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121  Economy / Speculation / Re: 100 Push-Ups A Day Until Bitcoin Is $100K Challenge on: May 29, 2024, 06:14:46 PM
While doing push ups and build those muscles we need to consider nutrition in other to achieve those desired muscles, certain foods can help build our muscles, replenish nutrients, avoid fatigue, recover from training and maintaining their energy levels.

I will list some foods that my doctor listed for me that can help while doing this push up in other to achieve our goals properly.
This food I'm about to list contains protein to help someone build muscle. and they are.

Turkey
A cup of chopped turkey contains 37.23 g of protein, while a turkey drumstick contains nearly 27 g of protein.
Like chicken, turkey is a low fat protein source that is adaptable to different meals and recipes.

Why Turkey and chicken rather than pork, beef, lamb, organ meats and/or other kinds of meats - including fatty meats?  What is wrong with fatty meats?  Do you believe that low fat diets actually are a good thing? (especially when it comes to animal fats?)

Yeah, I can understand avoiding some kinds of fats, such as various kinds of artificially created fats like seed oils. but being steered towards turkey and chicken as the main nutritious land-based meats seems problematic.

Cottage cheese
Part-skimmed cottage cheese contains 14 g of protein per half-cup.
Cottage cheese is also rich in calcium for healthy bones.

Why skimmed?  Why not full fat and/or raw?  Yeah, there is a preference for processed.. and yeah, there is a propaganda against fats.

Salmon
A 227 g salmon steak contains 58.5 gTrusted Source of protein.
Salmon also contains omega-3 fatty acids, which have health benefits, including preventing muscle loss in older adults.

I agree that salmon is probably pretty good, especially if referring to natural fats that it has.. yet is there a problem with other fish and seafood?  yes we have some potential mercury problems and even farm raised with some of the various kinds of seafood.

Milk
Skimmed or 1% fat milk contains 8 g of protein per 8 oz, and high protein milk contains 13 g of protein per 8 oz.
As long as individuals tolerate milk, it can be a healthy choice to boost protein and hydration after exercise.
Milk also contains calcium which people require for healthy bones.

again, why low fat?  why processed?  Why not raw?  I know raw has been vilified all around the world, and I am rarely consuming raw dairy based on the same kinds of difficulties in obtaining it..

Eggs
A boiled or poached egg contains 6.28 g of protein.
Eggs contain the amino acid leucine, which research indicates is essential for muscle synthesis.
Eggs are also a suitable source of B vitamins that people need to produce energy.

At least you seem to be referring to the whole egg.. I am not sure if it needs to be cooked or how it is cooked matters so long as it is the whole egg, and some folks get into the egg white nonsense.. again issues with the yolk which is probably the most nutritious part of the egg... .. but yeah, probably in the end eating both the yolk and the eggwhites together would be a good thing no matter how that is accomplished.. and probably grass, bug fed and naturally free range chickens have better eggs than grain fed chickens, though surely all eggs likely have decent nutritiousness.

Chicken
A medium chicken breast without skin weighing 120 g contains 35.5 g of protein.
Chicken without the skin is a low fat protein source that someone can easily add to different meals and recipes.

Again. look at your nonsense about a preference for low fat.. including which parts of the chicken that you are choosing.. surely there is some bad propaganda weaved into this advice that you are giving and relying on a supposed expert of a doctor, which surely I would question doctors in terms of their abilities to give nutritional advice, especially if they are getting schooled under some of the nonsense standards of care ideas around fat phobias and the various wrongness angles of the heart-lipid hypothesis that involve recommending against saturated fats and pushing artificial/substitute fats instead of acknowledging the nutritional benefits/advantages in various natural fats (including animal fats and saturated fats that are included in those) - including attempting to suggest that there is healthiness that can be found in processed foods - including overly allowance of carbs to substitute for meats and the pumping of various plant based proteins that sometimes substitute for meats, which likely has some of its own problems with the various plant-based protein products.. around soy, corn, wheat and perhaps some other attempts at protein substitutes and other ways to fill foods with inferior ingredients in the name of science (and surely profits too).
 
Now I will love us to please eat healthy especially now we are part of this pushups challenge, we all need a variety of protein sources and amino acids to build muscle during training, so please let's all encourage ourselves every day.

#eatinghealthy.
100k,smilevictorobinna,39,3900,2024-05-29

Yes.. eating "healthy" is a good idea; however, if you are spouting out wrong talking points about what is healthy, then that may well end up NOT being so great, even though there could be some truth that some aspects of your low fat baloney might still have some advantages at least if there could be some agreement that eating natural foods is likely more healthy than processed foods or that there are several advantages to stay away from complex carbohydrates (referring to high sugar products).. but still you seem to be lacking in some of your attempt to figure out what is the difference between healthy and not healthy and just spewing out some standards of care talking points that have a lot of disinformation within them that seem to be linked to wrong-thinking about the heart-lipid hypothesis and perhaps an overly allowance of processed foods.. even though your specific recommendations do not seems to specifically go down that road..

[edited out]
....... I know a lot of people here are faking their pushups exercise and might not know the value of eating protein during training nor take this Post very serious

First, how do you know "a lot of guys are faking their pushups?"

Second, how do you define "a lot".. more than 10%, which would be around 4 guys in this particular instance of our currently having 40 pushers who are included in the table?  Or are you referring to guys outside of the table too?

Third, is the lessen about the value of eating protein?  I am not disagreeing with that, but then what other aspects of our diets might we consider?  you have any ideas/opinions about fats?  what about other stuff?  Do you consider that just eating proteins is the key or what else might be going on in terms of diet?.. so yeah the three components of diet, sleep and exercise.. and surely pushups could cover exercise to the extent that there might be other kinds of exercises (or activities) that might be weaved (and vary) into the lifestyles of guys who are currently participating in these pushups..

Fourth.. maybe another side point in regards to considering that not even a lot of guys seem to be participating in these pushups.. or participating in this thread... if currently, we have 40 guys on the table, and how many guys who are not on the table but still may well be participating.. maybe only 10 or perhaps we could have up to an additional 20 guys who might be sporadically doing pushups or who had been doing some of these pushups at various points since this thread started nearly 4 months ago, so it might be really difficult to end up getting up to 100 guys to submit reports in order to end up on the table...

Fifth, getting back to the faker idea, surely it may well be better if they were not fakers, but I would consider quite difficult to verify, so why get worked up about it.. or even presume faking to be a predominant and/or prevalent phenomena.... and if we might confirm someone as an actual faker and we have evidence or the logic of the story does not add up, then what should we do about it?.. If we were to end up having a certain percent as pushup fakers, then maybe we would need some extra non-fakers to make up for the existence of fakers... Maybe there could be a label of "suspected faker?" even though I am not sure how helpful that would end up being or how we might differentiate the ones we consider to be fakers from the non-fakers.

but I must advice those who are not faking theirs to start eating healthy.This is why I love this forum because i keep learning new and important things everyday.

Do you consider the latest dietary recommendation post of what Smilevictorobinna posted as being a good way to think about what kind of eating is "healthy?"  or do you have any other thoughts on the framing of what might be considered to be "healthy" eating.  Surely, I am not going to deny that some aspects of what Smilevictorobinna mentioned might well be considered as reasonably healthy, but there are a lot of problematic presumptions contained in both what he said and even that he is proclaiming that what he said might be more valid since it is coming from a "doctor," which I am not even going to assert that a large number of doctors would not say such a thing, since a lot of them are actually spouting out various standards of care talking points about healthy living that are likely influenced by interests that may well not be as scientific as they claim to be and also not as concerned about our actual health as they claim to be.

I am older and my exercise for this seems to be good cardio. But 20 minutes 1 a day should be all the cardio I need at 67 years old.

276 steps in 9 minutes and still climbing higher

I surely may be repeating myself, but likely there is nothing wrong with that, especially since I think that there is an important point to be made in regards to what might be considered similar or not similar to pushups.. .. which I would think that there should be some attempt to stay within the spirit of the pushup to the extent possible... while at the same time, I recognize that some of us are likely going to have differing opinions regarding what is similar to the pushup and what is not.. so for example, some things are surely not close to the pushup, such as trying to take 100 sips of coffee per day, and so there may well be some areas that are not disputed as much, and surely there is some aspects of stairs that might be similar to pushups in terms of their lifting the body up but surely using a different part of the body.. mostly legs.. but the way you seem to be doing them seems to be more of a cardio thing (as you even admit), and I was getting the sense that your earlier planks were somewhat closer to pushups at least in the sense of having the core strength element contained therein and there might be some aspects of arms and chest that could be within planks depending on how they are done (in terms of position that might be attempted to be held.. whither using arms and even putting pressures on shoulders and/or chest).

At the same time, I still believe that the spirt of the idea of pushups is not very much focused on cardio, even though surely there are some cardio components to doing pushups... and there could be some emphasis on the cardio component of pushups when someone is trying to do high reps and low weights (and maybe even modifying pushups in that way), even though it may also be difficult to avoid a certain amount of strength spect that seems to be a part of most pushups even if they might be modified and attempted to do with quantity and speed... so to me, pushups are not really so much within the cardio category of exercises.

Also, another area of repetition may well be to say that the older that we get, the more likely that we need to attempt to gravitate towards resistance and strength training since we tend to lose muscle mass as we age and cardio focused exercises would not be helping us out very much in regards to an area that we really need to attempt to safeguard both the loss of muscle mass and potentially even some needs to try to build some muscle mass, even though some of that may also be difficult to accomplish through cardio and also without specifically trying to pay attention to the way that we might be attempting to focus our exercises, especially as we get older..

And yeah philip you old duck, none of us an avoid the fact that each of us is getting older, and even recognizing and/or appreciating that it can be quite difficult to either get into some routine that attempts to emphasize resistance training and not to overly slip into temptations to do cardio. which surely seems to be a quite common error.. and surely even some guys here (including uie-pooie) might not even agree with this assertion that I am making, but you are not going to find me backing down from it, even if you want to argue that "cardio is better than nothing," which I would not disagree regarding that assertion, even while I continue to proclaim that all elderly and getting older folks likely need to attempt to have some various forms of resistance training in their routine if they want to try to lessen some of the body's aging tendencies to lose muscle mass and to become more and more difficult to build muscle mass.

Concluded 50 for today but I took more time to finish with sets of 25 and more rest time as i had other work to do plus usual dumbbell presses. But I'm enjoying at the same time even after being exhausted.
Reporting for fourth day.
100k,CoinMin3r,4,200,2024-05-29

I am glad to see your participation in this thread CoinMin3r, and I saw from one of your other posts that you have been in bitcoin for nearly 10 years.. . which surely is shown by your forum registration date.. and yeah, if you had been more of a reader than a participant in the forum, then maybe you might have had been missing out on a lot of potential with the forum, and there still could be good things for you to get more actively involved in various aspects of the forum - even though a quick review of your account I see various shitcoin participation and even gambling, but still, there might be areas in which you can participate and maybe we can argue about if you might start to figure out the value of bitcoin and even the value of long term investing rather than fucking around with shitcoins.. at some point...  perhaps? perhaps?.. but I also understand that sometimes it can be more difficult for some of the members who have English as their non-native language to really feel comfortable with batting around some of the bitcoin-specific topics that are in English.

Oh, and regarding your pushups, I understand that you might not have time to do a lot of sets in a day, but there may well be ways to increase your pushups by doing fewer per set and doing 3-5 sets per day.. and then working your way up to higher numbers of pushups per day.  Yes, I understand that any of us are likely going to be sore in the first month or two doing pushups, and the older we are the more likely that our recovery times might be longer too.. but yeah, I also understand that some guys might have schedules that don't really allow them to do very many pushup sets in a day.. and even sometimes I get into so activities that make it more difficult for me to fit in some pushups..
122  Economy / Speculation / Re: Road to 100k? on: May 29, 2024, 05:43:32 AM
In regards to your suggestion that the extra BTC could serve as an emergency fund is not completely off point, since whenever anything is extra there are options with it - yet still it does not tend to be good practices to have your emergency fund denominated in something other than your own local currency... which truly having BTC as part of your emergency fund could lead to selling some of them at price points that are not very convenient.
that is true, it is good to have our emergency fund in fiat instead of having it bitcoin. you know sometimes people might be having issues of emergency and we just need the emergency fund to sort some things out but some factors may deprive us from get it immediately as expected or not having it  exactly as expected, such like:
1. Delay of transactions in mempool, someone may be trying to sell his coin in return of emergency fund during the period mempool is congested and transaction may delay just like the having period, when people find it difficult to trade there coin. some transaction where pending for a week or more with a higher TRX fee.
2. during the time of selling of BTC for emergency it could be that maybe your 1 btc at the rate of $70k may have fallen to $60 losing a huge amount of $10k.
3. Dollar/fiat may have dropped. for example you may have the opportunity to have sell your bitcoin when the price of bitcoin was high and your local fiat was also high, given you a more advantage of higher return but you didn't sell it that period. but you sold it during emergency when btc has dip and you currency to dollar has reduced, you will sell at lost which may be problematic. though it may be vise versa as the case may be but  there is a need to have have emergency fund in Fiat than I bitcoin, for the sake of unforseen circumstances and immediate spending.

