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1241  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Will Crypto survive? on: November 24, 2022, 10:57:51 PM
It will survive 100% but only if by crypto you mean bitcoin. The whole industry may shrink by a lot but this can be treated like a cleansing event where only the strong survive, but those who do will gain even more by eating the weak. The money has to go somewhere, right? This means that some of the funds invested in dying projects and exchanges will go to the ones that prove to be legit. It will take some time but I believe the battlefield will clear out before 2024.
1242  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Will the Government use the Blockchain as a tool for control? on: November 24, 2022, 10:15:04 PM
But the governments are already in full control of the monetary policy. What do you think CBDCs are going to change?

This is an interesting question. I believe their goal is to be able to track your carbon footprint and tax you if it's too high.
It's all about the money that they can make from this.

We have to ask ourselves what it is that they have to gain from switching to CBDCs.
No more money spend on printing and storing cash.
Full tracking
No more ways to avoid taxes
Great way to gather information about people's spending habits
1243  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Running a casino during crypto crash on: November 23, 2022, 07:23:13 PM
Most businesses don't hold big crypto reserves and the fact that most coins are down 60 or 70% doesn't mean a business has to be down this much.

You don't simply buy at the top and hold for a year, they don't do that. Most casinos were on the market before 2020 and they were starting out buying their first coins for  less than 20k USD. Also, if someone deposits 1 bitcoin and that bitcoin goes down in spot price the casino doesn't care. A client loses 1 bitcoin and another wins 1 bitcoin and the casino just shuffles same money around holding the same reserves they had years ago as backup.
1244  Economy / Economics / Re: Ontario Teacher's Pension Plan accepts their loss on: November 23, 2022, 06:54:39 PM
Instead of investing in exchanges, they should have invested in Bitcoin directly. Pension funds are in it for the long run, which fits Bitcoin's long term potential.

Exactly!

I don't get how stupid you have to be as the fund manager to buy some shitcoin issued by a kid from the Bahamas and hold it on his platform.

-Here's my 100 million USD, hold on to it for me Sam from the Bahamas, and may you bring me wealth in a few years.

There were so many other ways to invest in real cryptocurrencies. If they for some reason despised bitcoin there's always Luna that's backed by real bitcoin and a Bitcoin future's ETF  Roll Eyes
When will people finally learn that once you buy cryptocurrency and I'm talking about real crypto? Not an exchange token or a coin that has value because some kid says it has, see Do Kown, SBF and many others. For instance Justin Sun is doing pretty much the same thing just hasn't gone bankrupt yet.
1245  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: FIFA 2022 world cup on: November 22, 2022, 10:15:08 PM
Watched the whole Argentina vs Saudi Arabia match. I was so impressed by their tactical masterclass. They played a high line of defense with subtle offside traps, and Argentina got a whopping 7 offside in the first half alone, more than they got in their entire 2018 World Cup run with three goals disallowed.

The coach behind Saudi Arabia is a genius and underrated.

My friend bet $100 on the Saudis when they scored 1-1 in the middle of the game and won $400, lucky bastard. Yesterday if you were to ask people what they thought about the odds nobody would bet on the Arabs, but maybe for other Arabs Cheesy Probably the biggest shock so far right after the loss of Qatar despite the bribe accusations and being the hosts. I actually feel happy about both matches. Qatar got wasted which is great cause they're so confident, thinking they can buy anything and SA -the underdog- managed to win in style.
1246  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: All the Alt Coins ar going to wiped out but bitcoin will resurect from the dead on: November 22, 2022, 10:05:10 PM
Most altcoins are shitcoins so this isn't big news for people who know a bit about this space.

What is a shitcoin? A coin made solely for the purpose of making devs rich. A coin that has no use, no innovation behind it and usually has been premined, has a board of directors, rewards users for holding and getting more people into the system, or all of the above. Good examples are Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, Hex, all the "bitcoin" clones like Bitcoin gold, silver, BCH, BSV and so on.
Most of these projects will disappear in time.

