🕹️ Esports 🎮 Prediction & Discussion Thread

[sunsilk]

Hope you win.

Thanks, the parlay cashed after most of the games yesterday ended with each team winning a map.

That's good to know.

Despite that, this is just the 2nd day of the play on stage. There have been teams already that are able to qualify for the group stages.

We've got some fruitful results for group A today and many matches have been 2-0. Blacklist and Entity already qualified for the next - group stages.

[passwordnow]

Game 2 is done for the play-in and we've got some teams who are already going to the next chapter despite that we've got the 3rd and last day of matches tomorrow. Whilst, Azure Ray is sure to get out this early but still got a remaining game tomorrow as well. By the way, here's the current status of the teams as this second day ends. The teams that are highlighted in green have secured their spot to the group stage and likely can go easy tomorrow. And on the bottom, the red ones are and will be eliminated.

[ralle14]

Its too bad that you didnt win this. I probably would have taken this as well given that Beastcoast managed to get two draws yesterday especially after they lost the 1st map.

They almost had the second map, but Watson's Morph was unkillable and beastcoast only had Weaver as their main damage dealer.

Still, I got it back after taking Blacklist Rivalry to sweep Virtus.pro in the other series.

Its pretty rough as always on bo2 games, the games are totally unpredictable and its kinda weird. I personally still lean on taking draws on bo2 games but its kinda weird to even watch the game expecting draws lol. I'd rather support a team to win rather than hoping for draws

I agree, you never know when one of these teams would fold or turn up all of a sudden. With countless tournaments that use the bo2 format, i'm already used to it.   I tend to skip the first map and watch the second to root for the team that still needs a map win.

[len01]

As usual, I will try to bet on the total kills and the first map without megacreep.

Virtus vs Mouz, I'm sure the first map will be finished faster because Mouz usually sees the opponent's playing style more often and my prediction is that Virtus will most likely dominate the first map. And Nouns vs LGD, these two teams always appear more careful. In fact, LGD often focuses on destroying towers and finishing matches more quickly, but Nouns fights more often. So getting megacreeps is very impossible.

[arallmuus]

As usual, I will try to bet on the total kills and the first map without megacreep.

This is a pretty unusual type of bet. In fact this is my first time to notice that there is a bet on Megacreep. Whats the odds for Yes? I would totally take Yes on most Falcons game though. They are probably the team that always aim for megacreep whenever they play. It seems Stake covers alot more selection on dota2 betting huh

-snip

They almost had the second map, but Watson's Morph was unkillable and beastcoast only had Weaver as their main damage dealer.

Still, I got it back after taking Blacklist Rivalry to sweep Virtus.pro in the other series.

I havent been betting at all ever since the 1st day. I got few wins on draws but yeah it wasnt any significant amount but I guess I'll wait until playoff to have a better shot on winning bets. Completely unrelated but meanwhile I've been focusing on euro games and I've been winning lol 

[len01]

As usual, I will try to bet on the total kills and the first map without megacreep.

This is a pretty unusual type of bet. In fact this is my first time to notice that there is a bet on Megacreep. Whats the odds for Yes? I would totally take Yes on most Falcons game though. They are probably the team that always aim for megacreep whenever they play. It seems Stake covers alot more selection on dota2 betting huh

Yep, maybe most bettors will prefer the winning result of one of the teams, total map, score prediction and map handicap. But for me it's more challenging to bet on something unusual. For megacreep odds Yes, around @2.30.

It seems that other platforms also have several options and the platform you are promoting also has the same options. If you might try the thrill of betting on the same bets as me, it might be more challenging but this is not a suggestion.
It seems to depends on the Falcon opponent. If this team finds an easier opponent, it will often destroy the entire tower and create Megacreep and make it difficult for their opponents to defend against the creep.

BTW, This is the match result of the bet I chose. I hope the next bet on the Nouns vs LGD match will also win.

Update

[passwordnow]

An end for the play-in and this is the update now. Some decider matches has been played.

~snip~

Congratulations to your wins len. I am out of touch this play in and I've decided to skip a lot of it but looking forward to be winnable just as you with your picks. Looks like we're having a break for two days before we proceed to the group stages. I'll try to look for some other tournaments to bet on then.

[len01]

-snip-

In the group stage, there will still be lots of challenges that we can take advantage of, but we have to be careful when determining our bets. In that round, almost all teams avoided losing and on the one hand, as explained
Liquipedia, all matches were Bo2.
For me, Bo2 is more difficult to predict than Bo3 which is easier to predict. But still I will bet more often on the total kill option or match duration or on other unusual options.