For the most part the rule of thumb is to be keeping some value, such as emergency fund, float and/or reserves in dollars (or your local currency), and there are empowering reasons to be doing that, even if it might seem as if having so much money in dollars (or other fiat) is not really working capital.

At some point, a person might be so far above and beyond his own fuck you status that it no longer matters in terms of some of the employment in good cashflow managing practices, so in some of those regards, there could be some tendencies to just spend however you like and whenever you like without worrying about from where you are drawing your funds... .. yet there still could be limits, so lets say that the guy who had established that he needs 5 BTC to live and to be at fuck you status, but if he has 20 or even 50 BTC, then he has even more room to be flexible in his spending of bitcoin, even though it probably would still be better for him to engage in solid cashflow management practices, so sometimes the amount of need for discipline could end up going down if the wealth grows yet the spending is still way within sustainable limits even if the spending might be coming from places like bitcoin rather than from cash.  .. such as the ideas to spend your cash and your worst money first.... but if the value is so excessive and the budget is still well within sustainable limits an emergency fund might not even be needed to be kept when a person has already overly reached various wealth building goals.. whether having the wealth in bitcoin or in other places.. or even the person who might choose to keep all of his value in bitcoin, but if he is 5x to 10x higher than his fuck you status level, then there might be a so much extra room for error that it does not matter too much... if he might end up drawing from BTC funds even when BTC is at its lowest price points in a cycle... so for example in late 2022 when bitcoin prices were $15,500 to $17k, maybe a person with less than $500 costs per BTC does not really care, especially if he might have way more BTC than he needs, maybe even more than 100 BTC.. so a lot of cushion in his wealth...

[edited out]
So the best time for one to have such mindset that of buying back  is when they have already gotten themselves some good amount of Bitcoin stashed (having enough Bitcoin in their portfolio), like for instance a guy accumulation goal was for him to have 5 BTC , so after accumulating for some time he endup hitting that goal , so now he decide to continue with his holding though has done with the accumulating part . Then lateron he decided to start taken some profit from his holding, so while doing so he saw that his Bitcoin Stash us kinda reducing due to the withdrawing, so he may decide to buy some quantities using lump-summing or other convenience method, to purchase some quantities in order to coverup for those withdrawal he has made back then . It is not relevant that it must be same amount he withdrew, he might purchase quantities that's not up to the withdrawal or quantities that's more than that they have withdrew from Their holding .
It seems to me that in your example of having a goal of getting to 5 BTC, there might be some recognition of the ability to sell and/or to play around with the extra BTC if that same person had actually gotten to 6 BTC, so then the extra 1 BTC ends up being a overaccumulation cushion... that allows for more freedom.. so then maybe the 5 BTC becomes somewhat untouchable, yet the extra BT are able to have more flexibility in terms of whether some of them might be sold at various points.

Sure, 5 BTC might be enough too for a person who might be considering about 4 BTC is enough .. so 5 is more than enough..

And, so reassessments can be made at various points in regards to how much is enough and how to calculate how much of the stash might have more flexibility in terms of potentially setting various sell price points or even selling certain quantities on regular bases on on  timeline and with formulas that you might calculate yourself.  My sustainable withdrawal thread goes over timeline and also price-based sustainable withdrawal considerations.
Having more than enough Bitcoin is the dream of all investors, just like you said that an investor planned to accumulate 5btc but was able to accumulate 6btc, it means that he can do whatever he like with the extra 1btc and it will be fine if he sells in some of it whenever he wants. He can still use his 1btc to serve as his emergency funds so that he only sells when a real emergency comes, so that he will not be carried away of selling too much.
Getting to a point of over-accumulation does tend to result in a lot of options that were not otherwise available during the time that accumulation was still taking place, and a person likely gets from 5 BTC to 6 BTC after a decent amount of hard struggles.. and sure there sometimes could come reassessments that end up allowing conclusions that 5 BTC is enough - and then recognizing that he has 6 BTC..

In regards to your suggestion that the extra BTC could serve as an emergency fund is not completely off point, since whenever anything is extra there are options with it - yet still it does not tend to be good practices to have your emergency fund denominated in something other than your own local currency... which truly having BTC as part of your emergency fund could lead to selling some of them at price points that are not very convenient.

But yeah even having 6 BTC rather than 5 BTC could cause the HODLer to feel comfortable to begin some kind of a sustainable withdrawal strategy - especially since he has extra BTC.  Even with a 6% withdrawal rate, there could be 0.025 to 0.03 BTC withdrawn every month... and it would take quite a while (several years) to deplete the amount down to 5 BTC.
You speak with so much wisdom here because selling your BTC for emergency funds just because you've accumulated more than your target sounds awkward to me accept you are selling to purchase a valuable real life assets or projects but as for anything relating to emergency funds, Bitcoin is too volatile and valuable to be sold for some common emergency funds.

Yeah but Frankolala was not talking about selling BTC for emergency funds, but instead using the extra BTC funds as part of his emergency funds.

You know when we are talking of emergency funds some investors doesn't really understand the basis that it should be done with your local currency instead of selling Bitcoin. Bitcoin should not be sold to solve some immediate real life challenges but if it be on assets that can bring good proceeds then the need may arise considering the fact that you've got surplus in your portfolio.

Generally, I think that it is still preferable to engage in better cash management practices, even if you have excess value, but you get more and more freedoms the higher your value gets, so you may well not be needing to be as strict as you had been in the earlier days, but the mere fact that you can get away with not being as strict does not necessarily justify engaging in sloppy practices.. even though sometimes some extra risks might be taken (and even afforded to be taken) based on various aspects of having excess wealth, whether held in bitcoin or otherwise.
123  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buy Buy Buy or Sell Sell Sell? on: May 29, 2024, 05:22:14 AM
.......to know more about bitcoin investment and how longer investment period guarantee more return than short term investment.

That still seems to be a misleading way of talking about anticipated BTC price performance, and even though there might be some technical truth that the probabilities of UP might be better the longer the time period, but even if the probabilities are higher, that still does not cause the long term to be guaranteed to be higher, even if the probabilities suggest that it should be.

There's gotta be better ways to present ideas about the advantages of long term investing versus short term thinking without devolving into ideas that the long term is more guaranteed to be better than the short term... even if technically what you are saying is not exactly incorrect, but the use of the term guaranteed comes off as misleading.

One thing about investing for the long term is that a relatively modest amount invested could end up adding up to a lot invested, so even though in the short-to-medium term, there might be some difficulties in measuring the amount of value that is retained, but there seems to be a bit of a likelihood for some kind of an upward price trajectory that could happen somewhere down the road.. or mayb even several upward price trajectories, so even someone who is investing relatively modestly, might be able to measure a lot of progress from the over the years modest contributions that end up outperforming other places that the value might have had been kept.. while at the same time, it is not guaranteed to actually go up in value.. but that is true with any investment that we choose to allocate into, we might have some investments that outperform other investments.

We hope in the end that we ended up picking a mixture of investments (hopefully not shitcoins) that put us into a better position than if we had not invested and/or saved.. but again, no guarantees and we attempt to do our best, even if there might be a large number of weeks that we are ONLY able to save/invest around $10 into bitcoin and then maybe there are other weeks that we are able to save/invest $100 or even $1k into bitcoin, so there may well be quite a bit of variance in our cashflow (and/or our disposable income) that affects how much we are able to save/invest, so that in the long run the variable amounts of value that we injected add up but they also may well have ended up holding their value pretty well as compared to other places that they could have been put and/or they might have ened up appreciating in value as compared with other places that the same value could have had been put.
124  Economy / Speculation / Re: Top 20 days for Bitcoin on: May 29, 2024, 05:07:26 AM
30 spot.

well it is still pushing down 2021 ATH.

can’t complain as long as we continue packing down the 2021 price.

The best case scenario of 66 days (slightly over two months) is still quite a bit of days remaining to get all of the 2021 prices off of the table.
125  Economy / Speculation / Re: 100 Push-Ups A Day Until Bitcoin Is $100K Challenge on: May 29, 2024, 04:56:00 AM
I noticed vapourminer is not on the list always made by dirtykeyboard, I will love for you to always post your report so you can be on the list because you have been part of this wonderful challenge for long and you have also been supportive, I saw your name in the list the early stage of this challenge and till now I have been wondering why you don't post your report anymore so dirtykeyboard can add it on the list again.
i withdrew. i would put no real effort into this challenge, and it's not fair to include someone who is not as serious as you all are.
We could always want you to be part of this push-up challenge; you have been in here for a long time, and you also motivate us to be consistent with this push-up challenge until bitcoin is $100k. Even if you are not consistent in doing push-ups every day, you can be part of this push-up challenge and report your push-up details on this thread any day you do it. If 100 push-ups are too much for you to do in a day, you can stick with what you can handle. 10 push-ups a day is enough for your name to be entered in the push-up table.

Surely we have a strange phenomena going on in these here parts.  There were a few members, including vapourminer, who were largely trolling this thread, yet surely vapourminer engaged in his trolling in a good spirit that so far has included paying attention to this thread and meriting various members for their pushup reports and/or whatever else he might have had deemed to have had been merit worthy.. so the mere fact that he continues to pay attention to this thread does not necessarily want to do pushups (whether his stick body can do it or not might be another story)...

So anyhow if he had wanted to do pushups, report them here and/or otherwise participate in pushups, he likely already would have ... but yeah surely it might not hurt to ask him to participate, yet if you had read his various posts in this thread, he was not necessarily considering doing such a thing.. or at least admitting that he is doing it.. .. but yeah, whatever, I mostly just wanted to suggest that some of you guys seem to be reading too much into vapourminer and his otherwise participation here, and even in seemingly opposite ways.. but yeah, maybe you will end up convincing him that there might be some advantages in terms of his personally participating in the activities of this thread.. and so I would not be completely shocked, even though he has already largely stated the opposite and even making fun of this particular topic beyond observing it.. like the guy who likes to go to watch certain kinds of sports because he might know someone who is participating or that he might have had been drug kicking and screaming to such an event (and kicking and screaming is about the most physically active that he gets), but does not really envision himself engaging in such sporting activities.

~cut~
Somebody got banned, do you know who? Smiley  It's a mystery...
I would imagine that there are always forum members getting banned, so there may well be an implication that the referred-to banned member is either someone well known or perhaps a participant in this push-up thread?  In other words, at this point, I don't know who and i do not have any guess.
No.  Not from the site.  From the table.  Smiley Someone made a typo in their report for the last table, and measures had to be taken.   Wink

I am glad that you are continuing to run a mostly "tight ship," even if I initially misinterpreted the point that you were making... I thought that you were wanting us to engage in the solving of a puzzle that potentially went even further than the pushup table, which yeah, maybe that is still part of your objective for some member to be able to potentially solve such puzzle (and nothing wrong with that), and maybe some reviewing of the historical data (perhaps comparing past tables) would need to be carried out by any of us who might want to try to figure it out who the mysterious missing pusher upper might be.. besides it should be more obvious if some pusher is expecting his name to be on the table and the name is not included therein.. so that could be a kind of hint that there might have had been something wrong with the format and/or the substance of his/her pushup report...

I am speculating that the format of the pushup report for that particular member might have been sufficiently acceptable that the results got the name and results included into the table, but there was something that seemed off about the results, so therefore, some "invisible hand" that was not coming from from a mean guy named Guido took care of the matter.  On the face of it, that seems to be a good thing..

At a glance, I did not see the missing pusher.. and so another comment about currently having 40 pushers, it would be interesting if we could get 100 pushers by the time we were to get to 100k. I am not sure if it is possible, but maybe the BTC price is not going to reach 100k until we reach 100 pushers?  Just a thought.



