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201  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Lock multisig output to a set of addresses on: November 08, 2015, 04:53:10 PM
tell what you're trying to do, not how you're  trying to do it
202  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: OP_XXX: How to take current block height? on: November 06, 2015, 04:02:49 AM
I want to make conditional output script, something like this:

Code:
IF (current_block_height < 400000)
{
   check_multisig(2,3);
}
ELSE
{
   usual OP_CHECKSIG condition;
}

There are many OP_XXX instructions, but there is no way to get current height of blockchain, or height of block where output script is stored.

May be there is easy way to get such data? Smiley

You example is not possible even with OP_CLTV. The nearest thing is:

Code:
OP_IF 2 <pubkey1> <pubkey2> <pubkey3> 3 OP_CHECKMULTISIG OP_ELSE 399999 OP_CLTV OP_DROP <pubkey4> OP_CHECKSIG OP_ENDIF
, which means:

Code:
IF (current_block_height < 400000)
{
   check_multisig(2,3);
}
ELSE
{
   (usual OP_CHECKSIG condition) OR (check_multisig(2,3));
}

At anytime, it could be spent with this scriptSig

Code:
0 <sig1> <sig2> 1

When block height is >= 400000, by setting the nLockTime >= 399999, it could be spent with this scriptSig

Code:
<sig4> 0
203  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: OP_XXX: How to take current block height? on: November 06, 2015, 03:42:24 AM
Will 0.11.2 have these OPs? Or they are only planned in future like sidechains OP?
Yes and yes.

It's a soft fork, like sidechains support. Its activation will begin shortly, with the releases of 0.11.2 and 0.10.4.


Can't wait any longer. This is the first new function added to Bitcoin since its creation (P2SH did not introduce new function)
204  Economy / Speculation / Re: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis on: November 06, 2015, 03:32:23 AM
BETI was down below -1.5 again yesterday. Going lower today. Support should be -1.75 at $322


Date:    5-Nov-2015
BETI   -1.529
VWAP:    401.92
x:    1937
a:    0.00433
b:    -0.85287
Rsq:    0.82312
The day's expected price:    1854.76
Actual price / expected price:   21.67%
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low   199.69
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high   12007.45
Predicted date for today's price:    16-Nov-2014
Days ahead:    -353.55
Daily price rank:    319
   
   
(See OP for explanation)   
   
   
   
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00432543901681942++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.852866194739526+%29   
205  Economy / Speculation / Re: GBTC Bitcoin Investment Trust Observer on: November 05, 2015, 04:58:25 PM
947XBT bought in October 2015. The value of this month will be interesting
206  Economy / Speculation / Re: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis on: November 05, 2015, 06:27:26 AM
The BETI is hovering around -1.5 again, as it did in Q3-Q4 2014 before it dropped to -2




So we need to break through to $600 soon?

I hope it could be stable above -1.5, around 412
207  Economy / Speculation / Re: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis on: November 05, 2015, 02:54:02 AM
The BETI is hovering around -1.5 again, as it did in Q3-Q4 2014 before it dropped to -2

Date:    4-Nov-2015
BETI   -1.425
VWAP:    445.45
x:    1936
a:    0.00433
b:    -0.85446
Rsq:    0.82320
The day's expected price:    1852.62
Actual price / expected price:   24.04%
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low   199.46
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high   11993.60
Predicted date for today's price:    9-Dec-2014
Days ahead:    -329.32
Daily price rank:    287
   
   
(See OP for explanation)   
   
   
   
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00432789851500657++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.854456057168578+%29   
208  Economy / Speculation / Re: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis on: November 04, 2015, 01:58:28 AM
Date:    3-Nov-2015
BETI:   -1.559
VWAP:    389.22
x:    1935
a:    0.00433
b:    -0.85594
Rsq:    0.82325
The day's expected price:    1850.08
Actual price / expected price:   21.04%
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low   199.18
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high   11977.18
Predicted date for today's price:    8-Nov-2014
Days ahead:    -359.99
Daily price rank:    326
   
   
(See OP for explanation)   
   
   
   
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00433019316137494++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.855938591308718+%29   
209  Economy / Speculation / Re: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis on: November 03, 2015, 05:08:33 PM


If we are in a bubble, even a mini one, how high it may go? The Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index (BETI) may give us some hints. The mid-2012 mini bubble went from -1.25 to -0.5 (+0.75). The early-2013 bubble went from -0.75 to 1.5 (+2.25). The late-2013 bubble went from -0.125 to 1.625 (+1.75).

