🏈🏈 The American Football Discussion Thread 🏈🏈

[suchmoon]

Cardinals screwed up my awesome parlay (Saints/Bucs/Cardinals/Dolphins) and Steelers are obviously going to be Steelers again, so I can afford only two more losses if I want to break even this week... if I had to bet on my own failures I'd say Texans, Chiefs, and Packers will do me in.

[1715372248]

1715372248

[1715372248]

1715372248

[wheelz1200]

Cardinals screwed up my awesome parlay (Saints/Bucs/Cardinals/Dolphins) and Steelers are obviously going to be Steelers again, so I can afford only two more losses if I want to break even this week... if I had to bet on my own failures I'd say Texans, Chiefs, and Packers will do me in.

Chiefs does look like a trap game but the Falcons suck.  No way I can bet against the chiefs so that would be the last one I'd be sweating out. The Packers always screw me.  Spreads, ml, and o/u games i always lose when the Packers are involved.  Cant bet on them anymore so I wish you luck with them .  Texans is a tough one.  Cincinnati doesn't look as bad as they should.  Staying away from that one as well.

[morvillz7z]

I have the Bears and Ravens to win from the early 1 p.m games @1.55 and higher stake, something i picked a few days ago, kinda weird putting money on Trubisky but hey, Jaguars have no room for error lol, they even ruled out James Robinson for this one, so good luck Mike Glennon. I think Chicago has the tie-breaker over Cardinals, and a chance to get a wild card spot if they win their last two or Cardinals lose again next week to Rams, gotta double check though...

please no more upsets today! 

[suchmoon]

Chiefs does look like a trap game but the Falcons suck.  No way I can bet against the chiefs so that would be the last one I'd be sweating out. The Packers always screw me.  Spreads, ml, and o/u games i always lose when the Packers are involved.  Cant bet on them anymore so I wish you luck with them .  Texans is a tough one.  Cincinnati doesn't look as bad as they should.  Staying away from that one as well.

Chiefs are virtually guaranteed^* the playoff bye so they don't have anything to play for. I mean they would likely win but can still screw up my -6.5 spread.


^* technically it's very very complicated in case Steelers and Bills win both of their remaining games (edit: and Chiefs lose both) but that's just math, who cares.

[DireWolfM14]

Played Steelers tb Colts, since Indy will be missing Smith and Castonzo and this is a recipe for disaster against this PIT front 7. Conner and Williams will be back in action for the Steelers and this should help to get them back on track against a bit overrated team like the Colts are still for me.

The Colt's two OTs being out is a bit worrying, but they have a deep stack to durable running backs to compensate.  I suspect the Steelers D-Line will have their hands full nonetheless.

Cardinals screwed up my awesome parlay

I would put the blame squarely on the 49ers.  

However, I have no choice but to blame the Lions for my multi-miss.

Chiefs does look like a trap game but the Falcons suck.

Chiefs are virtually guaranteed^* the playoff bye so they don't have anything to play for.

I can't see how the Steelers or the Bills could possibly strip the top seed from the Chiefs at this point, it certainly looks like they have nothing left to win.  I just learned that Mahomes will be starting, so maybe Andy Reid is trying to match the best regular season record (15-1) of the 16-Game era...  I don't know, seems like a risky bet.

My Sunday Morning Multi (disclaimer: I've yet to win a multi.)  

NYG @ Baltimore: Over 42.5 (1.74)
Cincinnati @ Houston: Under 46.5 (1.80)
Atlanta @ KC: KC Over 32.5 (1.85)
Cleveland @ NYJ: Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards Over 46.5 (1.80)
Indianapolis @ Pittsburgh: Steelers +2.5 (1.80)
Total odds: 20.46

Best of luck with your bets, all.

[ralle14]

I went for a 3 leg parlay with the Ravens -9.5, Bears -6.5 and Browns -6.5 @6 with how bad my luck is recently one of them probably won't cover.  

I'm only down to one survivor pool after that Steelers loss last week and for this week I ended up taking the Bears instead of the Browns. Not confident on both of them but with Browns having less key players i've got no choice but to ride with the Bears.

[ChiBitCTy]

(Thanks Moon, Wolf & Wheelz for you replies to my question)

Today I so far have gone with the Browns over the Jets at -6.5 and the Chargers over the Broncos at -2.5. I honestly am a bit freaked out at how low these spreads are. To me the browns and chargers are easily the favorites. Am I missing something here ?! Lol.

[suchmoon]

please no more upsets today! 

So far only Ravens are doing what they're supposed to do.

[South Park]

Chiefs does look like a trap game but the Falcons suck.

Chiefs are virtually guaranteed^* the playoff bye so they don't have anything to play for.

I can't see how the Steelers or the Bills could possibly strip the top seed from the Chiefs at this point, it certainly looks like they have nothing left to win.  I just learned that Mahomes will be starting, so maybe Andy Reid is trying to match the best regular season record (15-1) of the 16-Game era...  I don't know, seems like a risky bet.

