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[aoluain]

@darbitmobilerecovery - nice one - definitely worth a chance!


@Timelord2067 - very dissapointed with the Broncos this season, its been a kind of
complete turnaround from last year having reached the Grand Final. On the other hand
the likes of Storm, Panthers, Sharks, Roosters have been fairly consistent for a few seasons.


URC - Round 2 is in progress this weekend.
I have a few small bets on:

The Lions to win at home to Ulster
The Bulls to win at home to Edinburgh
Connacht to win at home to the Sharks
Stormers to win away to the Ospreys.

[darbitmobilerecovery]

Another silly and idiot start of the game for Argentina, we always do the same in key matches, we need to work on that, i cant say is weakness but seems like anxiety or something like that, we allways starts the games like shit, and you cant allways comeback from a  shit start, two games in a row starting -10+ points.... no sense.

[Timelord2067]

https://www.foxsports.com.au/rugby

https://www.foxsports.com.au/rugby/rugby-2024-australia-vs-new-zealand-wallabies-vs-all-blacks-bledisloe-cup-ii-live-blog-teams-scores-videos-weather-harry-wilson-scott-barrett/news-story/ecf622b6a851dac786a6c2382f34cfec

‘Gutted’: Same old story as Wallabies’ horror record extended despite gutsy effort v All Blacks

The Wallabies’ Test drought in New Zealand extended to 23 years when their brave challenge in Wellington was repelled by an All Blacks’ onslaught on Saturday.

The Wallabies were worthy leaders at 13-12 a tick before half-time but were swamped 21-0 from there to lose 33-13.

Even though the Wallabies won just one of their six games in The Rugby Championship, the final two hours of the tournament against the All Blacks in Sydney and Wellington produced their most positive play.

You can set your watch by the regular number of losses Australia has had in the Bledisloe Cup.

Argentina as Dart observed earlier, just didn't have what it takes against South Africa - but they're getting closer with each game.

Connaught, Blue Bulls, Lions and Warrington have all won their matches so far this weekend as have Taranaki and the Bay of Plenty.


The Panthers progress to the Grand final after their closer scoring game last night. The early money after the game is on the Panthers winning their fourth straight final - something that hasn't happened since 1966 when Saint George won their fourth straight final.

[aoluain]

Another silly and idiot start of the game for Argentina, we always do the same in key matches, we need to work on that, i cant say is weakness but seems like anxiety or something like that, we allways starts the games like shit, and you cant allways comeback from a  shit start, two games in a row starting -10+ points.... no sense.

I know, very frustrating. Its hard to come back into a match against the likes of
the springbok's but to only score one converted try is dissapointing. They have to
move on now and build on this record year!

https://www.foxsports.com.au/rugby

https://www.foxsports.com.au/rugby/rugby-2024-australia-vs-new-zealand-wallabies-vs-all-blacks-bledisloe-cup-ii-live-blog-teams-scores-videos-weather-harry-wilson-scott-barrett/news-story/ecf622b6a851dac786a6c2382f34cfec

‘Gutted’: Same old story as Wallabies’ horror record extended despite gutsy effort v All Blacks

The Wallabies’ Test drought in New Zealand extended to 23 years when their brave challenge in Wellington was repelled by an All Blacks’ onslaught on Saturday.

The Wallabies were worthy leaders at 13-12 a tick before half-time but were swamped 21-0 from there to lose 33-13.

Even though the Wallabies won just one of their six games in The Rugby Championship, the final two hours of the tournament against the All Blacks in Sydney and Wellington produced their most positive play.

You can set your watch by the regular number of losses Australia has had in the Bledisloe Cup.

Argentina as Dart observed earlier, just didn't have what it takes against South Africa - but they're getting closer with each game.

Connaught, Blue Bulls, Lions and Warrington have all won their matches so far this weekend as have Taranaki and the Bay of Plenty.


The Panthers progress to the Grand final after their closer scoring game last night. The early money after the game is on the Panthers winning their fourth straight final - something that hasn't happened since 1966 when Saint George won their fourth straight final.

Ah it was too much in the end for Australia against New Zealand. The drought
continues for the wallabies.


Storm v Panthers - yea it was kind of inevitable really. Now where to put a bet on
this 2 horse race? I'm thinking the Panthers because they are not new to grand finals
and will be very eager to get the job dont ... again.

[aoluain]

The Lions to win at home to Ulster
The Bulls to win at home to Edinburgh
Connacht to win at home to the Sharks
Stormers to win away to the Ospreys.

One upset from last weekends round 2 matches were that the Stormers lost away to the Ospreys.
I really thought they would win but I guess they were missing key players because of the Rugby
Championship deciding match against Argentina.

Top side Munster were battered by Italian side Zebra Parma 42 v 33


Round 3 incoming this Friday and my interest in on the first match.

