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1001  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: 77% into the next Bitcoin halving on: May 31, 2023, 04:10:24 AM
I am looking forward to seeing how the next post-halving cycle develops, as this one disappointed expectations, and based on what happens in the next one we can get an idea of what is to come in the subsequent ones.
Not all cycles are the same and with future halvings when block rewards become smaller and Bitcoin price becomes more expensive, effects on price from Bitcoin halvings would be smaller.

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Well, the parabolic of this cycle has only given 3.5x the maximum of the previous cycle, it has certainly been the least parabolic of all the cycles, so I want to see what happens in the next one, because if the maximum return is 3.5 or less we can already get an idea that we are not going to have parabolic returns in the future. Probably good returns, yes, but with lower volatility, which is not a bad thing at all.
Parobolic curves will occur with each halving. Only the growth intensity will be different. Very big in the past and will be smaller in future, it is what I believe about effects of future halvings on Bitcoin price.

3.5x from a previous all time high, I don't know but it is if you look at it from a previous all time high. If you look at it from now, with price under $30,000 that is half of a current all time high. If in 2024 or 2025, Bitcoin rises to $120,000, it will be 3x from today price. I don't care about 3.x or 3.5x from $69k.
1002  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: 77% into the next Bitcoin halving on: May 31, 2023, 02:15:02 AM

Chart Source: https://charts.bitbo.io/halving-progress/
Real time Bitcoin halving progress shows that we are already 77% into the next Bitcoin halving.
We are in a calm period before a next halving and before a next parabolic curve. Reward Era Comparison can help you comparing some latest cycles and the on-going cycle.

Will the parabolic storm come back? It will do come back certainly.

With another view, you can Compare bull markets.

When price is in a bear market, Dollar Cost Averaging is best. https://dcabtc.com/. DCA is perfect when bottom is found and I think we already saw the bottom of 2022 and 2023 bear market.
1003  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: The Satoshi is a saint on: May 31, 2023, 02:06:09 AM
But literally speaking Satoshi nakamoto is a "saint " who literally forged the future transaction method and just disappeared
You will create arguments if you call Satoshi Nakamoto as a Saint, God, but if you call only as Satoshi or Satoshi Nakamoto, no argument will appear. I usually use the word Satoshi when I mention about Satoshi Nakamoto.

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I recently just took some basic knowledge about crypto currencies and Defi that was when I actually acknowledged the fact
Bitcoin and Satoshi Nakamoto don't have anything to do with DeFi. Please stop trying to connect Bitcoin, Satoshi Nakamoto with DeFi. DeFi is more about altcoins and many altcoins don't have good quality. Connecting them with Bitcoin will make Bitcoin has low quality like altcoins.
1004  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: May 30, 2023, 01:58:41 PM
I was really rooting for Dortmund, it was such a shame. I still can’t believe they choked. All they had to do was beat Mainz at home. The players really let the fans down. Bayern have dominated that league for a decade, it’s nothing other than Dortmund choking that denied them the title.

I watched the 2nd half, Dortmund missed so many chances. The damage was done in the first half though being 2-0 down. They will lose Bellingham now, hopefully they spend that money well and go again next season but I dunno if they will get a better chance. A simple victory against a mediocre Mainz with nothing to play for wasall that stood in their way, unacceptable really
First they made mistakes in the first half and got two conceded goals. Second, they wasted opportunities in the second half and threw the title away to Bayern Munich. In latest matches of Bundesliga, Haller had excellent scoring form but in the last match, his streak stopped and Dortmund lost the title.

It is not a personal responsible from only Haller but the whole team of Dortmund have to be responsible for it. They got the crown and lost it by themselves and regret that in a season when Bayern Munich are weaker than usual, Dortmund still failed to beat Bayern.

Another season in Bundesliga and again Bayern Munich won the league while other teams were not in a good situation the main reason for Bayern Munich to win this league was primarily because of the mistakes by other teams the points they lost during this season and other teams like Dortmund had an excellent chance to finally win the league after years of failing, while Dortmund could easily win the game against Mainz but they failed and Bayern Munich won the Bundesliga title for another time.
In this season, Bayern won the title because they are the best club amongst many clubs with many problems. They are not stronger or better than Dortmund but they took the title over from Dortmund in very last minute of the season.

