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221  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 18, 2022, 07:23:13 AM
Do not Mindrust brothers



Perfect timing, man! Indeed: don't mindrust!  Cool

Buyers nowhere to be seen it seems. 18k - 15k on the menu.
222  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 18, 2022, 07:12:04 AM
So much for the claim the BTC has never fallen below the previous cycle. Just yesterday I feel like Saylor was on tv saying nobody has ever lost money on BTC that’s owned it for more than four years. A shame that is no longer true. I guess it’s a sign of a maturing market, but with all the doom and gloom out there it feels a bit like we’re about to fall off a cliff price wise.

So far it has only been purely symbolic - we haven't gone below $19k just a quick dive below $19100? But it ain't over, let's wait and see...  Cool

It really doesn't matter anyway. Things are going south yes, but it doesn't mean that this is the end of Bitcoin. Things will recover, the Fed will see to that when they are forced to reverse.
223  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 18, 2022, 07:09:15 AM
Here we go

This post saved me, since I was not really paying attention as usual to my desktop ticker.  THank you.

wish I didn't have to post it
224  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 18, 2022, 07:03:42 AM
This is the move that removes the last of the weak hands I reckon. Only ones remaining after this are those who will hold to 0.
225  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 18, 2022, 06:58:14 AM
So, it happened for the first time in BTC history... weekend bearish attack on the last cycle's ATH succeeded?  Huh

Yep, looked like a massive market dump from one person though, was pretty instant. Whale trying to manipulate maybe.

Huge volume on the 15min at stamp and bid side loaded.
226  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 18, 2022, 06:52:16 AM
Figured they would take advantage of the low weekend liquidity.

If this doesn't get bought back quickly, we'll be under 20k for a while I think.

Big volume spike. Somebody wanted to just break this thing.
227  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 18, 2022, 06:51:33 AM
Here we go
228  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 18, 2022, 04:26:21 AM

I'm least excited about Wall Street buying into Bitcoin (also ETFs and other BS), it's money for the people, not money for money bags, but the technology is such that anyone can own bitcoins so obviously money bags will have the most of it.

I look at it as kind-of a trap. They can own more of it, sure. They just can't print more of it.

I look at it this way.

BTC is open to my worst enemies and my best friends. I wouldn't want it any other way.
229  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 18, 2022, 12:37:07 AM
Adam Back still sees 100k possible by eoy
https://twitter.com/adam3us/status/1537532815478243329?t=U4wAtpfr4aRfvBXZxu0NJg&s=19


5x not impossible in half a year, but sounds quite extreme... however we all know, this is Bitcoin and extreme it is...

I hate to break it to him but bitcoin only went up as high as it did due to record-low interest rates and a fuck ton of pandemic money hitting investors. It's delusional expecting this to happen with a looming recession and some nasty inflation in a lot of countries.

Record low interest rates and a fuck ton of money is exactly what is coming down the line if the Fed overdoes things and causes Japan, EU to burn. What do you think the chances are that the Fed overdoes things? And even if they do manage a soft landing, they will still need to ease as their is still too much debt in the system to have a sustaiable recovery without easing. One way or another BTC is going to 100k. If the Fed fucks this up it could easily be the end of this year. If they are a bit more delicate, 100k is delayed for a few years, either way it is happening.

Also, take note of their CBDC talk. It has fuck all to do with competing with BTC or shitcoins, and everything to do with allowing the Fed to do very controlled fiscal stimulus. At the moment the Fed can only do monetary. The difference is massive.
230  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 17, 2022, 01:13:32 PM
Add another one to the list. There is too much of this crap going on right now for the price to go up.



https://twitter.com/zerohedge/status/1537774997590134784
231  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 17, 2022, 12:45:51 PM
Our governments are all scum

https://www.zerohedge.com/political/julian-assanges-extradition-us-formally-approved-uk-government
232  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 17, 2022, 12:44:08 PM
Dick head (Jay Powell) is going to be speaking in a couple minutes. Wonder what fantasy he is going to spout today. I imagine we'll see a reaction in markets, don't know in which direction.

EDIT: he talked a tiny bit about the CBDCs, Fed is definitely pursuing that.
233  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 17, 2022, 12:29:54 PM
I'm bored. Going to bed early.
Let's see what happens...


Filled @ $20,500 for another 0.012 sats worth.

Found the bottom?

That would be nice.
234  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 16, 2022, 10:15:17 AM
Good morning, I found something amazing.
This Indicator always called Bear signal on the lowest priced candle on 3W chart. Let's hope it won't be wrong this time too.



fingers crossed
235  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 16, 2022, 09:26:26 AM
I see lambie slayer is back with the bargin boyz. Well I hope he is right, he was in 2018/2019 dip down to 3k. But I feel the call might be a little early considering the global landscape right now.

I'm guessing this is what you're referencing?

Cycle Bottom confirmed. (June 15, 2022)

A new Baby Bull Market is born. In time it will grow to be a full grown Raging Bull.  

Bargain Boyz asked me to thank weak hands and gamblers for their sacrifice.

