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1261  Economy / Economics / Re: Wheat War I is going to be World War III on: September 08, 2022, 05:04:38 PM
I started this topic 4 months ago and warned about the food crisis that is going to be caused by fertilizer crisis. The "European Fertilizer Producers" just figure it out recently! Their representative announced that the fertilizer industry is already in a full-fledged crisis!
"As a result, over 70% of European production capacity has been curtailed. If the situation prevails, we fear that remaining producers could also be affected."

Interestingly enough they blame the over 1000% increase in gas price, but that is only part of the reason. The major imports of components they used to produce the fertilizers are no longer being sold to them as I said earlier which is why they can not produce enough fertilizers anymore.
Lithuanian fertilizer company, Achema AB has already said as much when they announced they will shut down soon.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-08-26/europe-s-fertilizer-crisis-deepens-with-70-of-capacity-hit
https://www.newsweek.com/europes-energy-crisis-turning-food-crisis-opinion-1740228
In the chemical fertilizer industry, natural gas is both a source of energy and a raw material. Fertilizers are made from gas using gas. Therefore, next year, European farmers will be forced to switch to organic farming.

The Lithuanian fertilizer plant that you are talking about consumed 50% of the gas in Lithuania before its shutdown.
1262  Economy / Economics / Re: Germans are looking to firewood for energy as natural gas prices soar on: September 08, 2022, 02:57:24 PM
At this rate in Germany, it will soon be a problem not only to take a hot shower, but also to wipe your ass. Grin
Is your own life so sad you need to convince yourself others have it worse to justify how you live or something?
Your country has declared an economic war on my country, and we are on opposite sides of this barricade. Why shouldn't I rejoice as the vaunted German machine falls apart through its own stupidity? I will dance on the bones of German industry and urinate on her grave. So that you better understand the words of Otto von Bismarck "never fight the Russians."  Grin

Meanwhile, the court of the canton of Zug (Switzerland) extended the moratorium on the bankruptcy of Nord Stream 2 AG operator Nord Stream 2 AG for another 4 months - now until January 10, 2023.
1263  Economy / Economics / Re: ECB lifts rates by unprecedented 75 bps on: September 08, 2022, 02:37:39 PM
Is this the first rate hike from the ecb though? I don't think I've heard of one before this over the past 6 months and it looks quite a dramatic start (although maybe I've missed some news before).
Second, the ECB recently raised the rate by 0.5%.
1264  Economy / Economics / Re: Germans are looking to firewood for energy as natural gas prices soar on: September 08, 2022, 01:56:16 PM
Meanwhile, in Germany, the first case of readjustment due to the energy crisis has taken place. Large toilet paper maker Hackle is trying to avoid bankruptcy. The star of the pandemic turned out to be too energy-intensive and could not withstand the rapid growth of utility tariffs. At this rate in Germany, it will soon be a problem not only to take a hot shower, but also to wipe your ass. Grin
1265  Local / Разное / Re: Cпeцoпepaция пo дeнaцифuкaции и дeмилuтapизaции Укpaины on: September 08, 2022, 09:18:28 AM
Чё там в Балаклее?
Балаклею удерживает сводный отряд СОБРа из Уфы и Самары в количестве 60 человек, по последним сведениям все живы, один боец ранен.
Трофей.
Раздели мальчиков.
Чота ваш собр говно. Как и росгвардия.
Судя по количеству листвы на деревьях фотка ранневесенняя и хуй пойми откуда. Фантазёр блять, раздеватель мальчиков. Против русского спецназа украинская пехота сосёт не нагибаясь. Grin
1266  Local / Разное / Re: Cпeцoпepaция пo дeнaцифuкaции и дeмилuтapизaции Укpaины on: September 08, 2022, 08:41:39 AM
Чё там в Балаклее?
Балаклею удерживает сводный отряд СОБРа из Уфы и Самары в количестве 60 человек, по последним сведениям все живы, один боец ранен.
1267  Economy / Economics / Re: Germans are looking to firewood for energy as natural gas prices soar on: September 08, 2022, 07:23:18 AM
These are horror stories for ordinary people who are unfamiliar with nuclear power plant protection technologies. The protective dome of the reactor is capable of withstanding a direct hit by a tactical nuclear bomb with a yield of several tens of kilotons of TNT
Insert "not sure if kidding"-meme here.