Jasmal Musiala has confidence of a potential star player in future. In very last minutes, he decided to make that shot but not make a pass to his team mates, and it shows his potentiality to become a new super star player, a future of Bayern.
1005  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2022/23 on: May 30, 2023, 10:42:38 AM
Real Madrid is the best not only in La Liga but in all aspects. How we consider Barcelona better than Real Madrid. Did Barca get the best of Real Madrid after winning the league title this season?
The best is a very general term. The best is only correct if you are saying about one season, a period like 5 years, 10 years or whole long history of La Liga. If your statement does not include the time frame, it will cause confusion and argument too. Because without a time frame, your statement will easily be not correct.

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So far, Real Madrid have won the UEFA Champions League trophy 14 times while Barcelona have won only five times. Barcelona are slightly ahead of Real Madrid in terms of La Liga title wins. But in all other tournament performances, Real Madrid is ahead. 
They won many Champions League titles and are the best in terms of a club which hold most titles so far. However, if you mentioned it at a period when Real Madrid failed to win their 10th Champions League, to complete their Decima, you will be wrong.

Let's see following years when Real Madrid won Champions League according to Wikipedia

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1956, 1957, 1958, 1959, 1960, 1966, 1998, 2000, 2002, 2014, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2022

From 2002 to 2014, many clubs won Champions League but Real Madrid did not win a single title there.

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I consider Real Madrid a factory for producing players. Because Real Madrid has produced many talented players so far and in the future they will find more talented players and make them more efficient.
They are not a factory of star players. In fact they buy star and super star players and those players are dominating their home-grown star and super star players.
1006  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2022/23 Season on: May 30, 2023, 10:33:03 AM
There are so many things that can change anytime before the match will be starting.

- Line up
- Strategy

The fact that if the final line up for manchester city is quite easy to predict compared with intermilan. it's caused by once simeone was changing the striker and he will be also changing the mechanism that used by the club.
I wonder what line up that already planned by simeone. Some reporters were asking him but he was not giving answer or even clue related to the future line up.

That's why the match against manchester city is very hard to predict. I do agree with you. Betting before the final will be starting was right.
Simeone Inzaghi does not have too many choices to choose from tactics to players for his squad or in substitutions. Inter Milan don't have too deep squad like Manchester City and for example at a striker position, they only have two players to replace each other: Lukaku and Dzeko.

In tactics, they don't have too many options like Manchester City. First of all they don't use too many tactics and are too flexible with tactics like Manchester City. Secondly, when facing against Manchester City, they don't have too many good options in tactics to choose.

With Inter Milan and Simeone Inzaghi, if one of their players get injured and miss the final match, they will likely lose big part of their strength.
1007  Economy / Gambling / Re: 🎲BetFury.io|🎉BetFury Affiliate Program is live| 💸Earn with RevShare up to 60% on: May 30, 2023, 10:28:15 AM
Of course, there is a huge difference in games when you initially have an advantage in your knowledge or skill.  Naturally, the probability of your winning increases.  In this regard, if we consider purely random games, like dice, then the chances of players to win are simply equal in them.
Even with random game like dice, you will have to choose multiplier when playing and an experienced gamblers will not pick too high multiplier. It is like they make dice to meet wager requirement for wager contests. Experienced gamblers don't need to win big and they only aim at balance when they gamble manually or with dice bot. Chasing too high multipliers and big wins will cause you losses.

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If we talk about sports betting, then someone who knows a lot in this field of activity always has a significant advantage in their bets.  But a game like poker occupies an intermediate position, since the distribution of cards introduces an element of chance. 
Football and team sports are more complicated as results can be changed by a single person and by a single moment. We don't know when those moments occur and sports are harder to control with our bets. Personally I only bet in sports for fun, just to watch a match with more emotion and that's all. I don't hope to get rich with sport betting.
1008  Economy / Gambling / Re: ❤️ BitcoinCasino.to - Guide & Reviews - 1400+ Crypto Casinos List on: May 26, 2023, 03:47:45 PM
Your review website has many types of contents for guests and it is good but I notice that your site does not have any part about Provably Fair Verifier.

