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Author Topic: 🌍⚽Sportsbet.io AFCON 2024 prediction pool discussion thread  (Read 4977 times)
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January 13, 2024, 11:36:06 PM
 #441

Frankly I wasn't thinking that the interest in AFCON would be this high. It is quite pleasing to see that there is a crowd of people who want to join nearly every pool on the forum from now on. I hope that we can reach much higher numbers in time. I hope that we can watch an AFCON with more goals this time. My favourite for the championship is Nigeria this year.
And people are still signing up, I had several more during the day so we are now well over 20.

I don't think Nigeria has what it takes to win AFCON. Their defense is simply not good enough for me. Few minutes left till it starts...



In the end we will have a couple of people paying in USDT, I don't see any other way then using that budget for one of the lower rewards. Just hope that person that lands on that position will not be a BTC maxi but if he is maybe we can find some other solution. For instance I don't care if I am getting USDT or BTC so if I end up in the money (I will not), I would gladly offer a chance to convert on the fly.


Nigeria have the quality of players required to win AFCON, but then I don't fully trust the team structure and chemistry because Nigeria are never consistent with having players that are called up being determined by tactical preference or these players form, and there is no specific national team starting xi based on the how often the guys play together during the international break. However, from the first game, I'm sure we'll know what to expect going forward, Nigeria is never a team that should be rated by their performance in a friendly match.


We're underway already and Cote d'Ivoire have had themselves a very early lead, that's leaving me optimistic about my 3-0 prediction...
Speaking of the super Eagles in this Afcon, they got a good calibre of players, but the Portuguese coach may try to play something different considering the injury in the team leaving only Osimhen as the favorite striker. Am also concerned about the midfielders, there may not be any good creative play if one lacks and that's a concern that may be capitalized on by their opponents in their first leg match.

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January 14, 2024, 04:00:03 AM
 #442

Nigeria have the quality of players required to win AFCON, but then I don't fully trust the team structure and chemistry because Nigeria are never consistent with having players that are called up being determined by tactical preference or these players form, and there is no specific national team starting xi based on the how often the guys play together during the international break. However, from the first game, I'm sure we'll know what to expect going forward, Nigeria is never a team that should be rated by their performance in a friendly match.


We're underway already and Cote d'Ivoire have had themselves a very early lead, that's leaving me optimistic about my 3-0 prediction...
Speaking of the super Eagles in this Afcon, they got a good calibre of players, but the Portuguese coach may try to play something different considering the injury in the team leaving only Osimhen as the favorite striker. Am also concerned about the midfielders, there may not be any good creative play if one lacks and that's a concern that may be capitalized on by their opponents in their first leg match.

Nigeria should get an easy win against Equatorial Guinea today, I'm quite certain, and I've backing the ~1.50 Odds ML here, the group stage should be an easy path for the Super Eagles, I have absolutely no doubt on that, my concern was about heading the deep into the competition and possibly triumphing all the way, easier said than done right ?

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January 14, 2024, 07:47:34 AM
 #443

Too bad no one took me on Ivory Coast, eh? Nice start for me, but most of you got it spot on too. We're such experts, aren't we?
Going against the host nation, you are such a brave heart...and at this rate sooner or later you should catch an upset as their game wasn't convincing enough from what I saw last evening..

Oh and pool results were quite surprising that so many players hit the bullseye , guys mean business here!



Today should see some serious action and possibly one of the big football nations could be upset...Ghana, Egypt maybe Roll Eyes

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January 14, 2024, 09:47:40 AM
 #444

Oh and pool results were quite surprising that so many players hit the bullseye , guys mean business here!
Almost everyone was spot on. Getting a close call never felt this poor before cause that puts you at the bottom of the pool as it stands. At the end of today, with the number of matches available, there would be more daylight between those at the top and the rest.

Today should see some serious action and possibly one of the big football nations could be upset...Ghana, Egypt maybe Roll Eyes
A dark horse may become apparent at the end of today.

- Jay -

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January 14, 2024, 10:55:01 AM
 #445

Too bad no one took me on Ivory Coast, eh? Nice start for me, but most of you got it spot on too. We're such experts, aren't we?
Going against the host nation, you are such a brave heart...and at this rate sooner or later you should catch an upset as their game wasn't convincing enough from what I saw last evening..

Oh and pool results were quite surprising that so many players hit the bullseye , guys mean business here!



Today should see some serious action and possibly one of the big football nations could be upset...Ghana, Egypt maybe Roll Eyes

The most likely uposet I see is the Ghana game, both by their not very convincing performance pre tournament, including a 1-0 defeat against Comoro, and by the Cape Verde team that is proving a difficult nut to crack recently.

