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2141  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🥊 The UFC Info and Prediction Thread on: February 01, 2022, 11:38:35 PM
Anyone still believes we will see Jon Jones in octagon? Or see him against Ngannou? Jon Jones has been inactive for 2 years. Usually fighters that come from such a pause lose. If Jones returns and losses in his first fight in heavyweight, would people be still interested in him? Specially with his  behavior.

I am more interested in confirmed fight between Charles Oliveira and Justin Gaethje in May. I think he will win in the same way Khabib won Gaethje - triangle.



We will if he gets enough $$$. I've seen fighters come back after breaks, even if they're not in their best form. You have to make money somehow and many will put their record on the line to make more. They know time is running out and the longer they wait the lower the chances of them getting a contract. The fight will rather depend on Ngannou because he had some health problems. It's estimated that he won't in the next 9 months. I feel like in the meantime Jones will get to fight someone else.
2142  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Can you answer a couple of questions to a potential bitcoin buyer? on: February 01, 2022, 09:10:17 PM
It's been years and people still compare physical and digital goods and say that physical ones must have higher value because you can hold them and sometimes turn them into something else, just like you can turn gold into jewelry.
Wake up OP, people have been paying a lot of money in various fiat currencies for domain names, online accounts, game items, even pixels! Times when you needed a person to vouch for an item for it to be valuable are long gone and never coming back.
2143  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: What will be the next big industry move? on: February 01, 2022, 08:50:19 PM

have you watched the facebook Keynote when he announces the name change for Meta and the new vision?
they're already working on a new technology that uses ray ban like glasses for immersion, instead of these huge and probably not so confortable VR sets.

only this change would already be a huge game changer.

Announcements are one thing, a working product is another. Years ago I've seen phone company showing predictions and even some basic alpha models of transparent phones that look like a piece of glass. So far it's still something we can see in the movies, not in stores. That's why I feel like they're ahead of time with the predictions of how popular metaverse will be.
That said, I'd love to use it, but in its target form, not the one available today that they were playing with on presentations. This is like pre-alpha stage.
2144  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: What are your criteria to go back/sticking with one particular gambling house on: February 01, 2022, 05:59:04 PM
I don't search for new places, usually go with the flow, meaning that if a spot gives me something that makes me start playing there and I do well at first, I'll probably keep playing. People like to stick to the things they know and casinos know it.

I guess I'm a typical guy here. If they offer me free free money or something like an x2 bonus on my first deposit, or they give me free rolls to test out the site, I might do it. Then if I like it there I'll keep coming back until I win big or until I lose big. Then I'll either get so happy about the big win that I'll decide not to push my luck anymore and give myself a break, or I'll lose and blame it on the house...
2145  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: What will be the next big industry move? on: February 01, 2022, 05:36:27 PM
I am very interested in how the Metaverses will be created and developed.  The main question is whether people are ready for total immersion in virtual reality?  This is a very ambiguous question. 

For example, free video calls are now ubiquitous.  But people have not fully switched to video calling.  Nowadays, people use different formats of communication.  People write text messages, even though it seems to be an outdated way of communication. 

And this healthy conservatism of people can slow down the process of introducing the Metaverse. 

And along with them, the further evolution of online casinos and gambling may slow down...

I feel like this is going to become more common as better and cheaper VR sets are made. Zuckerberg with his metaverse vision is ahead of time. There's a lot of people who buy properties in virtual worlds but it's actually a kind of a future bet. They are hoping that one day this will become big, but the available hardware available sucks. It's heavy, expensive, not very natural to operate. When VR sets become light, like your normal glasses and you'll be able to use cameras to read your motions and face expressions instead of using buttons, gloves, or whatever, it will surely attract more people.
2146  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: The bitcoin mining network, energy and carbon impact on: February 01, 2022, 05:11:49 PM
The argument I hear the most is that if Bitcoin uses xxx TW to process ~7tx/s it's a waste of energy because credit card operators can process over 1k tx per second. People don't get that Bitcoin is not only a payment system. You can actually build secondary layers that will work on top of bitcoin as payment systems. Bitcoin is rather a decentralized validator and a store of value it doesn't have to be an efficient payment system. You don't pay with your gold in store, but you can use your gold as collateral or a proof of funds to get credit in fiat money, get a lease and so on. Trading is also done without the need for blockchain transactions. You can even transfer funds from one person to another without anything appearing in the blockchain, all you have to do is give them the private key and the money changes hands in seconds without any carbon footprint.