100k,JayJuanGee,114,22775,2024-05-28

By the way, with my own report, I had several days of falling below my average and then having to catch back up... so I have been just experiencing some ongoing internal dilemmas questioning if my average might be too high.. and perhaps even somewhat counter-productive.. and so that is comparing my pushups with my other daily activities too..
126  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buy the DIP, and HODL! on: May 28, 2024, 10:06:50 PM
[edited out]
I think there are only two method that I know of which is lump sum buy and the DCA method. You mentioned buying the dip but this is also a lump sum buy that is done when price retraces after an upward movement. It is different from buying using the DCA method because it involves an instant order whereas the DCA is a continuous buying process that is done weekly or monthly as the case may be. Maybe there is further distinction between between buying the dips and other forms of buying that is done at once for which I consider less important so as to avoid memorizing too many things. Maybe for academic purposes, such distinction might even become necessary and there is nothing wrong about it.

A combination of both methods is possible but it requires someone with experience and discipline to do effectively. I will not recommend that for a newbie to avoid being emotional about the whole process, rather I will suggest focusing mainly on the DCA method that is easier to follow and produces outstanding results when followed dutifully. However, no matter what method is adopted, some level of effort is needed to be able to follow such method with a sense of responsibility.

Just because you do not recognize and/or appreciate the practicality of buying the dip does not mean that it does not have its place and/or benefits.

For example a brand new person could come into bitcoin right now, and he already knows his budget.  He has $9,400 that he can buy bitcoin, right now and he also has about $2,600 that is going to be available over the next six months.  So that is $12k over 6 months.

He could buy $9,400 right now at $68,300-ish, and then just DCA with the other $100 per week over the next 26 weeks, or he could set aside some of his $9,400 to be included in his DCA amounts or to set some of it aside for buying on dips. 

Let's say that he decides to lump sum buy right now $4,700 and then maybe he sets up 17 buy orders every $1k dip from $67k down to $50k, so each of them would be right around $276.50, and so they would be buying on the dip if they were to execute, and if they do not execute and the BTC price moves up rather than down, then maybe after a certain time, he might choose to remove those buy orders or maybe he moves them up. to higher prices (but they would still be buying on dips.. and whether that is practical or useful might not be agreed about whether that is a good idea rather than just lump sum buying and/or adding to DCA... and the mere fact that someone wants to employ that third technique makes it a valid technique even if it may or may not be one that is as effective as other techniques.. in part depending on what the BTC price ends up doing, which is not very knowable in advance.

On the other hand, not all rich folks have good habits, so it could well be the case that poor people are able to catch up and even pass up some richer folks.. but sure, the poor folks still have to figure out ways to have disposable income, so it could well be really difficult for a poor man who is ONLY able to figure out ways to invest $10 per week into bitcoin to catch up to someone who ONLY sporadically invests $100 or $1k into bitcoin - but still the guy investing $10 per week is still doing better than the similarly situated guy who is not investing at all... .. and so yeah, we might choose ways to compare our own bitcoin investment performance to others or to compare our performance to other variations of ourselves, and there are likely going to be ways that the organized, persistent and consistent BTC investor is going to catch up, surpass and out perform other possible alternative scenarios.
Of course, it is impossible for a poor folk who is accumulating bitcoin with the same way a rick folk is accumulating because the amount that they will use to DCA weekly will have a big difference, and that is why the rich serious bitcoin investor will always do better than the poor investor. However, there is a way a poor bitcoin investor will be able to surpass a rich bitcoin investor smwho is not serious with accumulating bitcoin and he is buying whenever he likes be cause he feels that he has enough cash or cash related property or another assest which makes him feel that it is not necessary for him to invest in bitcoin regularly, consistently and persistently.

With time I believe that the poor investor might get closer to the rich folk in terms of how much is their total value or he will be on the same level of value with the rich folk. This is because bitcoin price increases overtime and it will generate more profit based on the size of your portfolio better than what the rich guy is depending on which is making him to accumulate bitcoin in a whimpy way. Bitcoin have given the poor an opportunity to become rich in future if only they can invest and build their portfolio to a certain level based on their discretionary income overtime.
Poor investors can't compete with the rich when it comes to investments. The reasons why those that have a lot of money are called rich is because of how they spend and how much in their bank account and both the assets they have. Rich folks spend more on investment, and they don't care whether their investment is risky or not, they only do it because it's risky, and they also have a passion for making more money. The kind of amount they put into investment is way too much. A rich folk could one day buy $100k BTC even if he doesn't know what Bitcoin is about. And one thing I like about rich folks is that they don't care to know what they are dealing with before they put money in believing that along the line they will know the whole things about the investment, and it will also motivate them to invest more.

The poor would like to make sure they know what they are doing before they put money on it because they believe that they know how hard they manage to get the money, so they won't want to risk it just like that without gathering knowledge or doing their own research.

Now let's keep the poor behind. The kind of advantage most rich people have is that even if the average person started investing in Bitcoin for 4 years with $100 per month (that's $4800 total), if the rich starts his/her investment in a week, he/she will invest more than what the average salary earner in just a day.

But IMO, I can say that rich investors are always busy with something else, so once they have a lot of bitcoin in their wallet, they might forget about accounting to get more Bitcoin. And if an average salary earner is investing in DCA, he/she will not be content with the kind of BTC he/she has because the figures might be too small for him/her. And if the rich investor is no longer accumulating but only holding for long because he has a lot (like 10 BTC), then the average investor might try and accumulate up to 1 BTC before he/she might relax a bit.

You make a lot of presumptions about poor versus rich, and of course, even within the categories there is going to be a lot of variance in terms of disposable income, other investments and even investment behavior - including considering whether we should assume levels of interest in regards to bitcoin to be the same or not.

Usually, when running any experiment between kinds of people, it is better to figure out which of the variables might be similar and which ones might be different, and if there are too many variables, then it makes it a lot harder to make generally sweeping comparisons and/or presumptions regarding how one might compare to another.

It might even be helpful in terms of what you are considering to be rich versus poor and perhaps starting out with something like disposable income and also a description of already existing investments.  Those would be the main categories, then from there we might describe someone who chooses to be whimpy or aggressive in his bitcoin investment journey, and are we starting from now, or are we giving an example over a 4-5 year period of time (in which we have some BTC price data) that already exists.
127  Economy / Speculation / Re: Road to 100k? on: May 28, 2024, 08:14:08 PM
[edited out]
So the best time for one to have such mindset that of buying back  is when they have already gotten themselves some good amount of Bitcoin stashed (having enough Bitcoin in their portfolio), like for instance a guy accumulation goal was for him to have 5 BTC , so after accumulating for some time he endup hitting that goal , so now he decide to continue with his holding though has done with the accumulating part . Then lateron he decided to start taken some profit from his holding, so while doing so he saw that his Bitcoin Stash us kinda reducing due to the withdrawing, so he may decide to buy some quantities using lump-summing or other convenience method, to purchase some quantities in order to coverup for those withdrawal he has made back then . It is not relevant that it must be same amount he withdrew, he might purchase quantities that's not up to the withdrawal or quantities that's more than that they have withdrew from Their holding .
It seems to me that in your example of having a goal of getting to 5 BTC, there might be some recognition of the ability to sell and/or to play around with the extra BTC if that same person had actually gotten to 6 BTC, so then the extra 1 BTC ends up being a overaccumulation cushion... that allows for more freedom.. so then maybe the 5 BTC becomes somewhat untouchable, yet the extra BT are able to have more flexibility in terms of whether some of them might be sold at various points.

Sure, 5 BTC might be enough too for a person who might be considering about 4 BTC is enough .. so 5 is more than enough..

And, so reassessments can be made at various points in regards to how much is enough and how to calculate how much of the stash might have more flexibility in terms of potentially setting various sell price points or even selling certain quantities on regular bases on on  timeline and with formulas that you might calculate yourself.  My sustainable withdrawal thread goes over timeline and also price-based sustainable withdrawal considerations.
Having more than enough Bitcoin is the dream of all investors, just like you said that an investor planned to accumulate 5btc but was able to accumulate 6btc, it means that he can do whatever he like with the extra 1btc and it will be fine if he sells in some of it whenever he wants. He can still use his 1btc to serve as his emergency funds so that he only sells when a real emergency comes, so that he will not be carried away of selling too much.

Getting to a point of over-accumulation does tend to result in a lot of options that were not otherwise available during the time that accumulation was still taking place, and a person likely gets from 5 BTC to 6 BTC after a decent amount of hard struggles.. and sure there sometimes could come reassessments that end up allowing conclusions that 5 BTC is enough - and then recognizing that he has 6 BTC..

In regards to your suggestion that the extra BTC could serve as an emergency fund is not completely off point, since whenever anything is extra there are options with it - yet still it does not tend to be good practices to have your emergency fund denominated in something other than your own local currency... which truly having BTC as part of your emergency fund could lead to selling some of them at price points that are not very convenient.

But yeah even having 6 BTC rather than 5 BTC could cause the HODLer to feel comfortable to begin some kind of a sustainable withdrawal strategy - especially since he has extra BTC.  Even with a 6% withdrawal rate, there could be 0.025 to 0.03 BTC withdrawn every month... and it would take quite a while (several years) to deplete the amount down to 5 BTC.
128  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 28, 2024, 03:28:31 PM
https://au.news.yahoo.com/computer-scientist-lied-extensively-bitcoin-134449787.html
According to this article published by Yahoo News, Dr. Wright intends to appeal the court ruling.

Maybe I am being a bit overly picky about the use of "Dr" or any need to agree to describing such status, even if some of the articles and even the judge had chosen to use such a title when describing CSW in ruling against him.  Sometimes courts will go out of their way to make sure that they do not appear bias, which might partly explain the court's use of the Dr title for CSW.

I wonder what the legal cassation arguments will be to invalidate the ruling after all the detailed evidence presented by the court. I also do not think that the defense team or the court overlooked or forgot any of the details. I do not understand why some people insist on clinging to allegations that have been proven false beyond a reasonable doubt.

Beyond a reasonable doubt is a criminal standard, and so far, these have not been criminal proceedings, so the standard is not as high.. The standard in this Craig Wright (CSW) would be clear and convincing or preponderance of the evidence or some variation that is not quite as high as the criminal standard.
 
At the same time, I noticed that the price of BSV decreased after this ruling was issued, but the decrease was very small and almost insignificant. I was waiting for the entire concept to collapse because this court ruling has proven the invalidity of the entire narrative on the basis of which this project was launched.

There are not very many folks buying that BSV crap anyhow, so I would imagine that it is is somewhat propped up.. but yeah, even those propping it up might not like the amount of bleeding that they might have to sustain to keep the price from dropping even more.
129  Economy / Speculation / Re: 100 Push-Ups A Day Until Bitcoin Is $100K Challenge on: May 28, 2024, 02:34:17 PM
Today I was much more faster than the time frame of yesterday because, I used a maximum resting time of 5 minutes after every set of pushups, and I was able to cover 110 pushups in 27 minutes I felt more tired than yesterday maybe because of the time frame, I did 40-25-20-15-10 pushups after the minutes break as resting time. I believe if I continue in consistency I'll be able to go for 100 straight without any resting time or break.
100k,Makus,2,112,2024-05-25
However, your math is or perhaps your typing skills are no good.  You should have had 212 pushups rather than 112 as of your 2nd day.
Thanks Mr JJG for the observation, I have already updated my last result, and I believe it would be updated by DirtyKeyboard when he add my new result for today.

100k,Makus,3,282,2024-05-28

Today I kind of flopped  a little on my pushups because, I tried adding other work out to my pushups, however I maneged to complete only 70 pushups before I could no longer continue.

I am pretty sure that DirtyKeyboard's script only picks up the properly formatted report with the latest date - so your update from today should make it into his next pushup table print.
130  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buy the DIP, and HODL! on: May 28, 2024, 02:30:10 PM
I don't really like to play into arguments that rich people are more privledged, since anyone could come into a situation in which they have lump sums available and they are willing to dedicate some or all of that lump sum to bitcoin investing.  For example they could 1) win the lottery, 2) inherit money, 3) have had been investing for 10 years and building their investment portfolio little by little (so they are not exactly rich, but they have been engaging in good savings/investing practices), 4) received a bonus at work for some kind of job they carried out (expected or not expected these kinds of things sometimes can happen to even less wealthy people), 5) they recalculated their various funds (emergency, reserves and float) and unexpectedly, they come to the conclusion that they have an extra $2k that they are able to invest 6) they received a gift from friend/relative/acquaintance and/or 7) a variety of other possible reason they could come accross extra money, whether that is some extra from their DCA amount or maybe it is a more modest amount
Exactly anyone can actually use  lump-sum strategy depending on the individual condition though , and sir JJG have already given some wonderful example already , like winning a lottery, recieving a bonus at work for some kind of job they carried out etc. You can only say that the rich has more advantages when it comes to lump-sum purchasing, like most time due to having alot of cashflow, the money most  rich are using may be higher than an average Man.

