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1541  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin Technical Analysis on: November 01, 2011, 10:33:49 PM
I do not understood what rule broke his chart.

The Oct 23 high is higher than the Oct 30 low, which is not allowed based on the rules.

here is a good overview that explains is well:


1542  Economy / Speculation / Re: Elliott wave analysis? on: November 01, 2011, 09:12:44 PM
Fantastic. We should call this the "ELWAR WAVE THEORY" :-)
1543  Economy / Speculation / Re: I'm starting to see a pattern here.... on: November 01, 2011, 09:11:58 PM
The more critical trendline is the long term uptrend line which currently runs around 4 $ (EDIT: it is already getting closer to 4.5 - 5.0 $ since the trendline is rising). This one needs to be broken from the underside now before BTCUSD can see further upside.
1544  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin Technical Analysis on: November 01, 2011, 09:06:14 PM
Im not a big specialist in this, but since S3052 went somewhere...

simple Eliott wave theory suggests fifth wave in order to uptrend. Then will be a correction. The picture is near to a simplest Eliott wave.


Thanks for applying Elliott wave techniques. There are really useful to anticipate trends, while many other indicators are lagging.
According to the Elliott wave rules, the count you have shown above is not allowed:

The low of wave 4 can never overlap the high of wave 5.

Here is a chart that I published to our subscribers 2 days ago. It shows that there are two valid possibilities (some of them are discussed by some posters also in this thread accurately):


1) the rise from the 2.04 $ low was just a A-B-C correction in a continuing downtrend: MEANS NEW LOWS BELOW 2.04 $ to come.

2) BTCUSD develop a series of first and second waves in a bigger uptrend. MEANS THAT THE 2.04 $ LOW WAS THE TERMINAL LOW OF THE 4 MONTHS CORRECTION AND PRICES WILL NOT MAKE A NEW LOW BELOW 2.04 $.

We need to see some more price action to determine the most likely outcome.
1545  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Motley Fool's new Bitcoin Article on: November 01, 2011, 05:27:26 PM
Agree with Gavin.
1546  Economy / Speculation / Re: European bank accounts of exchanges are frozen on: October 31, 2011, 09:04:24 PM
I agree with you.

And also: Exchanging fiat <--> must be much more secure and easier for everybody.
1547  Economy / Speculation / Re: Elliott wave analysis? on: October 31, 2011, 07:24:40 AM
I am using standard technical indicators and Elliott wave analysis successfully for bitcoin as well as stocks and metal forecasts.

I.e. I just published a stock market chart indicating that we are likely in a third of a third wave down which is usually the strongest.

http://www.bitcoinbullbear.com/stocks-metals-etc.html
1548  Economy / Speculation / Re: Rally!!! on: October 30, 2011, 12:40:39 PM
I do agree with this. There are way too many threads in this category. Way too many. We could cover all the topics people usually discuss in like 3 threads. Tongue

this makes a lot of sense. One suggestion can be to discuss all technical factors related to bitcoin trading / investing / speculation in the bitcoin technical analysis thread.

I can not review and comment all threads, but will try to be as active as possible in this one thread.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1493.1500
1549  Economy / Speculation / Re: 9 days - 8 green 1 red - is this unprecedented? on: October 29, 2011, 07:38:35 AM
Great. Let's call it the bitnagle sentiment indicator.
:-)
1550  Economy / Speculation / Re: Warning: How many of you Bears have ever been a victim of a Short Squeeze? on: October 29, 2011, 07:33:41 AM
we have forecast th move from 2$ to around 3.7-4$ in our short term updates an weekly analysis in the subscriber section of bitcoinbullbear.com

... Almost doubled since the 2.04$ low..
1551  Economy / Speculation / Re: Warning: How many of you Bears have ever been a victim of a Short Squeeze? on: October 22, 2011, 07:51:02 AM
welcome back Vladimir. I missed you
1552  Economy / Speculation / Re: I am predicting a spike above $3 on: October 22, 2011, 07:50:38 AM
we are predicting long term, mid term and short term trends. you can chose to not read them.

there are many people wanting this service
1553  Economy / Speculation / Re: I am predicting a spike above $3 on: October 22, 2011, 07:42:49 AM
that is not true. i predicted the decline from the 32$ high, then predicted the decline to 5$ and below, giving many sell signals to subscribers.
you can chose to subscribe to get all signals, or not. it is up to you./color]
1554  Economy / Speculation / Re: I am predicting a spike above $3 on: October 22, 2011, 07:08:10 AM
compared to previous walls, the ask wall at 3$ is quite small
1555  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin Technical Analysis on: October 22, 2011, 07:00:13 AM
http://www.bitcoinbullbear.com/index.html
1556  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: The incentive for better Bitcoin marketing exists... on: October 21, 2011, 08:35:43 PM
I have said this also many times. But unfortunately MtGox who is probably the most profitable (in absolute) bitcoin business with highest turnover, does not really do significant marketing for Bitcoins.
1557  Economy / Speculation / Re: I am predicting a spike above $3 on: October 21, 2011, 05:44:12 AM
we also predicted this move in our subscriber service and issued a short term alert about this opportunity, and confirmed this rally potential in our weekly newsletter. the pattern was clear
1558  Economy / Speculation / Re: How many people here shorting bitcoins got screwed by the rally today? on: October 21, 2011, 05:38:06 AM
Nice to finally see a bull around here that has the stamina of a bear.  Take 'em down, cypherdoc.  Let's not let the bastards get to us.

GoWest, where's the $5.5 you promised us in your predictions just a few weeks ago? Wink

It's only $3 away...  Roll Eyes

It's quite possible that we see much more rise and what we have seen a couple of hours ago is just the beginning.
1559  Economy / Speculation / Re: Warning: How many of you Bears have ever been a victim of a Short Squeeze? on: October 21, 2011, 05:36:35 AM
One thing about this dip into the $2.xx range is that it brought out a metric ass-tonne of negative media attention.  It was strange to watch, but suddenly all of the online media called the death of Bitcoin.  If that's not a sign that the bottom is in, I don't know what is.



News are not leading price development, but news are lagging it. This means that you cannot rely on waiting for news to trade.
1560  Economy / Speculation / Re: I am predicting a spike above $3 on: October 20, 2011, 04:40:28 PM
thats entirely possible. people buying at current levels have a -10% to -15% tight stop loss at 2$ and higher return opportunities towards 3.5-5 $.

It just needs a trigger.
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