New Diff thread Mar 22 to Apr. 5 not ready for prime time

[HerbPean]

Today looks like another +10% day, most likely it will be +10 to +15% at the end of the cycle.

We are two days in the diff... things can change quickly. We have seen peak in hashrate before.

All of this happened before and will happen again ;-)

Nope, I'm pretty sure the sky is falling for real this time

I was looking at AntPool and they seem to be having another good day (well, good for them, not so much for other miners).

Keep the the law of average in mind my friend ^_^

Luck won't keep it up forever.

You don't need luck when you have a significant percentage of the total network hash power at your disposal.

i'm just saying that speculating on luck doesn't work on the long term.

Like if the network luck is high during the first 500 block it doesn't mean it'll be the same thing for the rest.

But yes, if someone was holding 50 Peta off for a month+, i guess so.

[1714678553]

1714678553

[1714678553]

1714678553

[Last of the V8s]

Maybe +8.76 to +9% thanks

[notlist3d]

Bitwisdom and spreadsheet seem to be apart pretty far.  Which one is more accurate long term like now?

[philipma1957]

Bitwisdom and spreadsheet seem to be apart pretty far.  Which one is more accurate long term like now?

in this case I would blend the 2 and get an average. Then lean on the high side of the average.

So

 https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty  --------------------------------------------------------------------->>>>>>>>>>>>(+2.00%)

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1qmF2knc5rSrJLESgQJYBz8mPzpKihmSzPPQUGH7pT8g/edit#gid=561061211 -->(+10.40%)

is a 6.20% for an average.

 Lean high  6.66 to 7.77  If I was really trying to pick today. I would look in between  those numbers.

If I was really trying to win the contest instead of always picking -1.11%

 I would grab a 7.01 to 7.25  I watch a lot the next 2 days and adjust on the 28th.

[philipma1957]

-5.01 to -5.25 open ----------------- Chris_Sabian

-4.01 to -4.25 Medow

 5 or six spots


-2.51 to   -2.75  tarmi--------------this was  corrected from -2.51 to -2.76
-2.26 to   -2.50  Roadstress-------- this was corrected from -2.25 to -2.49
-2.01 to   -2.25  Mikestang--------- this was corrected from -2.00 to -2.25
-1.76 to   -2.00 Quickseller
-1.51 to   -1.75 edonkey
-1.26 to   -1.50 valkir
-1.01  to  -1.25 philipma1957
-0.76  to  -1.00 notlist3d
-0.51 to   -0.75  Jamphone
-0.26 to   -0.50 coinits

-0.01 to   -0.25  open------------------- MegaFall

0.00 is open

+0.01 to  +0.25 Amph
+0.26 to  +0.50 davejh
+0.51 to  +0.75 Kexkey
+0.76 to  +1.00 ezeminer
+1.01 to  +1.25 mavericklm
+1.26 to  +1.50  SimplisticStu
+1.51 to  +1.75  HerbPean

+1.76 to  +2.00 MegaFall-----------------A switch from (-0.01 to -0.25)
+2.01 to  +2.25 SunnyIgor
+2.26 to  +2.50 zebedee
+2.51 to  +2.75 alh
+2.76 to +3.00 Korbman
+3.01 to +3.25 tertius993
+3.26 to +3.50 jmumich------------------  A switch from +1.76 to +2.00
+3.51 to +3.75 wpt1wpt1 ------------this was corrected from +3.51 to +3.76%
+3.76 to +4.00 tlhIlwI
+4.01 to +4.25 Open------------------------ buyandhold

+5.01 to +5.25 Chris_Sabian ------------A switch from -5.01 to -5.25
+5.26 to +5.50 RealMalatesta

+7.76 to +8.00 armedmilitia

+8.76 to +9.00 Last of the V8s

+9.76 to +10.00 buyandhold------------A switch from +4.01 to +4.25

[notlist3d]

Bitwisdom and spreadsheet seem to be apart pretty far.  Which one is more accurate long term like now?

in this case I would blend the 2 and get an average. Then lean on the high side of the average.

So

 https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty  --------------------------------------------------------------------->>>>>>>>>>>>(+2.00%)

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1qmF2knc5rSrJLESgQJYBz8mPzpKihmSzPPQUGH7pT8g/edit#gid=561061211 -->(+10.40%)

is a 6.20% for an average.

 Lean high  6.66 to 7.77  If I was really trying to pick today. I would look in between  those numbers.

If I was really trying to win the contest instead of always picking -1.11%

 I would grab a 7.01 to 7.25  I watch a lot the next 2 days and adjust on the 28th.

I like your number of 6 I hope it comes closer to it.  That with a negative last time, would not be to bad.

Now if we could only get BTC price up some.

[A4Tech]

As usual my pickup is 0.00% lets see this time trying from 3 times :d

[zebedee]

Can I switch to +8.51% to +8.75% please.