Anyways, this first match that will take place on the 10th but I'm a little interested and can't wait for the Falcon vs TS match. I'm sure this will be an interesting match and it will take a little longer to complete each map. And the temporary prediction for Falcon vs TS map 1 total kills over 42.5

[passwordnow]

-snip-

In the group stage, there will still be lots of challenges that we can take advantage of, but we have to be careful when determining our bets. In that round, almost all teams avoided losing and on the one hand, as explained
Liquipedia, all matches were Bo2.
For me, Bo2 is more difficult to predict than Bo3 which is easier to predict. But still I will bet more often on the total kill option or match duration or on other unusual options.

You bet it, it's true that Bo2 is harder than bo3. Because there can be a draw, team a and team b to win it all. So, three results instead of two and that's probably why the odds for these bo2 series are greater than bo3. I'll still try to push some bets tomorrow before these games happen. But I'll try to be more conservative and if I won't be betting on the match winner, maybe for maps 1 and 2 only and not with the series winner which is safer I think.

Anyways, this first match that will take place on the 10th but I'm a little interested and can't wait for the Falcon vs TS match. I'm sure this will be an interesting match and it will take a little longer to complete each map. And the temporary prediction for Falcon vs TS map 1 total kills over 42.5

I also saw this earlier and I'm planning to go with TS because the odds is better. I'm not yet sure, maybe I'd break my own betting rule that I have promised not to bet in a series winner but you know, with all of these odds, they're very attractive and tempting.

[ralle14]

Anyways, this first match that will take place on the 10th but I'm a little interested and can't wait for the Falcon vs TS match. I'm sure this will be an interesting match and it will take a little longer to complete each map. And the temporary prediction for Falcon vs TS map 1 total kills over 42.5

What are the odds when you took that line? Yesterday, I saw the total lines taken down for quite a while, and now it's up to 47.5 kills.

I'll still tail your prediction because I checked their stats in some of their previous meeting and they always have a total kill count of 50+ per game.

But I'll try to be more conservative and if I won't be betting on the match winner, maybe for maps 1 and 2 only and not with the series winner which is safer I think.

This is a good alternative strategy, and you can even get better odds by betting on each map because, in the three-way market, the draw can sometimes go for as low as 1.85(decimal odds).

[passwordnow]

But I'll try to be more conservative and if I won't be betting on the match winner, maybe for maps 1 and 2 only and not with the series winner which is safer I think.

This is a good alternative strategy, and you can even get better odds by betting on each map because, in the three-way market, the draw can sometimes go for as low as 1.85(decimal odds).

To be honest, I am very tempted to go in a threeway. I've already made my bet for map 1 and this is for the match of Team Spirit and Team Falcon, I went to total of under 44.5 kills. I hope that this is gonna be a good bet for me. I have another bet for a match winner even for bo2, I really can't resist the odds as it has tempted me.

[len01]

-snip

The odds are very tempting but for me it would be better to take the risk of the draw. But if you really want to try to take a bet on higher odds, isn't it better to choose Falcon?

BTW, looks like you'd rather take big risks with higher odds, but it's okay because the odds are equal to the risks you take.

-snip

When I posted a reply yesterday, odds for over 42.5 were not available. For now they are available and the odds are around @1.48 I also have the same thought as you because the Falcons and TS both have a good experience. Just the Falcons are still reinforced by Sneyking.
I like your bet to take risks with odds @1.8




Another option we can consider Falcons vs TS map 1.
Update
Correct Score 1:1 odds @1.9 Fail❌
1st Blood TS odds @1.88 Success✅
1st Aegis TS odds @1.95 Fail❌

Heroic vs Gaimin Gladiators
Correct Score 0:2 odds @2.15 Fail❌
1st Tower GG odds @1.55 Fail❌

Update

[Wapfika]

To be honest, I am very tempted to go in a threeway. I've already made my bet for map 1 and this is for the match of Team Spirit and Team Falcon, I went to total of under 44.5 kills. I hope that this is gonna be a good bet for me. I have another bet for a match winner even for bo2, I really can't resist the odds as it has tempted me.

I think this bet has the potential to win since TS line-up can finish the game easily with one wipe out since Morph is already fully stack with core items.

Team Falcon is already can’t answer on a face to face team fight so they are just waiting for the next clash to decide the game. ATF build backfires to them since he useless in the clash while his brood can’t push anymore.

[ralle14]

To be honest, I am very tempted to go in a threeway. I've already made my bet for map 1 and this is for the match of Team Spirit and Team Falcon, I went to total of under 44.5 kills. I hope that this is gonna be a good bet for me. I have another bet for a match winner even for bo2, I really can't resist the odds as it has tempted me.

Your bet still has 5 kills to spare as the game ended with 39 kills. Team Falcons went for a cheeky early snowball lineup and it quickly fell off after Team Spirit managed to defend during their power spike.

Team Spirit is off to a good start since they also won the second map, Team Falcons had an underwhelming draft and lacked damage like they had a bunch of offlane cores.

[passwordnow]

-snip

The odds are very tempting but for me it would be better to take the risk of the draw. But if you really want to try to take a bet on higher odds, isn't it better to choose Falcon?