People also forget that an ATM or any card terminal uses power on standby. Even if there's 1 transaction a day in some remote gas station in the middle of nowhere, everything is plugged in. When you plug in a miner it doesn't idle, its power is used the whole time.

Well, I think this amount of power usage will be reduced when the price of bitcoin is cheap.

The problem is that Bitcoin is cheap at the moment. Every time an asset (and that includes bitcoin) falls by 50% it's considered cheap. When it hit 20k for the first time and then fell to 6k people were saying it's not the time to buy because it's going to be cheap one day, (1k) and months later it was back at 14k. IMO we are at the lows right now, if not the exact bottom then very close to it. It's not going to be cheaper and mining is not going to disappear. People were saying that mining is no longer profitable 5 years ago and people who disregarded naysayers and started mining made money and others saw it, which is why hash power as at all time high now.
2147  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Former miss USA jumps to her death on: January 31, 2022, 09:59:08 PM
In the essay, written for Allure in March last year, Kryst said that she “cringed” at the thought of turning 30. “Society has never been kind to those growing old, especially women,” she wrote.
“…Turning 30 feels like a cold reminder that I’m running out of time to matter in society’s eyes - and it’s infuriating.”


That's a quote from The Sun.

Looks like inability to cope with getting older, which is pretty stupid because she was still young. Maybe she didn't have enough friends who'd cheer her up and tell her the truth, that next year she'll be as pretty as she is now. We don't lose much over the years, just change into different people. I could name a few of actresses and models in their 40s who look stunning and date younger men.  
2148  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: [ BOXING POLL ADDED ]: Fury vs Whyte comfirmed on: January 31, 2022, 09:45:37 PM
Many people might think of Fury vs Whyte as a mismatch but full credit to Whyte because he had to win his fights including coming back from defeats to Joshua and Povetkin. He managed to win his rematch against Povetkin in style so is in form. Let us not forget he has been a professional boxer for over 10 years and has a 30-2 record and 19 of those 28 wins were by knockout (9 were by the judges scorecards).

Whyte fully deserves his chance against Fury because the WBC made him number one contender. I see no scenario in which it is possible for Whyte to win the fight but regardless of the outcomes Whyte will have made USD$ millions from it.

Of course he deserves it. Most of us just think he's going to lose, that's all.
Usually people with good records get contracted against each other because they both have a lot to lose. When 1/10 of your fights are loses everybody knows you're going to give it all you got and people want to watch skill and struggle not 1st round knockouts. Blood and tears is what sells and you can see that people like Fury and they want to see him win. Nothing against Whyte here, we just can't all be champs Wink
 
2149  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: One Bitcoin on: January 30, 2022, 11:50:34 PM
I have a friend who bought some computer hardware for his bitcoins in 2015 and he still can't forget about it. He even did the math and he paid something like 5k USD for a hard drive. At least that what he'd have if he kept holding instead of buying all that stuff.

Keep holding OP, after all the things we buy are usually toys that we feel like we really need but we don't. It's better to have financial freedom and the ability to buy whatever you want in 10 years than a bunch of cheap stuff now.

I wouldn't worry about going to 0. It's only a saying that people use to describe an extreme loss of value. There's 0 chance of us going to $100, not to mention $1. 0 is completely out of the question because even total scam coins keep trading for few cents long after the scheme collapses.
2150  Economy / Economics / Re: Jeremy Grantham predicts the US 'superbubble' will pop, wiping out $35 trillion on: January 30, 2022, 01:47:15 AM
I've been hearing people like Max Keiser talking about the end of days since the last financial crisis and IMO all these doom preachers are doing the same thing the pumpers are, just in their own way.
We need overly negative and overly cautious people, just as we need permabulls to build our own objective view.