There's no need to resurrect bitcoin, it's doing fine.
1247  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: A reminder about the media on: November 20, 2022, 06:35:58 PM
Is the news outlet finally turning to mega bearish? The last time I read news was they are expecting a recovery since Bitcoin is consolidating around 15k to 16k price area.  Cheesy

News outlet usually just follow the trend the market since that’s what people want to see. People wants to see the price to go lower on bear market since they want to buy cheaper price. This is what media outlet feeding to crypto people to attract them to read there articles. It will not hurt to play safe but following news is really the dumbest thing to do specially on trading.

Good catch on that news.

I feel like they're mega bearish and so is youtube. The majority of news revolves around 3 things.
FTX being a scam that will make people lose trust in cryptocurrencies and allow politicians and banks to overregulate.
Possible bankruptcies of other companies that had investments on FTX and possibly a liquidation of their assets.
FTX hacker dumping stolen coins on the market.

I haven't seen such fear in the media since the Chinese bans that followed Gox bankruptcy in 2015.
1248  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: When will Sam Bankman-Fried go to jail? on: November 20, 2022, 04:47:03 PM
That's where all his donations and connections come in. We'll see if politicians will treat him like a hot potato, throwing him from one hands onto the other until finally it cools down enough to be handled, or if the money were able to actually buy him some favors. His parents are lawyers, so if it all fails at least he'll have the best defense for free.

Have you noticed how they're trying to paint him as a victim? A generous billionaire kid, a smart young guy who wanted to make a change but he was tricked by a bad man from China. All Sam was trying to do is give back to local businesses and politicians, save them all from bankruptcy and that bad Chinese competitor created a panic that destroyed our local American business.
The cleanup has already begun.
1249  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / A reminder about the media on: November 20, 2022, 04:09:57 PM
I'd like to remind those of you who feel wear down by the  market and the media headlines make them feel even worse.
You wake up, check the news and get served a bunch of FUD about bitcoin. Then you go to youtube and get another dose because most bitcoiners there turned into bearish haters.
Here's a quick reminder that they're wrong every time and always follow the trend.

09 November 2021
Bitcoin (BTC) At New ATH, Key Factors Showing Why We Are At Beginning of the Mega Bull Run
https://cryptonews.net/en/2576747/

12 November 2021
Bitcoin due to hit $90K 'in coming weeks' despite pullback — Latest technical analysis
https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-due-to-hit-90k-in-coming-weeks-despite-pullback-latest-technical-analysis

Stay strong and don't follow the media Cool
1250  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Qatar bribed 8 players from Ecuador for the opening match on: November 20, 2022, 03:43:34 PM
There's so much allegations against Qatar that some of it has to be true. For instance they promised to allow alcohol at the stadium, gathered sponsorship money from beer companies and then banned them anyway. This shows that the people who manage the championship are liars and cannot be trusted.

Then there were rumors that they're paying people to create fake crowds at the stadium and cheer for their team.

Now we have rumors of bribes that Qatar is denying, but should we believe them with all the things going on?

I pity the people who paid to go there.
1251  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Good days to bitcoin will be back soon. on: November 18, 2022, 05:49:54 PM
All the naysaying  and scepticism of bitcoin will going to end soon.

I think it's never going to end. It was there when bitcoin was trading for 100, 1000 and it's going to be there at 100k.
Banks hate bitcoin
People who panic sold and lost hate bitcoin
Gold bugs like Peter Schiff hate bitcoin
Old farts Like Warren Buffett who failed to recognize the value in it hate it as well
Politicians who don't get it like Elizabeth Warren hate it
Eco terrorists from green parties around the world hate it because its easiest to attack something that doesn't defend itself

They won't stop hating it because there's another bull market, but bull market doesn't need them to stop hating to come. Bitcoin has its ups and downs and now it's down, so the natural way from here is up.

Not until the next Bitcoin Halving which is scheduled for April 2024.

