During the previous bull run, adopting bitcoin was mainstream. But I haven't seen any significant changes that would drive the price of bitcoin so sharply for a very long time. The past year has actually seen a lot of negative news and events that have pulled Bitcoin back. I haven't noticed any significant developments in Bitcoin lately that would be sufficient for a significant push. Even a slight market adaptation by Switzerland has not yet occurred. The reason for this is that the current state of the world economy prevents us from anticipating a new adaptation trend.
I believe that besides the financial pressure many people are currently experiencing and hence have less money at their disposal for investment activities, the bad news really did their part as well. For an industry that is still largely unregulated and not officially audited, cases like that of FTX were the necessary consequence in my opinion. It is like the crypto sector has seen a smaller version of the 2008 financial crisis when the auditing and rating processes were a complete failure or maybe not even existent (when you take mortgage backed securities as an example). The case of FTX certainly engendered mistrust by probably many people who might have still been on the fence of tapping their toes into the crypto waters. When we now found out how FTX has actually been operated, I think pretty much everyone of us was shocked to say the least. Excel sheets and some freeware kind of accounting software to operate a multibillion dollar industry heavy weight and a boss (SBF) talking completely wild stuff on the internet should have been enough to stop it in a timely manner if regulation would have been in place in terms of internal and external controls. I know it is against the sentiment of decentralization and so on, but hell now we know how risky it actually was to deposit any money on the FTX platform... These major events do slow down adoption I am convinced. But anyway, this current stagnation is also multifactorial as there are a lot of uncertainties in the world and people do think at least twice how to manage their assets. |
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Your guess might just be as good as mine, but one thing's for sure — it wouldn't be a major country like the US/UK/etc. A smaller country like Tonga(like you said) has a lot more incentive to take such risks compared to huge established countries.
I believe IF a larger economy or country like the US/UK/etc. is really going to adopt Bitcoin as legal tender, that would happen in tandem with the introduction of smart laws that work in favor of the government in terms of tax collection optimization and overall insight into and control of financial activities, especially cross border activities. I don't see any of the major economies to just make Bitcoin legal tender without any accompanying laws or regulations. So I would say it is not just all about seeing "Bitcoin becoming legal tender" in isolation. Smaller economies might have a reason to take a gamble, like a real gamble when actually Bitcoin could make them rich at some point. That doesn't apply to the larger economies. If you take the example of Tonga, their GDP was less than 500 million USD in 2021. Due to a massive bet on Bitcoin they could actually exceed their annual GDP during a decent Bitcoin bull run. In such countries the goals concerning Bitcoin are usually completely different from those of well established economies. The well established economies want surveillance and control. Worse established economies might consider Bitcoin a good bet at this point from a wealth perspective. Very difficult to tell who owns what, who knows what, who wants what and who might already be planning something big. If I was the US government, wouldn't it be smart to first amass a ton of Bitcoin and then at some point in time declare it legal tender? That would certainly have a massive impact on the price. Many things to consider and certainly an interesting question to think about. |
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Bitcointalk Username: tiCeR
SeqWit BTC Address: bc1q2prmvxprqvf784elttzygj9kcuytxwnejt4pq9
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Belgium didn’t well play this world cup.Can Belgium qualify for super 16?what do you think?
They should be able to beat each other. It's interesting, but I'm betting croatia wins. Belgium seems to have suffered its best time decline. They need to regenerate immediately. This time they performed poorly in the world cup, winning once and making 1 goal to enter 2 goals. Bad stats. Croatia's stats are better and that reassures me, they've never lost either. I think Croatia and Morocco are the two countries that qualified for the knockout stage from group F. Belgium has intensive trouble within their team. They almost even beat each other up after the last game and other players had to intervene. Everyone is accusing each other of being too old, too slow or just too bad. I can't see how they are going to rebuild a unit that can sustain a game and come out successfully against a team like Croatia. It will still be a close call though I guess as no matter how much trouble there is within their own team, they still have some superstars. I expected Belgium to be much stronger, but when De Bruyne went nuts even after the first game I had clue of what might be coming. |
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Current number of post (Including this one): 1186
Rank:Hero Member
bech32 address: bc1q2prmvxprqvf784elttzygj9kcuytxwnejt4pq9
Merit earned in the last 120 days:10
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It is very unfortunate for Senegal and Germany losing their best players to injury. Senegal will play the round 16 with England with sadio mane the African best player and Germany is already on the process of elimination with Marco Reus. We still hoping for Sadio mane to perform in the world cup before Senegal get elimination.
