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Author Topic: Portuguese League - Liga Portugal 2024/25  (Read 7170 times)
Emitdama
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December 30, 2024, 11:32:36 AM
 #341

I decided to take a risk today, as it will probably be the last bet of the year in the Portuguese league
I'm going for Braga and Sporting to win, combining in a multiple with total odds of 3.46
Wish me luck hehehe

I decided to take a chance on Sporting because they might finally start to react and if they lose they'll be in a very bad situation in third place

What do you think?
That's brave bet, I only can wish you good luck. Maybe with new coach Sporting can return to winning path, but it will be difficult. I went with BTTS and over 2.5 goals on this game.
Braga - Casa Pia I made bet on Braga over 1.5 goals. Odds isn't high, but I don't trust Braga enough to put bigger bets on them.
I was also feeling comfortable about this duel because things were looking good for both teams, but Braga give shock as we have Casa Pia stun them at home and have impressive win with this now they have three matches winning streak and Braga have 10 points difference from third spotted Benfica.

In second game we have good fight from Sporting CP as they were looking positive from start which give them good result and now coach Rui Borges have winning start with this win now they are back at the top of league table next round is going to be more exciting as we have Vitoria Guimaraes going to host Sporting CP and Benfica is going to host Braga

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December 30, 2024, 04:21:50 PM
 #342

Sometimes it's hard to get lucky with bets hehehe
Sporting, who were most unlikely to win, managed to win
And Braga, who I was more “sure” would get a win against Casa Pia, ended up losing, playing at home and have now distanced themselves a lot from the top 3, having 10 points difference now
And of course I lost my bet  Embarrassed

At least Sporting managed to end the year in first place, and this can give some peace to them to start with the new coach with less pressure

This season is just different, sometimes a team you expect to do well can disappoint against an opponent you expected to defeat by a lot of goals. I have yet to be lucky enough to win a bet this season since all of the leagues are turning out surprising results. However, I was starting to fear Braga's strength to win against Casa Pia as their chances increased before the game; I got the feeling that the match would end in a surprise result because Braga had previously disappointed their supporters at home against weak clubs. I avoided the game yet lost my bet. Grin

However, Sporting has finally defeated one of their rivals. Sporting, who have lost their form since Amorim left the team, defeated Benfica, who have won all nine of their previous games in all competitions. I do not expect Sporting to win the match against Benfica, football always surprises. I hope Rui Borges keeps up the Amorim pattern since Sporting has returned to the top of the league with the same number of points as Porto. It would be bad if they didn't win the league title at the end of the season.

R


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December 30, 2024, 04:53:12 PM
 #343

Braga faced Casa Pia at home.Braga failed to win the match despite being heavy favorites against their opponent.The first half of the match ended in a 1-1 draw and Casa Pia won with Moreira's goal in the second half and managed to get 3 points in an important away match.
The winner in the most important match of the week was Sporting.Sporting managed to win 1-0 against Benfica and took the lead.I think Sporting won with Catamo's goal and got more than 3 points.
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December 30, 2024, 08:46:31 PM
 #344

Hehe, don't say that, Benfica have total conditions to be champions in this season, since Sporting are no longer the unbeatable team they were at the start of the championship
In my analysis, all three teams are fully capable of being champions this season, so it's all open now

Sporting and Porto have 40 points and Benfica 38, that's only 2 points difference hehe, don't be pessimistic

My mistake was trusting Braga, because I usually only bet on the top 3, but when I make I bet that I'm not used to, I put a smaller amount to avoid big losses  Tongue

Sporting was slightly better team yesterday, but in general I was a bit disappointed about game as I expected. But anyway, after such poor period Sporting is leading league again after almost half season is played. But in general, there is 3 horses race as gap between all them is minimal and now it's very difficult to tell who have best chance to win league. Just checked what outright markets bookmakers are offering and they don't have clear favorite.
And Braga one more time proved reason why I hate them. Well deserved loss.

