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Author Topic: 📯📍Rollbit | 2025/26 Champions League Pool | ⚽️ Discussion | ~$15,000 prizes!  (Read 40513 times)
nelson4lov
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November 29, 2024, 10:35:49 PM
 #3201

Haha, sorry about your pot B picks for MD5. I missed the first two match days for Pot B and got hit with -5% fine so I'm working my way to the top of the table.   

For MD5 round, I just went with 3 picks and max bet my points on them. I think it's much more rewarding to just go for 1-3 matches with mega odds and just max bet on them rather than spreading everything across the board and hoping for the best because there would always be upsets.

Imo, any odd less than 1.5 is just a waste like that Barcelona straight win option.

No problem. Consider it a very good contribution from generous me lol

The 5% penalty doesn't seem like much now but it is compounding, so maybe I can afford 1 more before I have to be more careful.

If you get 100 points, 5% is 5 points tho, so I would say the risk is only happening if you have > 100 points.

So if you bet like you and me and we get a bad streak, we end up not with 0 points but -15 points.

Well, at least you get to keep your top spot for pot A. And yes, 5% fines will have more bigger impact if points is bigger. The goal not to end up with 0 points even of my baddest days — those few points will come in handy when it gets to the ending stages of the tournament.

----------------

I may have missed it but the -5% fine is only effect for a MD points and not total cumulative points? Help me out, @buwaytress.

~Snipped
[...]
Pep might be getting exposed, he's a great coach but damn it he can't do what Mou does- he can't manage an average team ever!! No he can't.

Are you referring to the current city team as average? I'd like more clarity on this haha Cheesy

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November 29, 2024, 10:51:09 PM
 #3202

If so, I would suggest we look into some players at City. Gvardiol has looked guilty for several games now. Joking as yes, he looks like he plays like a demon after he gives away goals but I got so mad at him I sold him in FPL and actually bought my first United player hahaha.
Lets see how Man City players will handle Liverpool in top form this Sunday, but I think they can lose next match away against Juventus.
Surprisingly bookies made them a favorite and I am thinking of taking early double chance or DNB on Juventus.
I know they have to start winning at some point but they are not in right mental state now.
 

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December 01, 2024, 10:40:23 AM
 #3203

If so, I would suggest we look into some players at City. Gvardiol has looked guilty for several games now. Joking as yes, he looks like he plays like a demon after he gives away goals but I got so mad at him I sold him in FPL and actually bought my first United player hahaha.
Lets see how Man City players will handle Liverpool in top form this Sunday, but I think they can lose next match away against Juventus.
Surprisingly bookies made them a favorite and I am thinking of taking early double chance or DNB on Juventus.
I know they have to start winning at some point but they are not in right mental state now.
 

Juventus is often playing so passively, but you may take a shot here. I think all the time that this series of negative events for Manchester City has come to an end, but then it gets worse and worse. I think the game against Fewyenoord was the worst Guardiola has ever experienced. I saw a headline stating that this has never happened before in the history of the Champions League when a team had a 3 goal lead in 75th minute that they still tied the game... Amazing.

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December 02, 2024, 02:39:01 PM
 #3204

Ancelloti stated in his interview today that Real Madrid would reach the CL final this season; he sounds so certain for a team on the verge of elimination that I'm starting to wonder whether the CL is scripted. Such a bold statement.

It's not just confidence, its looking at odds of all the injuries coming back, odds of Mbappe and Bellingham coming back to form. Its calculated and highly possible.

Just hope Real get to meet Liverpool again because anyone else will be too easy for them..

BTW @swogerino Did we arrange something about the fee for this pool? I seem to remember something, am I wrong? Smiley

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December 02, 2024, 05:16:19 PM
 #3205

It's not just confidence, its looking at odds of all the injuries coming back, odds of Mbappe and Bellingham coming back to form. Its calculated and highly possible.

Just hope Real get to meet Liverpool again because anyone else will be too easy for them..

He needs to focus on qualifying the team through the playoffs first before talking about playing in the final.

Mbappe is back to LW and looks to have finally earned his position; let's see how Vini performs in the midfield with Bellingham.

How is Bellingham taking a penalty while Mbappe is still on the pitch? How are these guys disrespecting him so much..