the injury issue of sadio mane is something that, from what i could read and understand, he will not be able to improve in time to play a game in this world cup, maybe i can assume that even if senegal reached the final of the world cup, he would not be there better health to play in the world cup final, so they are just thinking about him being better for next year's games in the bundesliga, and he was really unlucky, he was the main player in senegal that gave a lot of strength in the qualifying games for the world cup, he reminds me of El Hadji Diouf, but at least El Hadji Diouf played in the world cup for senegal and played very well, without a doubt that mane if he had played he would have been able to score goals in this world Cup https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/articles/senegal-sadio-mane-will-miss-world-cup-2022-qatarI hope to see Neymar Jr back after the group stage comes to an end, although they have been good without Neymar.
Alex Telles ?! I honestly wish they use someone else in replacement for him he's such a lazy player who doesn't have that strength to match those black player's. the news about neymar and the brazil team is bad, according to news channels in portuguese that i could read, they are saying that neymar and some brazil players have fevers and under suspicion of being covid, so the brazil coach will put team B to play against Cameroon tomorrow, as Brazil is already in another phase so it won't be a problem if they lose in this game, I even pray that Cameroon can win in this game and that Switzerland lose in this game so that Cameroon can win move on to another phase, that would be very good because there would be another team from Africa in another phase, now if neymar and other players get covid then that will be something bad for brazil Regarding Mane I would also say that it is a personal tragedy. This was the tournament that he deserved during his prime age. He wasn't in the very best shape for Bayern Munich, but playing for the national team at such a tournament is a whole different ball game. I think he could and would have been one of the shining stars in Qatar. Senegal is all about the spirit and unbelievable motivation and that is also what Mane is about. Sad to see he couldn't make it and at the next tournament he will be 34. Regarding the Brazilian team, that's an interesting development and would actually be the easiest way to give players a break without risking to be accused of unfair competition. In the case of Neymar I think it is still uncertain what the situation with his ankle actually is. Although he is acting way too much on the pitch, I still think he deserves to be playing the final round. Hopefully he gets healthy. |
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My Countdown to Ledendary member Rank
Number of Merit(s) left: 484
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What matters most is not to leave your coins on an exchange
That's important no doubt, but if we're talking about FTX, CZ, and SBF I'd say there are massive issues that dwarf that pearl of wisdom. The move CZ pulled in selling FTT was ruthless, and initially I thought it was even villainous, but after learning about all the shit SBF was up to and how FTX was run I've changed my tune about that. All that money he donated to the democratic party....what a complete tool. But I'll bet there's not much that's going to be made about that particular aspect. On a side note, as I'm writing this I'm listening to MSNBC news and some jackoff is declaring crypto dead since there's been so much damage done. He must not be aware of crypto's history. It is even worse than that. In this video SBF admits that he donated the same amount to both the Democrats and Republicans, but the donation to the Republicans was so called "dark money". Watch from 1:00, it's SBF speaking himself twisting things like crazy. You guys can check this post from me as well. There is another video mentioned (I posted elsewhere as well I think), but that one is worth watching because it clearly shows who SBF was. You won't believe it... That might also have contributed to CZ making his decisions. If he didn't have any insights into FTX and Alameda, there were certainly enough indicators to take action at some point. The way he did it remains perhaps questionable though. But FTX had to collapse. Enjoy the videos. |
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Then again, I also wondered whether causing an exchange like FTX to collapse could also backfire in many regards concerning his own exchange. People withdrawing assets en masse, massive push for harsh regulation, also massive push for innovation in the DEX space etc.