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December 30, 2024, 11:21:41 PM
 #345

Lol, like it was Sporting decision to part ways with Amorim. Not many coaches would deny such offer and miss oportunity to try himself in EPL and club like MU. Though, when you see how Amorim is doing in MU, his return to Sporting doesn't looks impossible

Nobody is saying he shouldn't have accepted the offer from Manchester United. But there was such a big planning mistake here. Any team that changes managers in the middle of the season struggles. It's difficult for the new manager, but also for the players who are used to a certain system of play. The new manager can't play the game he has in mind right away, he has to continue with the existing one.
An offer from Manchester United excites everyone. That's what happened when we played with Weghorst. United called him and he ran there in the middle of the season. We had to look for a new striker, so I understand Sporting and their fans very well.
Fortunately Rui Borges started well. I hope he will continue like this. If they don't lose Gyökeres in the Winter transfer window, they will be in contention for the championship.
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December 31, 2024, 12:05:35 AM
 #346

Nobody is saying he shouldn't have accepted the offer from Manchester United. But there was such a big planning mistake here. Any team that changes managers in the middle of the season struggles. It's difficult for the new manager, but also for the players who are used to a certain system of play. The new manager can't play the game he has in mind right away, he has to continue with the existing one.
An offer from Manchester United excites everyone. That's what happened when we played with Weghorst. United called him and he ran there in the middle of the season. We had to look for a new striker, so I understand Sporting and their fans very well.
Fortunately Rui Borges started well. I hope he will continue like this. If they don't lose Gyökeres in the Winter transfer window, they will be in contention for the championship.
Sporting situation isn't very common - not many teams have to change successful coach in the middle of season because he went to manage other team. Usually teams change managers when things aren't going as planned. Sporting didn't planned to change manager, so most likely didn't looked for available free coaches in the market. So, that's probably why they made a bit strange decision to promote Fereira from B team to become main team coach. What didn't ended well.

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December 31, 2024, 09:18:50 AM
 #347

Nobody is saying he shouldn't have accepted the offer from Manchester United. But there was such a big planning mistake here. Any team that changes managers in the middle of the season struggles. It's difficult for the new manager, but also for the players who are used to a certain system of play. The new manager can't play the game he has in mind right away, he has to continue with the existing one.
An offer from Manchester United excites everyone. That's what happened when we played with Weghorst. United called him and he ran there in the middle of the season. We had to look for a new striker, so I understand Sporting and their fans very well.
Fortunately Rui Borges started well. I hope he will continue like this. If they don't lose Gyökeres in the Winter transfer window, they will be in contention for the championship.
You are absolutely right, most teams that change manager after season have commence tends to suffer for the reminder of the season, just like you said they new manage might find it difficult to implement his style of play and even if he implement his new style of play most players will  find it difficult to adapt to the new style with that short period of style which might be causing them points weeks in weeks out.

After the last match against benfica I saw some improvement in the sporting side, i can say they are gradually improving under the new management, their passes have improved and even the way they create chances has also improved though they are still struggling with the goals but with time I believe they will get there.

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December 31, 2024, 01:00:09 PM
 #348

...
Sporting was slightly better team yesterday, but in general I was a bit disappointed about game as I expected. But anyway, after such poor period Sporting is leading league again after almost half season is played. But in general, there is 3 horses race as gap between all them is minimal and now it's very difficult to tell who have best chance to win league. Just checked what outright markets bookmakers are offering and they don't have clear favorite.
And Braga one more time proved reason why I hate them. Well deserved loss.

Hehehe I'm only disappointed with Braga because it made me lose the bet that seemed easy  Grin

At the start of the season, I remember some users posting that Sporting were undoubtedly champions  Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
Which shows us that nothing is ever guaranteed in football, which is why I think betting is so fascinating and fun, you bet and you're not sure that the favorite will win, or that they'll score lots of goals...

My opinion is that at the moment, all three teams have an equal chance of being champions, like 33% each one

Does anyone here think there's a favorite to win the title?