Surely the rich have advantages over the poor both in terms of the assets that they are likely to have and also the disposable income that they are likely to have; however, the mere fact of being richer than someone else neither means that investments into assets are going to be managed well or that the right kinds of investments will be chosen (such as into bitcoin), and so surely if we take a rich man and a poor man and we give them similar kinds of strategies, the rich man is going to have advantages, including that the poor man may well be able to catch up.

On the other hand, not all rich folks have good habits, so it could well be the case that poor people are able to catch up and even pass up some richer folks.. but sure, the poor folks still have to figure out ways to have disposable income, so it could well be really difficult for a poor man who is ONLY able to figure out ways to invest $10 per week into bitcoin to catch up to someone who ONLY sporadically invests $100 or $1k into bitcoin - but still the guy investing $10 per week is still doing better than the similarly situated guy who is not investing at all... .. and so yeah, we might choose ways to compare our own bitcoin investment performance to others or to compare our performance to other variations of ourselves, and there are likely going to be ways that the organized, persistent and consistent BTC investor is going to catch up, surpass and out perform other possible alternative scenarios.

If they are looking for short term profit then they will be disappointed and you are I know that for us to see reasonable profit in bitcoin investment we must invest for the long term and not short term. That's why it's necessary for people coming into bitcoin investment to have the right orientation/mentality. They have to know on time if are coming into bitcoin investment as a trader or hodler.

When it comes to knowing when to use the other two strategies like buying the dip or lump sum, well I will say that the person who is making his first buy in bitcoin can use lump sum buy and follow it up subsequently with DCA, especially if he wants to own a certain level bitcoin in his possession. While knowing when to use the buy the dip strategy is simply when you see the level of dip you have already predetermined or set for yourself before any dip occurs in the market. This will make you not to lose focus or confused on when to enter the market if eventually dip happens. You know nobody has the entire knowledge of the market and when certain variables will play out, so it's important to always get prepared before the eventuality of any market situation. When preparation meet performance, good result is always birthed.
Those who have spend time in Bitcoin have consent that it's ideal to invest into Bitcoin for long term. But that's not the case with new comers, most of them came with mind that Bitcoin is about getting rich overnight and when that desire is not fulfilled they get disappointed.

What you are saying is not exactly accurate, especially since people likely come to bitcoin with all kinds of perspectives and goals, and surely if someone has already been into bitcoin for a while, then that person may already be filtered out as more of a long term investor into bitcoin merely based on the fact that he continues to stay in bitcoin.

Regarding three techniques i.e. Lump Sum, Buy the dip and DCA, anyone with experience can adjust buy the dip and Lump Sum with DCA. If I am a new comer, I would prefer to go with small amount i.e. investing small amount every week or month. Once your confidence is developed you can go for Lump Sum with some increased capital. Both DCA and Lump Sum are good as long as you are confident about the technique you are adopting.

I think that you are still getting at the option of whether a lump sum is even available... so if there is a question whether a lump sum is available, then DCA makes more sense, but if a lump sum is available, then for sure there are more options, but it still might make a certain amount of sense to spread out the lump sum rather than investing right away, and if we go back to the example of someone who has an extra $3k... then there are so many ways to consider the matter, and it would seem short-sighted to completely ignore the availability of the $3k and to just DCA and buy on dips with it, since that would be presuming that the BTC price is either going to remain flat or to dip, so the more practical way of preparing for all price directions would be to use some of that $3k to buy right away, yet it is still a question of how much to use to prepare for up rather than preparing for down or sideways.. and each person has to live with their own decision, since there is not really any one correct answer, even though some answers (or approaches) seem more logical and reasonable than others... but people can still vary in their reason and also we might not completely know all of the reasons (the 9 individual factors) of another person without really knowing the person.
131  Economy / Speculation / Re: 100 Push-Ups A Day Until Bitcoin Is $100K Challenge on: May 28, 2024, 02:02:06 PM
Just out of interest

In case of improvement?

Who's doing the 100 push ups in about 10-15 min or who is doing it in about a few parts of a full day in in what kind of sets?
Very small sets or challenging yourself into larger sets?

Of course, what guys are trying to achieve is going to vary, whether they want to improve, or get to a certain point in their abilities, or if they might want to just maintain, or if they might just want to be able to accomplish the task of doing some pushups every day (being able to do some every day may well be a goal in itself).

There also might be some goals to reach a certain point (or level) before changing the goal to some other point - yet it seems to me to be a pretty BIG task just for guys to add pushups into their routine and to continue to do them every day (or nearly every day) - which could end up being an improvement with what they had previously been doing...  I had focused on quantity and trying to spread out in order to lessen the amount of soreness, and then later I started to time the pushups so that I might be able to first monitor where I was at and then to try to do the pushups more slowly - but surely I mix slowness and not slowness depending on if I feel that I am caught up with my other goal of maintaining an average of 200 pushups per day, or if I might feel that I am falling behind in my average.. but yeah it took me right around 95 days of pushups just to get up to that average number..

I have my own dilemma about my current keeping of my average of 200 pushups per day, and even questioning if whether that is a good place to continue to try to stay.. and even the extent to which I am able to throw in some other exercises from time to time - or other kinds of activities that I end up counting as exercises... but it could be a bit unsustainable to try to keep an average of 200 pushups per day.. but I can still review my pushup logs and try to see some patterns in regards to the times for each of the sets.

Somebody got banned, do you know who? Smiley  It's a mystery...

I would imagine that there are always forum members getting banned, so there may well be an implication that the referred-to banned member is either someone well known or perhaps a participant in this push-up thread?  In other words, at this point, I don't know who and i do not have any guess.
132  Economy / Speculation / Re: Road to 100k? on: May 28, 2024, 01:10:22 PM
And since 2022 experts were predicting that bitcoin will hit $100k in this season and the way the movement of bitcoin, it might hit the "Road to the $100k" and the end of the year or the first quarter of  next year.
I find appeal to authority to be problematic in any argument.

To me, it seems better to argue why something may or may not be true, instead of generally proclaiming that "it must be true because 'experts' say so."

Sure some folks are smarter than others, and some folks have better logic, but it seems to me that it is likely better to refer to your authority folks specifically or refer to what they said (or might have had said) or substantively back what you are saying rather than proclaiming "experts say."
Exactly, that's the most reasons why a lot of investors got misled is because of this quoting of what 'experts says' or what experts does like who is an expert in the first place? Does it mean they don't make wrong investment decisions sometimes? It is better to do more research about that particular thing you feel an expert did and became successful and even if you want to do same thing or you want to apply same strategies but you don't need to do exactly the same way they did theirs.
I've always preached against the blind followers on this forum and I am happy that another person is supporting this view. It is not a misconception that most people are gullible, and for this reason, you should not be surprised at all, but rather expect more gullibility. But I thank one thing, and that is Bitcoin for putting them to shame many times that it is now a bonafide asset in the mainstream of the financial market, it can never be behaving as illiquid (that can be controlled with some announcements/popular predictions and a few bucks like before) or in a way that is not dynamic like a reasonable market.

Those two characteristics might not mean anything to you but they mean a whole lot to me because any market you predict cheaply and always get right all the time is no market but a joke. This is what they expected of Bitcoin and the more reason why they are emboldened, especially when it is rising, but not knowing that the market is dynamic. They should know that it is no longer business as usual. I can only encourage Bitcoin traders/investors to be up and doing, they should never be too trusting but learn and develop themselves so well about the speculative aspect of it, and I am sure they will laugh in the end.

My original criticism about appeal to authority was not ONLY a criticism of actually having some authority to appeal to, yet also merely making a claim about what "experts say" without even naming the supposedly specific experts and/or providing some kind of a link rather than just vaguely making a statement and then saying "experts say" as a back up.. even if the statement might have had been somewhat reasonable, it still was not backed up by much beyond some vague assertion that some supposed experts are saying that thing.

Also, when we are talking about what the BTC price is going to do, sure there are likely some folks who are more expert on the topic than others, at least in terms of having some reasons for suggesting that they know where the price is going, yet even with that, bitcoin price movement is based on a variety of variables and some of which are unknown or unknowable, so the best that can be made would be some kind of a probabilities of good or bad chances that the BTC price might breach certain thresholds within some kind of a designated period of time.
133  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buy the DIP, and HODL! on: May 28, 2024, 05:21:50 AM
We cannot necessarily presume lump sum to even be an option, since sometimes people come to bitcoin an they don't already have cash available and/or they might not even have other investments from which they would be able to employ lump sums, so sometimes it does not even make sense to presume lump sum as an option when it is not automatically an option that normal people end up having and even if they were to have some lump sum potentiality, they would first have to designate such amount towards bitcoin investing, which might be an actual obstacle for some folks in which DCA makes more sense for them since they are not ready, willing or able to redesignate some lump sum amount that they might have towards bitcoin investing.
I really understand what you are saying but it is very important and for everyone to have a broader knowledge of various strategies as it being exhaustibly disscued here in terms of figuring out from what financial stratification you belong to, and for reference purposes. However, the lump sum buying are mostly practice by those in upper class and not for some middle or lower class where identifying your class gives you the preparedness in terms of making an informed decisions towards your investment plan,

I don't really like to play into arguments that rich people are more privledged, since anyone could come into a situation in which they have lump sums available and they are willing to dedicate some or all of that lump sum to bitcoin investing.  For example they could 1) win the lottery, 2) inherit money, 3) have had been investing for 10 years and building their investment portfolio little by little (so they are not exactly rich, but they have been engaging in good savings/investing practices), 4) received a bonus at work for some kind of job they carried out (expected or not expected these kinds of things sometimes can happen to even less wealthy people), 5) they recalculated their various funds (emergency, reserves and float) and unexpectedly, they come to the conclusion that they have an extra $2k that they are able to invest 6) they received a gift from friend/relative/acquaintance and/or 7) a variety of other possible reason they could come accross extra money, whether that is some extra from their DCA amount or maybe it is a more modest amount

it pointless for anyone presuming lump sum to be an option when apparently you don't have what takes, everyone has to figure out the class where he or she belongs to in terms of choice of strategies, be it dca , lump sum and the rest of them, which will be a hedge over your planning working towards a successful Bitcoin investment.

My problem with the idea of lump sum is not that it might not ever be an option, but instead many times members here are weighing the advantages and disadvantages to lump sump as compared with DCA, and it is not even obvious that DCA is better in those circumstances that a person has a lump sum that happens to be available to him, and even if the lump sum happens to be available, the amount of the lump sum could still be divided into any of the three categories of bitcoin accumulation to buy right away with some of it, to allocate some for buying on dips and to allocate another portion for DCA buying.

The person  may or may not already have DCA and/or buying on dips in place.. or alternatively the person might already be DCAing at $10 per week (presuming a modest budget), but then if all of a sudden an additional $3k comes available.. there might be choices to allocate $1k to each of the three categories, and that is not even the most logical conclusion, but it is a staring point, and each person might decide differently based on his own 9 individual factors regarding how to allocate that extra $3k that suddenly had come available.

There is nothing wrong with engaging in techniques to improve DCA, which truly if someone is new to bitcoin, they might start with a certain weekly amount for their DCA, yet in the meantime, after several weeks, they could be figuring out various aspects of their budget and maybe how to employ their DCA better.  On a personal level, for the first year that I was in bitcoin, I tended to give myself a weekly DCA budget (or allowance), so during the week, I would try to maximize the buying on dips within the week, however, if I had not used all of the weekly allowance by a certain time of the week, I would just buy with the rest of it at that deadline time in each week, since my new weekly allowance would become available at the beginning of the next week... but yeah sometimes going through the process, with the passage of time, I was able to figure out some ways of employing my DCA that worked better for my own circumstances... but also recalculating my situation, that surely went even beyond the first year, since the strategies became different with the passage of time (as you suggested might become the case for anyone going through their BTC accumulation journey) and the fact that I had been accumulating BTC through the previous time and the details of that prior stacking in regards to how much, what was the average costs and considering whether my stacking goals were changing and/or close to being met, helped to inform any changes in my practices.
With DCA one can go with Limp Sum and buy the dip. It will some time for a person to figure out when to use the later two techniques (Lump Sum and buy the dip) with DCA. For sure, new one can go with DCA but they will get bored with it initially as Bitcoin spot price may go down and the profit might not be according to there expectations. This is where one has to keep control over his emotions and continue to invest despite the negative trends of the market. The main reason why many fail to get started with Bitcoin is because they left Bitcoin in early stages after seeing the loss. We have seen Bitcoin bouncing back from 4k in Dec 2018 and also from 18k last year. These falls are nothing but golden time to accumulate Bitcoins.  

