2024 U.S. Presidential Election Bets!

[GxSTxV]

I'm curious about what will happen to bets that were placed before a tragic event.
For example, something bad happened to Donald Trump that led him to death. Will the bets be back to bettors who placed bets on Donald Trump on the Presidential election?

I came here to ask the same question lol. Last week before this incident happens, I had made up my mind to place a bet on Donald Trump winning the presidential election but I totally forgot about that. Now, after what happened to him in this assassination attempt that injured him, I'm curious to also ask if something else were to happen to him, would the casinos refund the money to bettors who had bet on Trump, or would those bets be considered lost or only get a partial refund? It's confusing because while this is gambling, death is a tragedy and it doesn't seem fair for casinos to just keep that money.

I believe a good casino would refund the money to the bettors by choice, but it's not an obligation for them and wouldn’t be considered a scam IMO. It's similar to betting on a boxing or UFC match just before one of the fighters gets injured or dies, your bet would typically be considered lost in such cases or you will get a refund? Did such incidents happened before?

[Zigabel]

Whoever planned this attack on Trump has just handed him the victory. If the poll was tomorrow Trump should be celebrating already. He is going to gain more votes now even people who wanted to stay neutral will now have a change of mind and support him because of this attack on his life. Trump will attract a lot of sympathy votes and he will be very popular more than the way he was already.
His odds of winning will be reduced.

Well this point of yours is very valid and there's no doubt this will really attract sympathisers who may decide to give him a chance due to his ordeal but then that wouldn't be the best thing to do because you shouldn't be made to pick a person for such a position by meare sympathy meanwhile you bare supposed to be rational as ro what you really want for a leader, don't get me wrong I do sympathize with Trump but it wouldn't be a reason I will give my vote if for any reason I think he isn't the kind of person I would want in the position that will affect my being as a citizen of the country he will be governing.

[cabron]

I'm curious about what will happen to bets that were placed before a tragic event.
For example, something bad happened to Donald Trump that led him to death. Will the bets be back to bettors who placed bets on Donald Trump on the Presidential election?

I came here to ask the same question lol. Last week before this incident happens, I had made up my mind to place a bet on Donald Trump winning the presidential election but I totally forgot about that. Now, after what happened to him in this assassination attempt that injured him, I'm curious to also ask if something else were to happen to him, would the casinos refund the money to bettors who had bet on Trump, or would those bets be considered lost or only get a partial refund? It's confusing because while this is gambling, death is a tragedy and it doesn't seem fair for casinos to just keep that money.

I believe a good casino would refund the money to the bettors by choice, but it's not an obligation for them and wouldn’t be considered a scam IMO. It's similar to betting on a boxing or UFC match just before one of the fighters gets injured or dies, your bet would typically be considered lost in such cases or you will get a refund? Did such incidents happened before?

The election hasn't happened yet and no one has declared a winner yet which I guess will be considered No contest. Maybe they will send the coins back and it will be fair to do that. But there was a match in boxing that after a few months the fight was considered No Contest as well such as the fight of Ryan Garcia vs Devin Haney.  I think the coins weren't sent back. After all that time, it was considered Ryan who won and the fight was over.

And most probably Trump will be replaced by someone else and your bet will be void as well. Such a disaster when you already think its a sure winning bet.

[Sithara007]

Does anyone know about the 1984 United States presidential election? It was conducted after the assassination attempt on Ronald Reagan. Republican candidate won close to 60% of the popular vote, and ended up winning all states except Minnesota (home state for the Democrat candidate Walter Mondale). That was one of the most one-sided presidential elections in the history of the United States. Now the 2024 POTUS elections are also heading in the same direction (that is, if there is no vote rigging from the Democrats).

[Hispo]

He didn't need an assassination attempt to win, the election was already in his pocket and Biden/Democrats did everything to lose but this last incident carried everything to whole another level. He will use this to fight and clean the corruption which entrenched in every corner of the country. So this is a blessing in disguise for him. Had he died yesterday, it would have triggered a civil war easily and the results of that would be catastrophic. He probably was going to get 60% of the popular votes and now it is more like 80%. It doesn't even make much sense to make a bet on it unless... there is be a second successful murder attempt.

This was going to be a close race, but with this lastest incident Trump has indeed increased his chances to win, the picture of him alone screaming with his fist up to the sky is worth millions in political capital already, it is a truly a blessing in disguise for him, also the fact he quickly mentioned and asked for prayers for the family of those who died, makes him to look even more humane.
I am not sure whether his assassination would have sparked a civil war or not, USA polítics are more complex than that and the average Republican and the establishment would not find convenient for a war to happen in the USA, if anything, Putin would greatly benefit from it happening.

When I have some time, I'll try to find a graph which shows how the odds of Trump changed because of this unpredictable assassination attempt.