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..GAMES..
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Abbatty
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January 01, 2025, 09:45:38 AM
 #349

Hehehe I'm only disappointed with Braga because it made me lose the bet that seemed easy  Grin

At the start of the season, I remember some users posting that Sporting were undoubtedly champions  Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
Which shows us that nothing is ever guaranteed in football, which is why I think betting is so fascinating and fun, you bet and you're not sure that the favorite will win, or that they'll score lots of goals...

My opinion is that at the moment, all three teams have an equal chance of being champions, like 33% each one

Does anyone here think there's a favorite to win the title?
I was amongst those who decleared sporting as winner of this season league but maybe I was wrong or maybe if Ruben Amorim was still their manage maybe I was right. During Ruben Amorim time at sporting they look unstoppable and were in a very good position to win the league. Well everything changed when he decide to join Manchester United. Sporting frequent poor performance in recent month have took them out of then the favorite even though they sit first position in the league currently.

As for me I still give sporting 40% chance of winning the league, they have a couple of players who can make differences, the likes of Gyokeres, Goncalves and maybe Trincao too. Then I give both benfica and Porto 30% each chances of winning the league.

I believe after that win against benfica, sporting will build on that momentum and comeback from their recent setback. They defended very well against benfica and I I saw a lot of improvement in that match. I hope they win the league.

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January 01, 2025, 01:05:32 PM
 #350

I was amongst those who decleared sporting as winner of this season league but maybe I was wrong or maybe if Ruben Amorim was still their manage maybe I was right. During Ruben Amorim time at sporting they look unstoppable and were in a very good position to win the league. Well everything changed when he decide to join Manchester United. Sporting frequent poor performance in recent month have took them out of then the favorite even though they sit first position in the league currently.

As for me I still give sporting 40% chance of winning the league, they have a couple of players who can make differences, the likes of Gyokeres, Goncalves and maybe Trincao too. Then I give both benfica and Porto 30% each chances of winning the league.

I believe after that win against benfica, sporting will build on that momentum and comeback from their recent setback. They defended very well against benfica and I I saw a lot of improvement in that match. I hope they win the league.

I can't disagree with you, I also think it's quite plausible that Sporting has something like a 40% chance of being champions, because after all, even with all the problems, it's Sporting that's in the lead
Gyokeres hasn't managed to play as well in the last few matches as he did under Amorim

Sporting reacted quickly to hire the new coach, and must also have worked on the players' psychology to get them back to winning ways
This win against Benfica could be a key factor in getting back to victories as it really boosts the morale of all the players and makes the atmosphere more relaxed

In two days' time we'll see another “difficult” game for Sporting against Vitória, and we'll be able to analyze the new coach even better.

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..1win..
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..GAMES..
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January 02, 2025, 03:54:47 AM
 #351

~snip~
You are absolutely right, most teams that change manager after season have commence tends to suffer for the reminder of the season, just like you said they new manage might find it difficult to implement his style of play and even if he implement his new style of play most players will  find it difficult to adapt to the new style with that short period of style which might be causing them points weeks in weeks out.

After the last match against benfica I saw some improvement in the sporting side, i can say they are gradually improving under the new management, their passes have improved and even the way they create chances has also improved though they are still struggling with the goals but with time I believe they will get there.
Initial planning if I not mistaken Manchester United had an agreement to bring in Amorim at the end of the season after all competitions were finished but in reality Manchester United accelerated it and all of that greatly affected Sporting in terms of performance quality in almost every match.

Hopefully what is widely discussed about this gradual development and improvement can produce satisfactory results, it will be very disappointing for many people when Sporting later fails and they will get some bad sentiments from some people.
If later in the Taca da Liga Sporting is able to reach the final and even win the title then that is good initial achievement for Rui Borges.
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January 02, 2025, 08:49:28 AM
 #352

Initial planning if I not mistaken Manchester United had an agreement to bring in Amorim at the end of the season after all competitions were finished but in reality Manchester United accelerated it and all of that greatly affected Sporting in terms of performance quality in almost every match.

