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Question: 2023/2024 La Liga Champion will be
Barcelona - 29 (23.8%)
Real Madrid - 82 (67.2%)
Atletico Madrid - 1 (0.8%)
Sevilla - 0 (0%)
Valencia - 1 (0.8%)
Villareal - 0 (0%)
Real Sociedad - 0 (0%)
Other - 9 (7.4%)
Total Voters: 122

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Author Topic: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24  (Read 435787 times)
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September 26, 2019, 08:37:05 AM
 #401

Mm, I don't know if we were expecting Real to lose against Osasuna, they were still the clear favorites. Sevilla even, the odds were just about tight so clearly, Real (and Barca) are still by and large the favorites to win games at least in domestic competition.

They really aren't making it pretty on the eyes though.

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September 26, 2019, 09:23:27 AM
 #402

Mm, I don't know if we were expecting Real to lose against Osasuna, they were still the clear favorites. Sevilla even, the odds were just about tight so clearly, Real (and Barca) are still by and large the favorites to win games at least in domestic competition.

They were favorites, but nobody is going to say they're going to win for sure this season. Just take a look at their results, and you'll know why. They don't play as good as before, got counter-attacked easily, and could've easily lost points one way or the other. Compared to two or three years ago they're in terrible condition now.
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September 26, 2019, 10:23:22 AM
 #403

Barca has nightmare start of the season
i think it is worst start from years.Now Messi is injured
i have feeling that Barca needs to develop team and be ready for Messi time end
It is not secret that he has problems with his leg.Some defenders know about it and they are attacking that leg
One day sooner than later rather Messi time will end and where will be Barca
Still there are great players in Barca team together with 16 years old revelation

 
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September 26, 2019, 11:43:01 AM
 #404

why do we have such big odds on Sevilla for today's match vs. Eibar?

it's a 2.35 on Sevilla (with price boost), it seems to me a good chance to make a good single bet

what do you think?

If you don't believe it or don't get it, I don't have the time to try to convince you, sorry.
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September 26, 2019, 12:53:39 PM
 #405

^  Look for Sevilla injuries.  Having their first loss vs Real last weekend could be a factor too.

Anyway Zidane's gamble paid off.  He played a with different set up vs Osasuna and rested his key players for the derby vs Atletico.  Smiley  Should be good.

R


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September 26, 2019, 01:03:54 PM
 #406

^  Look for Sevilla injuries.  Having their first loss vs Real last weekend could be a factor too.

Anyway Zidane's gamble paid off.  He played a with different set up vs Osasuna and rested his key players for the derby vs Atletico.  Smiley  Should be good.

hmm
injuries or not, I will have a look at the first 15 minutes of the game and than decide to make a bet or not, still thinking that Sevilla can win this game with a handicap +1

If you don't believe it or don't get it, I don't have the time to try to convince you, sorry.
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September 26, 2019, 01:16:10 PM
 #407

why do we have such big odds on Sevilla for today's match vs. Eibar?

it's a 2.35 on Sevilla (with price boost), it seems to me a good chance to make a good single bet

what do you think?
There are some statistics that maybe the bookies got a hold on and could explain why Sevilla have such odds: Sevilla have never won 4 consecutive away games in one season in the history of La Liga[1]. It could happen today if they beat Eibar.

Both teams will be hungry for a win, Eibar because they haven't won a single game so far, and Sevilla who need to recover from that loss last weekend. I would go with Eibar ML, and probably parlay that with Real Sociedad ML, they've been really good so far, a win today will put them in 3rd place behind Atletico and RM in the league table.


1. https://www.marca.com/futbol/primera-division/2019/09/26/5d8c69c522601d67508b4573.html

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September 26, 2019, 02:32:34 PM
 #408

hmm
injuries or not, I will have a look at the first 15 minutes of the game and than decide to make a bet or not, still thinking that Sevilla can win this game with a handicap +1

The odds would be modified 15 minutes into the game depending on where the tides of the game flows. So the game might not be so attractive for a single bet if the odds drop lower.
I would expect Sevilla to win the game though, with their performances I've watched, they are a very good side on their day.

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September 26, 2019, 04:47:17 PM
 #409

Not any competitive game today but I will place my bets in all three games.
Eibar - Sevilla 2
Celta - Espanyol 2
Sociedad - Alaves X
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September 26, 2019, 06:28:39 PM
Last edit: September 26, 2019, 06:43:52 PM by Harkorede
 #410

There are some statistics that maybe the bookies got a hold on and could explain why Sevilla have such odds: Sevilla have never won 4 consecutive away games in one season in the history of La Liga[1]. It could happen today if they beat Eibar.

It's definitely happening today!

Sevilla looks very comfortable currently holding a 2 goal lead and there's just about 25 minutes plus stoppage time left to play. Eibar have been rather more composed since the 2nd half, but there haven't been much threat from them, Sevilla should easily see this out.