I doubt that CZ caused FTX to collapse, and it is a good thing that FTX did collapse, since it was quite apparent that they did not have assets to back up their bullshit token, or whatever else they were using to look like assets when they were stealing customers funds and otherwise gambling with customer funds. Fuck FTX and any attempt to blame CZ for their collapse.. that's bullshit. FTX caused its own collapse, and it should not have gotten that BIG in the first place. Regarding whether Binance is solvent, sell your BNB and withdraw all your funds. Let's see what happens. Guess what? Probably nothing is going to happen, since Binance likely was not doing anything even close to as shady as what FTX, SBF and other FTX stooges/criminals were doing.. and still I have not heard of any of the FTX folks getting arrested yet.. even though the evidence is pretty damned clear that they were stealing customer funds... on a broad level, not even just some reasonable amount .. like 30%.. it was way higher stealing levels than that... or do you want to say that they just borrowed the customer money so they could trade with it or buy houses for SBF's parents? or whatever other secret bullshit they were doing with the money that we have not even heard about yet? Your response seems to be insinuating some wrong things as to what I meant with my post.  Absolutely, fuck FTX! I am all for scammy and shady companies to collapse. Actually, this is why I already posted this and on top of that I recommend an absolutely hilarious video where you can see SBF talking such an amazing bullshit that I would probably have withdrawn my funds the day that video came out if I had been an FTX customer. I urge everyone to watch that video, and maybe sharing this treasure with you is worth a merit, but only when it made you shake your head and laugh of course!  It is beyond ridiculous how SBF is recklessly talking himself into trouble in a conversation with a finance professional. Regarding the reason for the collapse, that is of course the pure insolvency SBF is responsible for, but CZ got the domino game going. He kicked it off so to say. This is not to say that I blame CZ for FTX to collapse. In fact, CZ did the right thing but the intention might not have been as altruistic as one might believe here. Many sources state that SBF and CZ are sort of enemies, like a bit more than just competitors. They had their Twitter fights and so on. What I meant to say with my post is that I asked myself whether CZ, as emotional as his move might have been, was fully aware of a potential push on al fronts that he can't really like given the opaque corporate structure of Binance. Also, people withdrawing money from all exchanges, including Binance, is probably not something he really welcomed. I personally believe that Binance is solvent, but I would not naively believe that it is the case 100%. Binance is operational and that is all that counts because if CZ were forced to prove that everything is sufficiently backed, he would actually have to present a report with proofs of all the sources and that in turn would give insight into this opaque network of globally distributed banks and companies holding Binance's assets. So @JayJuanGee, I guess we are on the same page here. |
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I am all fine with proclaiming that something is not enough... yet? Do we want to go from zero to perfect? And, what is perfect? What would be perfect? Is perfect achievable? Is perfect even desirable? I am not saying don't do nothing, but still there are balances to any of these matters. Wouldn't progress be being made by first having all (or most) exchanges showing their bitcoin (showing what is verifiable, first?)? That would be a start, no? That would be a step in the right direction, no? Powell seems to be suggesting that it is totally worthless to show the reserves because it is not enough and it is misleading - but is it a step in the right direction? Do we believe that a company is going to show everything? Every single thing? Where's the incentive to show every single little thing? And where is the verifiability in terms of showing every single little thing? At least with bitcoin, and the bitcoin's blockchain there is verifiability.. and what else has anything close to the same level of verifiability as bitcoin? Everything else requires some level of trust, no? So I am not sure how you can show everything else without trust, so why not start with the verifiable aspects first.. and then once we get everyone showing the verifiable aspects (if that's even possible?), then we might be able to take some additional steps from there? Maybe some exchanges are willing to show some of the their liabilities, but getting to show everything seems a bit much to expect anyone to cooperate in doing or even to consider that we want that level of transparency? Then when is it going to stop? When are the disclosures going to stop? First institutions (such as exchanges) disclosing, but do the disclosures stop at that point, or then will we require individuals to disclose too? The point is CZ is a snake and he is trying to show how all funds are safu with sleight of hand akin to craig wrong signature scam. CZ is the one who started all this your funds are not backed that started the dominos and as I pointed out a few days earlier he had this all ready to go while he tried to goad armstrong into calling him out. But Jesse Powell (Kraken CEO) is not a fool and a true cypherpunk Idealist who has had his books open and audited for years is calling him out on his little maneuvers. I do agree it is cool to see some info being provided but now is the time to pressure that snake into FULL Disclosure. Especially since he is the one who started it and apparently thinks he has all his dominos lined up. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DelF6zEHXpEI suppose he needs a gigantic audit team to consolidate his own numbers. Just look at his "corporate structure", if it can even be called "structure". It is absurd that to this date I believe he hasn't clearly stated where the headquarter is. It is not just about where they are registered. It is about how and where any issues could seriously be addressed. He doesn't care. When Malta said Binance has no license, he just moved on. The fact that Binance now established some headquarter in Paris is really puzzling. I don't know what happened behind the scenes and what guarantees Binance received from the French government, but when the decision between Ireland and France is made in favor of France, something must be going on. Is this where the company seriously pays tax? Or is this term "headquarter" now just the place where the biggest office with real people working there is to be found? What's the deal between the French government and Binance? I am asking myself whether CZ himself does even know off the top of his head how much in assets his messed up global corporate network even has. But with one thing I totally agree here: it is time to lay the cards on the table. Following the FTX collapse, tens of billions have been withdrawn from all kinds of exchanges. I wonder whether CZ caused a bank run that even he didn't really like. Or Binance is perfectly solvent and played this sneaky he had up his sleeves. Then again, I also wondered whether causing an exchange like FTX to collapse could also backfire in many regards concerning his own exchange. People withdrawing assets en masse, massive push for harsh regulation, also massive push for innovation in the DEX space etc. |
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I've often heard that nothing can stop bitcoin.
