2024 U.S. Presidential Election Bets!

[alani123]

Let's have a thread to discuss gambling on the 2024 United States Presidential election!
Remember: This is a thread about gambling, we go by the official results. For disputing past events you can go on the politics board.

Interestingly, we're seeing a woman nominee have a real shot at the presidency, something that doesn't seem to have kept being brought up as much as it was in 2016.


After Biden dropping out, Democrats seem to be performing much better with Kamala. After the debate, polls show her have a steady lead and the odds on bookies seem to agree.


Image source via Stake

Let's discuss the likelihood of each candidate winning the election, events, as well as which platforms offer this market for crypto-enabled bets.

[NotATether]

Let me make it simple for you:

Trump loses again, and Biden wins  

Please, save your wits everyone. Sit back and relax, and nick some easy money off the bookies.

[Everyone else is a joke candidate and I don't understand why Stake doesn't just give them all 100:1 odds.]

[alani123]

Trump loses again, and Biden wins  

I really don't think it's gonna be that simple. I'm not a fan of either to be honest but it seems that many people in the left hold a lot of resentment towards Biden because of his stance on what's happening to the Palestinian people. I see the left more fragmented than in previous elections. Of course it's worth considering also that the U.S. voting system heavily favors the two major parties no matter who their candidate is.

But in the meantime I see republicans unapologetically supporting Trump. There are no asterisks for them like there are for democrats voting for Biden right now. No candidate came even close to beating Trump in the primaries in spite of him having lost the previous election and in spite of his many mishaps. His opponents brought up many valid points against him but people simply didn't care.

[Everyone else is a joke candidate and I don't understand why Stake doesn't just give them all 100:1 odds.]

Seeing Michelle Obama further up than valid third party candidates that will be on most ballots this year makes me wonder too, who thought of putting these names up there?
Surely the odds are affected by betting amounts also but the name selection is more or less manual and many of these make zero sense.

[Oshosondy]

I am surprised that Donald Trump odd is lower than Joe Biden odd. Joe Biden is the present US president. I am not good in this type of betting and I will not just bet it. If I should take someone to win, Joe Biden. If I should wish someone to win, I will take Donald Trump. But I am not going for anyone than to stick with my football and casino games.

[AbuBhakar]

Let me make it simple for you:

Trump loses again, and Biden wins  

Please, save your wits everyone. Sit back and relax, and nick some easy money off the bookies.

There’s a lot of issue and some of it is critical during Biden admin. I think they are equal wash up candidate with Trump based on how I see social media post. Trump supporters gain a lot of momentum this election due to this failure of current administration. However I’m not sure how accurate social media post nowadays.  

[Everyone else is a joke candidate and I don't understand why Stake doesn't just give them all 100:1 odds.]

Simply for better attractiveness on odds. Some bettor is just looking on odds number tossing few cents or dollars just in case the candidate miraculously win the election. Odds increase same level of the jokiness of the candidate.

[yazher]

Seeing Michelle Obama further up than valid third party candidates that will be on most ballots this year makes me wonder too, who thought of putting these names up there?
Surely the odds are affected by betting amounts also but the name selection is more or less manual and many of these make zero sense.

I'm also in shock when I see some other candidates running for President this year because their numbers are way too much, isn't it obvious that they are just gonna be there to act as pawns to subside the other votes I think most of those candidates will affect the votes of Biden because they used to support him and they are now making their own journey to run for President as well and monopolize their supporters to support them instead of Biden and same for the Trump supporters in the past as well, this might not be an easy win for Biden either. anyway, whoever gonna wins, I hope they stop any war and maybe the world will be at peace again.

[_act_]

There’s a lot of issue and some of it is critical during Biden admin. I think they are equal wash up candidate with Trump based on how I see social media post. Trump supporters gain a lot of momentum this election due to this failure of current administration. However I’m not sure how accurate social media post nowadays. 

Do not believe on social media. I can remember the the last election in my country, the person that people were talking about on the social media did not even became the second but the the third. What I believe in is during voting after seeing some results. I just know that election is going to be very tough and who will be the winner between Trump and Biden is not yet known.

[alani123]

Seeing Michelle Obama further up than valid third party candidates that will be on most ballots this year makes me wonder too, who thought of putting these names up there?
Surely the odds are affected by betting amounts also but the name selection is more or less manual and many of these make zero sense.

I'm also in shock when I see some other candidates running for President this year because their numbers are way too much, isn't it obvious that they are just gonna be there to act as pawns to subside the other votes I think most of those candidates will affect the votes of Biden because they used to support him and they are now making their own journey to run for President as well and monopolize their supporters to support them instead of Biden and same for the Trump supporters in the past as well, this might not be an easy win for Biden either. anyway, whoever gonna wins, I hope they stop any war and maybe the world will be at peace again.