Not any competitive game today but I will place my bets in all three games.
Eibar - Sevilla 2
Celta - Espanyol 2
Sociedad - Alaves X

Looks like you've got your first one right, If it's not a parlay, that's a win already. Good luck with rest...

Edit: Looks we've got ourselves some intense end to this match, Eibar just pulled one back from the spot kick. 1 - 2!

Edit2: Goodness me!!! Eibar are ahead 3 - 2, What the hell ?!!

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September 26, 2019, 06:46:48 PM
 #411

Messi injured again and new problems for Barcelona.
Who will replace him?
Who will be the Barcelona strikers in the next match with Getafe?
Luis Suarez, Antoine Griezmann and Ousmane Dembele?
Luis Suarez is in really bad shape but he will probably play.
Real dilemma is between Fati and Dembele?
What do you think?

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September 26, 2019, 07:11:54 PM
Last edit: September 26, 2019, 07:41:43 PM by tomahawk9
 #412

Edit2: Goodness me!!! Eibar are ahead 3 - 2, What the hell ?!!
Some people say that statistics don't matter in football, but god damn it that statistics about Sevilla that I mentioned earlier was a major red flag (to those going for Sevilla ML) and also worth going for a small but risky bet on a team that desperately needed the 3 pts (Eibar).

I didn't check but, what could've been the odds for Eibar to win during HT? 20/1? 30/1? pfff, imagine taking that one!

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September 26, 2019, 07:24:00 PM
 #413


I didn't check but, what could've been the odds for Eibar to win during HT? 20/1? 30/1? pfff, imagine taking that one!
Yeah, odds had to be amazing, but I don't know who would risk to make such bet. After first half there wasn't any reasons to expect that Eibar can make amazing comeback and win this game. But in 2nd half we saw one-sided game. 2nd goal of Eibar - what a stupid mistake of Vaclik.
Today I have Real Sociedad to win @1.6 and so far so good - La Real leading 1:0 after 25 minutes.

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September 26, 2019, 07:49:50 PM
 #414


I didn't check but, what could've been the odds for Eibar to win during HT? 20/1? 30/1? pfff, imagine taking that one!
Yeah, odds had to be amazing, but I don't know who would risk to make such bet. After first half there wasn't any reasons to expect that Eibar can make amazing comeback and win this game.

I watched only first half and the game looked firmly in Sevilla control. I wouldn't took that bet even if they offered 50/1. Just shows why we all love this sport so much.

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September 26, 2019, 08:46:27 PM
 #415

Not any competitive game today but I will place my bets in all three games.
Eibar - Sevilla 2
Celta - Espanyol 2
Sociedad - Alaves X

Looks like all bets didn't go well  Cheesy

Eibar 3-2 Sevilla
Celta 1-1 Espanyol
Sociedad 3-0 Alaves

Sevilla are no longer the team they were last season so i am not so surprised with the result

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September 26, 2019, 09:27:51 PM
 #416

Not any competitive game today but I will place my bets in all three games.
Eibar - Sevilla 2
Celta - Espanyol 2
Sociedad - Alaves X

Looks like all bets didn't go well  Cheesy

Eibar 3-2 Sevilla
Celta 1-1 Espanyol
Sociedad 3-0 Alaves

Sevilla are no longer the team they were last season so i am not so surprised with the result
You are right feeling same for Sevilla as they are doing very poor display in recent matches but most of peoples saying they have very long list of Injured players hopefully they will be ok in next few weeks but this could be very late for them as their recent form is bringing them down very quickly.
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September 27, 2019, 05:34:22 AM
 #417

Something is so wrong with the supposed big contenders for La Liga.

Sevilla 2-0 up all the way till 2/3rd of the game and then you let in three goals? 1 was a penalty for sure but looking at the highlights it could anyway have been 4-2.

Anyone betting on the home teams would be very happy.

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September 27, 2019, 06:39:59 AM
 #418

Something is so wrong with the supposed big contenders for La Liga.

Sevilla 2-0 up all the way till 2/3rd of the game and then you let in three goals? 1 was a penalty for sure but looking at the highlights it could anyway have been 4-2.

Anyone betting on the home teams would be very happy.

Eibar has been defensively good at home matches plus Sevilla lost their key players like Yedder this transfer who were key players from them last season. On the other hand Eibar were running without a run so far so kinda predicted like a draw will be the favourable outcome but didn't expected them to win.
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September 27, 2019, 06:45:27 AM
 #419

Something is so wrong with the supposed big contenders for La Liga.

You should see how the top 4 (outside number 1 & 2) in Premier League last season.

This is football guys, things like this should be expected. There is no guarantee and each match has different circumstances. That's why winning a league is so difficult because consistency does not equal good players.

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September 27, 2019, 08:50:52 AM
 #420

Has anyone seen Odegaard's assist from yesterday? MIND-BLOWN :O

The way and level that this kid plays, shows us that Sociedad can aim into something special this season. Something really special. Maybe even more than Europa League qualification. What do you think?
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