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December 02, 2024, 05:31:21 PM
 #3206

Hello, sorry for the late response Harko, the winners of freebets for the last round are Harkorede and Trofo, for Pot A and Pot B respectively. Someone from the book will get in touch with you if they haven't already. Enjoy those bets, turn them into something to show off, why don't ya?

I saw a headline stating that this has never happened before in the history of the Champions League when a team had a 3 goal lead in 75th minute that they still tied the game... Amazing.

That's an unwanted piece of history, but surprising. I've seen more than my fair share of 3-goal leads turned into draws or even losses with Fergie time. Like Slot said, no need to feel sorry for Pep, he'll find a way out of this. I'll enjoy it while it lasts.

.
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December 02, 2024, 05:55:18 PM
 #3207

Hello, sorry for the late response Harko, the winners of freebets for the last round are Harkorede and Trofo, for Pot A and Pot B respectively. Someone from the book will get in touch with you if they haven't already. Enjoy those bets, turn them into something to show off, why don't ya?

It's been great weekends of football since international break, why are you guys not showing us those beautiful win from those freebets?  I'm in the worse form of my life, no single freebets from 4 pools this season.  Grin

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December 02, 2024, 07:30:24 PM
Merited by igebotz (1)
 #3208

Hello, sorry for the late response Harko, the winners of freebets for the last round are Harkorede and Trofo, for Pot A and Pot B respectively. Someone from the book will get in touch with you if they haven't already. Enjoy those bets, turn them into something to show off, why don't ya?

It's been great weekends of football since international break, why are you guys not showing us those beautiful win from those freebets?  I'm in the worse form of my life, no single freebets from 4 pools this season.  Grin

Someone already reached out, hopefully I can make something off it, perhaps a 100x Odds should be good enough since we've got European leagues for the midweek   Cool

@Igebotz, my free bets margin have also reduced also drastically this season, I think. Maybe that's a testament of how good every other person but me have been, or I just suck this season, I'm not even looking at any table or leaderboard yet, I just throw in my picks and then close my browser or the app.

.
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December 02, 2024, 07:46:35 PM
Merited by igebotz (1)
 #3209

Ancelloti stated in his interview today that Real Madrid would reach the CL final this season; he sounds so certain for a team on the verge of elimination that I'm starting to wonder whether the CL is scripted. Such a bold statement.

I think he’s just trying to give them confidence as their manager. He needs to make the players believe they can do it.

I don’t think Real will win the CL this season but you can never write them off, they have some kind of juju in this competition. They regularly get outplayed in knockout games later in the competition but still find a way to win.

.
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December 02, 2024, 07:52:53 PM
 #3210

Ancelloti stated in his interview today that Real Madrid would reach the CL final this season; he sounds so certain for a team on the verge of elimination that I'm starting to wonder whether the CL is scripted. Such a bold statement.

I think he’s just trying to give them confidence as their manager. He needs to make the players believe they can do it.

I don’t think Real will win the CL this season but you can never write them off, they have some kind of juju in this competition. They regularly get outplayed in knockout games later in the competition but still find a way to win.
It's impossible for a coach to make a statement as if he's given up on this competition, he motivates the players... even if it's downhill the coach will say higher than his expectations.

I'm the same way... this season looks like it belongs to Liverpool at the beginning of the journey but I won't ignore the fact that even if Real Madrid joins the play-off zone, it could be this team that wins sometimes their mentality is greater and they are able to bounce back.

To be honest my heart is not in Madrid's favor.

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December 02, 2024, 08:30:41 PM
Merited by LFC_Bitcoin (1)
 #3211

I don’t think Real will win the CL this season but you can never write them off, they have some kind of juju in this competition. They regularly get outplayed in knockout games later in the competition but still find a way to win.
You never know what could happen, season is long.
Have you seen the latest odds for Champions League winners?
Liverpool has the best chance and that is not surprising because they play amazing in all competitions.
What is surprising to me is that Man City has similar odds and I dont think they will win either.


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December 02, 2024, 09:51:23 PM
 #3212

You never know what could happen, season is long.
Have you seen the latest odds for Champions League winners?
Liverpool has the best chance and that is not surprising because they play amazing in all competitions.
What is surprising to me is that Man City has similar odds and I dont think they will win either.