Quote
or the fall of a passenger airliner.
That's several orders of magnitude less powerful.
I'm not joking, after the Chernobyl accident, a tremendous amount of work was done to correct the mistakes so that this would never happen again. I worked under contract with nuclear power plants at the beginning of the 2000s, in particular with Leningrad and Kursk (they are similar in type to the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant), and I was impressed by the continuous efforts of nuclear scientists to create and maintain the highest level of safety. I don’t think that the Japanese have a lower level of competence in this regard, it’s just that in the case of Fukushima, they were initially unlucky with geography.

ps Tell the World Trade Center buildings that a strike from a passenger airliner isn't heavy enough.
1268  Economy / Economics / Re: Germans are looking to firewood for energy as natural gas prices soar on: September 08, 2022, 06:06:39 AM
FUD does not just apply to the markets, it applies everywhere and unfortunately nuclear power is very susceptible to it, and it seems we are about to see another round of FUD once again, the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant was shelled risking a nuclear disaster, both Ukraine and Russia blame each other like always but even if nothing happens, which is what everyone hopes for, this will be another blow against nuclear energy as this will show how vulnerable nuclear power plants are in the case of prolonged conflict.

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/zaporizhzhia-ukraine-evacuation-russia-occupied-nuclear-plant-town-rcna46675
These are horror stories for ordinary people who are unfamiliar with nuclear power plant protection technologies. The protective dome of the reactor is capable of withstanding a direct hit by a tactical nuclear bomb with a yield of several tens of kilotons of TNT or the fall of a passenger airliner. The storage of spent nuclear fuel is a little more vulnerable, but its destruction can only lead to local radioactive contamination of the territory of the nuclear power plant. The maximum that Ukraine can achieve by shelling the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant is for the reactor's emergency protection system to work and the plant to stop working. So far, Ukraine has achieved only that it damaged power lines leading to the territory controlled by Kyiv, providing itself with a shortage of electricity.
1269  Economy / Economics / Re: EU countries agree deal to cut use of gas this winter on: September 06, 2022, 08:20:43 AM
% filling of gas storage facilities, from the standard, excluding 15% savings in 2022/2023 (!!!), as of September 01, 2022
We won't freeze to death, but it's terrible for industry. Just recently, several large factories had to shut down because of high gas prices. That means less jobs and more importing, and none of that is good considering the current inflation and euro exchange rate.
Heating isn't the main reason for our high gas consumption.

It is bad for the German heavy industries in particular. Compared to other countries such as China and South Korea, they have high labor costs. They were competitive just because of the cheap gas. Previously gas at East Asian hubs used to be much more expensive when compared to European hubs, but now the scenario is reversed. Japan is another country which has taken the suicide pill. They just went ballistic to prove their loyalty to the United States, and announced a total embargo on gas and oil from Russia many months ago.
Yep, it seems that the steelmakers were the first to go under the knife.
1270  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: September 05, 2022, 09:13:59 PM
Why invent when Ukraine has more than enough confirmed losses.
So, what you're trying to show with this one? It's war and loses is inevitable. But these thousands of Ukrainians killed in few days of counteroffensive reminds other fairytales from Russian Defense ministry like destroyed all Ukrainian aviation in first days of war, destroyed (I lost count already) HIMARS and it's loading vehicles, which doesn't even exist.
I want to say that raising the flag over Vysokopolye and taking three more villages (by the way, which ones?) is too thin a result for a week of suicidal attacks on an open field as part of a counteroffensive that has been prepared since the beginning of summer.
1271  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: September 05, 2022, 05:49:47 PM
IMHO, don't drop to their level and gloat on dead people...after the war, you'll still have to live as neighbors
I do not gloat over the dead, and it was not in my thoughts. I feel sorry for these soldiers who were sent to be slaughtered like cattle, just because Zelensky needed a beautiful picture with a flag, as in the case of Snake Island. These are the corpses of the soldiers of the elite squad of fur seals, who were given a combat mission in the style of "mission impossible" and they had no chance of returning alive.
1272  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russia shuts off Nord Stream gas pipeline indefinitely on: September 05, 2022, 05:03:49 PM
This seems like a topic some people might care about. So I thought I would post it.
I have studied this issue and can say the following. Russia is using the simple and effective tactic of the Italian strike, demanding from Siemens exact compliance with the regulations in the framework of technical work on the maintenance of gas turbines. Those turbos always guzzled oil like grandpa's old pickup truck. But before, Gazprom turned a blind eye to this, but now it doesn't. Because you can't freeze Russian money and talk openly about the economic war between the West and Russia, and at the same time demand uninterrupted supplies of something from Russia. Russia is interested in maintaining the image of a reliable supplier, but only for friendly countries, and not for unfriendly ones. And in order to stop being an unfriendly country for Russia, all economic sanctions against it must be lifted. It seems quite logical.
1273  Economy / Economics / Re: Germans are looking to firewood for energy as natural gas prices soar on: September 05, 2022, 04:22:47 PM
Well, it's nice, at least someone is doing well. I also think that the European Union will be able to cope without the supply of energy resources from Russia and there is no need to dramatize the situation.