Maybe 0-0, but actually go for it?
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January 14, 2024, 11:06:24 AM
 #446

just 2-0 for the first game, when I see 1st goal in 5 min, I was pick over 3.5, but, its finshed 2-0, cote d evoir not big team
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January 14, 2024, 02:51:56 PM
 #447

just 2-0 for the first game, when I see 1st goal in 5 min, I was pick over 3.5, but, its finshed 2-0, cote d evoir not big team

I’m glad that they stopped on time (I chose 2-0 and getting 3 points for an exact score is always super profitable since it’s pure randomness). In general, it seems to me that teams have no motivation to overexert themselves, regardless of the difference in the class of the teams, especially at the group stage, if victory is already in their pocket. Maybe I'm wrong, but here (among the players) there are no fans who are very concerned about statistics. Plus, if we take into account the previous results in the World Cup qualifying tournament, then I would assess the likelihood of games with a total of more than 3.5 as extremely low.

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January 14, 2024, 03:22:23 PM
 #448

just 2-0 for the first game, when I see 1st goal in 5 min, I was pick over 3.5, but, its finshed 2-0, cote d evoir not big team



Ivory coast only lost once since 2023, perhaps they are not the best in Africa but they're one of the big teams there.
Its a group stage match also Guinea -Bissau is not that weak either, you can check their previous games.


I’m glad that they stopped on time (I chose 2-0 and getting 3 points for an exact score is always super profitable since it’s pure randomness). In general, it seems to me that teams have no motivation to overexert themselves, regardless of the difference in the class of the teams, especially at the group stage, if victory is already in their pocket. Maybe I'm wrong, but here (among the players) there are no fans who are very concerned about statistics. Plus, if we take into account the previous results in the World Cup qualifying tournament, then I would assess the likelihood of games with a total of more than 3.5 as extremely low.

True, at the group stage mostly there are only 2 or 3 goals except when the big team against a very weak team.
Nice win you have there, congrats.

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January 14, 2024, 07:35:14 PM
 #449

Today we got a true AFCON feeling. Favorites dropping the points left and right. Was really proud to get correct score on Nigeria but did not see Egypt conceding 2 goals. They even needed 97th minute penalty from Salah to save a point. I think this is the pool to try a bit riskier tactic of going against the favorits.

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January 14, 2024, 09:51:48 PM
 #450

Today we got a true AFCON feeling. Favorites dropping the points left and right. Was really proud to get correct score on Nigeria but did not see Egypt conceding 2 goals. They even needed 97th minute penalty from Salah to save a point. I think this is the pool to try a bit riskier tactic of going against the favorits.
It sacks knowing very well that this competition is almost like la Liga, too many draws to catch a winner and I said it that Egypt or Ghana might not land the maximum points and my gut feeling was right... Now Ghana is playing the last 8 mins of added time and they were below par against a determined Cape Verde....

Wait Cape Verde just scored a winner, WTF confusion in Ghanas back line ...this competition is getting difficult to predict Grin
Ghana 1-2 Cape Verde

R


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January 15, 2024, 07:57:44 AM
 #451

I think this is the pool to try a bit riskier tactic of going against the favorits.
One could change their strategy and go risky, but all it would take is one game which goes according to expectations, and almost all other players get, to make you start doubting your change in plan.
Yesterday was full of upsets, today? maybe one or two. Tough choice really.

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January 15, 2024, 12:44:41 PM
 #452

AFCON teams are complete opposite, everyone respect every one too much so few goals scored.

Do you expect the same low performance as in the World Cup qualifiers? The most popular score is 1-0, 0-0, 0-1? Tomorrow we need to make a forecast for the poll, and I haven’t decided how to forecast yet  Grin There are many teams of completely different levels in the groups, so I still expect better perfomanc, but in games of teams of equal strength, we should probably make the choice 0-0, not 1-1 if we assume that there will be a draw.

I guess I got it wrong. Over 2.5 average goals per game so far but to be fair, 5 of that happened in first 5 or last 5 minutes so lack of concentration really makes it a weird phenomenon.

Trofo is the biggest smile I would say, he took 2 exact scores, a lot of us totally got stunned by Cape Verde, supposedly one of the weakest teams in Africa according to Igebotz I remember hehe.