Hopefully what is widely discussed about this gradual development and improvement can produce satisfactory results, it will be very disappointing for many people when Sporting later fails and they will get some bad sentiments from some people.
If later in the Taca da Liga Sporting is able to reach the final and even win the title then that is good initial achievement for Rui Borges.
Yeah Manchester United plans was to let Amorim take over after this current season but they were trigger to bring him in this soon because of Eric Ten Hag constant poor performance both in the league and the Europa league. But maybe it was a bad idea because ever since Amorim left for Manchester it has been difficult for him too. Sporting on the other hand are also struggling, even though they are sitting at the top of the league, they should be at least of clear second position by 6 to 7 points. The league is not open and anybody can win it, though I’m giving sporting a higher chance of still winning the league but then it not going to be easy for them .

Of course a lot of people will be disappointed especially their fans if sporting don’t win this league, because they were in a very good position to win it. It will be a very big achievement for the entire sporting family but most of all for Rui Borges and his players. I hope they win it.

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January 02, 2025, 10:57:54 AM
 #353

Sometimes it's hard to get lucky with bets hehehe
Sporting, who were most unlikely to win, managed to win
And Braga, who I was more “sure” would get a win against Casa Pia, ended up losing, playing at home and have now distanced themselves a lot from the top 3, having 10 points difference now
And of course I lost my bet  Embarrassed

At least Sporting managed to end the year in first place, and this can give some peace to them to start with the new coach with less pressure

For the last games of this League, I didn't bet on any game because I knew it would l be very difficult for someone to win, the game of sporting against Benfica made me feel the last matches would look boring and if you look at the sports team game against Benfica both teams did not score goals like we expected, sporting manage to win the match as they score one goal to take the lead in the game, I expect both teams win because both teams have good players.

Since the sporting sack of the Manager who replaced Ruben Amorim and started losing games the performance of the sporting team has changed and I can see they every player is doing well even Gyokeres is doing well, although Gyokeres is not scoring goals as he was doing in the beginning but he is still doing well by creating chances for scoring goals and also give assist, people can still bet on sporting as they have started performing well like they did before.

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January 02, 2025, 01:02:58 PM
 #354

Braga faced Casa Pia at home.Braga failed to win the match despite being heavy favorites against their opponent.The first half of the match ended in a 1-1 draw and Casa Pia won with Moreira's goal in the second half and managed to get 3 points in an important away match.
The winner in the most important match of the week was Sporting.Sporting managed to win 1-0 against Benfica and took the lead.I think Sporting won with Catamo's goal and got more than 3 points.

After Amorim left the team, Lisbon struggled a bit and lost points in a series.

Keni lost to Santa Clara at home and lost 2-1 to Moreirense the following week. They drew 0-0 with Gil Vicente.
The defeat of Benfica at home gave the players a great sense of self-confidence. They became leaders in the league again.
Nothing has changed for Benfica.
As a result, they lost a big match. The three strongest teams in Portugal are at the top and the championship race will be very tough this year.
Benfica is one step ahead for me but the worst part is that they do not have an effective goal scorer unfortunately.
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January 02, 2025, 07:56:44 PM
 #355

Braga faced Casa Pia at home.Braga failed to win the match despite being heavy favorites against their opponent.The first half of the match ended in a 1-1 draw and Casa Pia won with Moreira's goal in the second half and managed to get 3 points in an important away match.
The winner in the most important match of the week was Sporting.Sporting managed to win 1-0 against Benfica and took the lead.I think Sporting won with Catamo's goal and got more than 3 points.

After Amorim left the team, Lisbon struggled a bit and lost points in a series.

Keni lost to Santa Clara at home and lost 2-1 to Moreirense the following week. They drew 0-0 with Gil Vicente.
The defeat of Benfica at home gave the players a great sense of self-confidence. They became leaders in the league again.
Nothing has changed for Benfica.
As a result, they lost a big match. The three strongest teams in Portugal are at the top and the championship race will be very tough this year.
Benfica is one step ahead for me but the worst part is that they do not have an effective goal scorer unfortunately.