Connacht after winning at home against the Sharks have to travel to Wales to play Scarlets,
its going to be tricky but they are still favourites @ 1.47

[Timelord2067]

I've been in CloudFlare purgatory all week - the Melbourne Storm ($1.80) are edging ahead of the Penrith Panthers ($2) with the game expected to be one for the ages ^{(especially if Penrith win a fourth straight premiership)}

My pics last weekend for the northern rugby games were all on the favourites with only half winning their matches, So, I just about broke even.  (I might stick with picking just the favourites for a few more weeks until there's a clearer picture of which teams are having upset wins).

[aoluain]

Thats interesting that the Storm have taken the favourites tag. I still think the
Panthers are a different animal when they reach the grand final.


In the URC yesterday my bet on Connacht just about won when they beat Scarlets
23 - 24. Close match which came down to the wire with a penalty kick with a few
minutes to go.

That was followed by Cardiff Rugby 36 - 52 Glasgow Warriors. Savagely great match.

Following on from Rounds 1 and 2 this round is shaping up to be fill of big scores.
I have gone with an over 54.5 bet between Benetton and Leinster.

[aoluain]

URC
Well my 54.5 over bet on Benetton and Leinster didnt work out - Benetton 5 - 35 Leinster.

I know its early days but after 3 rounds Leinster hit the top spot unbeaten, I figure
they will go for the most part of the season unbeaten.


NRL
Yes it happened, 4 straight titles in a row. Panthers take the title, Storm 6 - 14 Panthers.

As I said, Panthers are a different animal when they get into the Grand Final.

[Timelord2067]

At kickoff, the Melbourne Storm were $1.77 with the Penrith Panthers sitting at $2.10 - by the 70th minute the Storm's price was $26.00 and betting had been suspended on the Panthers.

A week ago when the two teams had been decided, I bet on the Panthers at $1.90 to win (both teams were at $1.90 for the first four days) I also put money on the Panthers winning by 1-12 points ($3.90).

I also bet on the Women's Roosters in what I thought was a more thrilling game - the hens out 24 point on the board in the first (35 minute) half then didn't score again until nearly full time while the Sharks crept ever closer with a number of tries.

Early betting on Penrith next year is at $4.50 and Melbourne ($4) so Ive put $10 on both teams to win (makes the odds 2:1 but still)

(CloudFlare playing up again yesterday). I would have liked to make mention putting bets on five favourites yesterday.

England's Women, Clermont and the Saracens all won so all up I picked up $250 in wins and cross team parlays .

(And if I'm not mistaken, the New Zealand men won over England paying out $2.50 🥳 )

I'll keep an eye on Leinster who are sitting at $3.50 to win the series. (I've put $5 on them to win 🤪 )

Wigin to win next weekend!

[aoluain]

Panthers @ $2.10 was a great price - hard to bet against them, I had them at $1.90 too.
Its very brave to go again with them for the 2025 season, why not though! I'm not sure
about Storm though, OK they have been fairly consistent over the last few years,

2023 - finishing 3rd on the ladder
2022 - finishing 5th on the ladder
2021 - finishing 1st on the ladder
2020 - finishing 2nd on the ladder
2019 - finishing 1st on the ladder
2018 - finishing 1st on the ladder
2017 - finishing 1st on the ladder

and from 2020 the Panthers have been either in 1st or 2nd position on the ladder . . .
maybe they are worth a bet indeed.


Leinster to win the URC Championship this year is a solid bet but the South African teams
have been so strong. Leinster being so close to both the URC title and the European
Champions Cup last year will be really itching for some silverware this year.

[Timelord2067]

Given how much I won over the weekend, I don't mind putting $10 on both the Panthers and Storm to win next week with their odds at $4+ each (might be the best price I get).

[aoluain]

No, you are dead right, they were some nice winnings, I dont have anything near those
winnings, although I play mostly for fun with small Satoshi's.


I'm going to try tune into the French Top14 tournament soon. I guess I will
be keeping my interest on the likes of Toulouse, Stadt Rochelles, Bordeaux Begles
and Racing 92, thats based on those teams being the strongest last year and kind
of how the table looks now after 5 rounds.

[aoluain]

URC

Round 4 has started with Glasgow Warriors v Parma and is going the way of the
home side now in the second half.

My bets for this round are:

Cardiff at home to beat Scarlets @ 1.43
Ospreys v Blue Bulls - Bulls to win @ 1.34
Dragons v Lions - Lions to win @ 1.29

Interestingly Benetton are favourites at home against the Sharks @ 1.56. Thay
havent gotten off to a great start this season, there could be an upset here with
the Sharks priced @ 2.34.


Top 14

A few bets on the top teams

Racing 92 @ 1.33 to beat Toulon 7's
Lyon @ 1.29 to beat Stade Francais

And interestingly Aviron Bayonne v Stade Rochelais is even at 1.89 v 1.89, I
would have expected Rochelais to be favourite here?

[Timelord2067]

I'm seeing similar prices in the United Rugby Championship:

Benetton $1.65
Cardiff $1.46
Edinburgh $1.58
Leinster $1.11
Blue Bulls $1.36
Ulster $1.60

Closer to home in the New Zealand (NPC) fixtures we have

Taranaki $1.44 and Tasman $1.50 to beat Waikato and Canterbury respectively.