Of course we try change picks and opposite will happen Wink

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January 15, 2024, 02:06:03 PM
 #453

Trofo is the biggest smile I would say, he took 2 exact scores, a lot of us totally got stunned by Cape Verde, supposedly one of the weakest teams in Africa according to Igebotz I remember hehe.
Cape Verde aren't no weak team. Infact,  they play better football than most of the supposed favourites.  Like Egypt and Co. Remember Cape Verde borders with Portugal and some of their players are of Portuguese desert.
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January 15, 2024, 02:22:47 PM
 #454

Nigeria should get an easy win against Equatorial Guinea today, I'm quite certain, and I've backing the ~1.50 Odds ML here, the group stage should be an easy path for the Super Eagles, I have absolutely no doubt on that, my concern was about heading the deep into the competition and possibly triumphing all the way, easier said than done right ?

Wasn't easy as you expected but the comeback was super fast by Osimhen, he did justice to that equalized goal that was scored by Equatorial Guinea under a minutes and that was how Super Eagles were save from that shameful defenders. I think we lack defenders, even though we lack good midfielders, the back defenders are weak but I'm satisfied with the striking position, I just hope he doesn't get any injury as we continue else we are doom.Grin Grin

We have two games left for the group stage and what we need now is one win and 1 draw or win the two and get qualified for the next stage. How we are going to deliver that between Ivory Coast and Guinea Bissau but I'm confidence that Nigeria will give Guinea Bissau a straight win and either win or draw with Ivory coast because I was impress by their first round but Nigeria can do more on them by the time they meet.

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January 15, 2024, 02:51:40 PM
 #455

Trofo is the biggest smile I would say, he took 2 exact scores, a lot of us totally got stunned by Cape Verde, supposedly one of the weakest teams in Africa according to Igebotz I remember hehe.
Whenever Igebotz says something I like to triple check that  Grin This time I just looked at past games. Cape Verde not loosing a competitive game for a long time, I think 12 games and then Nigeria loosing points to all kinds of teams, like Lesoto. Only game that Nigeria won with more than a goal difference recently came against São Tomé and Príncipe. Had to google them to find exactly where they are and by the way they have about 150k people in total so definitely not a big footballing nation  Grin

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January 15, 2024, 04:08:32 PM
 #456

Im not seeing a single game of this cup, im playing full blind, i let all in hands of the luck and in hands of the previous knowledge i can have.

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January 15, 2024, 04:45:17 PM
 #457

Im not seeing a single game of this cup, im playing full blind, i let all in hands of the luck and in hands of the previous knowledge i can have.

I'm in the same situation with you. I'm making predictions by only looking at the odds. Let's see where this strategy will take me. Sometimes not having any knowledge about teams can give better results. Egypt saved the draw in the last minute yesterday. Let's see if Liverpool will be able to have Salah back faster.

R


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January 15, 2024, 06:41:43 PM
 #458

Just paid for woodie and Chi20. Tx id: 31abb0f1191f995f50fbdb3835fcb92edf66e8caf8023f1d559887de094413ad
Waited until I got enough BTC on Sportsbet account to avoid fees Smiley Feels like I am sponsoring half of the pool. I think I paid for over 10 people here. Everything was handled either to Livecasino campaign or future BSFL rewards or side bets but still I had to make those transactions and put the money upfront in BSFL cases Grin

Still waiting for some payments and maybe one or two stragglers. Sponsorship money should come these days as well. Plan is too officially close the pool with end of GW1 and then advise rewards in details. Good luck guys.

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January 15, 2024, 07:34:25 PM
 #459

So. Very. Tempting. To switch my picks to draws. I did it for Cameroon, following Trofo's wisdom and got rewarded for that. The question for me remains about just how good are the favourites, really. Impossible to tell and bookmaker odds to me are extremely unreliable for these cups.

P.S. Guess Salah wants to come back to Liverpool early, huh? Endo not so much =D

Just paid for woodie and Chi20. Tx id: 31abb0f1191f995f50fbdb3835fcb92edf66e8caf8023f1d559887de094413ad
Waited until I got enough BTC on Sportsbet account to avoid fees Smiley Feels like I am sponsoring half of the pool. I think I paid for over 10 people here. Everything was handled either to Livecasino campaign or future BSFL rewards or side bets but still I had to make those transactions and put the money upfront in BSFL cases Grin

Still waiting for some payments and maybe one or two stragglers. Sponsorship money should come these days as well. Plan is too officially close the pool with end of GW1 and then advise rewards in details. Good luck guys.


You're too kind. But I get it, the date was close and network wasn't friendly. I'm always happy to help out in future with fronting people too, in case you stragglers don't want to overburden the Tro Wink

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January 15, 2024, 08:17:05 PM
 #460

At his point, I just need to look forward to round 2 and hope it turns out better than this round. I expected Cameroon to draw today, they have not been in very good form, but yet I hesitated to take the chance.

Hopefully the next round goes according to the expected plan.

- Jay -

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