In my opinion, Benfica is the team with the least chance of winning the title this season. I see Porto as having the greatest chance of winning the title, and then Sporting would come if they can play well, and finally Benfica. Benfica's biggest problem is that they can't be consistent in the most important moments, as was the case in the game against Sporting, which if they had won they would be at the top of the table.

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January 03, 2025, 07:48:00 AM
 #356

In this last round, we had the biggest derby of the championship Sporting vs Benfica, where Sporting, despite the problems they were facing, managed to beat Benfica. With this result, the championship is in full swing, with the top three places separated by just 1 point, as we reach the end of the first round. This weekend we will have the last round of the first round, marking the middle of the season.

MATCH DAY 16 - RESULTS:
Famalicão 1-2 Santa Clara
Sporting 1-0 Benfica
Braga 1-2 Casa Pia
Farense 2-2 Vit. Guimarães
Rio Ave 2-1 Nacional
Porto 4-0 Boavista
Estoril 2-2 Moreirense
AVS 1-1 Estrela Amadora
Arouca 1-1 Gil Vicente


MATCH DAY 17:
03.01. 18:00 Nacional vs Porto
03.01. 20:15 Vit. Guimarães vs Sporting
04.01. 15:30 Moreirense vs AVS
04.01. 18:00 Benfica vs Braga
04.01. 20:30 Boavista vs Arouca
05.01. 15:30 Santa Clara vs Farense
05.01. 18:00 Casa Pia vs Famalicão
05.01. 20:30 Estrela Amadora vs Estoril
06.01. 20:15 Gil Vicente vs Rio Ave
Info: day.month. time (Lisbon time)





LEADERBOARD:
POSTeamPLD W   D   L   GF  GA  GD  PTS
1 Sporting16131244103440
2 Porto1613124093140
3 Benfica1612223792838
4 Santa Clara1610061816230
5 Braga1684428181028
6 Vit. Guimarães166642218424
7 Casa Pia166551819-123
8 Moreirense166372124-321
9 Famalicão164751919019
10 Rio Ave165471727-1019
11 Gil Vicente164661825-718
12 Estrela Amadora164481425-1116
13 Estoril163671426-1215
14 AVS162861223-1114
15 Nacional163491123-1213
16 Farense163491123-1213
17 Boavista162681023-1312
18 Arouca1633101027-1712
___
POS - League Position, PLD - Games Played, PTS - Points Earned
W - Games Won, L - Games Lost, D - Games Drawn
GD - Goal Difference, GF - Goal For, GA - Goal Against




 
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January 03, 2025, 08:51:45 AM
 #357

In this last round, we had the biggest derby of the championship Sporting vs Benfica, where Sporting, despite the problems they were facing, managed to beat Benfica. With this result, the championship is in full swing, with the top three places separated by just 1 point, as we reach the end of the first round. This weekend we will have the last round of the first round, marking the middle of the season.

MATCH DAY 16 - RESULTS:
Famalicão 1-2 Santa Clara
Sporting 1-0 Benfica
Braga 1-2 Casa Pia
Farense 2-2 Vit. Guimarães
Rio Ave 2-1 Nacional
Porto 4-0 Boavista
Estoril 2-2 Moreirense
AVS 1-1 Estrela Amadora
Arouca 1-1 Gil Vicente


MATCH DAY 17:
03.01. 18:00 Nacional vs Porto
03.01. 20:15 Vit. Guimarães vs Sporting
04.01. 15:30 Moreirense vs AVS
04.01. 18:00 Benfica vs Braga
04.01. 20:30 Boavista vs Arouca
05.01. 15:30 Santa Clara vs Farense
05.01. 18:00 Casa Pia vs Famalicão
05.01. 20:30 Estrela Amadora vs Estoril
06.01. 20:15 Gil Vicente vs Rio Ave
Info: day.month. time (Lisbon time)