We are probably the most in form team in Europe at the moment but like you said, the season is long. A couple of injuries, a few star players being in bad form and it can change quickly.

I would love for Slot to win the CL this season but there are so many good teams. I think often you need a lot of luck to win the CL. I am hopeful but not expecting to win it. I try to just take it one step at a time. Let’s finish top 8 in the pool stage and get a favourable draw for the last 16.

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December 03, 2024, 11:56:12 AM
Merited by igebotz (1)
 #3213

Actually can't wait for Barca to get over December. Its gonna tell me where we stand in CL.

He needs to focus on qualifying the team through the playoffs first before talking about playing in the final.

Mbappe is back to LW and looks to have finally earned his position; let's see how Vini performs in the midfield with Bellingham.

How is Bellingham taking a penalty while Mbappe is still on the pitch? How are these guys disrespecting him so much..

Thats true, when your own coach named Ancelotti says you're low on confidence you better make your million dollar psychiatrist give you his salary worth.

I don't get the penalty change tho. You always stick with your best taker. Unless he himself declined it.

The sickness spreads with every challenge you refuse however.


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December 03, 2024, 03:47:20 PM
 #3214

I think he’s just trying to give them confidence as their manager. He needs to make the players believe they can do it.

I don’t think Real will win the CL this season but you can never write them off, they have some kind of juju in this competition. They regularly get outplayed in knockout games later in the competition but still find a way to win.

LolI won't be surprised if they eventually improve in the knockout stage, which is why I don't want them to advance and allow another team win. They have a specific juju in this competition that works every time; they have never been the best team in the knockout stage, but they always find a way to survive. I've always new it's not ordinary, it's strong juju  Grin

I don't get the penalty change tho. You always stick with your best taker. Unless he himself declined it.

Same Mbappe fought Messi and Neymar at PSG for that role but couldn't even make an attempt against Bellingham. He's not longer a King?

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December 03, 2024, 04:06:33 PM
Merited by LFC_Bitcoin (3)
 #3215

Gentlemen! Matchday 6 of the League Phase begins next Tuesday, a week from now. It's danger zone for so many teams, will we see plenty of goals and possible upsets for them in their reckless bids for points? Might we see slip ups for some intending to avoid midtable jeopardy? Don't wait to enter your picks, you can adjust answers in both Pots up to kickoff at 5.45pm UTC, 10 Dec 2024.

Quick Links:
Pot A: Superbru Pool
Pot B: Matchday 6 Submission Area

It's been great weekends of football since international break, why are you guys not showing us those beautiful win from those freebets?  I'm in the worse form of my life, no single freebets from 4 pools this season.  Grin

I'm actually at my lowest frequency in maybe 6 or 7 seasons in terms of betting, just so hectic with my schedule, but man, to get zero freebets from all the pools must be some kind of record! Shared one last week, don't you worry I'll share my ka-chings here when they happen.

Have you seen the latest odds for Champions League winners?
Liverpool has the best chance and that is not surprising because they play amazing in all competitions.
What is surprising to me is that Man City has similar odds and I dont think they will win either.

City have been the favourites for about 4 seasons... Real has been the outstanding value every single season. Yet I've never taken them haha. Actually only won the Liverpool outright once (the Spurs final) and it paid for all the other seasons Klopp didn't win. Shame I didn't see Slot coming like this. No more value in Liverpool outright.

I am hopeful but not expecting to win it. I try to just take it one step at a time. Let’s finish top 8 in the pool stage and get a favourable draw for the last 16.

My approach as well, brother. One game at a time. Same as in every competition. It's something Klopp instilled and I hope Slot reminds.

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December 03, 2024, 06:35:34 PM
 #3216

I don't get the penalty change tho. You always stick with your best taker. Unless he himself declined it.

Same Mbappe fought Messi and Neymar at PSG for that role but couldn't even make an attempt against Bellingham. He's not longer a King?

iirc Mbappe start around the same time on PSG with Neymar but France literally worshipped him like a King there hence he was the penalty taker. As for Messi, he was basically a new guy in PSG

Mbappe took a penalty against Liverpool and he couldnt slot it to the net, he was playing pretty bad on that game as well. There were also various report that some players were basically ignoring him outside of the game after that specific game with Liverpool so yeah everything just went down south from that. The fact that he was playing for full 90 minutes against Liverpool while having that poor performance was amazing.

