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Author Topic: 🏈🏈 The American Football Discussion Thread 🏈🏈  (Read 48669 times)
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November 01, 2020, 09:44:02 PM
 #421

Here's what I'm thinking for a parlay for this weekend;

Good luck with that 5 acca, i allowed myself to tail you here, i like all 5 picks! Cool

Way too many upsets this morning for "safe" parlay.  Sorry for steering you wrong, morvillz7z.   Cry

I put a small wager on it myself, but I guess the Bangles and the Vikings had other plans.  Luckily I hedged a bet on one underdog that came through for me; I put an in-game bet on the Steelers when they were tied at 7-7.  Got a decent return on that.

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November 02, 2020, 06:17:13 AM
 #422

Dolphins got 79 yds rec TD and 88 punt return TD in the span of two minutes in the second quarter, holy smokes!  Shocked

Goff just threw another interception while i was typing, i did not see that coming, what a shitshow for LAR so far.
Yes, it was Miamis defense that won the game. Tua and his offense were really pathetic, middle Q4 they had like 154 total yards. Surely a bit lucky to have won this bet, but defense is part of the game as well and I have lost bets that way multiple times too Cheesy


To be fair, you cant blame the bad offensive on Tua alone...
He had some pristine passes that were just straight up dropped...
Yes Preston Im looking at you!

His first matchup against a Grade A Defense, I see lots of potential on Tua.


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November 02, 2020, 07:29:15 PM
 #423

With how wierd yesterday was almkst a good pick taking the Giants tonight.  The 10 point spread seems too easy for the Bucs to cover somethings up.  27-20 bucs win tonight, giants cover.

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November 02, 2020, 10:00:56 PM
 #424

It was a crazy Sunday with many dogs getting the win. I was so close to winning my parlay bet but the Ravens let me down. I had the Bengals to cover, Ravens ML and Colts ML. I was confident on the Ravens and Colts but was worried about the Bengals covering but the opposite happened which can happen in sports. Steelers 7-0 are looking very good right now.

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November 02, 2020, 10:21:07 PM
 #425

That Sunday night football between the Cowboys and Eagles was unbearable to watch. Thankfully I don't have to endure another one now that i've already used them in both of my entries.  Cheesy

I haven't won a single prop bet but i'm confident in taking this one Daniel jones under 219 passing yards. In the last 5 games his passing yard stats are (179,190,222,112,187) overall his stats for over 200 passing yards is 3-4 but I trust the Bucs defense to hold it below 200. 

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November 03, 2020, 12:43:11 AM
 #426

Way too many upsets this morning for "safe" parlay.  Sorry for steering you wrong, morvillz7z.   Cry

Yeah, it's okay way too many upsets, i was still able to finish 3-3 on the weekend, so not that bad after all.
Chiefs covered their spread fairly easy, i also had Raiders ml which i forgot to post/share.
Your backup QB Mullens was able to save my last bet (Aiyuk total yards) outshaming Garoppolo who absolutely sucked in this one, hell if that 2-pt conversion wasn't inches shy, who knows...

That Sunday night football between the Cowboys and Eagles was unbearable to watch.

Second this! If Wentz continues with those boneheaded plays, he might outperform Jameis Winston from last year, and just like him end without a job.

Daniel jones under 219 passing yards

Sounds good and gl!
What if Bucs take an early lead, Giants rush has to face one of the best rush defenses out there (allowing only 66 yards to opponents per game), meaning Jones has to throw the ball more. I've seen Bucs secondary give some big plays down the field, Bucs are also giving 225 passing yards per game, 271 vs. Raiders last week.
Anyway, i'm sure Jones won't get to 219!  Grin

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November 03, 2020, 01:57:17 AM
 #427

Way too many upsets this morning for "safe" parlay.  Sorry for steering you wrong, morvillz7z.   Cry

Yeah, it's okay way too many upsets, i was still able to finish 3-3 on the weekend, so not that bad after all.
Chiefs covered their spread fairly easy, i also had Raiders ml which i forgot to post/share.
Your backup QB Mullens was able to save my last bet (Aiyuk total yards) outshaming Garoppolo who absolutely sucked in this one, hell if that 2-pt conversion wasn't inches shy, who knows...

That Sunday night football between the Cowboys and Eagles was unbearable to watch.

Second this! If Wentz continues with those boneheaded plays, he might outperform Jameis Winston from last year, and just like him end without a job.

Daniel jones under 219 passing yards

Sounds good and gl!
What if Bucs take an early lead, Giants rush has to face one of the best rush defenses out there (allowing only 66 yards to opponents per game), meaning Jones has to throw the ball more. I've seen Bucs secondary give some big plays down the field, Bucs are also giving 225 passing yards per game, 271 vs. Raiders last week.
Anyway, i'm sure Jones won't get to 219!  Grin

1st quarter done and long way to go but when things look too good to be true sometimes they are (unless its the jets lol).  If the spread would have been 14+ points I would have taken the bucs but when it was shortened into 10 points that made me worry.

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November 03, 2020, 06:24:54 AM
 #428

Wow this week was a crazy one...
I made some money betting on some props but the results were crazy!

