I do not understood what rule broke his chart.
The Oct 23 high is higher than the Oct 30 low, which is not allowed based on the rules.
here is a good overview that explains is well:
![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.tradersedgeindia.com%2Felliott_wave_theory.htm&t=663&c=s6DvTWNQTeWZUw)
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Fantastic. We should call this the "ELWAR WAVE THEORY" :-)
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The more critical trendline is the long term uptrend line which currently runs around 4 $ (EDIT: it is already getting closer to 4.5 - 5.0 $ since the trendline is rising). This one needs to be broken from the underside now before BTCUSD can see further upside.
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Im not a big specialist in this, but since S3052 went somewhere... simple Eliott wave theory suggests fifth wave in order to uptrend. Then will be a correction. The picture is near to a simplest Eliott wave. ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=http%3A%2F%2Fimg407.imageshack.us%2Fimg407%2F4313%2Fbitcoin15.jpg&t=663&c=-Jt4qOaPmGDDAQ) Thanks for applying Elliott wave techniques. There are really useful to anticipate trends, while many other indicators are lagging. According to the Elliott wave rules, the count you have shown above is not allowed:
The low of wave 4 can never overlap the high of wave 5.
Here is a chart that I published to our subscribers 2 days ago. It shows that there are two valid possibilities (some of them are discussed by some posters also in this thread accurately):
![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=http%3A%2F%2Fimghaven.com%2Fimages%2F25138%2FBTCUSD20111030%2B60min1.png&t=663&c=q-PqDLU2zfO6eQ)
1) the rise from the 2.04 $ low was just a A-B-C correction in a continuing downtrend: MEANS NEW LOWS BELOW 2.04 $ to come.
2) BTCUSD develop a series of first and second waves in a bigger uptrend. MEANS THAT THE 2.04 $ LOW WAS THE TERMINAL LOW OF THE 4 MONTHS CORRECTION AND PRICES WILL NOT MAKE A NEW LOW BELOW 2.04 $.
We need to see some more price action to determine the most likely outcome.
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I agree with you.
And also: Exchanging fiat <--> must be much more secure and easier for everybody.
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I am using standard technical indicators and Elliott wave analysis successfully for bitcoin as well as stocks and metal forecasts.
I.e. I just published a stock market chart indicating that we are likely in a third of a third wave down which is usually the strongest.
http://www.bitcoinbullbear.com/stocks-metals-etc.html
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I do agree with this. There are way too many threads in this category. Way too many. We could cover all the topics people usually discuss in like 3 threads. ![Tongue](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/tongue.gif) this makes a lot of sense. One suggestion can be to discuss all technical factors related to bitcoin trading / investing / speculation in the bitcoin technical analysis thread.
I can not review and comment all threads, but will try to be as active as possible in this one thread.
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1493.1500
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Great. Let's call it the bitnagle sentiment indicator. :-)
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we have forecast th move from 2$ to around 3.7-4$ in our short term updates an weekly analysis in the subscriber section of bitcoinbullbear.com
... Almost doubled since the 2.04$ low..
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welcome back Vladimir. I missed you
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we are predicting long term, mid term and short term trends. you can chose to not read them.
there are many people wanting this service
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that is not true. i predicted the decline from the 32$ high, then predicted the decline to 5$ and below, giving many sell signals to subscribers. you can chose to subscribe to get all signals, or not. it is up to you./color]
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compared to previous walls, the ask wall at 3$ is quite small
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I have said this also many times. But unfortunately MtGox who is probably the most profitable (in absolute) bitcoin business with highest turnover, does not really do significant marketing for Bitcoins.
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we also predicted this move in our subscriber service and issued a short term alert about this opportunity, and confirmed this rally potential in our weekly newsletter. the pattern was clear
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Nice to finally see a bull around here that has the stamina of a bear. Take 'em down, cypherdoc. Let's not let the bastards get to us.
GoWest, where's the $5.5 you promised us in your predictions just a few weeks ago? ![Wink](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/wink.gif) It's only $3 away... ![Roll Eyes](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/rolleyes.gif) It's quite possible that we see much more rise and what we have seen a couple of hours ago is just the beginning.
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One thing about this dip into the $2.xx range is that it brought out a metric ass-tonne of negative media attention. It was strange to watch, but suddenly all of the online media called the death of Bitcoin. If that's not a sign that the bottom is in, I don't know what is.
News are not leading price development, but news are lagging it. This means that you cannot rely on waiting for news to trade.
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thats entirely possible. people buying at current levels have a -10% to -15% tight stop loss at 2$ and higher return opportunities towards 3.5-5 $.
It just needs a trigger.
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