BTW, looks like you'd rather take big risks with higher odds, but it's okay because the odds are equal to the risks you take.

Well, Team Spirit took it with a 2-0, I didn't bet for the match winner but Team Spirit made me won my bet for having under 44.5 total kills. 
So if it's about the safety of my bet, that's a safe bet in there.

To be honest, I am very tempted to go in a threeway. I've already made my bet for map 1 and this is for the match of Team Spirit and Team Falcon, I went to total of under 44.5 kills. I hope that this is gonna be a good bet for me. I have another bet for a match winner even for bo2, I really can't resist the odds as it has tempted me.

I think this bet has the potential to win since TS line-up can finish the game easily with one wipe out since Morph is already fully stack with core items.

Team Falcon is already can’t answer on a face to face team fight so they are just waiting for the next clash to decide the game. ATF build backfires to them since he useless in the clash while his brood can’t push anymore.

Gladly my bet for this match has won for the total kills. I don't want to speculate this early but I can say that Team Spirit is in their all form as they're saying in the past.

To be honest, I am very tempted to go in a threeway. I've already made my bet for map 1 and this is for the match of Team Spirit and Team Falcon, I went to total of under 44.5 kills. I hope that this is gonna be a good bet for me. I have another bet for a match winner even for bo2, I really can't resist the odds as it has tempted me.

Your bet still has 5 kills to spare as the game ended with 39 kills. Team Falcons went for a cheeky early snowball lineup and it quickly fell off after Team Spirit managed to defend during their power spike.

Team Spirit is off to a good start since they also won the second map, Team Falcons had an underwhelming draft and lacked damage like they had a bunch of offlane cores.

Yeah, lucky me. I guess that with this kind of bet, I'm safer than predicting the match winner. My other bet is about to lose. LOL. 

[arallmuus]

Team Spirit is off to a good start since they also won the second map, Team Falcons had an underwhelming draft and lacked damage like they had a bunch of offlane cores.

Classic Team Falcons but it seems they were pretty underestimating Team Spirit there and Team Spirit start off pretty good. Anyway, I dont think Falcons are going to lose twice in a row so Im betting on them against GG. I dont really follow that much about Dota2 recently but yeah Team Falcons should be way better than GG especially after losing once

[passwordnow]

Yesterday, I was 1-1 with my two bets. This time, I've done three bets and let's see how I am going to win them. I've got 1 match winner bet that I think will become 2-0 and that's with Team Spirit versus Gaimin Gladiators. While for the other bets that I've made, I like to do it with total kills under 53.5 and 52.5, IMHO, that seems to be a safe bet.  
The other image on my bet is about my loss yesterday of beastcoast and BetBoom.

Good luck to all of us with matches on day 2 of group stages.

[len01]

Well, Team Spirit took it with a 2-0, I didn't bet for the match winner but Team Spirit made me won my bet for having under 44.5 total kills.  
So if it's about the safety of my bet, that's a safe bet in there.

Your predictions are very accurate and it's your day, buddy, congratulations on your bet.
Anyway, look how bad my bet is that I only win 1x and the rest lose everything. Maybe my own mistake too predicting a lot of options makes my predictions inaccurate and today I'm only choosing two or three games.

This is my temporary bet and if this fails again, I'll take the bet on map 2 to recover the loss.




@passwordnow How's your prediction about the PSG vs TL match?  Will it give the same surprise as the Falcons vs TS game yesterday?

[passwordnow]

Well, Team Spirit took it with a 2-0, I didn't bet for the match winner but Team Spirit made me won my bet for having under 44.5 total kills.  
So if it's about the safety of my bet, that's a safe bet in there.

Your predictions are very accurate and it's your day, buddy, congratulations on your bet.

Thanks but it was a 1-1 for me yesterday.

Anyway, look how bad my bet is that I only win 1x and the rest lose everything. Maybe my own mistake too predicting a lot of options makes my predictions inaccurate and today I'm only choosing two or three games.

Losing is part of our bets and if you're going to bet, expect nothing with it. You just have to enjoy the bet while watching that match. Just like you, I'm on three bets for today.

This is my temporary bet and if this fails again, I'll take the bet on map 2 to recover the loss.

Good luck to both of us, if I lose, I'll make another bet but for tomorrow and not today.

[Wapfika]

.

Gladly my bet for this match has won for the total kills. I don't want to speculate this early but I can say that Team Spirit is in their all form as they're saying in the past.

Team Spirit is indeed on perfect form in this season since they maintain their line-up while they can use any patch properly to make their game consistent like before.

Collapse and Yatoro are the main reason why TS is a dominating tram since Collapse can create space and do a game changer move with his heroes like Magnus and PB while Yatoro is a very consistent pos 1 among all Dota2 players.

They might get a back to back if there will be no changes on the map before TI.