I was on the Giants Spread +13, but made some small props that lost... I had Daniel Jones over 24.5 Rushing Yards, I got close but didnt quite get there....

Wanted to jump on the Under on Passing Yards but glad I didnt...

Lets see what Thursday gives us!
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November 03, 2020, 02:14:32 PM
 #429

Giants are not as bad as i thought they would be or what their record suggests, last 4 games decided by 3 or less points.
If only Daniel Jones could stay away from handing out picks where he could easily take the sack or throw it out of bounds, i mean silly mistakes.

I haven't won a single prop bet but i'm confident in taking this one Daniel jones under 219 passing yards.

This was looking good but Jones had to ruin it with that final drive escaping two 4th downs. In all fairness he missed Slayton a couple of times for big yard plays. That final TD took down my final ticket, otherwise i would've been perfect on the night.

Gronk 25+ rec yards + Slayton 30+ rec yards + Shepard 25+ rec yards won
Brady 2+ pass TD + Jones 1+ TD won
Brady 230+ pass yards + U46.5 total points lost

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November 03, 2020, 05:00:57 PM
 #430

Giants are not as bad as i thought they would be or what their record suggests, last 4 games decided by 3 or less points.
If only Daniel Jones could stay away from handing out picks where he could easily take the sack or throw it out of bounds, i mean silly mistakes.

I haven't won a single prop bet but i'm confident in taking this one Daniel jones under 219 passing yards.

This was looking good but Jones had to ruin it with that final drive escaping two 4th downs. In all fairness he missed Slayton a couple of times for big yard plays. That final TD took down my final ticket, otherwise i would've been perfect on the night.

Gronk 25+ rec yards + Slayton 30+ rec yards + Shepard 25+ rec yards won
Brady 2+ pass TD + Jones 1+ TD won
Brady 230+ pass yards + U46.5 total points lost


Not bad.  Once I seen the spread where it was it seemed suspiciously small, Giants needed another 5 minutes in this game to pull it out.  They actually looked really good this week.  A little better than the 1-8 record they have.  Oh well a loss is a loss no matter how much by...

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November 03, 2020, 05:27:35 PM
 #431

Sounds good and gl!
What if Bucs take an early lead, Giants rush has to face one of the best rush defenses out there (allowing only 66 yards to opponents per game), meaning Jones has to throw the ball more. I've seen Bucs secondary give some big plays down the field, Bucs are also giving 225 passing yards per game, 271 vs. Raiders last week.
Anyway, i'm sure Jones won't get to 219!  Grin
I have watched several Bucs games this year, difficult to believe I actually wrote that but this is 2020, and the offence has a tendency to start the games very slowly and they depend on the defence to give them a spark and that is when they take off, this happened against the chargers, packers and now the giants in which they did not scored a TD on the first half.

BTW what are your SB favourites at the moment? I am undecided, there are many good teams but I do not see dominant teams, they all seem to have some kind of vulnerability, even the steelers which are 7-0 have looked vulnerable and they could have easily lost one of last two games.

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November 03, 2020, 06:09:39 PM
 #432

This was looking good but Jones had to ruin it with that final drive escaping two 4th downs. In all fairness he missed Slayton a couple of times for big yard plays. That final TD took down my final ticket, otherwise i would've been perfect on the night.
It was looking great during the first half he was only 100 yards in then it got very close during the 4th quarter I really thought the Bucs defense will clutch it out in the final minutes but Jones did some clutch plays to seal the deal. 

Another close loss but at least the Bucs got the game winning stop on that 2pt conversion saving my survivor pick. Grin

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November 04, 2020, 02:23:26 PM
 #433

This was looking good but Jones had to ruin it with that final drive escaping two 4th downs. In all fairness he missed Slayton a couple of times for big yard plays. That final TD took down my final ticket, otherwise i would've been perfect on the night.
It was looking great during the first half he was only 100 yards in then it got very close during the 4th quarter I really thought the Bucs defense will clutch it out in the final minutes but Jones did some clutch plays to seal the deal. 

Another close loss but at least the Bucs got the game winning stop on that 2pt conversion saving my survivor pick. Grin

Looking at the Giants to win this week.  They have played some close games and the redskins are just as bad as the Giants.  Giants 27-18 they win by 2 scores! Lol

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November 04, 2020, 03:58:57 PM
 #434

This was looking good but Jones had to ruin it with that final drive escaping two 4th downs. In all fairness he missed Slayton a couple of times for big yard plays. That final TD took down my final ticket, otherwise i would've been perfect on the night.
It was looking great during the first half he was only 100 yards in then it got very close during the 4th quarter I really thought the Bucs defense will clutch it out in the final minutes but Jones did some clutch plays to seal the deal. 

Another close loss but at least the Bucs got the game winning stop on that 2pt conversion saving my survivor pick. Grin

Looking at the Giants to win this week.  They have played some close games and the redskins are just as bad as the Giants.  Giants 27-18 they win by 2 scores! Lol

This is going to be a close game, but I think Washington pulls it off this week.  As we know the Giants only won by 1 point last time.  I think the emergence/continued acclimation of the league of Antonio Gibson might push them over the top this time.  Plus they are in Washington D.C.  I am taking Washington at -3.