He probably let go of that position to earn some respect from his fellow teammates. He is basically a new guy in Real Madrid, he cant be having all those extra special treatment just because he is the most 'expensive' player on that team

 
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December 04, 2024, 09:42:49 AM
 #3217

All my picks are in! Don't care, went for broke again lol

I don't get the penalty change tho. You always stick with your best taker. Unless he himself declined it.

Same Mbappe fought Messi and Neymar at PSG for that role but couldn't even make an attempt against Bellingham. He's not longer a King?

iirc Mbappe start around the same time on PSG with Neymar but France literally worshipped him like a King there hence he was the penalty taker. As for Messi, he was basically a new guy in PSG

Mbappe took a penalty against Liverpool and he couldnt slot it to the net, he was playing pretty bad on that game as well. There were also various report that some players were basically ignoring him outside of the game after that specific game with Liverpool so yeah everything just went down south from that. The fact that he was playing for full 90 minutes against Liverpool while having that poor performance was amazing.

He probably let go of that position to earn some respect from his fellow teammates. He is basically a new guy in Real Madrid, he cant be having all those extra special treatment just because he is the most 'expensive' player on that team

And he didn't really pay them back with respect, tbh, I followed them a bit mainly because of Neymar and Messi links to Barca, but yeah, Mbappe still won them everything basically on his own in many ways so well deserved.

I always found it weird how some teams 'fight' for PK. Good teams already know who is good, great teams have designated PK. Real Madrid does seem to be different in this way. Real is full of personalities, good luck Mbappe, you knew what you were going into anyway Wink

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December 04, 2024, 10:07:55 PM
 #3218

I always found it weird how some teams 'fight' for PK. Good teams already know who is good, great teams have designated PK. Real Madrid does seem to be different in this way. Real is full of personalities, good luck Mbappe, you knew what you were going into anyway Wink

Speaking of PK taker, Mbappe just missed another one tonight lol. I thought Bellingham would be the one taking it but turned out Mbappe took it and yeah he played for full 90+ minutes again despite having terrible performance. No wonder the bookies had Real Madrid at over 2x odds, Im just dumb to even take that bait  Roll Eyes, shouldnt have trusted Mbappe to carry the team

Might we see slip ups for some intending to avoid midtable jeopardy?

Im actually going to look for an opportunity for no goal bet again but after reading this, it seems pretty unlikely as some games would end up with no goal at all. I guess I gotta take my sweet time to reconsider the best strategy for the round.

 
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December 05, 2024, 02:33:02 PM
 #3219

Speaking of PK taker, Mbappe just missed another one tonight lol. I thought Bellingham would be the one taking it but turned out Mbappe took it and yeah he played for full 90+ minutes again despite having terrible performance. No wonder the bookies had Real Madrid at over 2x odds, Im just dumb to even take that bait  Roll Eyes, shouldnt have trusted Mbappe to carry the team

Gosh, I can't believe Real also slipped up lol And with that win, Athletic even creeps up into CL spots!!

Mbappe's two missed penalties are actually worse than it sounds. Both were weak shots, rather than missed. Which to me is worse because missed shots imply a misstep, miskick, too much power etc. Weak shots are a sign of low confidence and no determination.

Ancelotti has to take away his PK duties until he's back in confidence. They can't afford to lose another CL game Smiley

Bookies know best......

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December 05, 2024, 04:07:22 PM
 #3220

Real Madrid does seem to be different in this way. Real is full of personalities, good luck Mbappe, you knew what you were going into anyway Wink
Afaik, ever since Benzema left they didn't have a clear penalty taker. That is, until Mbappe came. So maybe that's why Ancelloti is not so fast to give it someone else (Bellingham or Vinicius are obvious choices if he decides to change PK).



A crucial match for Dinamo next week, beating Celtic is a must if we want to reach the second round. However, that's much easier said than done. With several important players injured and our shitty form, I’m not too optimistic. Still, you never know with us this season.

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