While this may be true, I would like to make a list of all possible ways in which banks and governments will try to fight against BTC. So we could find ways to anticipate against it.
Some ideas:
- Prison sentences for people getting caught owning BTC, trading it or selling goods in BTC. Penalties so severe that most people will back off. I often hear local media associate BTC holders with criminals and money launderers, and expect governments to treat them as such. Local banks in my country can face penalties if crypto profits are transfered to a local bank account.
- Regulation for exchanges getting so tough that they can never comply, which will cause them to be shut down, which would generate a run on crypto with a similar effect to FTX bankruptcy.
- Liquidity crises of the exchanges. In case of a bank run, banks can pay about 3% of their account holders. I wonder which amount of liquidity an exchange should have to be solvent. FTX behaved like a bank, but the difference is that FTX' bankruptcy can cause a crash of BTC price while a bank run just leads to the bank being bailed out by the IMF, without the currency getting destroyed.
If you think that none of these things is a realistic threat to the system, let me know.
If there are other threats, likewise.
What might make the most sense in my opinion is too increase friction as much as possible. Saying that Bitcoin is "unstoppable" is indeed true. What governments can do is to turn Bitcoin from an innovational Ferrari into a heavy transport train, maybe blowing up the rails at times to try to stop it temporarily in making any progress. Now you realize that even if you slow Bitcoin down, it is still a heavy transport train, going slowly but surely as there is enough lobby taking care of functioning rails. > Prison sentences: that's a funny one because even today many countries have issues in keeping up the logistics and sufficient capacities for criminals not involved in Bitcoin or cryptocurrency in general. When India threatened to put everyone into jail who is dealing with crypto, I guess you wouldn't have had to pass any class in school in order to know that putting 100 million Indians into jail (let's leave the whole administration for police investigation and court processes aside) might be sliiightly too demanding for the Indian system as a whole! Sure, they could try and set precedences by nationwide propaganda, letting people know that someone is going to jail for 15 years as a consequence of owning some Bitcoin, but seriously that is not going to work out either. They would have to destroy any rule of law and any bit of democracy to justify a prison sentence that might not even have the slightest of an effect, taking into consideration that not even the death penalty is backed by science showing that a certain crime rate goes down as a result of the death penalty. >Increasing regulation for exchanges until they can't handle it anymore: this won't work either in the mid to long-term for various good reasons. One reason is that decentralized exchanges are already there and they will only get better. Multi-sig technologies already allow for safe peer-to-peer transactions on simple websites that can't even easily be shut down by the governments. Fully decentralized exchanges are evolving. How are you going to increase regulation for them? There are surely ways to regulate the version that might be there today, but what if there is another version tomorrow? The issue regulation has in comparison to technological innovation: it always lacks behind. And in many cases the developers might not even be known so you can't even sue anyone. If I recall correctly, the use of Tornado.cash was sanctioned now. People who use it get into trouble. Really? That leads me to my next point, also addressing your precise question whether increased regulation could force exchanges into compliance issues. > Lawsuits! Tornado.cash, and I really expected it, under the lead of Coin Center is going to sue US Financial Authorities! When governments decide to increase compliance rules to a level such that crypto-related exchanges specifically are brought to their knees, they will guaranteed fight back legally. The case is easy to be made: why would a financial institution facilitating trade be any different in front of the law than the ordinary bank? Crypto exchanges would cooperate, which means they would have access to financial superpower (even Binance alone I guess) and employ an army of lawyers and investigators in order to find loopholes, simple proofs that banks are no different, complex proofs for the matter as well, and probably a lot of stuff we can't even imagine. I want to see the judge who then comes up with a plausible verdict that justifies different treatment between banks and registered exchanges so severe that compliance rules for crypto exchanges can be of magnitudes harder than those for banks. I am sure they can come up with shenanigans for a certain period of time, but they can't probably make a case that means end to crypto exchanges while allowing banks to prosper with their current business models. It just needs a single financial crisis and those verdicts would be attacked again. The decision that is to be made by governments is whether to fight or embrace Bitcoin, also in the fact of global competition. We have already seen companies choosing the most crypto-friendly countries to incorporate their headquarters. Switzerland was a great example for that and so governments also feel the pressure to not make mistakes and abandon an entire industry with strong future potential. |
