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2481  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: If bitcoin price had not crashed in 2018 on: January 17, 2021, 03:37:52 PM
Sometimes I just look out for what to put the blame on, If I should put it on the government, because if there was job available after our education we wouldn't have sold our assets, or if I should put the blame on heritage. of course if we had come from a wealthy background, we would have be rich and there won't have been any need for selling our assets, rather we would have bought more.

Sorry to say that but the only person that you could put a blame on is you. You did not put 100% into your education (for better job opportunities), you did not work during your education (a lot of people do that), you did not put extra effort to find additional income in crypto space (I quit my job to focus 100% on crypto and I started my jurney here in DEC 2017 not in 2015. If I was in your possition - with crypto since 2015- i would already be a milionair ... even without a single dolar initial investment). For instance there were 10k$ bounties, 1k$ airdrops one after another in 2016-2017, translations, community supports ... damn there was tone of money to earn since 2015 in here, 10 times more than from 2018. And no one becomes a milionair for doing 30% of trying and 70% of party.
2482  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Do crypto enthusiasts truly believe in bitcoin, cryptocurrency? on: January 17, 2021, 03:20:30 PM
Isn't it that because locking stable coins (in swaps) is different (much safer) than locking bitcoin/Ethereum? I mean that, f.e, if you decided to hold etherum and to add some leverage to your investment you decided to lock it in liquidity pool in ETH/USDC pair and ETH will pump hard you may in fact end up with worse returns than without locking ETH while DAI/USDC change zero exposure to value fluctuation, stable coins into profit coins as long as both coins exist. Fist spike on ETH i BTC chart was due to defi bubble and quite stable BTC (9-10k consolidation)
2483  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Service Discussion (Altcoins) / Re: any alternative for waves token like uniswap???? on: January 17, 2021, 02:52:21 PM
Not that I'm aware of. Wave platform has build in DEX, not exacly uniswap like solution but you can trade your tokens there.

edit: Looks like i was right. List of wave dapps:

https://dappradar.com/rankings/protocol/waves

The only one with volume is neutrino protocol (DEX + stable coins generator)
2484  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin and crypto are just a stock market on steroids on: January 17, 2021, 11:14:09 AM
For many people, mentally it does.
If you own a share in a company you have a voting right. For many crypto projects I have invested in this is not the case.

mentally. And thats it. Voting power? And what can I do as 0.000001% owner of Alphabet Inc. ? Pay 2000$ for ticket,  spend 30 h in plane to go for shareholders meeting to say that I don't like how youtube is censoring and demonetizes videos that was never targeted on kids for not kid friendly content? What will that change? You own just a piece of paper.
2485  Economy / Economics / Re: What is the point of collateralized loans ? on: January 17, 2021, 09:17:31 AM
Earn .... from ... loans ...
Once again
 Earn .... from ... borrowing money
You get it? No where in the world you will be able to earn on borrowing money from other person. Its the person you get a loan is earning on you ... No matter what you loan and when and how the value of this asset is changing. You always have to pay what you borrowed + fees. Whats the point of collateralized loans than? Just like in real world. Its all the usages you can have form loan. You need a car? You loan money from bank with your hose as a collateral. You earned on this? No, but you have a car that you can use. You borrowed USDT using ETH as collateral? You have now USDT that you can use to buy other crypto (leverage your portfolio) You borrowed BNB using ETH? You can now use it for lauchpools, lauchpads etc. You want to use product of company that requires you to own a token for premium account but you don't want to be exposed on currency risks? You borrow it for USDC.
2486  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin and crypto are just a stock market on steroids on: January 17, 2021, 08:47:30 AM
Most crypto investing have nothing to do with stock investing. When you invest in a stock you own a small part of a physical company. Investing in crypto is more based on trust and potential as it normally isn’t backed by anything else than the value we give it. (hot air) This also means that the risk when investing in crypto is way bigger.

Does it change anything for shareholder? There is nothing you can do with your shares, just piece of paper.

Crypto = more volatility
Bigger losses bigger winnings!

Its just the stock market on steroids

So whos good on crypto can do well on stock market
Whos good on stock market the crypto might be too fast


Market is a zero-sum game (your earnings = other loses) so if you want to fight for bucks with banks, wall street guys, governments (and their infinite money supply and insider knowledge) you go on forex/regulated stocks (by your opponents), you want to fight for bucks with tech nerds, lambo guys you come to crypto Smiley I prefer second option.
2487  Economy / Economics / Re: Tech. Analysis vs. Value Investing vs. Growth Investing vs. Narrative Economy on: January 17, 2021, 08:33:09 AM
First, NFLX's PE ratio is around 80, not 500

Sorry. Was looking at wrong chart. You are right

First, NFLX's PE ratio is around 80, not 500, so there's nowhere close to 20x growth needed to justify the valuation or bring it down to more traditional PE levels. And why are you extrapolating users based on PE? That makes no sense because the PE ratio encompasses more inputs (earnings reflect revenues AND costs, not just revenues which is all you're accounting for in your example extrapolating user growth).