You can consider to add it on your site as Review will be not fully completed and correct if you don't use Provably Fair Verifier to test games on a casino you review. It's important for Crypto Casino as gamblers can verify whether a game is provably fair. It gives more trust about one casino and provided games for their users.
1009  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Let's Make Children's Day Memorable with Bitcoin any suggestions? on: May 26, 2023, 03:36:25 PM
However I'm in need of some suggestions on how I  can make it truly fun and enjoyable for them. I want this day to be filled with laughter excitement and lasting memories. but don't really know what to do excalty.Do you have any suggestions for activities that I can organize for the kids
Depends on age of those kids, you will have to organize different things for them. Mindset of kids changes a lot just after 6 months or 1 to 2 years and if you have kids, you will recognize that. Change in mindset is part of their growth and you can not force a 6 years old kid to play a game for 4 years old kid, it's not funny and exciting at all.

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Perhaps a game that teaches them about Bitcoin while keeping them entertained? Or any other ideas that could make this day extra special for them?
Makes something funny for them and don't always think about Bitcoin because you are in Bitcointalk and your kids and friends have to play games about Bitcoin.

Bitcoin Bubble Shooter https://www.mortgagecalculator.org/money-games/bitcoin-bubble-shooter/
1010  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Incorporating in El Salvador on: May 26, 2023, 01:20:04 PM
I want to incorporate my bitcoin business in El Salvador. Please help.
They are friendly with Bitcoin and El Salvador is a first nation makes Bitcoin legal tender. They airdropped bitcoins to their citizens too but if you want to have business there, it is risky.

El Salvador has very high criminal rates and it is not a safe place to run business. I am not sure your idea to incorporate business but if you will directly open business office there, it is risky. If you do it indirectly through your business partner, it is still risky as your business partner will have risk of criminal activities too.

I don't think it is impossible for business as many companies have their business in El Salvador with Bitcoin and Lightning Network. Just aware of risk.
1011  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Europa League 2022/23 Season on: May 26, 2023, 01:09:43 PM
If you're a die-hard Jose Mourinho fan, there's news that might unsettle your confidence. Presently, Sevilla is receiving promising tidings, as three of their star players have returned to training after a prolonged absence due to injuries.

Marcao, Tanguy Nianzou, and Joan Jordan seem poised to fortify Sevilla for the final match against AS Roma. Despite Sevilla's display of considerable strength in their previous encounters, the inclusion of these three players undoubtedly augments Sevilla's prowess. The final match is bound to intensify further.
It's the final match and many players only have one final match in their career and I am sure no player will play not with their best in a final match. Like Roma, it's only a third final match in Europe in their history that is about 100 years. Sevilla won 5 Europa League but not all of their players had one Europa League title or a final match.

With their ambition to win a final match and lift the crown, the final will be a hot competition between two teams. Both clubs have some players who recovered good from injuries and they will be able to contribute in the match. It's easy if you choose a winner when you are a fan of one team but if you are not a fan of any team in the final, it will be very difficult to choose winner. Because they are not different too much in quality and each club have their own strength and weakness in this season.
1012  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Europa League 2022/23 Season on: May 25, 2023, 01:59:52 AM
This is about an experienced Coach and an experienced team. We can’t really deliberate much about these two teams as anything can happen on the day of the final. Sevilla was able to defeat Juventus to reach the finals, so I feel they’ve higher chance to win the trophy than Roma who only has an experienced coach to see them through the finals.
I believe that biggest difference between two teams is from difference of experience of their coaches. Sevilla have more experienced players than Roma and they are more experienced in Europa League than Roma. However, this difference is not too big if you consider Roma have many international players and they already got a very successful Conference League in the last season. Difference between them three seasons ago can be bigger than now and in the final, I think they don't have difference in player quality and experience.

So now the another difference can decide the final match, between two coaches. No doubtful fact that Mourinho is a big difference for Roma with his long coach career and abundant experience with big matches. José Luis Mendilibar does not have such experience like Mourinho and he will be weakness of Sevilla that can be exploited by Mourinho and Roma.

Mendilibar does not have good profile: Wiki and his Manager profile
1013  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: May 25, 2023, 01:51:08 AM
I honestly dont see a way for Inter to beat Man City. Man City needs to be really terrible and mess this up big for Inter to win. Man City also rested a lot of players so they will be fully ready for Inter. If i was inter i would park the bus but still that cannot keep Man City for long
There are weak clubs can win against Manchester City and Inter Milan are not a weak team. I understand that the Champions League final match is a very big match and very different than normal matches.

