Boys. It is time to quit gamble. I created a topic about taking gambling as a major income or not and fought a lot of kind people who held an opposite point. I own them a truly apology. I am sorry. No matter who you are, gambling is only for fun. Never take it as income at anytime. If you are still gambling, you should quit now. If you cannot quit by yourself, there are so many channels to help you. Even you can talk to me. I will do my best to help you. Just some chemical reaction happened in my mind today, I get the point at that moment. Gambling for income is totally wrong and toxic for spirit and body. You will never be successful in that way. But I like gamble is still the fact and it will never change if doing nothing. So, why not open a stream and show it to all people who have interest on that. Let me prove how hard or easy to quit gamble. I will only gamble the affordable fund only. Maybe less. I am streaming 24/7. If some software problems disrupt, I will fix that except sleeping time. Quit gambling now! If you decide to quit gamble or take gamble as entertainment only, welcome to join me.I hate gamble! https://kick.com/fuckdiceUpdate 1Boys. You can't imagine how relax I am when decide to quit gamble. Here is the way. I will stream all my gambling behavior with recording. No stream No gamble. If you are going through the same situation, join me. You will obtain a new life. According to Kick you haven't stream since 13 days now, does this mean you haven't gamble one single time during 2 weeks ? It would be a great achievement for someone being addicted like you to be honest. I am not a great user of Kick but I like watching several streamers on Twitch, so I was happy to be able to watch a Bitcointalk user streaming now. Unfortunately or gladly maybe, you seem to be able to resist to the gambling temptation. Do you use some drugs for that purpose btw ? I hope you will share your tricks once you've succeeded. |
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Understanding the concept of fair odds is a pivotal step towards grasping why the vast majority of bettors continually face losses in the realm of sports betting.
Let’s start with a simple coin toss, where each side holds a 50% chance (or 0.5) of landing face-up. The fair odds here would be 1/0.5 = 2.
Now, consider a six-sided dice roll. Each face possesses a 16.67% chance (or 0.1667) of landing face-up. The fair odds, in this case, would amount to 1/0.1667 = 6. If you bet on five out of the six faces, you secure an impressive 83.33% chance (or 0.8333) of winning. The fair odds for this scenario equate to 1/0.8333 = 1.2. In other words, if you place a $1 bet on five out of the six faces and win, you’ll receive $1.2.
At this point, you might be tempted to think that betting on favorites with low odds would ensure long-term success. However, that’s not the case.
Let’s delve into some calculations:
Expected Value (EV) in statistics is a predicted value of a variable. It is calculated as the sum of all possible values, each multiplied by the probability of its occurrence. In the context of sports betting, EV represents the long-term average payoff from an event. If the EV is positive (+EV), the bet holds the potential for profitability in the long run. Conversely, if the EV is negative (-EV), the bet is likely to result in losses over time.
EV = (Fair Win Probability) x (Profit) - (Fair Loss Probability) x (Loss)
Consider an operator that charges a commission for the dice roll game, causing the favorite to have odds of 1.17 and the underdog odds of 5.85.
What would happen if you bet on the favorite in the long run?
You’d end up facing losses. Let’s calculate:
EV = 0.8333 x ($0.17) – 0.1667 x ($1) = -$0.025
In this case, for every $1 bet, you’d lose $0.025.
The result would be the same if you bet on the underdog with odds 5.85:
EV = 0.1667 x ($4.85) – 0.8333 x ($1) = -$0.025
It doesn’t matter whether you bet on low odds or high odds; in the long run, you’ll lose money.
Now, imagine a tennis match where two players are evenly matched, each holding a 50% chance of winning. The fair odds for both players would be 2.0. However, bookmakers offer lower odds, such as 1.9 for each player. This discrepancy represents the bookmakers’ commission.
