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241  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 09, 2014, 09:41:55 PM
Relax guys, price will obviously go higher. Look at bitstamp:

- they are buy orders in value of 14.000 BTC in total from 440 down to 398 USD
- on the other hand they are sell orders in value of 4.698 BTC in total up to 484 USD (from 440 USD).

So basically, while people would buy 14.000 BTC by the time BTC would go down to 400, there is ONLY 4.698 BTC on the selling side up to 484 USD.

I think this says all: people are not willing to sell their bitcoins at this price, which is the correct attitude. Excepting some idiots who are selling (I think everybody's an idiot selling now), people are just holding. Imagine, 4.698 BTC for sale from the almost 13.000.000 on the market... that says a lot about it (and also about how stupid people selling at this price are).

1. Those bid walls are mostly fake. They get pulled when the price moves towards them.
2. Those bid walls are mostly fake. As soon as you see a fast enough upswing move, you'll see bid walls disappear and ask walls being placed against the move.

Why is that?
A. (Bots) To catch crazy market orders. E.g. if someone sells 14k coins the market will bounce quickly and the bots make profit from catching the market order and selling back higher.
B. (Manipulators) To manipulate the simpletons into believing that support/resistance are stronger than they actually are. So the price moves in the opposite direction of the wall and the manipulator can lower the slippage of his real move, e.g. he can sell at a higher price than his bid wall or buy at a lower price than his ask wall.

Am I right?
242  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 09, 2014, 08:43:52 PM
OK, the "news" moved the market down, but nobody is really moving it back up.
243  Economy / Speculation / Re: I just order a Cryptexcard on: April 09, 2014, 07:40:37 PM
Bitplastic is advertised with anonymity as an advantage... it won't last if there's any significant uptake. I assume Cryptex have actually discussed this business with Union Pay, and I've only assumed that from it looking like a semi-professional outfit (and their outrageous KYC requirements from the outset)

Word is out that BitPlastic is a scam? This one seems more professional. I'm checking, I might buy the card...
244  Economy / Speculation / Re: rpietila Wall Observer - the Quality TA Thread ;) on: April 09, 2014, 01:21:17 PM
Reddit r/Bitcoin has less than 50 new users per day. That used to be over 1000 new ones per day for weeks.
Number of daily transactions is on a two-month downtrend which has fallen below its exponential trend line.
Total USD daily transaction value is also still decreasing, week by week. Scaling that index to the levels of the past (when possibly Gox wasn't already cooking their books and propping the price up) is depressing to say the least.
The volume on exchanges is ridiculous. Closer to when we were at 100$ than to 400.

How could a massive short squeeze be in the making?
What I see is oblivion coming. Either that or a steady painful decline like 2011. Painful to me as I'm almost all in.
245  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 08, 2014, 10:28:02 PM
The markets have become as interesting as a sunday afternoon in the suburbs. Small traders flipping a few thousands are doing all the talk in the wall observer thread.
246  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 08, 2014, 09:52:38 PM
I expect more people to give up on crypto in the next days because of the OpenSSL scare.


You serious? Why? lol

I can tell you how I felt when I saw Stamp was still not allowing logins, and I'm not pleased of not finding any reminder to change my password at all now that I can login.
I withdrew most of my coins back to personal wallet but I can imagine weaker hands just selling off and ordering cash withdrawals.
247  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 08, 2014, 09:39:14 PM
I expect more people to give up on crypto in the next days because of the OpenSSL scare.
248  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 08, 2014, 06:34:11 AM
Not a single trade in Stamp in the last 17 minutes. The site is up. Is the trading API down or simply no one is trading?
249  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 07, 2014, 09:56:15 PM
Wow. I can watch any major exchange doing no trades at all for a minute or more.
250  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 07, 2014, 08:17:16 PM
What with Stamp now on a solo mini rally?

Now, and twenty years from now, a 1% rise is considered a rally.

*sigh*

Eh, okay. You don't have to be smart about it.
251  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 07, 2014, 08:04:38 PM
What with Stamp now on a solo mini rally?
252  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 07, 2014, 07:15:52 PM
Have there been any views on what might happen if the PBOC deadline is confirmed as ~15 April?  

Are the sellers all done or are there some hiding in the wings waiting for official news?



In a bearish ladder downtrend, people can sell and then buy back multiple times in an attempt to catch bottoms / cut their losses. At each step, some of them decide to exit the market, creating extra supply that, if not balanced by new buyers, will cause next crash.
253  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 07, 2014, 05:18:18 PM
So: one whale dumped, some hodlers capitulated, the market is otherwise stalled and depressing, rinse and repeat Sad
254  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 07, 2014, 02:43:50 PM
It is as sad as this: it did not break the resistance at 460 so the 101 TA gamblers decided it must go down.

Brace yourselves again.
255  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 07, 2014, 09:50:30 AM
What if TERA is right?

Much fear
256  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 06, 2014, 08:46:51 PM
The four small red candles in Huobi's 15m chart are the likely cause that made someone surrender 500+ coins on Stamp... Huobi seems to be able to lead even while sleeping.
257  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 06, 2014, 07:27:25 PM
Volume is nonexistent.

The market makers are sleeping. It's middle of the night in their timezone...
258  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 06, 2014, 07:21:57 PM
Bobby Lee, BTC-China CEO, says that most of the Chinese volume is faked.

It likely is. That is why I look at how it is trending not what the absolute numbers are.
259  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 06, 2014, 07:07:53 PM
Comparing 1D volume trends Huobi vs Stamp, it looks like this rally is, once more, Chinese led.
260  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 06, 2014, 06:37:10 PM
Care to explain the logic you used to lay those lines?
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