We have to go with where we are at right now.  So if a person might be brand new to bitcoin, and he has an income of $2k per month and expenses of $1,500.. and maybe he already had been investing for 10 years, so he has an investment portfolio (non bitcoin) that is around $24k in value (which is right around 1 year of his salary)  and he has emergency funds and reserves and float in place, and so maybe he has $3k in cash that he can invest right now, or he can put some of that into the other two categories, but he already knows from his regular cashflow (disposable income) that he is able to buy $100 of bitcoin per week.  So he has to decide right now about what to to do with the $3k, and he cannot go back to December 2018 and he cannot even go back to December of 2022..

He has to figure it out right now, and if he is not sure, then he still has to live with the consequences of what he decides to do (or to not do).  What is so hard about it? It is about finding some kind of an acceptable balance, no?  The balance would need to be acceptable to him, and no one else.. no one, except for him, is going to give any shits if he makes money or not... or if he adequately protects himself or adequately hedges his options.. whether he ends up being overly aggressive or overly whimpy..  no body cares. He has to take responsibility for his own actions and outcome regarding whether and how to invest and whether to put it into bitcoin or somewhere else.. Is that difficult? If so, how?
134  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 28, 2024, 04:57:21 AM
~snip~
I am pretty sure that the Eth boys are still not very transparent in regards to how many coins there are exactly, including but not limited to that early 2014 premine.  The supply question has never really been very verifiable as far as I have understood.. but the Eth folks seem to consider that to not really be much of a problem.

Wasn't there some verify the block questions that even came 6-12 months earlier than their other stupid ass 2022 movement into POS, which should have gotten people understanding that ethereum was constantly changing itself without much for parameters or even straight-forwardness in regarding whatever new thing it had decided to become..
I think that Vitalik&Co have no worries about such things because they realized a long time ago that they can do whatever they want without losing support. In addition, what beginners object to the most when it comes to BTC is the max supply, because they think that 21 million coins are too few, and that if there were more coins, they could buy them at a lower price.

In other words, the ETH team is proud that it has its own leader, that ETH is much cheaper than BTC and that there is no max supply - and for many it is therefore much easier to become the owner of 1 ETH than 1 BTC - because in the end it all comes down to numbers, right?

Yeah sure there are a lot of dummies out there, including making their financial decisions based on unit bias type considerations, yet it seems that the sounder money is going to prevail in the long run, even though there are a lot of gambling abilities with ETH - and also the overall reality that it is know to facilitate the ease upon which a lot of other shitcoins would be built on top of it.

~dunno why peeps get hung up on a number. like when buying i dont look to buy a set amount of btc, i buy as much as i can, whatever the numbers are.
I think it's just a psychological factor. As only the price of bitcoin when it touches $70,000, many are waiting there to sell it. But it didn't even have time to go to $70,000 when it went down. Or when it has touched that number, many sell so the price never crosses it.

So what?  They are retarded, and their little plan works until it doesn't and then they are stuck with the common problem of selling too many BTC too soon, when they probably already knew that they did not have enough BTC, which is part of the rationale that anyone should ONLY start to sell BTC when they know that they either have enough or more than enough.  They should not be selling BTC with expectations of buying back cheaper, since even though you are claiming the BTC price is going back down due to sellers, one day their luck is going to run out and they may well have not have gotten themselves enough BTC to be prepared for UP.. ..

You can look at a lot of examples, even in the last year and a half at various points from $1,5479 until now.. there were various points that folks were selling on the way up, but they sold too many BTC too soon.. at $20k, at $25k, at $30k etc etc etc.. I don't need to list all the prices that folks sold too many coins too soon out of an expectation that the BTC price is going to drop.. and do you even think that there are good odds of going back down to those numbers?  

Currently, we are even having troubles getting below $60k and/or staying there for very long.. so good luck with waiting for even lower numbers as was the case with those guys selling coins at those various lower price points.

Unpopular opinion: Bitcoin is the most appreciated crypto, because simplicity silences anything noisy over the long term.
Maybe.  Or Bitcoin is the most appreciated crypto because it came first and it actually works.

Additionally, almost every single one of the other coins are affinity scams, and since bitcoin is already superior in terms of the actually working idea.. any coin that would want to displace bitcoin would need to be at least 10x better than bitcoin.. if they merely were better in marginal ways, that would not be enough to undermine bitcoin's various network effects (referred to by Trace Mayer) that continue to grow with the passage of time..

Another angle is that bitcoin is replacing gold and the dollar and other various fiats and value storage asset systems because bitcoin is at least 10x better than the other various systems that it is replacing.... around 1,000x better than gold for example.. .. and yeah it is is a bit amorphous to figure out how much better bitcoin is than the dollar or than property systems that are being used as storage of value.

When did we stop using Bitstamp around here?

If I'm going to use a multi-exchange averaging site, I'll use Bitcoinaverage.

Meanwhile we did pass $70k for real at Stamp.

There is no reason to stop using Bitstamp.. especially when making a general BTC price reference and including what is the new local high or low or whatever..

Of course, if there were to be some reason to point out some kind of an arbitrage that exists, then nothing wrong with bringing up some other exchanges for that reason.. but not for just for price references..

since we already know folks get all excited to be citing various prices that exist at various exchanges and blah blah blah distractions when there is no reason to talk about those higher or lower numbers unless either related to Stamp or maybe if there might be something wrong with Stamp's price.. which surely could happen.. but has not really been an issue  in the last 7+ to 8+ years, and there had been some debate about using bitfinex and coinbase.. especially in 2016.. but gosh I hope we would not be wanting to use either of those references.. and good to also have Buddy showing the same thing too.. which happens to be Bitstamp.. . and if it is not broke, why fix it without some justification for doing so?

jimbo.
https://aggr.trade/300a. they have a sound track so I gotta use them
and we are over 70k on multiple sites as I type.

fuck aggr.trade/300a. and their soundtrack too.

 Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
135  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buy Buy Buy or Sell Sell Sell? on: May 28, 2024, 02:56:20 AM
Things like this are normal because no one can predict the crypto market perfectly. Selling at the highest price is everyone's goal, but this can also make you lose the best momentum to sell. I have experienced this, I waited for the price to continue to rise in the hope of being able to sell at the highest price, but what happened after that was that the price fell. Profit is the main goal of investment, but you should not be greedy.
The main thing which everyone wants is to take profit and sell their coin at a higher cost but most of the time people leave their coin when the price goes higher because they don't want to sell at that price and wish the market to pump some more. But after a few months they realised that the market is going down instead of pumping then they start to regret missing the chance.

It is a better way to enjoy your profit if you are happy with your profit when you see that in future the market is pumping more because you have not sold it as profit instead of losing any amount. Be satisfied with what you have and don't look towards the profit of others because everyone has different goals, thoughts, invested amounts, buying and selling costs.
Yeah, our endpoint is profit but only those without plan, target will get caught in this analogy of yours especially those who were present for immediate profit (gambling Bitcoin prices). Every financial market has time or seasons, let me say something have we considered why; Price sells from a particular point and why it buys from a point too, who were those involved, who bought at that higher price, who sold at that price, this are simple question we ought to clearify.

I always and will keep laying emphasis on the need for having a target and being discipline, DCAing with getting exhausted and allow the market do it thing and not being fretful because of pump or dumps in the market.

It is still not correct to presume that the end-point for everyone is "profit."  Sure there is desires of long term investors to both store value in a way that may not lose value as much as other assets.. or to have some different correlation in terms of how the investment (bitcoin in this case) holds its value relative to other assets - which it the description of a hedge.

So there can be various ways to accomplish goals of holding value, hedging and even perhaps having more options down the road, while at the same time recognizing that there are scenarios in which bitcoin may well not hold its value as well as other assets  even in the long run and even when trying to not get distracted by short-term BTC price movements.

The main key on here is that you should really be that investing on the amount on which you can afford to lose on which this has been always the main principle on the moment that you will be making an investment on which proper planning and risks management.
when you're talking about proper planning and risk management, it's not to suggest that you're investing with an amount you're able to loose but deals with being calculative enough to make provision for a portion that's going to allow you continue holding your asset without getting tempted to sell half way. The phrase what you can afford to loose is a gambling phrase that is mostly used to tell gamblers not to go too extreme with the amount they use in gambling. For Bitcoin, for as much as we know, we've not seen it as an asset that can ever go to zero as much as we have seen it grow and so it's somehow improper to use such phrase in this kind of scenario.
I consider the idea/suggestion of investing no more than you can afford to lose to also apply to investing.. not just trading and/or gambling and maybe it applies more with volatile assets like bitcoin, even though the reality is that there is no sure investment - even though some investments are more volatile and/or risky than others.

And, sure are characterizing bitcoin as something that is more of a stable investment - and surely that seems to increasingly be the situation with bitcoin, even though there continues to be risk with bitcoin, including but not limited to the risk of it going to zero.
But I think pretty much the only threat that could drive bitcoin to zero is when there is some technological mess or advancement that makes bitcoin redundant or useless because there is something better than it. Otherwise I understand there can be unforeseen developments, but what else could there be in the near future with a similar or stronger security architecture and predictability? A fixed mathematical schedule for emission and the security through redundancy in the nodes globally distributed and holding the data, it seems to me that there can't be much that is better overall.

The solution to the SPOF problematic is so unique that I don't see how this could be done with a higher level of security.

The biggest problem still are the fees at times for people who do it right and want to manage their own wallets instead of buying it and leaving it on an exchange or as some derivative from some corporation dealing with bitcoin (ETFs for instance). For small investors it is still a hassle, but I doubt that the fee problem will be solved to a degree in the near future where people with small budgets can reliably follow a DCA plan. Then again I doubt that there will never be a solution.

There is also lots of dilution from many of the shit coins. Bitcoin represents about half of the total crypto market cap, but their hope is to hit the so called bitcoin killer. But I get that smaller investors would like to get into the market, but then realize that their $100 DCA investment every two weeks is sometimes stuck because it costs $20 to get the money off the exchange. A simple layer is required that may not offer the same level of security, but still allows small investors to move their bitcoin. The lightning network still sounds too complicated for the vast majority to be used, it scares them away and I get the point. By now you have all these gamified apps that allow you to trade everything and since it is simple, they tend to prefer those apps and trade there.

And sometimes I think the mystic around Nakamoto can be interesting to some investors on the one hand, but scary to others on the other hand as they fear there could be some ill intentions on behalf of the founder, like it comes to light that some rogue state brought bitcoin to life and does hold the majority of the coins. It's not that I am afraid of it, but it could be an explanation for some people to stay away since they rather have a figure they can see and assess. Take Elon Musk as an example or Steve Jobs: whether you like them or not, but those who do feel more comfortable when they actually can see what someone is doing and how they are behaving.

After all, bitcoin is a very different investment compared to owning shares in a company that has a cashflow and a financial report. The good thing is there is no blowing up of bitcoin because someone faked financial data, like there was with some big financial corporations or any of the accounting scandals. It is all mathematical and hence the happenings within the network are clearly predictable (I mean the hard data, not things like price manipulation). In a corporation you can't tell what someone might do next, It is an aspect I like a lot about bitcoin and that is why I am confident it won't go to zero as it will still have value for various groups of people. Value preservation, highest mobility of any asset in the world and autarchy if someone does it correctly.

To me, it seems that you are not wrong in any of your specific assessments, yet I personally do not even feel that I know enough about how to get into specifics instead of just potentially having some ballpark ideas regarding known unknowns and unknown unknowns, and sure you may well be listing some aspect of known knowns- yet the world of probabilities have a lot of various kinds of ways of assigning percentages that may well end up having a certain amount of subjective elements that each of us have to account for when making our own assessments regarding how we are going to invest into bitcoin and also to prepare ourselves for various negative scenarios as well as the positive scenarios.

Someone who has already invested into BTC for a while (like myself) may well end up engaging in various kinds of hedging in terms of selling some of our stash from time to time, whether we do it in time-based ways or we do it in price-based ways.

The overwhelming majority of the world, perhaps even close to 99%, do not have enough exposure to bitcoin since they most of them do not even own any coin at all... and yeah, maybe 1-2% of the world own some small amount of BTC (or even they are involved in shitcoins and thinking that they have enough BTC exposure).

So I am suggesting that even if some of the various negative scenarios are out there and I am not even going into specifics of them, that still does not mean that people generally have enough BTC.. and most people need to get the fuck off of zero... surely there are some folks who invest into bitcoin, and they do not have very much value, so they are continuing to buy BTC as if it were to be guaranteed to be going up, and so that seems to be problematic in the sense that anyone who has a very bullish outlook on BTC, should still be careful about assuming that nothing but UP is guaranteed.. or they might concede that there is UP and DOWN in the short term, but in the long term, no matter what UP is guaranteed.. which also is not true..