Players from both Manchester City and Inter Milan especially Inter Milan players, know that this final match can be the only one final match in their player career. Manchester City might have another final match as they are so strong in Champions League and continue to improve themselves. With Inter Milan, they don't have too good financial budget and it's hard for them to have another final match in future.

This final is their first final match in Champions League after 13 years. 13 years are long enough to see one player ends his career with a retirement. I really believe that many Inter Milan are aware this is only one chance for them to lift Champions League trophy. This awareness will give them great strength to beat Manchester City and surprise can be made.
1014  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Computer Vision Syndrome/Efficiency when Trading on: May 25, 2023, 01:41:24 AM
Hi Could you share tips on how to Combat Computer Vision Syndrome and be more efficient when trading?
You have to visit a Ophthalmologist and get special advice for your eyesight issue.

Generally you can find preventive solutions for your computer, screens and your eyes like wearing blue anti-light glasses. I know it is inconvenience for people who have never wear glasses. You can spend more budget for better screen which has less blue light.

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Also is there a way to change the background colour in bingx when trading? The background colour in bingx is black but I think a white background would be better for me..
Exchanges usually have two modes: Light and Dark modes. If BingX does not have Dark Mode, ask them to add it.

Alternatively you can install extensions but use them with risk awareness.

https://chrome.google.com/webstore/search/dark%20mode?hl=en
https://github.com/darkreader/darkreader (open source)
1015  Economy / Gambling / Re: Roobet.com | Crypto’s Fastest Growing Casino 🦘 on: May 25, 2023, 01:16:23 AM
I agree. If you don't like the rules and what the casino is asking to their players to be able to play, then don't gamble because no one is forcing you to comply if you really don't want to. We always have a choice and there are plenty of options out there so it's not an issue.

The gamblers who remain playing despite of the sudden changes are indeed loyal and aware that Roobet is reputable and one of the trusted casino currently.
Nothing remains permanently and policies can be changed. If a casino makes policy changes and announces it publicly, keeps it in their Change-Log, I don't see any big problem for customers. It's transparently and fairly enough.

Policy changes are made, you are free to comply with it and stay with us or just leave to another place. We are thankful for all your time being with us so far and we wish you the best in future. Honestly, Roobet is a big casino and they pay fairly to all users who don't abuse their system. Sweet experience for non abusive users on Roobet is what I believe.

OK, to mention one of the decentralized casinos, Just-bet is atleast, one of the latest decentralized casino listed on this forum, though I've not tried gambling there, and don't know if I ever would find a good reason to, simply because passing kyc verification is not really my problem, and I am not a user of several casinos at a time, so by this, you should understand why kyc is not a problem to me..
Problems with people are similar. They reject to comply with policy changes in a big casino, trusted one and try to find new casinos that have unknown reputation. They only want to have experience with no KYC and sometimes they will land on a scam casino. No KYC is required by scam and steal your money.

If they have money after being scammed on other scam casinos I believe they will return to trusted ones like Roobet.  Smiley
1016  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Core Scientific Miner near to exit from Bankruptcy on: May 24, 2023, 06:11:11 AM
Problems with small and new mining farms are they don't have enough experience in Bitcoin market to understand the extreme of bear market. When they started their mining business, they imagined about rosy future but life is not rosy. They thought of rosy future and bet with high leverage, they don't have any or enough reserve for bad scenarios like bear market.

At the end, they end with bankruptcy in bear market. Bear market should be a golden chance for mining farms to get more mining rewards when weak mining farms go capitulating.
1017  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Europa League 2022/23 Season on: May 24, 2023, 02:38:09 AM
A few hours ago I saw on the UEFA website they uploaded an interesting video about 2020 when these two teams faced each other in the Europa League and history says Sevill is going to win this game:
https://www.uefa.com/uefaeuropaleague/history/video/0281-181506c81b02-479a29ea3043-1000--sevilla-vs-roma-see-what-happened-in-2020/
But regarding Roma, they have a high chance because of their famous coach.
Interesting video but it is far in the past, 3 years ago. Many things changed in both clubs in three years. Sevilla look to become weaker and Roma become stronger in those years. Result can be different in the final match in Budapest.

UEFA requires guests to login in order to watch videos. I don't like this approach and they can collect our information and sell it for money.