Maybe sooner. According to this the estimated date is March 23.
1252  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Do you have Lucky Casino? on: November 18, 2022, 05:30:43 PM
I have casinos where I usually play but this has nothing to do with luck. I accept that I may lose some money there and don't think that I was unlucky that I lost that day - it just happened.
On the other hand if I were losing somewhere all the time I wouldn't play there but I don't have places where I keep playing because I win a lot. It doesn't happen. My win rate is close to 50% and there's no luck involved just math and statistics.
1253  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Will the world cup affect the Russia and Ukraine fight? on: November 18, 2022, 05:09:01 PM
Some believe that sports should be practiced away from international political tensions. Others believe that it is permissible to use sports demonstrations to show political positions.
The World Cup is a global occasion and is subject to global changes. Qatar itself, the host country, has problems with some of the participating countries. It has not been recorded in history that a war was stopped by football.

Is war really just politics? I feel like the moment you start murdering people in cold blood like the Russians are doing it becomes a problem of international law and not just politics. Politics should be bloodless. When there's a border dispute and countries are showing off it's politics, but when you start burying people in mass graves it becomes much larger and every tool in your arsenal should be used to prevent that, including sports.

I'm happy that I won't have to watch Russians in the World Cup. It was a good choice by FIFA.

Should they cease fire? Yes, but Russia usually breaks every agreement. Remember how they were supposed to allow refugees to leave the war zone through humanitarian corridors and then shot at them with artillery? I wouldn't trust any word from Putin's mouth.
1254  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Too many chickens own BTC. Don't be a chicken, HODL! BE A LION. on: November 18, 2022, 04:48:13 PM
I'm pretty much like OP. I still have coins that I got in 2015 and sold maybe 20% of my holdings between 2017 and 2021. I haven't sold anything for almost a year and if bitcoin never goes above 30k again, I don't think that I'll sell anything. I'm not saying that I won't do it for sure because if I find myself dying and in need of expensive medicine or procedure, I'll sell some. You can't make any money if you're dead.

My plan that I've followed for the last 8 years remains the same. When bitcoin is above the ath from last cycle I start spending my coins buying the things that I need and building up my cash reserve. Each time bitcoin breaks a significant round level above the last ATH I repeat the process, but that's never more than 10% of my coins each cycle, which is why I still have most of what I got in 2015 and 16.

I'm not a trader. Holding coins on exchanges always felt risky to me which is why I only send the money I'm willing to convert and do it right away.

People have different goals in life. Some want to make the most fiat money out of their bitcoin in the shortest amount of time but others want to hold bitcoin as a safe alternative that also appreciates in value. I could sell a few coins and buy a lambo, but I don't need it. I live in an area where you need a good pickup truck with 4x4 and not a sports car. I don't need designer clothes or my own swimming pool. I feel better and more confident holding bitcoin than spending it.
1255  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Btc Are limited supply and people Are withdraw them from exchangers on: November 17, 2022, 10:51:01 PM
Price is going up not if there is more or less coins on exchanges. Price is going up when people are willing to pay more for coins and are buying on the rising price. The end. Number of coins on exchanges does not matter. People can always deposit back in or hedge using futures and leverage when price recover.

Current situation makes people withdraw not only BTC but also stable coins and fiats. So there is less money to buy fewer coins. Net impact is neutral but ... it all cause lower liquidity on exchanges = more volatility = more risky asset = more fear = fewer investors = price goes down.


I don't agree here and you've actually contradicted the first part of your post with the second one. If according to you less liquidity means more volatility and more volatility means lower price then the amount of coins on exchanges does matter.

I'll add that less coins on exchanges is always good. Think of it like this:
More coins available for sale > bigger sell walls > more fiat needed to break into higher prices
Less coins > much easier and more frequent short squeezes > higher possibility of price manipulation but also higher and more frequent pumps, wider price ranges.

IMO more coins outside exchanges is good because it suggest more people self custody and as a result less coins being possibly lost or stolen. It's also better for traders because they're the ones that love volatility. I'm not a trader and I don't care if the price range is wider and btc goes up and down by 100% in a year. I've seen it in 2017, 18 and 19 and was fine with it. I kind of miss it now.

1256  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: How to prevent cheating in a game on: November 17, 2022, 10:37:10 PM
What is cheating? Many casinos think counting cards is cheating, but to me that's employing your superhuman abilities. If you can do it then why not try it out? It's like woman's charm. They use it to get what they want, so if you can count cards you're better than 99% of players - use it.