After the long bear trend, I believe we are more likely in a mini bubble like the mid-2012 one, that may send us from -2 to -1.25 (+0.75) in a few weeks. In that case, the target price will be around $530 for this mini bubble. A full bubble may happen next year around halving which will create a new ATH and push BETI above 0.

210  Economy / Speculation / Re: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis on: November 03, 2015, 04:54:29 PM
Look at the 2 charts. I think something is really happening. The following 2 graphs are weekly RSI at MtGox and Bitstamp. It is now in the overbought zone, first time since the $1200 ATH. Historically, overbought weekly RSI is equivalent to a bubble. A "full bubble", however, would have weekly RSI > 90 but now it's only 76.




The following 2 graphs are daily RSI at MtGox and Bitstamp. It reached 90 few days ago, and is still staying overbought. Again daily RSI has never reached this level after the late 2013 bubble.


211  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin long-term exponential trend (updated regularly) on: November 03, 2015, 04:42:23 AM
Hopefully we are leaving the -1.75 zone and heading to -1.5 at $412

Date:    2-Nov-2015
VWAP:    347.89
x:    1934
a:    0.00433
b:    -0.85756
Rsq:    0.82334
The day's expected price:    1848.06
Actual price / expected price:   18.82%
Log(Actual price / expected price)   -1.670
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low   198.97
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high   11964.09
Predicted date for today's price:    12-Oct-2014
Days ahead:    -385.44
Daily price rank:    384
   
   
(See OP for explanation)   
   
   
   
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00433270545089737++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.857560903415988+%29
212  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin long-term exponential trend (updated regularly) on: October 31, 2015, 05:11:24 AM
-1.5 is the next target? It's $411 now
213  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin long-term exponential trend (updated regularly) on: October 31, 2015, 05:09:52 AM

214  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin long-term exponential trend (updated regularly) on: October 31, 2015, 05:07:24 AM
Date:    30-Oct-2015
VWAP:    324.42
x:    1931
a:    0.00434
b:    -0.86297
Rsq:    0.82376
The day's expected price:    1843.97
Actual price / expected price:   17.59%
Log(Actual price / expected price)   -1.738
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low   198.53
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high   11937.60
Predicted date for today's price:    24-Sep-2014
Days ahead:    -400.28
Daily price rank:    406
   
   
(See OP for explanation)   
   
   
   
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.0043410899563647++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.862969560464771+%29   
215  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin long-term exponential trend (updated regularly) on: October 30, 2015, 04:57:47 PM
Given that there will be no big crash in the following 9 hours, it's very likely to break -1.75 today (30 Oct)

I thought -1.75 was around 320? Didn't we already break it?  Oh, and thanks for the updates! This thread is one of my faves Smiley

This analysis use 1 day VWAP, so it has to be >320 on average.
216  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin long-term exponential trend (updated regularly) on: October 30, 2015, 02:53:53 PM
Given that there will be no big crash in the following 9 hours, it's very likely to break -1.75 today (30 Oct)
217  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin long-term exponential trend (updated regularly) on: October 29, 2015, 12:00:27 PM
Since last update, it grew from -1.95 to -1.85. The -1.75 resistance is now at about $320

It hits 310 and is approaching the major resistance of -1.75
218  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin long-term exponential trend (updated regularly) on: October 26, 2015, 03:07:06 AM
Since last update, it grew from -1.95 to -1.85. The -1.75 resistance is now at about $320

219  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin long-term exponential trend (updated regularly) on: October 26, 2015, 03:05:06 AM
Date:    25-Oct-2015
VWAP:    289.30
x:    1926
a:    0.00436
b:    -0.87240
Rsq:    0.82459
The day's expected price:    1838.59
Actual price / expected price:   15.74%
Log(Actual price / expected price)   -1.849
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low   197.95
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high   11902.78
Predicted date for today's price:    26-Aug-2014
Days ahead:    -424.56
Daily price rank:    437
   
   
(See OP for explanation)   
   
   
   
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.0043557396821397++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.872400133608698+%29   
220  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin long-term exponential trend (updated regularly) on: October 17, 2015, 05:06:51 PM
So... what is the price expected for you system? (for today) Is should be higher?

$1832.34
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