Just wanted to show a scale in simplest possible way.

which is what people who are valuing Netflix at 80 times earnings are doing

Its more to me like retail investors FOMO into popular stock rather than someone intentionally is accepting 80 P/E because in far future maybe competition will not overtake netflix (HBO GO, Amazon Prime), netflix will be able to cut spendings and current price will be relevant to fundamentials.

2488  Economy / Economics / Re: Money creation system - is bitcoin creation resistant? on: January 17, 2021, 07:17:30 AM
When was that screenshot taken?

Right when we hit 40k for first time.

Recent data showed BTC supply on exchanges spiking back up to mid-2020 levels. This coincided with the $42K top and subsequent correction.
I'm curious what Glassnode is showing, but I don't have a paid account.

I don't have paid account either. I passed this screenshot from my discussion with friend on telegram and didn't check it. Looks like i should. Sorry.
2489  Economy / Economics / Re: Tech. Analysis vs. Value Investing vs. Growth Investing vs. Narrative Economy on: January 17, 2021, 07:11:10 AM
P/E ratio is only useful when comparing like companies. You can't compare high growth tech stocks like NVIDIA or Netflix to an entire index and generally conclude they're overvalued because the NASDAQ is such a broader base, and growth stocks are so speculative in general.

Thats part of current narrative. That 1 $ earned from selling tomatos is different from 1 $ earned from selling PCs. I could have agree with you if we were talking about P/E 10 from tomatos and P/E 30 from graphic cardas (nvidia) but we are talking about 10 vs 500-5000. Netflix has P/e around 500 and has around 200 mln registered users. To justify current valuation netflix should grow 20 times to 4 bilion users while "4.66 billion people were active internet users as of October 2020,". So netflix should sell its product to every person on earth that has internet to justify such evaluation (btw. you can share one account with others). People no longer take care of fundamentials and there is no super spacial force that may push evaluation of company back down to "fundamentals and profitability." since as you said by yourself "P/E (AKA fundamentals and profitability) ratio is only useful when comparing like companies. "
2490  Local / Polski / Re: Pospekulujmy o aktualnej i przyszłej cenie BTC. on: January 16, 2021, 04:08:49 PM
Bardzo niemila niespodzianke nam dziisiaj kurs btc zrobil, większość spodziewala sie, ze to powrot na wlasciwe tory (czyli powyżej 38k usd) tymczasem mamy zjazd ktory pod pewnymi względami wyglada gorzej niz ten poprzedni..
Jak myślicie, utrzyma sie 30k tym razem, czy bedziemy testowac trend i kluczowe wsparcia w rejonie ok 28k usd?

Nie wiem o czym mówisz, jaki zjazd Smiley




Jaki trend? Taki? Dobrze go narysowałem, nie rysowałem kolejnych linii trendu bo by oznaczały, że cofamy się w czasie ?Smiley



Nie no tak na poważnie to ja jestem spokojny. Na odreagowanie czekałem już od dawna, jak zobaczyłem dynamikę tych spadków to liczyłem na ok 40% korektę. Jest dobrze, pięknie odbiło pod 40k i rozgrywany jest obecnie bear trap. Powiem ci, że ewentualny powrót do 40k to będzie instant 50k z samych zamkniętych shortów. A trzeba pamiętać, że uderzył w nas ostatnio Tether FUD (sam go wspomniałeś w innym wątku), Mt-gox FUD,
2491  Economy / Economics / Re: Money creation system - is bitcoin creation resistant? on: January 16, 2021, 03:38:37 PM
I've decided to bump this thread because i feel like its perfect time for reminder. It is highly likely that most exchanges does not have enough coins to cover balances of all users, now, during days when total balance on exchanges are going down it is possible that we will see exit scams (fake hacks) soon.

2492  Local / Polski / Re: Ogólne rozmowy na temat kampanii sygnatur on: January 16, 2021, 02:52:33 PM
A jest opcja sie dostać jeszcze do Twojej kampani? Bo w sumie szukałem tych platnych w btc z tego wzgledu, ze dla mnie wystarczajaca ruletka jest trzymanie krypto:p ale jeśli faktycznie  w Twojej sa stabilne wyplaty to nie byloby to dla mnie problemem, jeszcze tylko pytanie jak wygladaja w niej formalności?