I don't cheat which doesn't mean I don't want to. There's literally no good and safe way to do it, eventually you'll get caught or lose a game despite cheating.
It can also be really dangerous if you do that at a wrong place. They may not want to call the cops and beat you up instead.

No!

Really! What thing so stupid are you saying, how you thinking cheating is an option to win, you can't be so mediocre, forgive me if you are offended by my words but there is no room for that question.

 On the other hand, if you understood the games Casino or any of those Games for bet that exist, You would understand that winning always, or it that you mistakenly mention winning first does not exist, therefore the long term is the way, at least in poker.

Cheating is the way of losers, sick, lunatics, they are the cancer of skill games.


Did you get triggered by OP? Cheesy



1257  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: November 17, 2022, 09:42:45 AM

Same actor who threatened NATO to send more money or Ukraine may switch sides.  I wouldn't use the string 'he' without checking it's 'preferred pronouns'.  It's a pretty weird individual in a number of ways.  You'd have to ask Zenskij the cokehead to know which of it's peculiarities are of such appeal that he keeps it around in a chief advisor role.  Maybe it's just the will of their mutual boss Igor Kolomoyskyi.



So much hate, so much name calling, even some transgender implications towards a person without any transgender characteristics.
I'm sorry that your special operation isn't going according to plan and you have to resort to this in a forum where most people laugh at Russian war efforts.

Ok, I admit it, I was joking, I'm not sorry.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tFlqI3KYiIU
1258  Economy / Gambling / Re: Crypto raffle game idea | feedback required on: November 16, 2022, 09:25:10 PM
Do you not think it is too high a cost you are trying to take where all the reputed gambling site is taking too much lower fees than you? If a reputed site takes a lower fee and you as a newbie demand a higher fee then why gamblers will be interested in you instead of a reputed gambling site?

Because he's doing charity, like SBF  Smiley

We can donate 10% of all tickets sales to a crypto foundation of our players selection

Jokes aside, if OP takes even 15% from his planned 30, nobody is going to send money to him. You can test that out if you want OP. go to children at the playground, pick 3 kids and tell them that if each of them gives you $1 you'll pick a winner and give him $2 and they'll see right through you. They'll ask what will happen to that $1 that they give you.

It's funny but this is how most charity funds operate. They sometimes take more than 50% of all raised funds for themselves as "operational costs".
1259  Economy / Exchanges / Re: Fact or Fake? FTX collapse related to Biden Administration and Anti-Ukraine . . on: November 16, 2022, 09:07:12 PM
You can't destroy decentralized crypto space via a centralized exchange!
You only can "destroy" cryptocurrency holders who are dumb enough to trust you, but isn't this how everything in this world works?

Imagine that you have a house and you rent it out and the person who you trust with the keys is a thief who rips the cables and pipes from the walls to sell them later as scrap? You may get the police to catch the thief but when they do you find that he has nothing. He bought drugs with the money and got wasted and there's no way to get any money from him. Sam is a thief who wasted all the money and this doesn't change anything for millions of bitcoin users who had their coins elsewhere. The crypto space is not going to be destroyed because some retirement fund manager was dumb enough to hold coins on FTX or because Kevin O'leary shilled for them.
1260  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Cash out or wait till the end on: November 16, 2022, 08:48:59 PM
Overall your total loss is still $70 from your pocket, cashout function can go wrong if it is your lucky day. Sometimes I even question myself about possible outcome on coupon in case of last leg is risky choice. Let it stay like that and don't cashout is my general decision in such situations, I prefer to take all winnings than partly agreeing to lose rest of the profit. Just my 2 cents.

You never know if it's your lucky day until after you make the decision, so I wouldn't call the bet going wrong in this case. A win is a win, no matter if you win 100 or 1000 and taking 100 home is better than losing it, hoping that it could be more.

It's always a matter of perspective whether this is already big money for you. Like if you bet $5 and win $5, but if you get the last game it gets to $20, you can as well keep playing. If it's a big win like $1k but could be $3k if you get lucky, I'd withdraw 1k and call myself lucky.
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