm much...
You may want to come with Romanian (and balcanic, at least) customs of blowing up our fingers and eyes at New Year's too, if we are on the stage of barbaric customs

[NeuroticFish]

The next difficulty adjustment will make it 5.2% easier for miners.

It's already 3.4% and decreasing; I guess that the miners affected by the bad weather are firing their gears up again.


Since Gazeta keeps asking when I make my bet , here we are:

Code:

Bitcointalk Account: NeuroticFish
Last Block of January 2023: 774455

[GazetaBitcoin]

As usual, copy-paste ruins me I will delete my earlier post after 24h, as I wrote NF's name there instead of mine and I also did not write my predicted block; then I'll make a new post. (Editing prediction is not allowed, but deleting the post is also not forbidden, lol.)

[NeuroticFish]

Aaaand here is my bet for the raffle:

Code:

Bitcointalk Account: NeuroticFish
Last Block of January 2023: 774455

Are you sure it's yours??  
Can you please recheck?

As usual, copy-paste ruins me I will delete my earlier post after 24h, as I wrote NF's name there instead of mine and I also did not write my predicted block; then I'll make a new post. (Editing prediction is not allowed, but deleting the post is also not forbidden, lol.)

OK, you've checked it 
Now you know why I wanted to make sure I'm sober enough for the job and delayed my prediction a little.

[GazetaBitcoin]

Now you know why I wanted to make sure I'm sober enough for the job and delayed my prediction a little.

I guess I did not listen (again) to suchmoon:

Never browse this forum sober because this happens: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5102296.msg58619635#msg58619635

I also remember that once, when I was sober, I accidentally painted our Supreme Leader in red for a short while

And again, as icopress wisely said,

my brain began to boil ^{[From tautology and from lack of alcohol]} 

[NeuroticFish]

I guess I did not listen

Careful, I've said sober enough, not 100% sober


Plus, you technically didn't make any prediction yet (i.e. you didn't post a code tag with your name in it and I doubt that posting the code tag with others' name is taken into account), hence you don't necessarily have to remove that post, nor wait

[The Sceptical Chymist]

769,786

And hey, congrats on your new couch, GazetaBitcoin!  Much nicer than my first, which was taken from the side of a road.  Not kidding.  Ugly green faux leather thing with rips in it.  But it served its purpose and RIP old couch, wherever you are.

[Foxpup]

One hundred and ninety-eighth week paid.

[LoyceV]

Thanks again for your flawless timing! And a Happy New Year
I don't even need excuses, the kids still have vacation and are playing with their gadgets, my time machine is fully charged, and the weather is warm for the time of year.

769,786

Are you going for the last block of 2022?

[TheBeardedBaby]

I have never heard of celebrating party for a new couch but hey, I learn every day something crazy new.

Congratulations to Gazeta and to Bonbon L (couch with a name is even weirdier, lol) long life and no stains and of course to make a lot of good memories together

I should probably make a givaway for my new loan mower (a.k.a Frank) /jk it's 3yo already...

Anyway, I know nobody is laughing at my jokes koz I'm as weird as my (old) avatar so let's get to the point.

I have no idea what the last block of January 2023 could be so that's why I'll do it like this: steal from the others the first 3 numbers, in our case 774 and the rest will be just pure gambling.
Soo...
Bitcointalk Account: TheWeirdBeardedBaby
Last Block of January 2023: 774167

Good luck guys

P.S. Am I the only one thinking that the couch deservs to have its own account here? Go-Go Bonbon L

[o_e_l_e_o]

My plan had been to wait until 10 minutes before the deadline to make my prediction so I had as much information as possible about the next difficulty adjustment, however...

The deadline for participation is 07.01.2023 at 23.59.59 CEST (current Berlin Time).

The internet tells me that current CEST (Central European Summer Time) is 11:30, but also it isn't summer in the northern hemisphere and so current Berlin time is 10:30.

What is this foul play!?

[NeuroticFish]

My plan had been to wait until 10 minutes before the deadline to make my prediction so I had as much information as possible about the next difficulty adjustment, however...

The deadline for participation is 07.01.2023 at 23.59.59 CEST (current Berlin Time).

The internet tells me that current CEST (Central European Summer Time) is 11:30, but also it isn't summer in the northern hemisphere and so current Berlin time is 10:30.

What is this foul play!?

Maybe 1miau is in Jamaica, forgetting that in Berlin it's winter
Or maybe with this unnaturally warm winter in Europe he has forgotten it's still winter  

...Just read it as CET. Maybe 1miau will also correct that.