Powiem ci, że mają wysokie i dość specyficzne wymogi. Ja tam aplikowałem wielokrotnie i nigdy się nie udało. A trzeba przyznać, że jedna z lepszych kampanii. 50 postów miesięcznie za 300$ daje sporą elastyczność. U mnie 20 postów tygodniowo za mniejsza kasę i to bez lokali nad czym ubolewam najmocniej.
2493  Economy / Economics / Re: Usdt and usdc perfect coins for real estate transactions on: January 16, 2021, 12:07:42 PM
I wonder how you imagine a developer that leave from building and selling houses dealing with BTC price fluctuation. Guys just stop dreaming. Its so much harder to operate a business (as big as building,selling real estate) when you chose bitcoin as a payment method in a way that you receive and hold bitcoin (not in a way that it is instantly dumped to USD right after payment). Bitcoin is good as investment/ reserve currency, when you can choose the best moment to invest. Not that you get BTC in the moment you sell a house and pay with btc when you want to build next house. There is a high risk that price fluctuations will sooner or later kill your business.
2494  Economy / Economics / Re: Tech. Analysis vs. Value Investing vs. Growth Investing vs. Narrative Economy on: January 16, 2021, 10:47:47 AM
As for narrative investing, I don't agree.  Eventually, fundamentals of the underlying business matters. The best example of this is Tesla.  Tesla won't keep trading at this valuation indefinitely, no matter the narrative around it.  Eventually, it's going to have to turn mega-insane profits to justify this valuation.  

I love it when people put forward theses and justify them with 1 extreme case. I could say that it always rains in my city, because a moment ago I looked out the window and it was raining.

The fact is that popular assets (not only tesla) had p/e around 50 and were overvalued, and should dump to around p/e=20 (average for nasdaq is 30 - and nasdaq is overvalued too), but after 5 years has p/e around 500. (f.e nvidia, netflix), and in another 5 years can have 5000. You know why? Because we broke off the foundations not 2-5 months ago (tesla) but 8-10 years ago on every popular asset, because ... for 10 years the foundations do not play a role, because ... "2010-onwards" we deal with "narrative investing" exactly like described it by the OP. Dump, you are talking about, will come with the emergence of a new narrative. But whether it will be in 2021 or 2030 is not known.
 
2495  Economy / Economics / Re: Usdt and usdc perfect coins for real estate transactions on: January 15, 2021, 06:06:12 PM
As long as the other party to the transaction wants to accept it and as far as I know guys who earn on selling houses are mostly not crypto gamblers. Also in most countries stable coins are not legal tender so you may have legal problems with sanctioning such a transaction.
2496  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: king of TPS ? (transactions per second) on: January 15, 2021, 08:34:34 AM
The higher you go with TPS the lower you go with decentralization and blockchain safety. Decentralized blockchain technologies was never about the speed and comparing them purely in terms of speed is not the best idea.
And as already posted by the previous posters - its just claimed TPS and there are a lot of shticoins that claim to scale to milions TPS.
2497  Economy / Economics / Re: Tech. Analysis vs. Value Investing vs. Growth Investing vs. Narrative Economy on: January 15, 2021, 08:14:21 AM
One more think caught my attention:

Effectively it means - if you can identify good story that would be appealing to other prospective investors, and able to invest in that story early enough, you can outperform others.

Doesn't it change the investing into "gambling on Ponzi scheme"? You don't earn from profit that undervalued asset generates and share with investors (old era investing), you earn only if more and more investors believed in the story you spot before them.
2498  Economy / Economics / Re: Tech. Analysis vs. Value Investing vs. Growth Investing vs. Narrative Economy on: January 14, 2021, 03:53:55 PM
Good read OP. Thats what I observe in last years of my presence on market (regulated stock market and crypto market). Undervalued assets remains undervalud for years, technical indicators are raped one after another. Everything moves in pump/dump like movements. People no longer use math and economy to invest. They use dreams and emotions. I think that evolution of narratives (from undervalued assets, to well priced with good perspective to "yolo, buy the story, give me lambo") is somehow connected to printers doing brrrr and cash surplus, disappearing options to protect it against inflation, increasing amount of retail investors, attracting younger and less experienced investors to the market, 12 years of bull market in US and many more.
2499  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: May 7th, 2140 on: January 14, 2021, 03:34:22 PM
Last BTC will be mined on May 7th, 2140

What else reason do you need to know that BTC is the future?

What else?? A lot of ... fixed supply is not the only factor of grow. There are a lot of coins that are already 100% minted (like BNB that in fact is deflationary starting from first day). 
2500  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Wrapped Bitcoin (WBTC ) No:1 In coinmarketcap website. | Glitch? on: January 14, 2021, 03:25:54 PM
There is no way that it is not a glitch. 600 000 times more WBTC than real BTC is not something that is possible to happen. Its back to normal now. It was just a circulating supply glitch.
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