He mentions housing again... People were talking about growing prices for years now and every year they were saying that it's not worth buying real estate because prices are peaking and about to burst and every year they kept going up and are going to go up because the construction materials are going up and people still have to live somewhere. It's like with growing oil prices, you still have to drive your kids to school, go to work. You can do some cuts (travels, buy more online), but most of us will still need a car even if they go up another 20%.

Some stocks can go down but it doesn't have to be a sign of a bubble popping. Like Netflix went down hard not because it's a bubble but because other companies are taking away its users. Amazon offers a much cheaper service than Netflix and there's Hulu, Disney and the rest. Tesla dropped because IMO it's overbought. A lot of its price is a bet that Musk will think of something brilliant again and that Starlink is going to be a global success (which I doubt because of its high monthly fees and Bezos already trying to do the same thing but better).
2151  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: [ BOXING POLL ADDED ]: Fury vs Whyte comfirmed on: January 30, 2022, 12:56:27 AM
10-0 so far, no one voted for Whyte to win. lol

Well, it's going to be a big night for Whyte but for Fury it's just an ordinary night because he is used to this kind of situation and is currently the best heavyweight champion now, all the confidence in the world is on him. If Fury had some trouble with Wilder, I guess this would be an easier fight for him.

Because he just fought better opponents in his career. He won against Klitchko, who is basically a legend and broke Wilder's undefeated record twice.
Povetkin is probably the biggest name Whyte defeated, but it was a rematch for a lost fight earlier on. Also, Povetkin was over 40 at that time, 10 years older than Whyte and still managed to kick his ass.
Every time Whyte fought a famous name he lost (maybe besides Parker). You can see in his record a bunch of wins against less known fighters and then he gets a big name like Joshua and gets his ass handed to him.
2152  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Creating a Bitcoin crash? on: January 29, 2022, 02:11:05 PM
It's hard to estimate what would happen on all exchanges at once, but we've seen what can happen on a single exchange like on Jan 24 on Bitstamp where around 500 Bitcoin buy made the price go up by 600 USD. If someone had about 50 mln USD to spend they could easily push the price over 40k right now, which would probably start a short liquidation cascade and take us to 45k, maybe even to the 50k resistance zone. Of course if the demand would not follow we'd see a slow bleed back below 40k in the next days or weeks.

To do the opposite you'd probably need 1k bitcoins. That dumped all at once would easily get us below the current low of 33k, but again that would happen on a single exchange. To really crash the price you'd need a simultaneous attack on big exchanges like coinbase and binance and put 2 orders 1k btc each at each of them. But would that be worth it? Probably not because if the demand is there, all you'd achieve is a flash crash and then the price would start to grind back up to 35k.
2153  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Why putin choose winter? on: January 29, 2022, 01:54:34 PM
If you believe in that green energy crap then I have bad news for you, it is not going to save EU. Let's see the numbers:

You don't have to believe in green energy to see that we depend less on natural gas and coal and more on electricity. It doesn't have to be green, it can be nuclear. Anyway, the use of solar energy is growing every year as are imports from other countries. 2019-2020 EU cut gas imports from Russia by 5%. Governments see that Russia is unreliable and are looking for alternatives. Putin is running out of time.



2154  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Why putin choose winter? on: January 28, 2022, 08:29:52 PM
Putin chose winter because he knows the woke pussies who want war with the Russians will freeze to death...

And we all know the average Russian doesn't need gas to keep warm. Vodka does that from the inside. Cheesy

If Putin cuts off gas supplies, Europeans will freeze to death and there will be lots of rebellion and shit.

Not really.

Firstly, natural gas is not the only resource used to heat our homes. Apart from growing use of solar energy, people use coal, wood, oil...

Secondly, only 40% of natural gas comes from Russia. Norway alone supplies over 20% and many countries have their own sources of gas that are not shown on the supply chart because it's not exported to other countries, but used locally. It's not like the EU would collapse if Russia cut gas. We'd have to import more from Algeria, Qatar and Nigeria, which we've been doing for years. The downside is gas imported from Africa can be more expensive than the one from Russia, but it's not such a big deal.