Yup it's a very tough choice for many American lefties. Lots of people will be seeking to punish Biden but the other "realistic" choice leaves no space for arguing that they're both bad on the matter of making peace. Trump recently took an extremely hardline stance against Palestine saying he'll support Netanyahu until "total victory". So many people are looking at alternatives like Jill Stein of the Green party or Claudia de la Cruz of the Party for Socialism and Liberation.

Others are looking at independent candidates or opposing Biden through primaries but that probably has even fewer chances for a victory due to even more restricted ballot access for independents. I'm a bit surprised Claudia isn't put there by the bookmakers though. I could think of a bonkers scenario where Biden dies and his replacement is worst to an extent that third parties are starting to be considered viable on the left. Especially considering how close Bernie came to winning the presidential Bid, that's certainly more realistic that a Michelle Obama presidency with her being third on the odds...

[Ruttoshi]

I am surprised that Donald Trump odd is lower than Joe Biden odd. Joe Biden is the present US president. I am not good in this type of betting and I will not just bet it. If I should take someone to win, Joe Biden. If I should wish someone to win, I will take Donald Trump. But I am not going for anyone than to stick with my football and casino games.

US election is not like those that happens in Africa that the incumbent president must be the winner of the election. US election is based on voting for the qualified candidate that can do the job best. Biden administration has been supporting wars a lot, which has begin to make his supporters decamping from him, to Trump.

Trump was the former president but he lost to Boden, and that is why I think that he can come back to the white house again if they comparison between both candidates are done properly based on how they pilot the affairs of the country when they were on seat. I will prefer Trump.

[Distinctin]

I am surprised that Donald Trump odd is lower than Joe Biden odd. Joe Biden is the present US president. I am not good in this type of betting and I will not just bet it. If I should take someone to win, Joe Biden. If I should wish someone to win, I will take Donald Trump. But I am not going for anyone than to stick with my football and casino games.

That would probably mean that Trump will win in the election. Last time Trump won was when he was a heavy underdog, no one expected him to win but he won anymore. Loss on his 2nd term, and now trying to go back to presidency.

This was the last election's betting odds, and Biden was heavily favored.

Currently, Biden is a -180 favorite while Trump is a +160 underdog, with BetOnline reporting that just under 70% of the handle has come in on Trump. While the money is backing a Trump repeat, Biden holds slight edge at 54% of total wagers.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/zackjones/2020/10/31/2020-presidential-election-odds--senate-race-predictions-70-of-money-bet-backs-trump-over-biden/?sh=2fe6010bbd5b

I'm not a fan of these two but based on my analysis, this odds now is favoriing Trump to win, so I might probably bet on him.

[Oshosondy]

US election is not like those that happens in Africa that the incumbent president must be the winner of the election. US election is based on voting for the qualified candidate that can do the job best. Biden administration has been supporting wars a lot, which has begin to make his supporters decamping from him, to Trump.

When Biden was not yet a president, what makes him a qualified candidate? Okay let us say he did not do as expected, which means people do not know the qualified candidate but vote for people they prefer. US is just a good country and nothing more than that.

Not that Biden administration as been supporting war but US likes to support war that they know they should support. US supported some wars during Trump's time.

[cabron]

So many people still couldn't accept the fact that Trump is winning in most polls. And it's not surprising as people want to be free from Biden's administration. Looking at what Biden has done to the country, the dismay is just not enough to describe how they feel. Seems logical for the people who want to have a better life and if there is no better option, I guess they are going for Trump. 

It's not about age anymore. It's about who has better cognition and consciousness.
Trump 1.70 is going to turn 1.25 in the coming months, I think it's best to just cast your bet already before that happens.

[mindrust]

Easy win for Trump.

They had enough of the demented mumbling fool's crap imo. Actually I was pretty surprised when Trump lost the last elections but I blame the mainstream media for that one. I guess they brainwashed the masses. As I see it, nobody watches C-NN (cunt news network) and other mainstream media outlets anymore. When I watch their clips on youtube the comment section is full of people making fun of fake news network.

[alani123]

Easy win for Trump.

They had enough of the demented mumbling fool's crap imo. Actually I was pretty surprised when Trump lost the last elections but I blame the mainstream media for that one. I guess they brainwashed the masses. As I see it, nobody watches C-NN (cunt news network) and other mainstream media outlets anymore. When I watch their clips on youtube the comment section is full of people making fun of fake news network.