In the end people can do what they like, and who cares about my various repetitions that it is good to keep in mind the negative scenarios too, even if you are mostly preparing for the positive scenarios.. but at the same time, does anyone want to be in the street if they do not have other resources besides being maniacally focused on investing into bitcoin and ONLY bitcoin?

Even with myself, I will admit that I likely have around 80%-ish or more in bitcoin as compared with other assets, yet my bitcoin got to more than 80% of my total investment portfolio holdings based its price appreciation and not due to my investing that much.. since when I got into bitcoin I only got up to around 13.5%-ish invested into bitcoin, and the rest of my investment portfolio could sustain me if bitcoin wer to go to zero.. Yet, bitcoin ended up outperform all of the other assets, and sure those other assets may have gone up around 70-80% in the past 10 years, while bitcoin went up around 68x.. .. so sure maybe my exposure to bitcoin could have had been even higher than more than 80%.. but even if it were to go to zero, those other assets can still support me... so I have investments in places other than just having everything in bitcoin.
136  Economy / Speculation / Re: Top 20 days for Bitcoin on: May 28, 2024, 02:29:03 AM
28? That's OK. Barely. At least it's top 30.

Time to move up.
as long as we push the 2021 number down it is a good day. It is in 31st place hope it drops to 32nd place.
67,510 or better does the job.

I am pretty sure we will beat that today.

I am guessing 68.750k. which is 15,16,17 place. coming up soon.

"Technically," $67,484 or better does the job.
137  Economy / Speculation / Re: 100 Push-Ups A Day Until Bitcoin Is $100K Challenge on: May 28, 2024, 01:55:22 AM
Focus on Quality, Not Quantity
In the process of doing this pushups I think we should always focus more on the quality of the push ups not just doing it in other to get to a particular number without doing it properly.
When we focus more on doing it properly it will bring out positive results in no time, so as we all aspire to hit 100 pushups every day let's always remember to do quality pushups in other to get the desired body.

We already had this discussion, and surely I don't agree.

I think that guys can do whatever they like, and yeah, sure a certain level of quality and proper form should be considered in terms of what the guy is counting as a pushup and also if he might be trying to get some kind of improvement of his own physical health by engaging in the pushup activities.

100k,Makus,1,102,2024-05-24

Omg, it's been a while since I last did push ups and today I could feel the stress and pains in my muscles, honestly speaking, I can't imagine what it would look like after being consistent for a whole month. I did 35-20-35-12 push ups under 48 minutes, and I made sure not to cheat the process, quality better than quantity.

You might get more sore than necessary if you put your pushup sets too close together - but hey you figure out what works for you.

Right now, after 113 days of pushups, I am able to do my sets closer together, but I pretty much need the whole day to space them out, and I am still very sore.. not as much as before, but still soreness persists. even though I am also having some measurable improvements, too.

I also switched to 1% milk for the first time in my life. 

I don't believe that 1% milk is healthier than whole milk.  Raw milk would be even better, but yeah, raw milk has been vilified, which is too bad.

Today I was much more faster than the time frame of yesterday because, I used a maximum resting time of 5 minutes after every set of pushups, and I was able to cover 110 pushups in 27 minutes I felt more tired than yesterday maybe because of the time frame, I did 40-25-20-15-10 pushups after the minutes break as resting time. I believe if I continue in consistency I'll be able to go for 100 straight without any resting time or break.

100k,Makus,2,112,2024-05-25

However, your math is or perhaps your typing skills are no good.  You should have had 212 pushups rather than 112 as of your 2nd day.

I hit a new record today for the most push-ups I’ve done in a single set, probably in my life if we’re being honest. This morning before hopping in the shower I did a set of 60 push-ups and it actually felt pretty good. Maybe if Bitcoin was at $63K I would have gone for it, but for now I continue to inch closer to my goals.
I hope I can do it too one day. 60 pushups is a lot to do in one session. Maybe I would be proud of myself if I could do it.  I can even only reach 60 today with 3 sessions, namely 20 per session. How many days or weeks will it take to achieve this?
My fat is still accumulating so I still have difficulty doing more than 15 push-ups. Even to be able to reach 20 per session, it took me 7 days to make adjustments for me to be able to do 20 push ups in one session. Because on the first day I did 14 to 15 per session. And it can reach more than 90 at that time in a day. But then on the second day I really didn't do push ups because my body felt sore and my muscles felt very tight. And on the third day I could continue doing push-ups again. Although there may not be many. Because my muscles are still sore. So even today I can only reach more than 60 in accumulation. I don't make reports like the others here. Because I'm quite embarrassed about the amount I achieved in one day. Lips sealed

There is nothing wrong with 3-5 sessions of 10-20 pushups per set.  Don't try to overly push yourself with the number of pushups in each set and the number of sets that you are doing each day.  You should give your body some recovery time, and also even a day of 3-5 sets might cause you soreness for 1-2 days, even if you do not continue to do pushups every day, but there is likely some kind of benefit to create yourself a system in which you are able to continue to do 2-3 sets every day, and if your number is kind of low shoot for doing 3-5 sets every day and maybe some of the sets you would ONLY do 10 pushups just to keep the habit of doing them, but not overly doing it.. .. and so it seems that you would be spreading them to through the whole day, especially if you are doing 14-15 sets, but it seems better to allow your body to rest more between sets maybe 2-3 hours between sets and shoot for 5 or 6 sets perhaps as your maximum number of sets in a day.
138  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buy the DIP, and HODL! on: May 27, 2024, 11:18:38 PM
Perhaps you're probably correct, about your assumption that how much of your discretionary or disposable income is what determines how much you should invest rather than how much you earn, but I'd like to point out to you @Tmoonz that you're wrong from a different view point; bitcoin investment is not a default option in which you must invest what you have at your discretion; it's an important choice that should be taken seriously.

Perhaps when one talks about investing in bitcoin, it is supposed to be a very important part of one's life that is worth cutting other expenses to increase the rate and/or level of your investment; your lifestyle can wait for a moment, but bitcoin cannot, so you must sometimes not make yourself too comfortable by investing a small portion of your income in bitcoin, instead take it upon yourself to make a better portion of your income count by investing it in bitcoin. For instance, if you earn $200 per week and your weekly spending for the so-called lifestyle is $190, and you have roughly $10 in discretionary or disposable income, is that a good investment? Absolutely not! So it's basically how much you earn and a percentage you're willing to give for the future, rather than what's in your disposable income, because bitcoin isn't like shitcoin, where you can put whatever you want, but you decide how much of your income should be invested in your long-term investment scheme.
I think it's not a problem, okay maybe it would be great if we could minimize the expenses that we will do because after all it becomes a plus because with that we can be more free to be in bitcoin with a little bigger but in the end we also have to realize that we don't need to force it directly because investing in bitcoin is not a compulsion and the initial benchmark is still how ready you are to lose and we also have to see how much budget we really have to fulfill consistently so that what we do in investing in bitcoin does not eat up the budget of the others.

With this in mind if indeed we have around $200 of income and we have to spend $190 for our needs then there is no problem if indeed it is only $10 because this is our ability. although indeed in terms of profit also in the end it will not be much different but if indeed we can afford it only that much then still do it because forcing it to be more can ultimately burden yourself in the future.
See this matter of investing in bitcoin is also something we should take seriously as much as we need to plan for our daily needs, we also have to understand that needs don't finish and they keeps coming up on daily basis, but as much as we have to take care of other things we have to understand that we have to take our investment in bitcoin very serious too. If someone is making a monthly income of $200 and he is investing only $10 I think it's very poor. If you are making monthly income of $200 you should at least invest 10% of the money which is $20 and I don't think it's too much. If $190 can carry you for a month, I think $180 will equally be enough to carry you for the moment. In as much as we are investing, we should also target to have a reasonable amount of fraction of bitcoin and to accumulate it, we have to make some certain level of sacrifice.
It is not extremely mandatory to invest a specific percentage of ones income, some persons might be in a situation where they have little or much to spare due to the size of their family and further upkeeps. The actual process is to take out all expenses and funds for reserve then these left overs can be used to invest, going above the spare funds might cause tragic reflexes to one's investment portfolio. I support the fact of investing a fair amount, as long your income is able to cover all expenses and still remain quite a reasonable amount then their should be no hesitate to invest the ideal percentage.

You are correct that the idea of discretionary income trumps the idea of some strict percentage to invest into bitcoin, even though both can be used as guidelines and/or even aspiration levels in regards to how much a person might want to strive to push himself to target for in his investment, but he still is going to be limited in terms of whether his target percentage is even achievable in light of his actual discretionary income.

So for example if a person knows his expenses are $1k per month, and if he is able to invest 10% of that, then that is $100 per month or $1,200 per year, or $12,000 over 10 years, so then we figure that it is going to take the guy right around 10 years to have had saved/invested 10 years worth of income into bitcoin... so that could help to target the amount and the timeline, but he still has to be able to do it.. so yeah, there cannot be contradictions, and when push comes to shove, there likely is still ONLY so much income coming in and ONLY so many expenses that can be cut.. even though people can work on attempting to being creative in terms of how they might be able to increase their discretionary income... so that it ends up being a higher percentage of their overall income/expenses... which means that they are likely to make more progress in a shorter period of time, as long as they do not end up overdoing it.

[edited out]
Exactly... its pointless waiting to observe market for what?? Better chance they say which might even be a forever loop  Cheesy
Bitcoin  waits for nobody... observing can also be used but that should be for those already  in the game and nor even new to it , it could be taking as a factor to buying more Dips which is not bad but on the other hand, I don't know what a beginner who haven't invested a dime observe
DCA and DCA and more DCA  should be the main focus of a beginner .
Although, we can say a beginner wants to learn a proper way to DCA (more appropriate) Smiley

There is nothing wrong with engaging in techniques to improve DCA, which truly if someone is new to bitcoin, they might start with a certain weekly amount for their DCA, yet in the meantime, after several weeks, they could be figuring out various aspects of their budget and maybe how to employ their DCA better.  On a personal level, for the first year that I was in bitcoin, I tended to give myself a weekly DCA budget (or allowance), so during the week, I would try to maximize the buying on dips within the week, however, if I had not used all of the weekly allowance by a certain time of the week, I would just buy with the rest of it at that deadline time in each week, since my new weekly allowance would become available at the beginning of the next week... but yeah sometimes going through the process, with the passage of time, I was able to figure out some ways of employing my DCA that worked better for my own circumstances... but also recalculating my situation, that surely went even beyond the first year, since the strategies became different with the passage of time (as you suggested might become the case for anyone going through their BTC accumulation journey) and the fact that I had been accumulating BTC through the previous time and the details of that prior stacking in regards to how much, what was the average costs and considering whether my stacking goals were changing and/or close to being met, helped to inform any changes in my practices.
139  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buy the DIP, and HODL! on: May 27, 2024, 09:57:50 PM
Normally, buying bitcoin in the bear market is the best time to accumulate bitcoin because we will accumulate more bitcoin with a lesser amount of money, and the bear market will facilitate us to achieve the quantity of bitcoin we want to hold because bitcoin is always cheap at that time. For instance, just like JayJuanGee accumulated most of his bitcoin holdings in the bear market, when bitcoin was very cheap, it helped him achieve the quantity of bitcoin he wanted to hold quickly. JayJuanGee can decide not to accumulate bitcoin again because he has already accumulated enough bitcoin, which is very much okay for him. But that doesn't mean that accumulating bitcoin when the price is at its peak or bitcoin halving has happened is bad. It only means you will be accumulating bitcoin when it is expensive, and you will need good capital to help you accumulate a good quantity of bitcoin on time because the demand for bitcoin is high, scarce, and expensive to accumulate.

You might be mischaracterizing a bit my  own BTC accumulation journey, since I did not particularly go out to buy and/or accumulate bitcoin in a bear market, and none of us is likely going to know whether we are in a bear market or not or which way the BTC price is going to go for the short to medium term.

So any kind of suggestion that it is best to determine and/or figure out if we are in a bear market prior to engaging in BTC accumulation and/or aggressive BTC accumulation seems to be quite misleading  - and it could cause newbies to wait rather than getting started ASAP..

If you don't have any BTC, then what are you going to do wait for lower prices from here?  Or if the BTC price does not go down from here, then you are going to wait for after it goes up and then when it comes back down, but to where is it going to come back down?

I cannot see how waiting could be a strategy for anyone who might have assessed that he does not have any coins or that he does not have enough coins.

Sure, some folks might come to a wrong assessment that they do not need any BTC, and sure they can do what they like, but they are likely going to end up buying later and at higher prices, so again, why wait?