I thought the same thing, the situation, as difficult as it may have been, elected Donald Trump, if anyone had doubts about who to vote for, after this incident it is practically certain that the vote will go to Trump, he showed that even in adversity he did not let himself go slaughter and showed himself to be a very strong person with an American spirit that everyone wants to see. It's even easy to bet now, I would put all in on Trump if I were to bet.

I would not go as far as claiming it is an easy bet, these kind of bets are never easy and in the end of the day, it is never certain one candidate is going to beat their foe, thus going all in on a candidate is never a good advice. We are supposed to bet on money we are willing to lose to our own bad luck, it is the thumb rule of gambling and risky investments, after all.

As it stands now, I wonder whether Trump is going to use this unfortunate event to advertise his campaign further, as it is truly remarkable how he faced the chance of getting killed by a second gunman, he and his team did not know whether there was one or several people threatening the life of Trump. It was a risk, to pose and raise his fist.

[mindrust]

He didn't need an assassination attempt to win, the election was already in his pocket and Biden/Democrats did everything to lose but this last incident carried everything to whole another level. He will use this to fight and clean the corruption which entrenched in every corner of the country. So this is a blessing in disguise for him. Had he died yesterday, it would have triggered a civil war easily and the results of that would be catastrophic. He probably was going to get 60% of the popular votes and now it is more like 80%. It doesn't even make much sense to make a bet on it unless... there is be a second successful murder attempt.

You forgot mail-in voting, which can magically change the results of the count  
Considering that the Democrats are opposed to the need to prove that you are a US citizen in the presidential election (what a fucking clown world), I would not be surprised if tens of millions of fake votes are thrown in Biden’s favor. If anyone (even illegal immigrant without documents) can vote, then why not?

Hopefully T thought something about it this time.


It is amazing to see that there are people who thought Biden had a chance to win even before the shooting.

The guy can't successfully put a sentence together and he had a chance... because there are still people who will vote for him. (As you can see above)

[SUPERSAIAN]

He didn't need an assassination attempt to win, the election was already in his pocket and Biden/Democrats did everything to lose but this last incident carried everything to whole another level. He will use this to fight and clean the corruption which entrenched in every corner of the country. So this is a blessing in disguise for him. Had he died yesterday, it would have triggered a civil war easily and the results of that would be catastrophic. He probably was going to get 60% of the popular votes and now it is more like 80%. It doesn't even make much sense to make a bet on it unless... there is be a second successful murder attempt.

You forgot mail-in voting, which can magically change the results of the count  
Considering that the Democrats are opposed to the need to prove that you are a US citizen in the presidential election (what a fucking clown world), I would not be surprised if tens of millions of fake votes are thrown in Biden’s favor. If anyone (even illegal immigrant without documents) can vote, then why not?

Hopefully T thought something about it this time.


It is amazing to see that there are people who thought Biden had a chance to win even before the shooting.

The guy can't successfully put a sentence together and he had a chance... because there are still people who will vote for him. (As you can see above)

I think that in the US elections, the Democrats will leave the election to Trump and try to bully and force him while he is in power, otherwise they would have to change their election candidates already.

You are right, even before Trump was shot, the statistics said that Trump was much ahead, now it has increased even more and I do not expect any different results, Trump will win the presidential elections, the world is just waiting for the voting day. Also, since it is said that it supports bitcoin, there may be acceleration in bitcoin when we get closer to the elections. Of course, this is just the prediction that everyone sees. Will it actually be like this?

[cabron]

He didn't need an assassination attempt to win, the election was already in his pocket and Biden/Democrats did everything to lose but this last incident carried everything to whole another level. He will use this to fight and clean the corruption which entrenched in every corner of the country. So this is a blessing in disguise for him. Had he died yesterday, it would have triggered a civil war easily and the results of that would be catastrophic. He probably was going to get 60% of the popular votes and now it is more like 80%. It doesn't even make much sense to make a bet on it unless... there is be a second successful murder attempt.

You forgot mail-in voting, which can magically change the results of the count  
Considering that the Democrats are opposed to the need to prove that you are a US citizen in the presidential election (what a fucking clown world), I would not be surprised if tens of millions of fake votes are thrown in Biden’s favor. If anyone (even illegal immigrant without documents) can vote, then why not?

Hopefully T thought something about it this time.


It is amazing to see that there are people who thought Biden had a chance to win even before the shooting.

The guy can't successfully put a sentence together and he had a chance... because there are still people who will vote for him. (As you can see above)

Nice Sig!
Who would put his life on the line, and set up an assassination attempt I don't think Trump is this dumb. Anyone can see how this guy talks and responds quickly to those reporters who want him to make mistakes. Trump has been on the mic almost all his life talking because people listen to him.  He will win the election without the assassination attempt but he will even get more votes this time after this failed attempt. Hope he hires loyal people alongside those SS.

Trump, Donald 1.35
Biden, Joe 5.50

So Biden condemned the violent attempt and then his odds went 5.50.