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I know Bayern Munich are doing very well without Lewandowski. They are able to win consistently. And we see Bayern Munich's attacking gameplay. Still I think Bayern Munich fans miss Lewandowski. Because Jamal Musiala, Serge David Gnabry, Leon Christoph Goretzka are performing really well, but they miss some easy chances too often. If Lewandowski was in the team, maybe Bayern Munich's gameplay would have been a little more organized.
What needs to be underlined is that a team like Bayern Munich is not dependent on just one of their players so they never go bad when it comes to letting go of a great player like Lewandowski. And in fact it is true that Bayern Munich can still perform well even though there is no Lewandowski in their team anymore and Bayern Munich's target this season also seems to be achieved where Bayern Munich will still dominate the Bundesliga and will still fight in the Champions League after the Qatar world cup. Do not forget, that the role of the architect is the most important factor that brought Bayern Munich to perform brilliantly even without a pure striker. even though it had experienced a downward trend a few weeks ago, so that Bayern had to go down the standings in the Bundesliga. however, Nagelmann was able to bring his team back to all form and bring his troops to the rank they should be in. I think the role of the coach is a factor why Bayern has remained strong until now even without Lewandowski. he is a tactician and strategist, so a strong team like Barcelona must be defeated by a crushing score either playing at home or away. Currently, Bayern already has a shadow center forward. he is Erix Maxim, so far his performance is quite brilliant considering he is not a big star player. Next, after the world cup. Bayern will have a tough match. they will be tested again against PSG in the last 16 of the champions league later. we will witness like a premature final match, from two great teams who are equally strong. The discussion about the striker at times seems to forget the quality of the striker himself It is always different when you have a goal scoring machine like Haaland or Messi or Ronaldo at their best. There is no discussion about whether or not there should be an offensive player or not. The superstars are in a way influencing the game so much that it is hard to judge from the outside what a club might really be missing. |
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Other rumors, Chelsea have now signed a pre-contract with Christopher Nkunku (Leipzig). Be prepared to face the risk that Aubameyang can no longer be said to be productive to continue to provide encouragement on the front lines. Moreover, Aubameyang was unable to play for 90 minutes. The Leipzig striker was paid around £52 million up front. However, rumored to be absent from the 2022 World Cup due to injury, it's a shame that France has lost a player who has been in top form this season.
Good to see that it seems like that chelsea has been given up to sign osimhen as it must compete with real madrid. Nkuku must move from leipzig caused by he may have a good career once he will be joining with chelsea. It can be said that if chelsea have very big chance to get him. Leipzig will get lots of money from there. France has substitution for him and i think that loosing him in the world cup doesn't mean a lot. Chelsea think that competing with real madrid to get osimhen from napoli will be so hard and it must also pay lots of money. Signing him may become a good thing for the next year. Aubameyang didn't perform so well in chelsea and it seems like that graham was looking for his alternative. Victor Osimhen is a big target right now and it is sure to be difficult for those teams that are not performing very well to get him. Obviously, when he has the option to move to Real Madrid, he’s not planning to choose Manchester United right now. Or maybe not even Chelsea at this moment because Chelsea are not doing well right now either. Real Madrid seems to be the most logical place to sign, even though he has competition, Karim Benzema. Pretty much the same like what happened with some players targeted by chelsea last transfer season but it gets hijacked by barcelona. The player will be choosing real madrid over MU and its popularity might drastically increase once he will be joining in real madrid. Mu has so many problem and that was not offering a good ecosystem for him. Im sure if he will prefer to join in the real madrid. However, I think that a move to Real Madrid would be the most appropriate option for his future. I mean, if he can show a good performance and in a short period of time, Karim Benzema retires from Real Madrid or moves away from Real Madrid, then Osimhen will be the main man in Real Madrid after him.
