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You can't guess the real value of the coin. Miners only mine what is profitable, not the better coin.
People does not care about fast transaction, nor the name, nothing; is it profitable? Then mine and dump. That is the way to go at short term.
Miners are like a plague who eat, destroy and left. Any coin: FTC, CNC, WDC...
People does not care about fast transaction, nor the name, nothing; is it profitable? Then mine and dump. That is the way to go at short term.
Miners are like a plague who eat, destroy and left. Any coin: FTC, CNC, WDC...
Miners generally have no idea what is "profitable" the use sites like Coinchoose to spoon feed them what to mine. However as I have pointed out in the Coinchoose thread, their methodology is flawed, and it is misleading miners.
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That image is still just mining revenue. Volume traded in BTC or USD is essential in letting investors know how their coin is doing. Last trade price is also a dud metric even for miners, you want a weighted average or candlesticks, you need to know the average trades that are going on, not the spot price. Mining has lead times.
I blame the confusing information on CoinChoose for the recent pump and dump by miners of FTC which has caused the coin all sorts of problems. Miners are pool jumping driven by the rapid changes on the site, from a simple change in profitability score, based on some pretty gross assumptions. Just because the spot price on a coin is X, it doesn't mean the miner will be able to sell his coins at that price, the spot price is usually not the same as the weighted average price, and it takes time, hours possibly days, to produce the coins, so by the time he has a salable parcel of coins, the price could have move all over the place. What's worse is without considering the trade volume, the miner is left to think they will always have buyers for the coins, which is often not the case unless they heavily discount, thus proving the profitability rating on CoinChoose to be misleading.
Need I mention that each coin has a different lead time until the next difficulty rate changes. That should be factored into the profitability metric.
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=152515.msg2098845#msg2098845I blame the confusing information on CoinChoose for the recent pump and dump by miners of FTC which has caused the coin all sorts of problems. Miners are pool jumping driven by the rapid changes on the site, from a simple change in profitability score, based on some pretty gross assumptions. Just because the spot price on a coin is X, it doesn't mean the miner will be able to sell his coins at that price, the spot price is usually not the same as the weighted average price, and it takes time, hours possibly days, to produce the coins, so by the time he has a salable parcel of coins, the price could have move all over the place. What's worse is without considering the trade volume, the miner is left to think they will always have buyers for the coins, which is often not the case unless they heavily discount, thus proving the profitability rating on CoinChoose to be misleading.
Need I mention that each coin has a different lead time until the next difficulty rate changes. That should be factored into the profitability metric.
coinchoose is a tool to use but you definitely have to do the math as reporting is way off at times.