Not sure if it's going to be easy but I kinda understand the odds being better for Trump on bookies.
For one, Biden tried to deliver on so called normalcy but the only ones benefiting from his policies were mega corporations. There's record low unemployment supposedly but at the same time there's also record high poverty, record low purchasing power, sustained high inflation etc. So much for "Bidenomics" while the working man suffers.

Would things have been much different under a Trump presidency? I think probably not, but I also understand that many Americans might be itching to find out.

[noormcs5]

Let me make it simple for you:

Trump loses again, and Biden wins  

Please, save your wits everyone. Sit back and relax, and nick some easy money off the bookies.

[Everyone else is a joke candidate and I don't understand why Stake doesn't just give them all 100:1 odds.]

Wait a minute, the Simpsons cartoon suggested that Trump will be the winner of the 2024 elections and believe me those cartoons those cartoons do not lie and they have a lot of untold true stories which happened in reality in the future. I do not know how they know the future but the mystery of those cartoons is still a myth for me.

Taking this into consideration, i would bet in the favor of Trump as i have evidence in the form of  Simpsons cartoon 

The Simpsons 'Predicted' Donald Trump 2024 Back in 2015

[STT]

[Everyone else is a joke candidate and I don't understand why Stake doesn't just give them all 100:1 odds.]

100 to 1 is a gift.   I'd want 500 to 1 in some cases but it aint happening so long as someone thinks its a possible outcome why sell it cheaper then need be.  Obama (Ms.) is a gift to the bookies at those odds thats awesome when I've never heard a shred of possible reasons why it should be true as a proposal and never an outcome.  


The reason to contest the mainstream bet of  Trump is he can be disqualified still in some way.  I guess but dont think he could be imprisoned or some other court ruling that would restrict his running.  

On the Biden bet I agree thats the real favorite however both candidates are old and could be forced to withdraw.   I only accept very bad health as preventing a candidate or actual death, the precedent being FDR who despite bad health won then died early in the term so voters will support Biden anyway imo.   People know its not literally one man in a tug of war, he has a team he only has to sit in a chair to do the job at worst case.

So my question is why Kamala Harris  at 23 to 1 if its the 3rd most likely outcome.  Votes for Biden would elect Harris in effect if we go with the bad health scenario.

[LTU_btc]

A bit surprised that Trump has lowest odds now. IIRC, few months ago Biden was main favorite according to bookmakers as he had lowest odds. For me it's crazy Biden and Trump is best options what US can have for president role. I'm just happy that I'm not US citizen and I don't have to pick between these two.

[Everyone else is a joke candidate and I don't understand why Stake doesn't just give them all 100:1 odds.]

Yeah, having all these joke candidates looks a bit strange, especially when they don't even participate in elections. At least this year we don't have Kany West there, though, a bit surprised that Taylor Swift isn't listed, considering how much attention she is getting.

[wheelz1200]

The only 2 choices will be Biden and trump I don't know why anyone would drop bets on other people.  Third party has been unsuccessful for centuries lol.  Kind of shocked trump has better odds than Joey B.  Can't bet on this one no clue how the outcome will be and have no vested interest in hoping one way or another on this based on a bet.

[Sithara007]

Looking at the odds, I would say that at 1.70, the sportsbooks are still underestimating Donald Trump. IMO, his odds should be somewhere around 1.30. He has almost won the Republican primaries, and if he stands for the POTUS elections later this year there is a 90% chance that he will win (Biden is trailing far behind in almost all of the polls). Now the only possibility that Trump may not win the election comes from any potential court decision that may disqualify him from running. Any such judgment is extremely unlikely.

[Zlantann]

Looking at the odds, I would say that at 1.70, the sportsbooks are still underestimating Donald Trump. IMO, his odds should be somewhere around 1.30. He has almost won the Republican primaries, and if he stands for the POTUS elections later this year there is a 90% chance that he will win (Biden is trailing far behind in almost all of the polls). Now the only possibility that Trump may not win the election comes from any potential court decision that may disqualify him from running. Any such judgment is extremely unlikely.

I think you are also underestimating Joe Biden. Donald Trump has a lot of skeletons in his cupboard and he has failed to address them. He promised to free the Capitol attackers if he is reelection which means he is still promoting anarchy. Trump has failed to attract new supporters from some Democratic States which means the election might turn out the way it ended four years ago. For me the the sportsbooks are correct in giving the current president higher odds because he is the favorite. He has had some issues including his health and failure to tackle illegal immigrants but he is still better than emperor Trump. Biden will still get support from the minorities because they are getting better treatment from him than the racist Trump. My bet is wholely on Biden.