Let’s calculate the EV with odds of 1.9:
EV = 0.5 x ($0.9) - 0,5 x ($1) = -$0.05
If you use decimal(aka european) odds like in your example, a simpler way to get compute the Expected Value is to just take the decimal odds by their own and not to just take the winnings and then to subtract 1 or 1 x $1 if you prefer. Because you can consider that you lose all your stake for every bet (1 x $1) and you win it back if you win your bet( $1.9 instead of $0.9) So here you will get with the figures of your example : EV = 0.5 x $1.9 - $1 = -$0.05 |
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On voit d'ailleurs si on regarde attentivement les données météo que ce n'est pas seulement la température de l'air qui augmente en France, mais également les taux d'ensoleillement. Le soleil tape de plus en plus, et les rayonnements solaires sont beaucoup plus nocifs pour la faune et la flore que la seule chaleur. Dans les régions tropicales, où il y a souvent des nuages, la végétation arrive à résister à la chaleur, en revanche dans les régions où il y a peu de nuages et où la température est élevée, la biosphère est un désert.  |
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anyone deposited very less amount and luckily won a big jackpot like a 100x or 500x or 1000x of base bet and withdrawn without kyc or without facing any problem from the platform?
if yes, how much was that amount? and what was the exchange?
i seen many people complaining about they don't give big wins easily or just don't give by making unanswerable queries like very hard KYC, freezing accounts, etc. this problem is very common with trusted casino's also/
do anyone withdrawn successfully the winning amount and if yes what was the process, it was seamless or you need to pass a hard kyc?
Winning 1000x the base bet is not uncommon at all at slot games, so I don't think many casinos block withdrawals for such winnings except if the stake is high, like $2 or $3 and the casino is a small one. Because usually casinos lock accounts and ask endless KYC when they see that the customer is winning more often than the probabilities of the games or the bets allow to do to random players. And the amount earned starts to become substantial. |
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The fact is that there are still casinos that do not ask for KYC under any circumstances and freebitco.in is no longer one of them.
There are still casinos not asking KYC under any circumstances? Really? Which ones are they please? Except few fully decentralized casinos/sportsbooks, I am not aware of that. It must be some tiny ones I guess, no? It's sad to notice that, but all centralized exchanges and casinos are taking the KYC mandatory road one after another one, so the ones remaining are the exceptions now. |
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De toutes façons ce n'est pas comme si l'objet en question coûtait une fortune. Alors bien sûr on veut un outil fiable dans le temps et peut-être qu'une bitbox peut durer 100 ans, mais on nous avait aussi vendu à l'époque les CD's et DVD à leur sortie comme inaltérables ( https://www.zdnet.fr/actualites/cd-et-dvd-ne-sont-pas-fiables-selon-l-academie-des-sciences-39750471.htm) Et que dire des disques durs externes ? Pareil, finalement personne ne sait vraiment la durée de vie de tous ces appareils, on stocke des données et un jour on a plus rien (photos etc). Alors la seed elle est d'abord en sécurité ailleurs, sur un bon vieux truc à l'ancienne, des boulons ou des plaques en acier inoxydables. Attention quand même aux archivages sur plaques en acier inoxydable, l'acier ça fond avec la chaleur (donc peu résistant aux incendies), ça ne permet pas d'être retrouvé plus facilement en cas d'effondrement du bâtiment où c'est stocké et surtout ça n'empêche pas le vol. Et sachant que la probabilité que 2 événements indépendants se réalisent est égal au produit de leur probabilité, il peut-être plus sûr de stocker sa seed sur un morceau de papier dans 2 endroits différents que de la graver dans du marbre à un seul endroit. Meme si j'ai 1000 fois moins de chances de perdre ma seed en la gravant sur une plaque d'inox qu'en l'inscrivant sur une feuille de PQ. Si j'ai une chance sur 10 000 de perdre la feuille de PQ un jour J, en ayant 2 feuilles de PQ à 2 endroits différents j'ai une chance sur 100 millions de les perdre toutes les 2 ce jour J(10 000 x 10 000), contre une chance sur 10 millions de perdre la plaque ce jour là(10 000 x 1000). Autrement dit j'ai 10 fois plus de chances de perdre la plaque que 2PQ le même jour. |
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Pas la dégringolade non plus mais on reste sur les 30k sans réelle tendance haussière ou baissière pour l'instant j'ai l'impression. Finalement l'emballement sur les ETF de Blackrock et Fidelity, et la victoire de Ripple contre la SEC n'aura pas fait long feu, ce qui témoigne d'une confiance toujours tres limité du marché, on reste tres prudent visiblement  |
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depuis 1900: 1 degré au max  Attention quand même à l'effet d'échelle, en prenant une date lointaine dans le passé on écrase la portée de cette hausse. Un ou deux degrés sur plus d'un siècle ca ne parait pas extraordinaire. Mais la réalité c'est que les températures sont restées relativement stables en France jusqu'aux années 80, avant de littéralement exploser en une trentaine d'années. Ce n'est donc pas 1 degré de moyenne qui a été pris en 120 ans, mais 1 degré en l'espace de quelques décennies à peine.   Sourceun consensus à 97 % de scientifiques qui ne voient leurs crédits de recherche débloqués d'année en année qu'à la condition d'aller dans le sens de ce que leur demande la doxa n'est absolument pas crédible, la science est vendue au réchaufmenklimatik.