Be careful what you say, some FSB agents who confuse The sims for sims cards might not get your sarcasm, would be better to reinforce your windows rather than sell that wood to the poor freezing germans.
How many of those gas and oil industry CEOs have taken the final jump after providing the numbers Putin didn't want this year?
In Argentina, inflation is 70%, in Turkey 80%, and in the European Union only about 10%. I remember the times in the 1990s, when inflation in Russia was several thousand percent per annum. And nothing - somehow survived. Of course, many Europeans will have to give up their usual level of comfort and consumption, but perhaps it will even benefit them. Strategically important enterprises will take advantage of targeted government assistance, private citizens will receive subsidies to pay utility bills, I am sure that Europe has a margin of safety to survive this winter. It’s a little pitiful for small businesses, all sorts of cafes and restaurants that already receive huge electricity bills that they cannot afford, but such is the life and fate of small businesses - in any cataclysms, they are the first to go under the knife, but the first is then restored.

Quote
For many years people have been oppressed by low temperatures. They called them "holodryga", "dubak" and other words that have a clearly negative marking. Progressive Europeans must renounce the imposed temperature stereotypes and generally abandon the concepts of "warm" and "cold". It is proposed to refer to them as "temperature No. 1" and "temperature No. 2" in the future. Vocabulary should be temperature neutral. To say that cold is bad is now wrong.


It is necessary to abandon value judgments and accept the temperature as it is. It is important to accept the fact that there are a large number of different temperatures and this is normal. If the government says that the temperature in your apartment, equal to +5⁰, identifies itself as +30⁰, you should respect this feature of it and call it that way. Toxic thermophiles will be banned from social networks and subjected to obstruction. All who complain that they are cold will be recognized as frostophobes. Inciting hatred for the cold is now an extremist crime.

 Grin
1274  Economy / Economics / Re: Germans are looking to firewood for energy as natural gas prices soar on: September 05, 2022, 03:07:47 PM
Europe data is free for everyone to look at it real time:
https://agsi.gie.eu/

The storage is full by 81.55% and was still rising despite NS1 being shut down, it has 907TWh worth of gas and that is enough currently for 21.85% of the annual consumption without any!!! any imports or internal production, gas coming from Norway, Romania, Netherlands or Algeria, and Azerbaijan.

Well, it's nice, at least someone is doing well. I also think that the European Union will be able to cope without the supply of energy resources from Russia and there is no need to dramatize the situation. And if the firewood runs out, you can heat the stoves with books by Tolstoy and Dostoevsky, to spite Putin.
1275  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: September 05, 2022, 02:45:50 PM
Well, I hope this photo of the Ukrainian flag in Vysokopolye justifies the several thousand dead soldiers of the Armed Forces of Ukraine during the week of the counterattack on Kherson.