In the Women's international Italy are at $1.58 against South Africa $2.50

In League the Australian Prime Minister's XIII are unbackable at $1.04 while the Papua New Guinea Prime Minister's XIII at languishing at $11.00

The women are Australia $1.91 and PNG $17.00 👀

*Edit* I've had a few wins and a handful of losses so far (which always mucks up my parlays) - all in all I broke even so far.

[Timelord2067]

Wigin to win next weekend!

I've had another very successful weekend simply backing the favourites rather than the teams I feel are going to win. (In saying that I would have bet on Waikato over Tasman, so it's not an infallible system).

[aoluain]

Wigin to win next weekend!

I've had another very successful weekend simply backing the favourites rather than the teams I feel are going to win. (In saying that I would have bet on Waikato over Tasman, so it's not an infallible system).

Yea, I think for Rugby its definitely the way to bet! Cardiff losing this weekend upset my
100% record too, all other bets won!

URC

Interestingly Benetton are favourites at home against the Sharks @ 1.56. Thay
havent gotten off to a great start this season, there could be an upset here with
the Sharks priced @ 2.34.

I didnt bet on this match but the favourites won and there wasnt an upset. Great to see them
winning and by a handsome amount too 38 - 10!

URC

Top 14

And interestingly Aviron Bayonne v Stade Rochelais is even at 1.89 v 1.89, I
would have expected Rochelais to be favourite here?

And this one too, I didnt bet on this but was wrong in my assumption that La Rochelle
would win, they were heavily beaten 37 - 7. I will be keeping an eye on La Rochelle
to see how they progress, they finished 2nd last season.

[Timelord2067]

In Rugby Union

Pro D2 (France)
Biarritz   $1.219
Dax       $1.719
Valence Romans   $1.359
Mont de Marsan   $1.219
Aurillac   $1.114
Beziers      $1.359
Colomiers   $1.28
Aix-en-Provence   $1.44

Aviva Premiership (England)
Exeter Chiefs   $1.16
Northampton Saints   $1.33

NPC (NZ)
Bay of Plenty   $1.819   Canterbury   $2.10

United Rugby Championship International
Blue Bulls   $1.16   Scarlets   $5.00
Ulster   $1.16   Ospreys      $5.00

Torneo de la URBA (Argentina)
Newman   $1.36   Belgrano   $3.00
SIC   $1.44   Alumni      $2.60

@darbitmobilerecovery 👀

Rugby League

Pacific Championships Cup
Australia (M)   $1.149   Tonga    $5.50

Pacific Championships Bowl
Fiji    $1.53   PNG $2.55

International's Women's

Australia [Suspended]   PNG   $51.00

In saying that, you can pick up Australia (W) for $1.90 for a score of -62.5 or $5.50 -63.5/under 68.5 (I think means Australia's score is between those two amounts...)


I don't know when it happened, but my nitro betting.eu affiliate link expired - they no longer have an affiliate system but still accept crypto (and auto convert to BTC prior to betting)

[aoluain]

URC Round 5

Like yourself Timelord I'm going with some favourites. Odds arent great
but it builds the wallet!

I suspect you are doing parlays but I'm not going that route.

Bulls @ 1.15
Stormers @ 1.43
Edinburgh @ 1.15

One match which stands out for me which could be up for an upset.

Sharks v Warriors - Sharks are favourite at home @ 1.34, currently sitting in 14th
on the ladder, warriors @ 3.10 currently sitting on 2nd!

[Timelord2067]

I'm doing $1 or $2 parlays that almost never win (I live in hope) one site does systems where you pick up to five matches and you can do combinations of e.g. two matches parlayed, three matches, four .... So if one team looses, but four win, you still have multiple wins of parlays.

As to my long term crypto betting site mentioned above, they now limit deposits to a minimum 5 mbtc ($350/$500) with withdrawals being very restrictive too.

Compounding this the min bet was dependant on the price of crypto e.g. 0.04 but now the min wager is dependant on the payout being 0.01 so on a bet with $1.14 odds you would have to wager 0.1 odds of $2 you could get away with a 0.05 bet.

With an initial 5.0 mbtc deposit, and betting on short odds you'd realistically only have 50 X 0.1 bets. Then, once the funds fall below the withdrawal minimum you'd then have to work to build the funds up, or as I'm doing run them out.

I haven't used the site for a while, but discovered I still had 1.01 left on there. Teams such as the Romans loosing are helping to dwindle that pot away.

OTOH, the other site I mentioned which does systems is building slowly over time.

I might sign up for the betting agency in your signature.

[aoluain]

Ah that all sounds way too complicated for me! and by my reckoning if its too
complicated I would ditch it.

 Rollbit   is definitely worth a twist. In terms of Rugby they are
covering way more now than they did 3 years ago when it was just the top
tournaments they covered.

They have recently started covering the Welsh super league and as you pointed
out above the Argentinian URBA Top12 but I would have to do a fair bit of research
on those teams before betting on them.


Hopefully @darxiaomi / @darbitmobilerecovery can give us an intro on that league?