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November 04, 2020, 05:03:40 PM
 #435

This was looking good but Jones had to ruin it with that final drive escaping two 4th downs. In all fairness he missed Slayton a couple of times for big yard plays. That final TD took down my final ticket, otherwise i would've been perfect on the night.
It was looking great during the first half he was only 100 yards in then it got very close during the 4th quarter I really thought the Bucs defense will clutch it out in the final minutes but Jones did some clutch plays to seal the deal. 

Another close loss but at least the Bucs got the game winning stop on that 2pt conversion saving my survivor pick. Grin

Looking at the Giants to win this week.  They have played some close games and the redskins are just as bad as the Giants.  Giants 27-18 they win by 2 scores! Lol

This is going to be a close game, but I think Washington pulls it off this week.  As we know the Giants only won by 1 point last time.  I think the emergence/continued acclimation of the league of Antonio Gibson might push them over the top this time.  Plus they are in Washington D.C.  I am taking Washington at -3.

Oh no you didn't! LOL.  Yeah could easily end up that way.  Giants defense has actually been surprisingly good.  Most of the time its the Giants offense that can't get out of its own way.  I like the Giants ML on this with the added odds.  Let me know if you are interested in a friendly bet Ginats +3

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November 06, 2020, 12:26:39 AM
 #436

The Packers killed my parlay last week but i'll back them once more to cover the spread(-6.5). The 49ers put up a decent score against the Seahawks last week but I think that's more on the Seahawks defense giving up a lot of points like they usually do. The Packers lost as well but I think they still win by a touchdown or more since the 49ers are missing a few of their players.

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November 06, 2020, 01:02:37 AM
Last edit: November 06, 2020, 03:28:29 PM by morvillz7z
 #437

NFC Championship game rematch, well sorta, 49ers are missing so many players from that game...it's not even close.
Mullens did okay last week for the time he was on the field, not sure what to expect from him today though. 49ers basically have no receivers for this match, it will be tough for him, i remember he was benched for C.J. Beathard (vs Eagles) after 2 interceptions.

Here's what i got:

D.Adams Anytime score + Packers ml total odds 1.85 won
Valdes-Scantling 15+ receiving yards + McKinnon 20+ receiving yards total odds 2.10 lost
Tonyan 20+ receiving yards + Packers ml total odds 1.75 lost
extra bet that i had: Packers O2.5 TD + U53.5 total points + 1+ sacks total odds 2.63 won


The Packers killed my parlay last week but i'll back them once more to cover the spread(-6.5).

They are getting Aaron Jones back, so i guess this should help balance their offense but their problems are on defense, last 3 games Packers have allowed 28.7 pts to their opponents, even against injury-riddled SF team it might be tough to cover the spread. Anyway, gl...i won't mind if D.Adams finishes with 3TDs and 150+ yards Grin

edit; Packers probably haven't had an easier game than this one. Richie James, Dwelley, Cracraft, Hasty, Trent Taylor, i mean gl with those players going forward.
I needed one more fucking screen play for McKinnon (4yards short). I thought 49ers defense will bring pressure to A.Rodgers and force him to look for short/medium passes (Tonyan), instead he had every deep ball he wanted.

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November 06, 2020, 01:13:28 AM
 #438

@ralle14. Are the injuries from very important players? Also, Aaron Rodgers usually does not have a good performance everytime the game is on the road according to some tipsters hehehe.

I speculate this game should only be -3 for Greenbay. I am only a casual fan, however hehe.


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November 08, 2020, 10:00:59 AM
 #439

Couple of safe bets for today:

Minnesota Vikings - Detroit Lions: My bet
Jacksonville Jaguars - Houston Texans: My bet
Atlanta Falcons - Denver Broncos: My bet

Won 2/3 last time. Lost Tennesee bet last week, will avoid them today. What do you think about these bets? GL! Wink
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November 08, 2020, 05:05:16 PM
 #440

I have one too many tickets for today but will share just two (will update my losing record at the end of the day Cheesy)

Watson 2+ pass TDs + J.Robinson 55+ rush yards + D.Johnson 55+ rush yards + Texans ml total odds 3.10
Watson has been playing well despite the losing record, Jags defense is awful and they will start Jake Luton at QB.

M.Jones 40+ receiving yards + D.Cook 75+ rush yards + D.Cook Anytime score total odds 2.40
Stafford should play but they will be without Golladay which means more targets towards M.Jones and Marvin Hall, D.Cook pick does not need an explanation.


I will kick off my Sunday football with the Ravens/Colts game, which should be a good one. Ravens and Lamar i expect to bounce back and win, Colts on the other hand, have a decent record @5-2 but they haven't faced tough opponents so far, so i will give BAL an edge today.

Wow, big game later today Saints @ Tampa, what are your thoughts on this one, who wins?
Saints get back M.Thomas and Sanders, Bucs will have Godwin back, and A.Brown should make a debut.
I think that's a matchup that can't disappoint!

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