I think this has more to do with rhythm more than anything else, if Reid benches Mahomes completely with the intention of protecting him until the playoffs start, Mahomes will rest for almost a full month before seeing the field again and for a team that is so dominant right now that is probably the worst thing that could happen to them, so it seems Reid prefers to take the risk of Mahomes still being on the field and clinch for sure the top seed than to risk him losing rhythm.

So far he played the entire first half and he is still on the field at the beginning of the 3rd quarter, lets see if at some point Reid pulls him out or he lets Mahomes play the entire game.

[DireWolfM14]

Well, I missed the Chiefs game.  

My son had a car accident, everyone was fine, but I had to deal with that...  The joys of raising a teenage boy.  

Then I came home to find my multi was shit from the start.  One of 5, WTF, over?

At least Kelce and the Chiefs cam through for me with this hedge bet;

[morvillz7z]

Steelers clinch AFC North, those 3 touchdowns by Big Ben in the second half came out of nowhere, just like the three-game skid they were on until today, nobody saw it coming.

please no more upsets today!  

So far only Ravens are doing what they're supposed to do.

Ravens did well from the start, Jaguars fans cheering the Bears TDs was hilarious though , and now with the Jets' win over CLE, they've officially clinched the 1 pick.

edit; need 3 points from the Chargers in the second half for this little ticket to land, wish me luck lol

[wheelz1200]

Chiefs does look like a trap game but the Falcons suck.

Chiefs are virtually guaranteed^* the playoff bye so they don't have anything to play for.

I can't see how the Steelers or the Bills could possibly strip the top seed from the Chiefs at this point, it certainly looks like they have nothing left to win.  I just learned that Mahomes will be starting, so maybe Andy Reid is trying to match the best regular season record (15-1) of the 16-Game era...  I don't know, seems like a risky bet.

I think this has more to do with rhythm more than anything else, if Reid benches Mahomes completely with the intention of protecting him until the playoffs start, Mahomes will rest for almost a full month before seeing the field again and for a team that is so dominant right now that is probably the worst thing that could happen to them, so it seems Reid prefers to take the risk of Mahomes still being on the field and clinch for sure the top seed than to risk him losing rhythm.

So far he played the entire first half and he is still on the field at the beginning of the 3rd quarter, lets see if at some point Reid pulls him out or he lets Mahomes play the entire game.

Yeah you can't bench your starting quarterback for what would be 4 weeks between starts.  If a team has a bye I still would play him in week 17 into the 3rd quarter.  Not playing for weeks is as detrimental as getting a nagging injury.  You also don't want to go into the bye losing 2 in a row.  There is something to be said about confidence and momentum.

[Hueristic]

Looking forward to seeing Henry in the snow.

[DireWolfM14]

Looking forward to seeing Henry in the snow.

It's bound to be fun, but I'm going Packers all the way.  Tannehill has been good lately, but I'm not sure how he'll do in the snow.  I expect a heavy dose of Henry.

Here's my "Roll the Dice" bet for the evening:



Shit!  Looks like Aaron Jones got hurt, A.J. Dillon is getting most of the carries now.

ETA: I gotta say; hats off to Goff.  No, I'm not going to get poetic, but I can't help but root for the guy because of...  Reasons.

In the loss to the Seahawks he dislocated his thumb, and just popped it back into place and stayed on the field.  It was on his right hand, but didn't seem to affect his play.  I bet it hurts right now.  

[bbc.reporter]

Looking forward to seeing Henry in the snow.

It appears to also be slightly windy. This might be bad for Aaron Rodgers' passing hehe. The Titans have one of the worst defense, however.

[suchmoon]

This might be bad for Aaron Rodgers' passing hehe.

Doesn't look like it so far LOL

[Hueristic]

This might be bad for Aaron Rodgers' passing hehe.

Doesn't look like it so far LOL

I don't envy anyone playing Greenbay in the snow.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oe0XChUkWgU

[bbc.reporter]

@suchmoon. Agreed hehe. The Titans' defense is very terrible. But they appear to be adjusting, however. The 2nd quarter was better for them.

In any case, if they lose this game, they certainly lose the division. The Colts will be against the Jaguars (1-14) in their home stadium on week 17.

[DireWolfM14]

I love watching the Packers play in the snow.  It seems to have little affect on them, while the other team is franticly trying to figure out how stay upright.

if they lose this game, they certainly lose the division. The Colts will be against the Jaguars (1-14) in their home stadium on week 17.

The Titans hold the tie-breaker over the Colts.  If the Titans lose tonight, they could still win the division by beating the Texans next week.

[bbc.reporter]

I was only speculating for the Colts to have a better chance of winning vs. the Jaguars than the Titans possibility of winning against the Texans hehe.