The salary might be enough but the main concern must be his career for long term caused by there will be more guarantee if he will be joining in real madrid. Real madrid has the biggest name compared with the chelsea and MU. He will never regret it once he will choose real madrid as a new club There is not just the club or the label of a club up for discussion. Some players made the mistake in the past to transfer to a club that they didn't really have a chance to actually prove themselves for. I think that players do consider the overall situation and whether they are at best someone sitting on the bench or whether they really get their opportunities to show their potential. Money is always a big pro or con, whatever way you look at it. |
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"Regional head of British Center for Middle East Studies alleges Qatar bribed 8 Ecuador players $7.4M to lose opening game of 2022 FIFA World Cup" SourceHope it's fake news but I expect everything from these people. The process of giving the World Cup to Qatar was already dubious enough. Now it makes perfect sense that they offered money in the opening match so as not to be disgraced with a humiliating score. Even such a possibility is enough to cast a shadow on the tournament. I hope it's not true. Related tweet: https://twitter.com/amjadt25/status/1593271354803032064Exclusive: Qatar bribed eight Ecuadorian players $7.4 million to lose the opener(1-0 ⚽️ 2nd half). Five Qatari and #Ecadour insiders confirmed this.We hope it's false. We hope sharing this will affect the outcome.The world should oppose FIFA corruption.
@MailSport #WorldCup2022 The process of transferring the rights to host the World Cup was not dubious but corrupt. Everyone recognizes this. As for this leak, I would rather believe in it, but these details about the exact score and the time when a goal will be scored are very doubtful. I doubt that it is possible to conduct the game so well by planning everything in advance, since the fact that it is fixed will be obvious to all observers. but there is always some truth in every rumor and i would trust qatar and its football association as well as their members with a lot. unfortunately, you can achieve a lot with money (with the people who need it more) ... greed eats brain this will be the most corrupt tournament ever and actually i was always for the underdogs in such big tournaments but the wish that qatar will be eliminated from the tournament so quickly and without any chance or will not make it through the group phase was never as big as now just my 2 sats All the points raised here are interesting and I asked myself that question too: will we get some answers as to how much of a World Cup can be bought? We will get the answer after the group stage, but it would be insane if Qatar would make it to the next round. Sure, if they convince on a professional level in sports, that is of course what we all wish for. But I think at the same time a lot of people around the globe would be very suspicious. |
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In my opinion, China is playing a complex strategic game.
Technical standards are a very powerful tool of influence in today's world. In some neighboring countries, even the railway tracks have different widths. Through the establishment of certain technical standards, countries fight for their influence.
Probably, China plans to draw half of the countries of the world into its sphere of influence.
And in this half of the world there will be such phenomena as social rating, closed Internet, censorship and a ban on freedom of speech.
The most impressive thing about the rise of China is that they have somehow manage to pull all of that off quite under the radar. If I recall correctly, there wasn't really anyone calling them out for aggressively buying into foreign industries and especially critical industries and infrastructure. It was first called out when it was already quite too late to stop it. Their level of influence is so high by now that refusing any deals with them comes at a high cost these days. Many people were of the impression that they are doing their thing in China. Yes they are an export and import nation, but when you see how many ports they bought (partially) into all over the world, why did this info come up only when they had already bought into a 100+ ports around the globe? They have all kinds of agreements, some with lower and some with higher impact, but the logistical network they are building also comes with synergetic effects that improves their global political and economic power. These guys are great chess players obviously. |
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There are many things that make us worry that the market will continue to fall, the FTX case is 1 known case and the opportunity for it to occur on other exchanges is very large, currently there are about 560 exchanges and of course making the competition very tight, and according to expert analysts there are many exchanges who manipulate transaction volume.