par ailleurs, la mémoire humaine n'est pas fiable, la tienne pas plus que celle des autres. ton vécu biaisé n'a aucune valeur et les données que tu vois, j'aimerais aussi les voir, partage les, donne des liens, sinon, elles n'existent pas.
Mon vécu c'est qu'à part dans les régions les plus méridionales, je ne me rappelle pas avoir vu l'herbe et la végétation changées en paille dès le début de l'été systématiquement chaque année en France, aujourd'hui j'ai l'impression d'être en Espagne ou en Italie dans de nombreux endroits. Je ne me rappelle pas non plus que les transports collectifs et individuels étaient tous climatisés, au contraire moi je me rappelle qu'on crevait de chaud dans les transports et que la clim dans les bagnoles c'était une option pour riches. Je me rappelle qu'on utilisait des ventilateurs dans les bureaux qui faisaient voler les feuilles, parce qu'il n'y avait pas l'air conditionné dans tous les bureaux. Je ne me rappelle pas non plus qu'autant de gens équipaient leur baraque de systèmes de clim et de piscines. Pour ce qui est des données le site https://www.infoclimat.fr donne l'historique sur plus d'un siècle de certaines stations météo. |
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"En ayant recours à des choix arbitraires de dates de référence, le sixième rapport du GIEC"... il est un petit peu culotté d'écrire ça, alors qu'il change lui-même d'échelle en fonction de ce qui l'arrange. Une fois il part des années 50, une autre des années 80, encore une autre des années 2000, après c'est l'an 1000 et l'an 1... et pour parler de la hausse des températures c'est seulement les 7 dernières années qu'il prend.
Idem pour la localisation, tantôt il parle au niveau mondial, tantôt au niveau national, tantôt au niveau local.
Il souhaite peut-être mettre en avant de manière plus explicite certains phénomènes, mais ce n'est pas très rigoureux méthodologiquement. Et donc pas forcément très honnête intellectuellement parlant. Si on prenait la même échelle que celle qu'il a prise pour la température(depuis 2015), on obtiendrait une hausse impressionnante des inondations et des précipitations selon ses propres chiffres, par exemple.
Il n'est pas non plus très cohérent dans ses constats je trouve, une fois il prétend que la pollution serait sans conséquence, une autre fois qu'elle aurait un impact mais qu'il serait positif en fait, une autre fois qu'elle aurait des impacts négatifs mais qu'elle aurait disparu.
Certaines de ses données sont intéressantes et pertinentes, mais sans vouloir utiliser l'argument d'autorité, je fais plus confiance au consensus d'un consortium de scientifiques spécialisés dans le domaine, qu'à l'avis isolé d'un ingénieur dont ce n'est apparemment pas le métier. D'autant plus lorsque ce n'est pas ce que j'observe moi-même au niveau de mon vécu et des données que je vois.
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Am I forgetting any?