[adaseb]

I would like mine to be


+12.50%

[philipma1957]

-5.01 to -5.25 open ----------------- Chris_Sabian

-4.01 to -4.25 Medow

 5 or six spots


-2.51 to   -2.75  tarmi--------------this was  corrected from -2.51 to -2.76
-2.26 to   -2.50  Roadstress-------- this was corrected from -2.25 to -2.49
-2.01 to   -2.25  Mikestang--------- this was corrected from -2.00 to -2.25
-1.76 to   -2.00 Quickseller
-1.51 to   -1.75 edonkey
-1.26 to   -1.50 valkir
-1.01  to  -1.25 philipma1957
-0.76  to  -1.00 notlist3d
-0.51 to   -0.75  Jamphone
-0.26 to   -0.50 coinits

-0.01 to   -0.25  open------------------- MegaFall

0.00-------------- A4TECH
+0.01 to  +0.25 Amph
+0.26 to  +0.50 davejh
+0.51 to  +0.75 Kexkey
+0.76 to  +1.00 ezeminer
+1.01 to  +1.25 mavericklm
+1.26 to  +1.50  SimplisticStu
+1.51 to  +1.75  HerbPean

+1.76 to  +2.00 MegaFall-----------------A switch from (-0.01 to -0.25)
+2.01 to  +2.25 SunnyIgor

+2.26 to  +2.50 Open---------------- zebedee

+2.51 to  +2.75 alh
+2.76 to +3.00 Korbman
+3.01 to +3.25 tertius993
+3.26 to +3.50 jmumich------------------  A switch from +1.76 to +2.00
+3.51 to +3.75 wpt1wpt1 ------------this was corrected from +3.51 to +3.76%
+3.76 to +4.00 tlhIlwI
+4.01 to +4.25 Open------------------------ buyandhold

+5.01 to +5.25 Chris_Sabian ------------A switch from -5.01 to -5.25
+5.26 to +5.50 RealMalatesta

+7.76 to +8.00 armedmilitia
+8.51 to +8.75 zebedee--------------------A switch from +2.26 to +2.50
+8.76 to +9.00 Last of the V8s

+9.76 to +10.00 buyandhold------------A switch from +4.01 to +4.25

+12.01 to +12.50 adaseb------------corrected from 12.50

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty (+2.52%)

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1qmF2knc5rSrJLESgQJYBz8mPzpKihmSzPPQUGH7pT8g/edit#gid=561061211

(+9.09%)  more sane then yesterday.

[freedomno1]

I'll take a range of 6-6.25%
May get lucky ha-ha

[notlist3d]

I'll take a range of 6-6.25%
May get lucky ha-ha

I hope you get it.  I really don't want to see 10 percent.  Google doc still shows around 9 expected.  Slowing down a little but not as much as I wanted.

[zebedee]

Wasn't aware, removed it myself.

[notlist3d]

Wasn't aware, removed it myself.

Thanks! Removed my message as it had the link in it.

[adaseb]

Looking at the spreadsheet we are currently at +65% for the day.


Not looking good.

349450 (Main Chain)   2015-03-27 05:56:14   AntPool   00000000000000000c37db6c35bc709e17911b65a2ea78a7ba2ef305a4706afa
349449 (Main Chain)   2015-03-27 05:55:11   BW.COM   0000000000000000147a01de38ddcb804387786be124f7153a40fb73d5fc0cdc
349448 (Main Chain)   2015-03-27 05:48:05   BW.COM   00000000000000000ffb73bda2d8c749263a6a8568ada783bd43a83d709b080a
349447 (Main Chain)   2015-03-27 05:47:34   AntPool   00000000000000000467ed3a1aea73fbbde4e9af2ed09e1d56a83047239e7e5e
349446 (Main Chain)   2015-03-27 05:41:57   AntPool   00000000000000000f7efa4fd6b4342ff07b0f652d262f09f62f3fb6df06dca6
349445 (Main Chain)   2015-03-27 05:36:51   BTC Guild   000000000000000008000267976e5664ace5bd8ff934149cde06d18e851c0330
349444 (Main Chain)   2015-03-27 05:34:07   F2Pool   0000000000000000139bc6ff6513b658e055eac090951378f31555a7cb72fa7a
349443 (Main Chain)   2015-03-27 05:27:29   F2Pool   000000000000000000a02fc219f20169f605c58bc55faadd5fcb5aab0094f3e9
349442 (Main Chain)   2015-03-27 05:36:53   46.254.252.25   00000000000000000e35532548e48e95a50a4ee954be57f45a9479f4e378cd77
349441 (Main Chain)   2015-03-27 05:21:14   Eligius   0000000000000000083d176dd48e0eea81eac98bb30e611c02a8098e6bc2e467
349440 (Main Chain)   2015-03-27 05:11:50   78.157.205.6   000000000000000006405db60966ade6f9877b8c4876e036390951e7ec852c37
349439 (Main Chain)   2015-03-27 05:13:51   MegaBigPower   000000000000000010c946d4b70d61073881a1527090f9caa2015ff8986ad63a
349438 (Main Chain)   2015-03-27 05:09:14   AntPool   0000000000000000101e56ad7f357f1c0abcc102926fe4bae35cef8b5d1ad918
349437 (Main Chain)   2015-03-27 05:00:51   KnCMiner   000000000000000011d96a5aca2fe4b832f6c8379e1163d127f31fb22c234416

In one hour there was 14 blocks solved instead of the usual 6.



Mining is finished....

[RoadStress]

It looks like I need to switch too. Sorry philipma1957 for the trouble.

From -2.26 to -2.50 to +13.01 to +13.50

[SimplisticStu]

Hey Philipma1957 you have given adaseb 2 slots

He currently holds +12.01 - 12.25 and also 12.26 - 12.50

+12.01 to +12.50 adaseb------------corrected from 12.50

It's only fair to the rest to point this out 

[mavericklm]

Estimated Next Difficulty:    49,579,206,785 (+6.13%)

the roof is catching some fire....

[lovenlifelarge]

+15% for me..

its already 6.16% & bitmain S5's are due on the 30th if they aren't being released already..

[notlist3d]

+15% for me..

its already 6.16% & bitmain S5's are due on the 30th if they aren't being released already..

Ouch I sure hope were not going this high.  A +15 would be a big jump.