1 day into the new Baby Bull Market and all is well.  Cheesy

I think the end of the week in a few days will provide more clarity, even if price is already above $25K by then, there would likely still be a re-test of the 200WMA next week. Likewise if price closes below $20K then we could certainly see a covid-like capitulation down to $16K, $14K, even $12K if panic really sets in. Despite how oversold price is, this only suggests a sharp rebound, not that price can't go lower temporarily prior to this. As long as price hold $20K this week, even if only by going sideways, I think some market manipulating whales will take advantage of pumping the price late Sunday evening prior to the Weekly close. In order to confirm the 200WMA as support. This would give considerable confidence to those who have been waiting on the sidelines, waiting to see if the 200WMA holds before jumping in.

That said, it's worth listening to people who got it right in 2018/2019 or previous bear markets. Especially if they haven't already made a handful of calls that the bottom is in already. I'm inclined to believe the bottom is in, more so than previously at $25K, and a "mini-bull" will commence, up to $50K then correct back down to $25K/$30K for a "mini-bear". However I was also bullish around $50K (rising 50 Week MA) late last year in the bull market. Then again at $33K when the bullish structure was maintained temporarily and price rebounded to $48K. I only really lost my bullish bias when $30K was broken, and therefore the bullish macro structure was broken, which is obviously way too late for any worthwhile selling opportunity (at least imo). But eventually, the macro market should become more predictable again imo.

I realise that a lot of other investors are probably the same however, those who invested at 4 figures in order to take profits at 6 figures, anticipating a blow off top and the usual 80%+ correction that never occurred. This is why while I believe there will be a strong rebound, with many recent sellers re-entering (as well as some newbies who realise Bitcoin isn't dead after all), followed by significant selling pressure in the $40K to $50K zone, from people like myself who failed to take enough profits, or others who entered the market in the past 18 months. Speculating that price come back down to some $25K to $30K level again before really taking off to the upside. Textbook short-term re-distribution effectively, while also acting as also long-term re-accumulation (as $40K has been roughly year already).

I could well be wrong (again), as the market has become much less predictable than previous years, and certainly I'd wait to see what price movement is like when returning to distribution zones, and how quickly it get's there more importantly, but my gut feeling is a repeat of 2019 with altcoins going sideways/lower against USD and therefore getting rekt against BTC (by another 50%+). That said, I also anticipated altcoin wreckage since May 2021 and it still hasn't really happened yet. Many shitcoins have corrected against BTC, but there still hasn't been a "Bitcoin season" since 2019. This has become considerably overdue now.


All we can do is wait, buy BTC and see how it developes.
236  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 16, 2022, 09:21:42 AM
Stocks falling, Oil falling, bitcoin falling, treasury yields falling, and importantly the Yen is increasing. Looks like the recession (lower inflation) is being priced in today, knowing traders it will probably be the opposite tomorrow.  
237  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 16, 2022, 07:58:01 AM
I see lambie slayer is back with the bargin boyz. Well I hope he is right, he was in 2018/2019 dip down to 3k. But I feel the call might be a little early considering the global landscape right now.

I still feel things will only turn around properly when the Fed reverses and I think the catalyst for that reversal will be when Japan collapses (or hopefully before then when the signs are obvious). Make no doubt, Japan is certain to collapse if rates keep increasing. The BOJ can't keep their 10 year bonds at 0.25 without their currency being demolished and if they back out of maintaining the 0.25 ceiling, their yields will skyrocket to above 3% and the government is now bankrupt and cannot fund services without money printing.

It's also possible that inflation might turn around before then, and I'm hoping it does, because if the worlds 3rd largest economy goes down the contagion from that will be devastating.

Buy for the long-term gents, easing is assured until debt levels become sustainable.

EDIT: Another thing that might prevent collapse of Japan is if a recession becomes obvious to everyone, including the Fed. In which case that'd stop raising rates anyway, or at least pause for a bit to see what the recession does to inflation.
238  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 15, 2022, 02:18:48 PM

This really pisses me off. They asked our chancellor of the Exchequer if this would make any difference to inflation and he said he should only have a small effect.

So might as well throw some more fuel on the fire I guess.

 Roll Eyes




Soon the conversation will go to we need double digit inflation because we can't normalise with debt levels being this high. And its true, hence the BOJ and the ECB just a few hours ago. The Fed is to follow soon.

Debt needs to be reduced, it can be done through inflation or deflation (debt write offs), very soon we will find out that deflation is not the preferred way for societial stability.
239  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 15, 2022, 01:20:38 PM
the tide will turn eventually...  all the brrrr money has to go somewhere...  keeping cash is no option long-term

call me delusional but I wouldn't be surprised, if we saw 100k within a year.. the road for that possibility is just getting cleared from all the obstacles aka lending (=shorting) scams and weak hands

edit: ok, let's say 2 years  Cheesy Cheesy

Not delusional. If the Fed reverses this is a possible outcome.
240  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 15, 2022, 12:10:39 PM
Another stable USDD not looking good. This can become a big issue with the current market situation as USDD is backed by the Tron DAO network. At the moment the value is well below $1 not by a 1 cent but by 4 cents.





USDD has a market cap of less than a billion. I feel the fallout from that should not be too big, however, it will be another fear moment and some selling will probably happen because of it.

These disasters and other FUD are probably going to go on for a while. I guess the way we know that the BTC price has bottomed is when it no longer reacts.
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