I would add the casino/gambling scammed, the impersonate scammed and the custodial wallet ones. For the custodial wallet : you are using a service of custodial wallet and one day you realize that you can't withdraw your funds because they have been allegedly hacked, or the service is closing. The gambling one is more common, you spend your money on a casino/sportsbook without any issue but the day when you make some winnings troubles come from nowhere for being paid or for withdrawing them. Something went wrong with your bet and he's cancelled, the casino accuses you to have breached its ToS, or ask for an unachievable KYC. The impersonate : you think you are dealing with the legit customer support on Telegram, Twitter, Facebook, Slack, Discord, by email, ... but it's a fake account actually. Or the website you are using is a copy of the real one with a similar URL but not identical (website spoofing). |
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Huobi now allows to withdrawal up to 5BTC a day, by just giving your name, your birth date and your nationality. They will give you a kind of virtual citizenship from the Commonwealth of Dominica.
I seriously started thinking about moving to this platform and trying it out. Do you have any prior experience about it? Average withdrawal between 2k to 5k per month with good support for major trading pairs and adequate liquidity. Unfortunately, DEXs are still far from being perfect, and even BISQ is suitable for those who want to convert to fiat, although it is still a good experience. also, you can use this forum and ask a trusted person with a verified account to do the exchange for you, which is an option you can use as a last option. It's not the best designed platform IMO as it seems to be designed for chinese language first, but they're offering the same tools and services as what other large exchanges are offering. You can open an account, trading and withdrawing small amounts without even giving your name and your date of birth(0 KYC), and the 5BTC/day level only need to submit those informations without providing any document. |
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This is the Twitter link: https://twitter.com/binance/status/1678871785020743680?t=3z-QITH1mxm3CjVE-NGOHA&s=19Okay, Binance turned 6 this year, that is correct but why the lies: #Binance was created to achieve freedom of money for everyone.  After 6 years, we remain as focused on this goal as ever. With #BinanceTurns6 just around the corner, let’s hear from those who’ve already had their lives positively impacted by crypto. Please do not report this post, I will move it to exchanges myself. I just want some newbies to see how centralized exchanges can be lying to them professionally. If you do not have the private keys and seed phrase, you do not have the freedom. With centralized exchanges, no freedom. But just that we traders do not have option than to still trade on the centralized exchanges. I have $500 to trade, I prefer to go 10x with $50 while having $450 on my noncustodial wallet as backup while transferring the profit out if there is profitable trade.  It's a pretty harsh judgement IMO, because Binance has no other choice than to keep confidential the private keys of their wallets, otherwise the safety of the customers' funds would no longer be guaranteed. But they've created and maintained a multi-cryptos wallet : Trust Wallet. And they seem to have try their best to be as fair and accommodating as they can towards their customers. So much so that they didn't respect regulations and get prosecuted by SEC and CFTC. |
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I have used LBank and MEXC, but the non-KYC requirement is just for certain withdrawal limits. If you must be able to withdraw a certain amount of Bitcoin or fiat, then you will definitely need to pass the KYC, which is just a way they can use to trap your coin. On Huobi exchange too, you are limited to a certain amount of withdrawal if you don't pass KYC. So my simple advice is the same as @Nwada001's. I don't recommend any of those CEX for you. Rather than seeking a Non-KYC CEX, just look for a good DEX that doesn't even require KYC before you can carry out your Bitcoin transaction.
Cheers 🥂, Dr.Bitcoin_Strange 👺👺
Which DEX would you recommend? Usually DEX have a very poor liquidity and only work on one blockchain. It means you need to use bridges in order to convert the cryptos you want to exchange in wrapped tokens onto the blockchain supported, if they exist. That's usually not easy and smooth at all and you have to pay premium for that. Huobi now allows to withdrawal up to 5BTC a day, by just giving your name, your birth date and your nationality. They will give you a kind of virtual citizenship from the Commonwealth of Dominica. 1. What is Dominica Digital Identity?