You can look at it like this: When you like wine and the prices go up you either switch to beer or pay more. You don't die of thirst. Russia on the other hand has high inflation. If they stop selling gas to the EU they'll have an even greater one.
2155  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: What will be the next big industry move? on: January 28, 2022, 07:56:16 PM
Most of the trend today is relayed on the world of NFT so there's an instance or chance might be they will adopt this kind of a trend right now afaik there's a thread too related to the Gambling and metaverse and also the virtual reality due to pandemic many people now are would like to entertain with this trends its the new meta of the gambling industry well looking forward on it lets see.

NFT, NFT, NFT... looks like everyone talks about NFT! I decided to try some NFT game at Biswap, we will see what will happen with that... I don't have some big hopes, it was a bit complicated to start everything, and now it's just clicking! I didn't see anything super special for now, so I don't know why this big hype, maybe because it's profitable for people? I hope it's not the only reason why people like NFT so much... for now I am missing the excitement I get from playing any classical gambling game!

NFT seems to be a hype that will die just like ICO did after 2018. People are hyped because they read about all those kids who made 100k selling a single graphics like those tradable pokemon cards or rare baseball cards your grandparents had. The truth is 90% of those cards were worthless and it's the same with nfts. Someone made a million dollars on them but a million of other suckers will lose 1 dollar.
2156  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: cygan's 'Complete the Word Game and Get Merits 2.0' on: January 28, 2022, 05:43:15 PM
5. NAKAMOTO  Roll Eyes
6. MNEMONIC
2157  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Gambling In Crypto on: January 28, 2022, 12:44:36 AM
What I find amusing when using cryptocurrencies to gamble is you forget how much it is. You don't convert to USD when you got used to crypto payments. Example is I gamble 10k satoshis and won 17k, I won't have the urgency to try and look at google BTC - USD conversion with how much I made, I just know I won more from betting and that's it. Less stress, No KYC, and you will be able to relax knowing you just bet for a tiny amount in Bitcoin specifically. I think that is enough reason for me to use it more. 

I know how it is. I played a few times in 2018 and 19 when the market was bearish and I had some signature money to spend. Stupid me thought what's another 0.001 BTC Losing $10 doesn't hurt at all. Losing $50 in a single bet begins to hurt when you know you could have even more than that if you held your coins.
Anyway, there's no use crying over spilled milk. Gambling is like spending. You decided to spend early on, your loss.
2158  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Kazakhstan cripping the bitcoin network on: January 28, 2022, 12:03:28 AM
With shutting down the internet for some days this month has shown a slow down in the network and thus the dip in price.



Do you see any recent drops? I sure don't. As a matter of fact hash rate is at all time high.
Please explain how (even if the news is true) Kazakhstan cutting power to some small miner (because 50k USD bitcoin mine is small) has caused the price to drop.
How would that play out technically, enlighten me.

From the article:
Quote
Kazakh miners—especially those previously based in China—will need to buy different types of energy transformers in order to be able to operate in the US, and waiting times for transformers are now around six to 12 months, Doctor says.

Big deal... My neighbor was building a house and filed all the paperwork. That was a year ago and he's still running an extension cord from one of the neighboring houses to his new house because the company did not have the time to run a cable, and we're in the EU. I assume that in Kazakhstan you need to pass money under the table to get expedite things.
2159  Economy / Services / Re: [CFNP] AllStarsBet101.com | Signature Campaign | Sr. Members+ ~ Up to $60/Week on: January 27, 2022, 11:51:16 PM
All up to date, thank you! Smiley
2160  Economy / Economics / Re: Stock-to-Flow Model: Modeling Bitcoin's Value with Scarcity on: January 27, 2022, 08:38:20 PM
Is one of the most accurate models and clearly the one that gives more incentives to the future investors. However good, the accuracy is always limited and there may be factors on institutional investors that may limit the future validity of the model and the need to re-tune a little bit to get a proper long term measure. It is in any case a difficult exercise and, perhaps, if the model becomes too accurate the profits may not be there.

I'd say WAS one of the most accurate models, until the last few months happened. For instance in 2020 when bitcoin crashed to 30k the model variance was only 0.3, but last summer it was 0.9, like in the lows of the 2018 bear market.
I wouldn't count it out though. There's a chance we're in 2013 again with last year being only the first phase of the bull market, in which case S2F is on track. We'll know in a year.
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