There are some folks who are worried about price dips coming, and perhaps those kinds of folks will feel better if they hold some funds aside for buying on dips, but even that seems like a questionable strategy for anyone who either does not have any coins or does not have very many coins.

~~~
Normally, buying bitcoin in the bear market is the best time to accumulate bitcoin because we will accumulate more bitcoin with a lesser amount of money, and the bear market will facilitate us to achieve the quantity of bitcoin we want to hold because bitcoin is always cheap at that time. For instance, just like JayJuanGee accumulated most of his bitcoin holdings in the bear market, when bitcoin was very cheap, it helped him achieve the quantity of bitcoin he wanted to hold quickly. JayJuanGee can decide not to accumulate bitcoin again because he has already accumulated enough bitcoin, which is very much okay for him. But that doesn't mean that accumulating bitcoin when the price is at its peak or bitcoin halving has happened is bad. It only means you will be accumulating bitcoin when it is expensive, and you will need good capital to help you accumulate a good quantity of bitcoin on time because the demand for bitcoin is high, scarce, and expensive to accumulate.
The example shown by JayJuanGee can be used by anyone who wants to get Bitcoin when the price is cheap and indirectly he also teaches Bitcoin investors to take advantage of this moment to collect as much Bitcoin as possible. This method is very easy to do, buying at a cheap price and selling it again when the price is high is the goal of investors to get the profit they want. Accumulating Bitcoin when the market is entering a bearish phase will make you calmer and able to hold Bitcoin in the long term without having to worry about the price going down further. The great potential that Bitcoin always presents will allow you to collect Bitcoin at a cheap price in greater quantities.

Collecting Bitcoin when the price is at its peak will make you have to wait longer to get a profit, usually when the price has reached the peak it will experience a sidway which makes your assets experience a decrease in value. I prefer the method used by JayJuanGee because it will give you peace of mind when investing and has the potential to get bigger profits. Another advantage of buying Bitcoin when the price is cheap is that you don't have to wait long, usually the market will experience a Bullish phase after a downturn in a Bearish period.

You are saying a similar thing as Mayor of ogba, which is not what I say, and I surely don't know about what to do when the BTC price goes up... I am not recommending anyone wait, even if the BTC price is going up.. since we can never really know when the BTC price is going to stop going up and we cannot presume a correction, a dip or a bear market...

I am also saying that the longer any of us is in bitcoin and we are continuing to buy bitcoin, there likely are going to be periods in which the BTC price is going down rather than up, but we never know how low the BTC price is going to go or how long the seemingly relatively lower prices are going to continue to stay low.

So yeah, if we are accumulating bitcoin over a whole cycle or even over a couple of cycles, we are going to likely begin to appreciate better that there are periods that the BTC price seems low, but also the longer that we are in, we would have had already spent a considerable amount of time already buying bitcoin and probably some of the bitcoin that we bought is going to be at higher prices and some of the bitcoin that we bought is going to be at lower prices. .. so there is going to be a mixture of prices in which we had bought our bitcoin and we can calculate our average price per bitcoin too and we can calculate the extent to which we might be in profits or not.. so those kinds of calculations regarding our bitcoin stash size, its value and where we want to get are more likely to inform us in regards to what we are going to want to do... so it might become obvious in our own context, but not obvious in the abstract, and in the abstract my overall suggestion is just to keep buying no matter what the price for at least a whole cyle, and depending on your own level of buying, you may well need to just keep buying for a couple of cycles before you might start to feel comfortable to modify your approach in a way that attempts to calculate dips rather than just ongoingly buying BTC at any price within the context of your discretionary budget.. and not waiting for dips that may or may not end up happening..

[edited out]
You are still struggling a little with what a discretional income is, investing from our discretional or disposable income doesn't mean in any way that we are neglecting our investment in bitcoin and doesn't mean that its some kind of left over or little amount.

A discretional income is what is left after we have taken out the money for our necessary expenses, I think i already gave you an illustrative the last time but I think I'll have to start all over,
Mr A is earning a 1000$ and lives in a small house with little bills to pay, so after he has taken out his necessary bills and expenses he ends up with 500$ in his discretionary income and can decide to keep an extra 100$ for floats and invest the rest into bitcoin on a weekly basis and this is achieved because he has little expenses to make and hence his discretionary income is bigger after he has removed the necessary expenses.
Mr B can also be earning same amount and has a higher expenses based on the kind of house he chose to live and lifestyle he has so he winds up with only 300$ as a discretional income after after his expense and decides to keep an extra 150 floats for enjoying himself and invest 150$ into bitcoin.

So in essence the discretional income is determined by how much of an expense the person has and how much he can avoid out of his income, and at same time it's also possible that the person can chose to favour other things than bitcoin investment with his discretionary income.

Your example is not bad Troytech, yet I am considering that you are trying to suggest that both Mr. A and Mr. B have the same discretionary income, but they choose to spend their discretionary income in different ways..... so Mr. B is actually spending more money on luxury items of consumption.. so therefore he ends up with less discretionary income after he had made his choices, but largely they started out with very similar levels of discretionary income, especially if we were to really drill down into basics.  There can be some guys who choose to live in a house that has $500 in monthly expenses and another in $800 of monthly expenses, so whether we call the left over discretionary income or not, might be another story since sometimes life choices can take a while to change and even to figure out if it is possible to cut some of the expenses once they had been chosen several years back, yet anyone can still make changes little by little...and maybe even realizing that some of the ways that he is spending his money is actually discretionary, even though he might have had labelled it as needed expenses.  We might be belaboring some of these points too much.
 
What those people need to know that short term investment bring more higher risk to them than investing on bitcoin for long term that's why they should focus on things that can actually give them high chance to earn. And in process they should consider to learn certain flaws that can affect their investment decision so that they could earn success and they will not get easily bother by anything that might happen in future. Its interesting to see that now there's a lot of people is engaging with this hodl discussions since we can learn a lot of knowledge coming from multiple source that can help us became more better investor.
I bold the part about how many are falling for scams. Because of the thought that are given to them about aiming to earn with high chance. Well no doubt doing it on Bitcoin gives them that but if they're going to focus on it, they might just land to the scamming tactics of cons.

Are you going to delay your investment into bitcoin based on your speculation that you might get scammed?  How much of a delay are you going to make?  Does the possibility that you might get scammed stop you from investing $10, $100, $1k, $10k?  At what point does it become more important?

Surely I am not suggesting that anyone is sloppy in their various personal safeguards, but there are likely levels of BTC accumulation that might be able to take place by holding BTC in various 3rd parties even prior to transporting to self-custody - so yeah, the larger the amounts of the investment, then then more urgent the need to employ higher levels of security... and those security thresholds are likely going to trigger at different points for different folks - while at the same time, it seems a bit problematic if anyone is failing/refusing to start to invest into bitcoin because they believe that they need to better learn things about bitcoin security.

Perhaps you're probably correct, about your assumption that how much of your discretionary or disposable income is what determines how much you should invest rather than how much you earn, but I'd like to point out to you @Tmoonz that you're wrong from a different view point; bitcoin investment is not a default option in which you must invest what you have at your discretion; it's an important choice that should be taken seriously.

Perhaps when one talks about investing in bitcoin, it is supposed to be a very important part of one's life that is worth cutting other expenses to increase the rate and/or level of your investment; your lifestyle can wait for a moment, but bitcoin cannot, so you must sometimes not make yourself too comfortable by investing a small portion of your income in bitcoin, instead take it upon yourself to make a better portion of your income count by investing it in bitcoin. For instance, if you earn $200 per week and your weekly spending for the so-called lifestyle is $190, and you have roughly $10 in discretionary or disposable income, is that a good investment? Absolutely not! So it's basically how much you earn and a percentage you're willing to give for the future, rather than what's in your disposable income, because bitcoin isn't like shitcoin, where you can put whatever you want, but you decide how much of your income should be invested in your long-term investment scheme.
I think it's not a problem, okay maybe it would be great if we could minimize the expenses that we will do because after all it becomes a plus because with that we can be more free to be in bitcoin with a little bigger but in the end we also have to realize that we don't need to force it directly because investing in bitcoin is not a compulsion and the initial benchmark is still how ready you are to lose and we also have to see how much budget we really have to fulfill consistently so that what we do in investing in bitcoin does not eat up the budget of the others.

With this in mind if indeed we have around $200 of income and we have to spend $190 for our needs then there is no problem if indeed it is only $10 because this is our ability. although indeed in terms of profit also in the end it will not be much different but if indeed we can afford it only that much then still do it because forcing it to be more can ultimately burden yourself in the future.
See this matter of investing in bitcoin is also something we should take seriously as much as we need to plan for our daily needs, we also have to understand that needs don't finish and they keeps coming up on daily basis, but as much as we have to take care of other things we have to understand that we have to take our investment in bitcoin very serious too. If someone is making a monthly income of $200 and he is investing only $10 I think it's very poor. If you are making monthly income of $200 you should at least invest 10% of the money which is $20 and I don't think it's too much. If $190 can carry you for a month, I think $180 will equally be enough to carry you for the moment. In as much as we are investing, we should also target to have a reasonable amount of fraction of bitcoin and to accumulate it, we have to make some certain level of sacrifice.

Sure I am all for investing 10% or more of the income, but we cannot know if discretionary income is sufficient to be able to invest 10% in cases in which we might not know expenses and $200 is a pretty low income to expect (or presume) that such a person is able to invest - even though I know that a lot of participants in this thread claim to have income levels in such low amounts.

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A lump-sum buy doesn't necessarily mean you have to wait for the bitcoin price to dip before you can lump-sum. You can decide to start your bitcoin investment with a lump sum buy to help you accumulate a good quantity of bitcoin, and after that, you can stick with the DCA strategy to accumulate bitcoin either weekly or monthly. Unless you are on bitcoin for short-term profit, that is when technical analysis comes into play to help you read the market and have a clue when to buy bitcoin so that it will not affect you not to take your short-term profit when the bitcoin price is high. Secondly, technical analysis will delay your bitcoin accumulation journey because you will be waiting for the result of what you analyzed to happen before you can accumulate bitcoin, and if it doesn't happen, you will not accumulate bitcoin. That's why it's good to be in bitcoin for the long term so that you will not need any technical analysis skills before you can accumulate bitcoin. If buying the dip is your problem, the DCA strategy is here to help you achieve that because you will be accumulating bitcoin even when the price is increasing or decreasing.

Of course, buy the dip, DCA and lump sum are three separate concepts, and sometimes they can be combined, but the mere fact that they can be combined does not mean that each of them should not be understood in terms of what each of the concepts mean on its own... is there a need to repeat what each means?

Maybe just in regards to lump sum.... it is an amount that you already have and you are considering what to do with it.  Buy all right away, or divide it up.

Another thing that a lump sum could be accumulated into the future.. . or there could be an amount of money that is being saved, but it is not really known how it is going to be used until at a later date... that money could be considered lump sum.. even though it also could be considered part of reserves that are building up and perhaps without any specific designation regarding how such reserves are going to be used - except maybe some kind of an event might trigger that such funds are to be considered to be used and/or maybe a whole rethinking of such funds upon certain future currently unknown events.. and so then some of that amount could become a lump sum amount that becomes available for the purpose of BTC investing.

We cannot necessarily presume lump sum to even be an option, since sometimes people come to bitcoin an they don't already have cash available and/or they might not even have other investments from which they would be able to employ lump sums, so sometimes it does not even make sense to presume lump sum as an option when it is not automatically an option that normal people end up having and even if they were to have some lump sum potentiality, they would first have to designate such amount towards bitcoin investing, which might be an actual obstacle for some folks in which DCA makes more sense for them since they are not ready, willing or able to redesignate some lump sum amount that they might have towards bitcoin investing.
140  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buy the DIP, and HODL! on: May 27, 2024, 07:48:25 PM
I can't be that conscious to invest due to bitcoin price is increasing rapidly, you most at least scrutinised the market and understand the next movement of Bitcoin through the chat or move of candles sticks, probably, we need to know that is not all about investing but understand the system firstmany of you is curious to invest when the price of bitcoin increasing and you feel is the best time to accumulate your bitcoin.
A beginner don't need to understand anything about the next movement of bitcoin or read candle sticks or charts because they are irrelevant. The reason why I said that they are irrelevant is because that investor does not want to trade. What you stated are for traders, a new beginner that plans to hodli for long will not run at loss and can buy bitcoin anytime either in the bull market or in the bear market. This is because his aim is to accumulate as many bitcoin as possible overtime and does not have plans of selling. If a new investor buys his first bitcoin during the bull run because he feels he needs to start right away, and continue to DCA every week or every month regularly without skipping on week or month, you will see that he will also buy bitcoin during the bear season till the next bull run. His average bitcoin price will be balanced and he will be in profit in the next 4 years even if bitcoin price have not passed when he bought his first bitcoin.