LEADERBOARD:
POSTeamPLD W   D   L   GF  GA  GD  PTS
1 Sporting16131244103440
2 Porto1613124093140
3 Benfica1612223792838
4 Santa Clara1610061816230
5 Braga1684428181028
6 Vit. Guimarães166642218424
7 Casa Pia166551819-123
8 Moreirense166372124-321
9 Famalicão164751919019
10 Rio Ave165471727-1019
11 Gil Vicente164661825-718
12 Estrela Amadora164481425-1116
13 Estoril163671426-1215
14 AVS162861223-1114
15 Nacional163491123-1213
16 Farense163491123-1213
17 Boavista162681023-1312
18 Arouca1633101027-1712
___
POS - League Position, PLD - Games Played, PTS - Points Earned
W - Games Won, L - Games Lost, D - Games Drawn
GD - Goal Difference, GF - Goal For, GA - Goal Against




The top 3 are separated by 2 points and not 1 point like you said, with both sporting and Porto being tied on 40points while after that derby lose to sporting, benfica are having 38points. Both sporting and benfica also have a big match in this final phase of the first leg. Sporting will face Vitoria Guimaraes away from home, for sure it going to be a tough match. Benfica also take on Braga, benfica will be at home and after that derby lose, they will definitely need a bounce back, all 3 point will still put them in the title race.

Porto have the upper hand this coming weekend and they could possibly go top of the league, they play against Nacional, who are currently 15 in the table, escaping the relegation zone with just goal difference. Porto are in good foam and for sure it suppose to be an easy win for them.

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January 03, 2025, 03:37:37 PM
 #358

CD Nacional Madeira - FC Porto

I'm betting on FC Porto to win this game, because in recent games Porto has shown itself to be a consistent team, they haven't conceded many goals and have managed to score many goals, while their opponent, Nacional, has only managed to get one win in the last 5 games, having gone 3 consecutive games without winning. So I hope Porto wins. I heard on the news that the weather could cause the game to be postponed, but so far the predictions were that there would be a game.


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January 03, 2025, 04:24:53 PM
 #359

In my opinion, Benfica is the team with the least chance of winning the title this season. I see Porto as having the greatest chance of winning the title, and then Sporting would come if they can play well, and finally Benfica. Benfica's biggest problem is that they can't be consistent in the most important moments, as was the case in the game against Sporting, which if they had won they would be at the top of the table.
We have currently just 16 rounds ended with still 18 rounds left even now due to exit of Ruben Amorim Sporting CP if still feeling impact, but things could be interesting for rest of season while we will be having all three teams in tough challenge for title race with nothing is easily predictable who is going to win from here now today we have few exciting matches with Benfica is going to host Braga after losing against Sporting CP in away game and Braga also lost to Casa Pia which give them setback so both looking for back on winning track.

In few other games, we have Vitoria Guimaraes going to host Sporting CP this could be interesting game as they want to stay at the top and Vitoria Guimaraes is not easy team to beat at home we have easy game for Porto which is also looking for spot at the top of league table.
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January 03, 2025, 07:28:40 PM
 #360

CD Nacional Madeira - FC Porto

I'm betting on FC Porto to win this game, because in recent games Porto has shown itself to be a consistent team, they haven't conceded many goals and have managed to score many goals, while their opponent, Nacional, has only managed to get one win in the last 5 games, having gone 3 consecutive games without winning. So I hope Porto wins. I heard on the news that the weather could cause the game to be postponed, but so far the predictions were that there would be a game.


Here we go again -game got postponed after less than 10 minutes played. There was no visibility because of fog. It's already second time this season when Nacional game got postponed because of fog, previous time it happened when they played with Benfica. I read that they're planning to play game tomorrow. I'm only feel sorry for Porto fans who went to this game - trip to Madeira island probably isn't cheap.
Later tonight Vitoria Guimaraes vs Sporting. A bit surprised to see such high odds for Sporting - 1.95. I couldn't resist from making bet as I believe that Sporting is going to improve under new coach.

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