[o_e_l_e_o]

-snip-

No no no, I will not accept completely reasonable and highly likely explanations. The only answer here is that 1miau is deliberately trying to sabotage my devious plan to get my prediction in at the last minute! Instead I'll have to get it 61 minutes prior to the deadline just to be sure, which will of course rob me of 6 blocks (on average) of valuable information!

[CoinEraser]

I saw that I'm allowed to take part here too, so I'll join your party and celebrate with you. 

Congratulations @GazetaBitcoin on the new couch Bonbon L and on finishing the complete house renovation. The name goes really well with the couch. After all that work, you definitely deserve this couch. I hope you will enjoy the couch for a long time. 

Thanks also for the competition @GazetaBitcoin and @1miau. It's really generous and I'm happy to take part.

Then I guess and my tip looks like this:

Bitcointalk Account: CoinEraser
Last Block of January 2023: 774299

Good luck to all participants. 

[GazetaBitcoin]

Aaaand here is my bet for the raffle:

Code:

Bitcointalk Account: GazetaBitcoin
Last Block of January 2023: 774168

It seems that what Loyce saw on the difficulty estimator website has changed since then. Right now, it shows that "Next Difficulty Change: between +2.7816% and +15.3994%". I will take a wild guess for a +3% difficulty, which would mean to have a block at each 10.3 minutes (10 minutes and 20 seconds).

Right now, lattest block is 770328, so, based on my calculation, there is space for 3840 more blocks. Therefore, my prediction is 774168!

Careful, I've said sober enough, not 100% sober

Lol, true!

Plus, you technically didn't make any prediction yet (i.e. you didn't post a code tag with your name in it and I doubt that posting the code tag with others' name is taken into account), hence you don't necessarily have to remove that post, nor wait

=))))))) True again! Yet I said to not overcrowd with one more post the already overcrowded topic of our dear LV, therefore I deleted it

And hey, congrats on your new couch, GazetaBitcoin!

Thank you

Much nicer than my first, which was taken from the side of a road.  Not kidding.  Ugly green faux leather thing with rips in it.

Oh, gawd

I have never heard of celebrating party for a new couch but hey, I learn every day something crazy new.

Neither have I, it was 1miau's idea

Congratulations to Gazeta and to Bonbon L (couch with a name is even weirdier, lol) long life and no stains and of course to make a lot of good memories together

Hihi, thank you!

I should probably make a givaway for my new loan mower (a.k.a Frank) /jk it's 3yo already...

Awww that would have been a great idea, also for me. Mine is 3.6 years old. Maybe we'll do it for the next ones (assuming there will be next ones)?  Kidding. Mey Frank have a long and prosperous life!

Anyway, I know nobody is laughing at my jokes koz I'm as weird as my (old) avatar so let's get to the point.

But I do laugh =)))

P.S. Am I the only one thinking that the couch deservs to have its own account here? Go-Go Bonbon L

Now that would be something! Imagine that! I could arrange some legal papers to entitle me as the official speaker for Bonbon and then we could see it growing up from zero to Hero. It could also have a very own Bonbon's reputation thread Probably the only couch around the world which is active on Internet

I'll join your party and celebrate with you. 

Congratulations @GazetaBitcoin on the new couch Bonbon L and on finishing the complete house renovation. The name goes really well with the couch. After all that work, you definitely deserve this couch. I hope you will enjoy the couch for a long time. 

Hehe, thank you and welcome to the party


Other than that, icopress entitled me to post a prediction on his name, as he does not have access to his computer before the registration period ends:

Hey, man! I won't be available until Monday at the earliest! I'd love to take part (I'd appreciate it if you'd choose in my place). I don't think 1m would mind.

Therefore, let's give our friend a hand of help:

Code:

Bitcointalk Account: icopress
Last Block of January 2023: 774500

Good luck everybody!

[1miau]

Aaaand here is my bet for the raffle:

Code:

Bitcointalk Account: NeuroticFish
Last Block of January 2023: 774455

Alt Account accusations incoming. 

Thanks again for your flawless timing! And a Happy New Year
I don't even need excuses, the kids still have vacation and are playing with their gadgets, my time machine is fully charged, and the weather is warm for the time of year.

769,786

Are you going for the last block of 2022?

There's a giveaway about it. 

I have never heard of celebrating party for a new couch but hey, I learn every day something crazy new.

Congratulations to Gazeta and to Bonbon L (couch with a name is even weirdier, lol)

It's a very cute couch, GazetaBitcoin has confirmed. 