You are not really wrong Ruttoshi, yet there still is some need to not overly generalize because surely even within classes of investors there can be some that are more aggressive and some that are less aggressive, which will likely affect the way they accumulate bitcoin, and the extent to which they might remain focused on maximizing their bitcoin accumulation and/or balancing other aspects of their lives and even other investments that they make (and I am not even referring to bitcoin).

Another thing that we know about people generally is that there are not a lot of people who invest in the first place, so really an overwhelming majority of people either don't invest at all or they have trouble even consistently conjuring around 10% of their income in order to invest into bitcoin or anything else, so in that regards, those who do invest tend to either put money into properties or maybe they have some kind of a retirement plan that involves personal contributions - which even the employer might match some of the contributions to incentivize the utilization of such programs.  In countries that do not have some of those systems, it is likely even more difficult to invest  or save, and if there is concerns about the debasement of the currency, that creates additional disincentives to keep any value in the local currency - so yeah, the investors into bitcoin come from a relatively small group of folks who might even learn that bitcoin ends up being an option that is superior to other ways that they might save or invest, so they may well become encouraged to invest into bitcoin and surely to figure out the extent that they have discretionary income that can be used for such purposes.


So this is why much knowledge about the market is not needed but on to buy and transfer to your hardware wallet, because you don't need to distract yourself about the price of bitcoin, you are only focus on buying. You should also note that the price of bitcoin increases overtime, and it is not easy to know the next movement of bitcoin price, and it is very stressful to read charts and candle as a beginner who has the money to start his bitcoin investment right away. Even traders lose a lot because they find it difficult to know the next bitcoin price movement and read candles.

It means that the new beginner that is suppose to buy bitcoin at 67k now will take a lot of time studing without any bitcoin, might end up buying at higher price or will miss the quantity of bitcoin he is suppose to have accumulated because of learning what is not useful in bitcoin long term investment. The new investor just like @JJG use to advise can start accumulating and learn at the same time.

I agree with a lot of this to the extent that we still might recognize and appreciate that it is neither guaranteed that BTC prices will go up and there also can be some value to not become overly concerned about the extent to which the BTC holdings are in profits during the earliest of years of accumulation, and even to take it for granted that they are going to end up in profits, even though surely there is a preference that the holdings do end up being in profits at some point and also there is a hope that the BTC holdings generally outperform other places that value could be place - especially in the longer term, but none of that is guaranteed either.  So the position size and or the amount that is invested into bitcoin should be tailored to consider various potential scenarios in which bitcoin might fail to perform or there might be other better places to invest.  Yeah, surely many of us are likely continuing to focus on bitcoin, even though the strength of its investment thesis is not guaranteed to continue to be strong - even while it currently seems to be amongst the best (if not the best place) to put extra value (aka discretionary income).

[edited out]
I don't also get the point on why they should rush to invest on bitcoin since they might fall taking bad decision if they didn't planned well their accumulation and think about that they might come up late. As an investor you really need to consider first what is your potential plan to do and there's should be good budget plan so to avoid any bad complication on each investment choices they make.

You can do whatever you want. If you believe waiting and studying the bitcoin matter sufficiently/adequately helps you to prepare for up, then that is your choice.

If you don't start investing right away, then you are not preparing for up.

You might believe that it is not necessary to prepare for up.  That is your choice.

Another thing is that the mere fact that you are starting to invest, does not mean that you jump in with all of your savings and/or disposable income right from the start.  There are ways to start with a reasonable position size, and the less you know, the more likely the smaller your initial position size, including maybe the newbie just starts by investing $10 into bitcoin and the tries to figure matters out further from there in terms of the level of his  investment aggressiveness, the frequency of his BTC purchases, his own financial matters including cashflow and discretionary income and the other 9 individual matters, but each of those 9 individual matters is like a moving target in which studying them and learning about them is never completely completed.

How can one make move for investing without understanding risk involved, this is solely the reason many are crying because of such impression of which they become liquidity for others.

Yep.. A lot of newbies fail/refuse to get started investing into bitcoin because they believe that they are merely serving as liquidity for others, and too bad for a lot of them who historically had thought that (and failed to get started) and those who continue to fail/appreciate the value of getting started rather than just waiting around for price drops that may or may not end up happening.

it should be a task to beginners to ask such questions, because for me I know quite well that you want to become successful you most ask others the pathway that makes them to be successful, so I know very well that what makes people to join bitcoin investment without making research is out of desperation, while is good to advantages and the disadvantages of something you wants to venture into it before you enroll yourself.
Yes!! from what I bold I wasn't  directing the question  to you actually  I only picked the word Observe as in observing the market which I only see it as a way for short term investment

Yes.. and another interpretation of "observe" is to wait... which surely is not a good investment strategy - especially in regards to bitcoin.

You seem to be fighting with the idea of discretionary income, which seems like a semantics fight rather than a substantive fight... since surely you seem to realize and recognize that there may well be limits on how much any of us is able to invest into bitcoin on a weekly/monthly basis and there are ways that we can attempt to prioritize our expenses.. or even work on ways to increase our income.. .. so yeah, no problem with providing examples in which priorities might be changed and still be within bounds of discretionary income in order to invest into bitcoin or however else a person might choose to invest his time, money and/or energies.
Apparently, it sounds like I'm obviously fighting the idea of discretionary income but perhaps I'm only of the opinion that some kind of folks prioritize luxury or some kind of lifestyle thats not healthy at some point over investment, which is irrational to an extent. From a clear point one can increase his or her work life, do extra jobs to achieve his or her preferences but not cutting down a good quantity of their supposed investment capital to fulfill some kind of lifestyle that could put on hold for a moment hence achieving a necessity like bitcoin investment.


There is ONLY so much that I can do in terms of presenting the ideas, and attempting to point out where I believe that your thinking is problematic, and sure maybe it is possible that we still arrive at the same place since we are considering similar ideas but instead placing some of the ideas in extra categories.

There is nothing wrong with prioritizing investments and even cutting various kinds of consumption that you do in order to increase your discretionary income, but still in the end, the investment is coming from extra money that you have that is calculated after you have considered your expenses, and the mere fact that you are wanting to give the investment equal priority (or similar priority) as compared with expenses that you might have is still likely coming out of the fact that you actually have discretionary income, even if you might be calling it something else... and maybe even if you are suggesting that you can go without some of your expenses and still be fine, which shows that they were not basic expenses but instead somewhat discretionary expenses and people are going to likely draw the line in different places in regards to which expenses are needed versus which ones are luxuries and also considerations if their body is strong enough to eat some foods with inferior ingredients that might cost less than the more nutritious options.

[edited out]
Sometimes ago I was reading one of your works @JayJuanGee where I came across @bitmover saying he was going to continue accumulating bitcoin after some quality conversations with you JJG, I felt at that point he must have been feeling his accumulations was already perfect for himslef but after few constructive discussions he then realised the need for him to keep accumulating bitcoin.
~Edited out~
I have about 30% in bitcoin. I was worried about that as I considered it a lot.

However,  after recents discussions with you JJG, and some recent thoughts about the market , I stopped selling for a while. I will try to increase it.✂️

I had a few back and forth discussions with bitmover in regards to the two main tools in my sustainable withdrawal thread, so many times I had attempted to emphasize with bitmover and with other forum members that I presume that the context of using either of the two main sustainable withdrawal tools is to get your BTC holdings to a point of over-accumulation first, so it becomes more problematic (but not impossible) to use the sustainable withdrawal tools that I am suggesting (and within the context that I am suggesting them) without first reaching high levels of BTC accumulation and/or perhaps coming to an assessment that you had actually overly accumulated BTC.  

The two sustainable withdrawal tools that describe (one time based and the other price based) could also be used in some trading contexts - even though I do consider them to be more valuable when assessed from a perspective of having had already reached some level of BTC over accumulation.. so I am pretty sure that bitmover was considering my comments in that light and coming to his own assessment that he likely had not yet accumulated enough BTC in order to be starting to employ much if any BTC selling tools.. .. another thing that I frequently spout is that selling BTC is not a good strategy for accumulating BTC, and so it sometimes can take a lot of time to get out of the selling mindset since many of us likely realize that in theory selling higher and buying lower will allow the buying of more BTC than the amount sold.. but just because there is a good and/or reasonable theory that does not necessarily mean that it is a good thing to actually attempt to practice rather than mostly focusing on various buying strategies, such as DCA, buying on dips and lump sum buying.

Maybe if indeed when we enter the total monthly investment expenses plus our needs for 1 month it will seem to be misleading but in this case I personally distinguish the calculation notes to make it easier for myself to manage the finances that I do.
For example, this month I have an income of around $300 a month and I spend $200 for personal needs and around $50 to buy bitcoin. I will make different notes for investments where indeed in the ledger the financial records will definitely remain $250 as this month's expenses but when talking about bitcoin we definitely need another record where there must be a record in the expenses we make for the purchase of bitcoin so that we know how much we have spent on bitcoin while we are here and that in my opinion is important as a consideration and as a belief that in the end being in bitcoin is profitable so that we don't not know how much of our money we spend on bitcoin and how much profit we can take.

But indeed in the end maybe this depends on what we are comfortable doing because the most important thing in this case is that we don't mess around with the way we manage money regardless of the different ways that are done and the mention of something in the end the goal remains the same, namely bitcoin investment.
In your example, if a guy is buying bitcoin with 25% of his expenses (50/200), then after about 4 years, the guy would have invested a whole year's worth of his expenses into bitcoin.. .So that would not be a bad place to be in terms of building a BTC holdings that has greater chances of getting him to fuck you status or some kind of a status in which he can start to employ sustainable withdrawal.

I wonder how important your ideas about profit taking is?  Sure we want to be in profits or even presume ourselves to be in profits with the passage of time, yet if the guy in your example continues with his practice of investing 25% of his expenses into bitcoin per year for 12 years, he has therefore invested 3 years worth of his expenses into bitcoin at the 12 year mark.  So then maybe the other question might be how bitcoin ended up performing over that time in order to allow the amount invested to grow at least with the cost of living increases and perhaps more than that. ... even though there are no guarantees...

So I am not necessarily going to presume regarding how much profits the guy might be in, yet I would suggest that the value of his holdings may well help to guide him in regards to whether he needs to continue to invest/accumulate bitcoin or if he might bd ready to start to employ some other strategies that might either be just maintenance or perhaps getting into various kinds of withdrawal practices, whether that would be time-based withdrawals and/or raking kinds of strategies.

Surely we make our own assessments regarding where we are at and how we might want to replace and/or supplement our income with bitcoin withdrawals if we happen to get ourselves into such a position.
okay indirectly you are saying that maybe in this case the accumulation is too big but as long as we are able then why not because after all this is not about our own ability in the end right? say indeed it is 25 percent of total income if indeed they can cover it then I think it is not a problem because after all when we are in something (including in bitcoin) then indeed we must be able to consider for some period of time ahead and again in this case I prefer to divide it periodically so for 12 years it is too long for me so 5 years is enough and when you consider the performance of bitcoin during that period (I want to take 5 years) as the timeframe I'm using right now and with the economy getting tougher in the end it's also predictable and we're also not likely to just stay at $300 for personal income because when the economy goes up then in this case the salary in our job usually follows in order to be balanced and that's been happening in the last few years so in the end when we can afford to make 25 percent of the initial budget then it's not a problem as long as we're willing to accept the risk.
In addition, returning to the initial discussion about capital in the end this is also important because investment can also be a business and we must know how much we spend on accumulating bitcoins that we buy from the beginning to a certain extent consistently and how much profit we get after we invest in that period of time. It becomes an important part because after all we are in bitcoin is for profit and financial freedom so the profit factor even though it is only a figurative expression because the bitcoin remains the same only the value is different must still be considered.

I don't disagree with anything that you are saying surely guys might have some difficult times figuring out what there investment timeline is exactly, even if they might consider that they have a relatively long investment timeline of 4-10 years or longer.. or even 10 yers or longer rather than your example of 5 years.. but even at 5 years, there could be a concern about reassessment, even though no one should consider that he is so locked into his investment that he is not able to reassess and tweak from time to time, which also might be considering changing the amounts he is putting in and the timeline and other ways that he is managing his budget, and also if he might have some lifestyle  considerations that he is accounting for that causes him to want to consider that he might start to cash out of his bitcoin in 5 years or so rather than allowing the investment to ride for longer.
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