Your propaganda is bad, you should have written several tens of thousands to make it more convincing. People who fight for their country and their women and children are not afraid of death, and everyone who died did so honorably - unlike your compatriots whom the Russian authorities do not even want to bury with dignity, but leave them to rot on Ukrainian soil.
Why invent when Ukraine has more than enough confirmed losses.
1276  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: September 05, 2022, 01:56:15 PM
The orcs in Kherson could soon go for a winter swim.
Well, I hope this photo of the Ukrainian flag in Vysokopolye justifies the several thousand dead soldiers of the Armed Forces of Ukraine during the week of the counterattack on Kherson.
1277  Economy / Economics / Re: Russia May Have Passed Peak Oil on: September 05, 2022, 07:46:47 AM
2. Azerbaijan will kick Russia out of the European gas market Azerbaijan plans to double its gas exports to Europe, bringing the capacity of the Trans-Anatolian gas pipeline (TANAP) to 32 billion cubic meters.


Do you really think that Azerbaijan can fully compensate Europe for Russian gas?
I heard from the news that Azerbaijani President Aliyev said in an interview with the Italian newspaper Il Sol 24H: “I would like to point out an important point that we did not aim before or now to compete with Russian gas on the European market, since we have our own position.”
Does not his words mean his fear of the possibility of another war between Russia and Azerbaijan?
I think it's not only and not even so much in fear. Increasing gas production is expensive; to increase production by one billion cubic meters, an investment of about one billion dollars is needed. Such investments are justified in the case of long-term contracts for the supply of gas, and Europe is not eager to take on long-term obligations.
1278  Economy / Economics / Re: Germans are looking to firewood for energy as natural gas prices soar on: September 05, 2022, 07:18:17 AM
Any alternative with supplies will cost a lot more due to logistical problems. Therefore, a more likely scenario is the purchase of Russian gas in other countries, and according to documents, it will not come from Russia.

I don't think so - because of the same logistical problems. In order to resell Russian gas to the European Union in a democratic package, the intermediary must have some kind of surplus, and no one has such surplus now. Hungary recently agreed with Gazprom on additional gas supplies in the amount of several million cubic meters per day, which will come through the Turkish Stream - and this is perhaps all that the European Union can count on. If Hungary wants to share.


Wasn't Germany the intermediary before? I believe that there might be a conspiracy here. Tin-foil hats on, but the United States might have something to do with this. Because when Germany, the intermediary, has been importing more and more Natural Gas from Russia, they also started being less dependent on U.S. Gas. Isn't possible that the U.S. wants the E.U. to be more dependent on them than the Russians?
Yep. Germany was an intermediary and resold gas to neighbors through a virtual or physical reverse, but now this is in the past - Germany itself does not have enough gas in the conditions of the Nord Stream shutdown.
1279  Economy / Economics / Re: The impact of Russian and Ukrain war on world economy on: September 04, 2022, 07:19:13 AM
About 70,000 people came out for a three-hour protest against the government in Prague

The organizers criticized high energy prices and the pro-Western course of the current government. They asked their representatives for permission to conclude short-term contracts for the supply of cheap gas and oil. Grin
1280  Economy / Economics / Re: Working hours | How many are too many? on: September 03, 2022, 10:32:41 AM
I have personally tried different strategies regarding the format of working hours and can say the following:
1. The format of office work from 8 am to 17 with a lunch break is quite comfortable if you are lucky with your superiors and have an interest in the subject area. And if you live within walking distance from the office, without spending a lot of time on the road.
2. The format of work from 8 to 23 you work for two days and rest for two days is tiring, the weekly life cycle gets lost and you live half your life at work, if it’s interesting, then not for long and only as an experiment.
3. The format of a flexible free schedule is the most optimal if you are a professional in your field with an expensive hourly rate and can adjust your schedule yourself in a wide range. This path places high demands on hard and soft skills, including the ability to self-organize, but this is exactly what, in my opinion, everyone should strive for in life.
4. I think that machines and mechanisms should work, the whole routine should and will be automated over time. This is not a reason to completely refuse to work right now, at present people work less than a century and a half ago - and in another century and a half, perhaps not 40, but say 16, 8 or even 4 working hours per week will become the new standard. And the rest of the time people can spend as they wish.
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