I will not stick to the history of their meetings in the previous year because this season it is clear that these two teams are quite different in their form in the Europa League and I am still quite sure that Roma can overcome Sevilla in the final this time. Sevilla is indeed a team that has the best rally in the Europa League, but that doesn't mean they will beat Roma easily because Roma under the tutelage of Jose Mourinho has been able to appear quite impressive in the Europa League this season.
Roma got big improvement in last two seasons with Mourinho and clever transfer strategy. Sevilla were still good in the past season but in this season, they have problems and are weaker. Their final will not be decided by their history and their past meeting result. It will be decided by their present and their performances in that match.

With latest changes in both clubs, the final match will be very balance based on their quality and their forms in this season as well as recent forms.

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The journey of the two teams to reach the Europa League final this season was quite impressive, even though Roma passed through not as heavy an obstacle as Sevilla but anything can happen in the final later. Not only a great coach but Roma want to show their success in the europa league after their previous success in the european conference league.
They both have impressive performances in Europa League even they both have difficulties in their domestic leagues. Only one last match to take the crown and they both want to be winner and not only this, being a winner will help them to participate in Champions League with a special slot for Europa League champion.
1018  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Cashing out fiat in UK? on: May 24, 2023, 02:16:53 AM

This is your 4th thread you’ve started on the SAME subject!!

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5404645.msg60477758#msg60477758

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5435425.msg61609306#msg61609306

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5445305.msg61930434#msg61930434

There is no need to keep starting new threads on exactly the same topic ??

PS Have a look at your trust page  -seems you have a bit of a trend Huh

Try bumping your older threads rather than starting new ones as your other threads may get reported to the mods as spam ?
Maybe a troll or maybe repetitions to beg merits. Hope to get luck and get merit.

jerry0 case. Similar style like @jerry0 but I don't imply @JamesDaniel90 is alt of @jerry0.
1019  Economy / Scam Accusations / Re: HOTBIT EXCHANGE BANKRUPT || WITHDRAW FUND FAST on: May 23, 2023, 03:55:33 AM
Scam work from Hotbit

Hotbit listed many unofficial token which is not yet available in market with the strategy that they will give all these tokens holder 1:1 after token launch. They listed PI token which is not officially listed anywhere and price was pumped above 300$ in the Hotbit spot market. They listed Layerzero token recently and fact is that there is no token listed anywhere by official team. Hotbit users traded in these coins with thinking that they will be given these tokens after token launch but i think all goes in vain.
Bittrex, Binance and other exchanges do the same too. Do you call them as scam exchanges?

Don't call Hotbit as a scam exchange if you don't call the same with other exchanges because of their listing policy.

At least I see Hotbit are doing good thing to give their users 1 month to withdraw money. At least they don't abruptly shut down their exchange, make a shady hack announcement and run with user money.

At least we are not witnessing an exchange like Livecoin or a hack (scam?) like Cryptopia exchanges. You can not withdraw your money from those exchanges like with Hotbit.

I don't know will Hotbit smoothly proceed all withdrawal requests from their customers in a next one month. If they announced like this and won't keep promise in next one month, we can call them as a scam exchange. Now, please don't make that call, not fair enough.
1020  Economy / Gambling / Re: FORTUNEJACK.COM |Deposit 777 play with 1777 mBTC |Live Casino, Slots, Betting on: May 23, 2023, 03:33:26 AM
@buwaytress this season was a peculiar one because Liverpool player’s were not scoring earlier yet they rallied and managed to finish in a top 5th spot further Tottenham player’s who were selected also let me down by their poor performances.
Liverpool will be more dangerous if they succeed to avoid many injuries on their players. They must work harder with their medical staffs in the summer as I think something are wrong with their medical care and training for their players.

With a new position for Trent Alex Arnold, Klopp actually reduces weakness of Liverpool in defense and increase their danger in attacking. It is interesting to see John Stones in Manchester City and Trent in Liverpool are changing their positions on field.

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Lastly next season I expect midfielders like Casemiro, De Bruyne to score more often and while we have two more remaining matches for few team’s I’m not expecting much now as many player’s would be rested or would have lost the motivation to score exception to the latter part is the three team’s who’re fighting for survival: Everton, Leicester and Leeds.
Casemiro and De Bruyne have different positions and are different player styles but they have many years playing at highest level and they have yet stopped. To get such career, they surely need talent but also more important, they must be very professional with their career from training, nutritious care and playing in games.
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