I should probably make a givaway for my new loan mower (a.k.a Frank) /jk it's 3yo already...

We are definitely looking forward to it. 

My plan had been to wait until 10 minutes before the deadline to make my prediction so I had as much information as possible about the next difficulty adjustment, however...

The deadline for participation is 07.01.2023 at 23.59.59 CEST (current Berlin Time).

The internet tells me that current CEST (Central European Summer Time) is 11:30, but also it isn't summer in the northern hemisphere and so current Berlin time is 10:30.

What is this foul play!?

It's foul play due to our repeated delay in arranging our giveaway, because it dates back to somewhen early September and when we drafted the rules, Berlin still had summer time. 
And as I'm always in a hurry, I haven't proofred properly as LoyceV already named the last Block of January 2022 correctly.

While it's mentioned CEST and current Berlin time, you can go for what's more suitable for you and it would be completely legal since I've forgotten to change it. 

Maybe 1miau is in Jamaica, forgetting that in Berlin it's winter
Or maybe with this unnaturally warm winter in Europe he has forgotten it's still winter  

It's because I hate winter time so much, it's getting dark very early...

I saw that I'm allowed to take part here too, so I'll join your party and celebrate with you. 

Congratulations @GazetaBitcoin on the new couch Bonbon L and on finishing the complete house renovation. The name goes really well with the couch. After all that work, you definitely deserve this couch. I hope you will enjoy the couch for a long time. 

GazetaBitcoin has a cat as well and I don't hope the couch will suffer...
Some cats really like to scratch couches. 
(I'm not doing this)

Now that would be something! Imagine that! I could arrange some legal papers to entitle me as the official speaker for Bonbon and then we could see it growing up from zero to Hero. It could also have a very own Bonbon's reputation thread Probably the only couch around the world which is active on Internet

Yessss, let's make it happen. 


I've added all remaining entries, please check if your entry is listed correctly as I'm always in for a mistake. 
And icopress is in as well. 

[RickDeckard]

(...)
I'll sponsor a price of very valuable BTC and we will determine some winners as part of our celebrations.
Winners will be determined censorship-resistant via Blockchain because members will need to determine the last Bitcoinblock mined in January 2023 (CET Timezone).
The participants coming closest to that number will win. (...)

Thank you for running another contest like this one 1miau! Since I'm edible I'll just try my hand at guessing the block (I believe this is my first time doing so):

Code:

Bitcointalk Account: RickDeckard
Last Block of January 2023: 774501 

My calculations took the following assumption:

• Last mined block (12:30 GMT / 13:30 CEST) - 770816
• Minutes left until 31th January 23:59:59 (CEST) ~ 35129
• Last difficulty epoch adjustment : Block #770112 @ 03/01/2023 04:22:50    
• Blocks mined in current difficulty epoch : 704
• Current average mining time (~my estimation) - 8,88 minutes (6253,167 minutes / 704 mined blocks)
• Next difficulty adjustment: Assuming the previous mining average and the fact that the adjustment takes place at every 2,016 blocks, it will be somewhere around ~ 11653 minutes to reach block #772128, which translates into ~ 8 days (11653 / 1440 minutes) - 15/01/2023
• By this time I believe that the difficulty adjustment will have to be somewhere around ~ 11,5 %, which means that the average block time will increase to ~ 9,904 minutes
• Applying the same assumptions (both mathematically and related), I think we'll have another difficulty epoch before end of month, around 29th of January, which is when we'll hit block #774144
• Adding even more assumptions into an already web full of them, I think that the difficulty adjustment will be positive, around ~ 1.5 %, taking us to an average mining time of 10,0227 minutes
• Assuming that the last difficulty adjustment is made around 12:30:00 (CEST) on 29th of January, my guess is that the last mined block in January will be something near block #774500
• Since icopress already took block #774500 I guess I'll take the next one #774501

It's name is Bonbon L and it's absolutely stunning! Here is a video showing how it works: https://youtu.be/qjxvQVfcrHA

(Honestly, its name also represented a very good reason for me to get it )

Those interested may see more similar couches on www.feydom.com.

Coming back, when I told all these to 1miau (it was in September or so), he seemed like he got in love with my couch even more than me   So he proposed this beautiful giveaway, to celebrate this beautiful couch! I thank him once more for this nice gesture!

Gazeta I have to say that you have a remarkable couch! It does bring light to the room, plus it seems highly flexible! Added bonus of having a nice surround system in the back of it! May I ask what system are you currently running of speakers and such?