Dominica Digital Identity (DDID) is the world's first country-authorized digital identity launched by Huobi, Tron and DMC Labs. A DDID holder is effectively a Dominica Metaverse Digital Citizen (DMDC). https://www.huobi.com/en-us/user_center/uc_auth/digital |
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Le juge a déclaré que XRP n'est pas une security => +73%
Ca c'est une super bonne nouvelle, car ca veut dire que la SEC va devoir revoir sa manière de déterminer qu'une crypto et une security ou non. Et surtout qu'elle n'est pas suivie petit doigt sur la couture du pantalon par la justice américaine. Enfin un peu d'air après des mois de mise sous pression, l'été 2023 est bien parti pour être chaud et ensoleillé  |
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It's definitely not something they do for fun or they like to do, it's probably one of the requirements of the AML laws that they need to comply with. If they don't confirm the source of income of their gamblers, that would make it suspicious for the gamblers and there might be potential money launderers authorities can't accept that so they force these rules on the casinos that are regulated so that there is no money laundering in the casinos.
And, I don't think they ask for your proof of income at level 1 KYC verification but they ask for it for the highest level of KYC which mostly occurs because you either want to make a big deposit or withdrawal, or they might find some of your activities unusual and suspicious, that is when the highest level of KYC verification is triggered.
Not for fun, but doing it for money or in order "to protect their business" is very likely. Willowbitcoin hasn't made any witdrawal and just made a deposit of $750 according to him. That's weird to ask KYC for withdrawing his winnings and not for accepting his deposit, if it's just for AML measures purpose. Strangely we never see casinos asking KYC to accept deposits or to take the money of the customers when they lose. It's always when they have to pay winnings that issues happen. Besides that why they just don't say it if it's a matter of AML? They would pay dozens of users to wear their avatar and signature but not replying to a serious thread like that hurting their reputation, while their behaviour is totally fair, honest and professional? |
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1) Attention mercredi 12 juillet à 14h30: le CPI US. ça pourrait faire sortir le btc de son range actuel entre 29700 et 31300. 2) D'une façon générale, êtes vous optimiste ou pessimiste pour l'avenir des cryptos ? Marc Zeller donne un moyen de le savoir. https://twitter.com/lemiscate/status/1563799793033437184If you're pessimistic and think everything will go wrong, Bitcoin.
If you're optimistic and believe there's still everything to build, Ethereum. Encore un maximaliste qui se moque d'envoyer des béotiens à l'abattoir. Si on est pessimiste sur l'avenir des cryptos, il n'y a aucune rationalité à investir -ou même bagholder- dans Bitcoin, c'est une erreur financière. Car cela signifie que l'Espérance mathématique de votre investissement est négative, autrement dit que vous avez plus à y perdre qu'à y gagner. Quant à Ethereum pour moi son attrait se situe surtout actuellement dans ses layer 2 qui permettent l'utilisation des DApps avec des frais et une vitesse acceptables pour le commun des mortels. Mais tant que ses smart contrats seront aussi peu lisibles et sécurisés, et ses fees aussi importantes, son potentiel restera limité. |
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No I wasn't aware of that, well it's sad because it was of the last large exchanges not requiring KYC. Now since OKX doesn't accept people from my country, only Huobi remains. It's not a bad exchange but I'm afraid it will ask KYC soon as well. Only smaller exchanges like Poloniex or Yobit would remain if it happens
After what happen to Kucoin where they have been implementing a mandatory KYC then there's a high chance thay Huobi will follow on this since they might encounter a legal issues if they still allowed non Kyc to use their platform. But since this implementation is already happening maybe newbie should normalize this Kyc thing and treat it as normal require to submit so that we wil comply on the requirements they ask. Well, since it's not a western exchange and they've been able to avoid chinese regulation, we can hope they will dare to refuse to follow american and/or european regulation at least for one or 2 more years. But I don't think they will manage to resist indefinitely to be honest. |
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As we all users of kucoin have knows the news of Ku-coin putting the KYC verifications mandatory for all users on 15 july 2023.
Ku coin was one of my favourite reliable exchanger specially for the non kyc system. But now they are also putting kyc mandatory ,
So I need some suggestions Which can be a reliable non kyc exchanger like kucoin?
No I wasn't aware of that, well it's sad because it was of the last large exchanges not requiring KYC. Now since OKX doesn't accept people from my country, only Huobi remains. It's not a bad exchange but I'm afraid they will ask KYC soon as well. Only smaller exchanges like Poloniex or Yobit would remain if it happens. |
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