Manipulation and other related things is never been new on this market, even if we do speak out into those traditional markets on which there's no way on guessing out on when dump or increase of price could really happen.We dont even know if the dump hasnt start yet or its already over which the market could able to get a good hold on crashing out.This is why as someone who do make out involvement and engagement then it would really be that better to brace or make yourself prepared about these things to happen.Everything cant really be known and this is why we do always make out speculations because this market is totally that random. It is just a utopian view to believe that any market is free of manipulation. In theory this bear market could have well been an orchestrated endeavor. But so could the whole downturn in the world have been one. Nobody can tell. In every crisis there are also winners, and these winners might or might not have known in advance what's going to happen next. That doesn't mean we should lead every event ad absurdum in terms of conspiracy theories, like the virus has been spread intentionally in order for the Pharma industry to earn outrageous profits. At the same time the opposite would also be stupid, to think that nothing is being manipulated. What we see in crypto now does actually allow for substantial conclusions and that is rather not about manipulation in the sense that big companies have concerted this. It is more about a systemic problem that we have also seen in the banking industry (where there has also been collision) and that is leverage. Betting on rising Bitcoin prices and taking on irresponsible gambles, locking crypto assets for lending or staking that leads to funds being locked that customers may want to withdraw at some point and many many more things like that. It is also just about amateurish, stupid behavior like that by SBF. Now that we look at it, look at that dude, how could the community even entrust that guy with tens of billions of dollars? So is the dump just getting started? I presume it depends on how much junk there is in the leading companies' balance sheets that we don't know about + systemic risk due to trickle down effects. I guess the next weeks might discern some more important info for the global crypto community in general. |
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I don't know in how far that historical research makes any sense or has an impact on the odds for Argentina to be successful. Why not just look at the numbers we have right now and that is that Argentina is in great shape and has not lost a single game for 36 games in a row now? In my opinion that is much more telling than report that tries to retrospectively construct a coefficient that is supposed to predict the future. Not getting beaten for an eternity is a better indicator for whether you are not you are in great shape to make it quite far in a tournament. |
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-snip
I think Djokovic will win, he will be super psyched about his news from yesterday regarding AO,
so I might do an in play bet if Rublev takes the lead...
have to say that I did not expect to see Djokovic this good, but he looked today as in best days, cannot see someone to take him down on this Masters AO visa issues are now gone, and he could see himself another GS title as well, looking at Nadal play here, Djokovic is pruned to overcome him in GS numbers next year Me neither, I cannot see anyone beating him, as I said earlier it is like he is at the top of his game ATM. His mental state and belief are 100% I believe his 2023 season has got underway since that AO news! Maybe his age is finally affecting his performance, I don't know. But this performance from him certainly did not feel like the Rafael Nadal we all know.
Nadal himself said after his elimination that he is currently lout of self-confidence and mental strength to play at a high level. But without victories he will have a hard time getting all that back. He had some problems with his health this year and could not play some tournaments. But he is already 36 and he has noticed himself that the young players have it easier to play. Self confidence is really big part of Nadal's game and he is nowhere near his best when there is even a little doubt in his mind. That is why he has such good record on Grand Slams, they are played BO5 which gives Nadal time to turn the matches around and they start against opponents that are well below his level. Then after Nadal gets a couple of easy wins he raises his game in each consecutive round and becomes that unbeatable beast that runs his opponents into the ground. Yes, Nadal is one of those elite players as he can completely turn on the switch in a BO5 games and this opponent didn't know what to do as he thought that Nadal is already down and he is about to win the games against him. Right now though, we understand if he doesn't have that confidence, he is not getting any younger, his body is battered and bruised. But for sure, it will only take just a game for him to have that mentally again and become a beast. Of course, his injuries which he is probably constantly carrying will eat away at confidence especially towards the end of the season. In the coming season the GOAT decision will be made purely related to the number of won Grand Slam tournaments. Given these news about the AO for Djokovic, he now knows that he does indeed get one more chance to go into absolute superstar mode and really win it all. Should he start off with the AO and a win there, the big showdown will be at the French Open and Nadal will be under unbelievable pressure regarding his health condition. I doubt we will see him playing a lot until the clay season starts then. The French Open is probably the only tournament he might be able to stop Djokovic in the coming year. Let the games begin! I'm really looking forward to the upcoming season. |
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