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1761  Economy / Economics / Re: Preparing for the future. on: November 07, 2021, 10:00:44 AM
something that sound so dump now but with everything being done by AI in future there will be nothing serious for us humans to do.
Man, that was being said back in the 1950s about life in the 1980s.  Didn't happen.  There will always be a need for human input and work.  Always.


You are right but the need for human input and work is going down and down witch each year. Just putting here an agriculture as an example:

https://ourworldindata.org/employment-in-agriculture

In 1950 around 15-20% of people were employed in agriculture now its like 5-10%. In 2050 it will be 1-5%. Those poeple need to find other place to work and this is thanks to the invention of agricultural machinery and GPS. Same will happend most professions because of AI in next 30 years. Those people will stop working or work as a person who licks microfone for $5-7 million per year (amouranth  on thich).

1762  Local / Alternatywne kryptowaluty / Re: Sygnały techniczne buy/sell on: November 07, 2021, 09:47:26 AM
BNB właśnie wybił lokalny szczyt (przebił opór na 442$) jak również wybił/wybija (zleży jak dokladny palec) linię trendu spadkowego, która sięga poprzedniego ATH.
Targetem poprzedniej formacji (klina) było 500$ i jedyne co broniło BNB przed tym targetem wydaje się pękać. Targetem tej formacji wydają się poziomy 800$. Na razie kurs został zatrzymany na 450$ gdzie leżał duży baton, którego nie udało się zjeść na raz i odbity w dół. Przed zakupami bym się jeszcze wstrzymał, ale obserwować warto.

Target ba 500, opór - poprzedni szczyt został złamany po tygodniu walki a po kolejnym kolejnym zbliżamy się już do ATH. Dziś na kursie 666$



Dynamika ruchu ogromna. Warto obserwować co się stanie przy samym ATH. BNB jest już drogie, ale lauchpady/lauchpoole wciąż dają ~4% a ostatnio jest ich kilka w miesiącu. Średnio pewnie 60% APY dają. Przy obecnych zyskach rzędu 10 mld$ jakie generuje binance P/E daje nam 11 (średnia dla nasdaq to 30). Wygląda na to, że mimo tak wielkiej pompy BNB to dalej dobra inwestycha?
1763  Economy / Economics / Re: Preparing for the future. on: November 07, 2021, 09:36:56 AM
Someone once said (can't find quote):
"Your kid will most likely work in a job that is not yet invented".

Taking into consideration how fast technology and deep learning evolves i can tell you that most likely you will not pick now a well paid job in 20 years perspective. There might be no jobs like "Foreign Languages", "Trading", "Analyst" but instead the most paid jobs will be "friend for rent" or "pro gamer" or something as crazy as "artificial family" or "social interaction coach" something that sound so dump now but with everything being done by AI in future there will be nothing serious for us humans to do.

With like 10% of work beding done by humans and 90% by machines we will have some sort of salary for non-workers big enough to enable them leaving confortable life. Or even a non-money solution. So most likely you will commite sueside from being bored or no meaning in life rather than die from lack of money to leave. Am I making this out? Well ... not really - "you will own nothing and be happy" is what the elites are planning to achieve and are constantly discussed in the global economic forum. - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=de5sxxnKOac&ab_channel=GeorgeGammon
1764  Local / Alternatywne kryptowaluty / Re: Play to Earn on: November 07, 2021, 09:10:20 AM
To jest dla mnie zagadką nie do ogarnięcia. Czemu projekty latami rozwijają produkt (w tym wypadku gra karciana) a nie poświęcą kilku godzin na bridge BSC/ETH by potroić ilość potencjalnych inwestorów. Uniswap byl dobry w 2020. Teraz wszyscy siedzą na pancake i cieszą się prowizjami rzedu 1$ zamiast 50-200$. A BSC jest w pełni kompatybilny z ETH. Copy/paste z ETH na BSC i gotowe.Teraz nawet projekty spoza top 1000 CMC sa dostępne na kilku chainach ... a niektóre usilnie tkwią na samym ETH.
1765  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin Hedging Platforms and Strategy on: November 06, 2021, 05:35:49 PM
there are tax implications when selling bitcoin

I guess there are tax implications when trading Derivatives/options too.

appreciate any strategies in hedging and experiences thank you

Tell us more what you want to achive and we will think about solution. The simplest one ... perfect for unexperienced investors .... is stoploss on spot (i guess you will not avoid taxing transaction with options).
1766  Local / Alternatywne kryptowaluty / Re: Play to Earn on: November 06, 2021, 05:26:56 PM
Próbowałem grac w Mines of Dalarnia ale się nie ładuje ...  edit    -   załadowało się ....

To działa bardzo dobrze i w każdej przeglądarce w jakiej testowałem, ale na razie odpalony jest tylko testnet. Ładuje się wolno, ale ładuje. Ze strony głównej przenosi na https://testnet.minesofdalarnia.com/ Więc na razie nie ma co się napinać.

BTW ten projekt jest postawiony na Chromia (L2 dla ETH i BSC) ... od dnia listingu DAR na biannce DAR spadło o 70% a Chromia ... zrobiła 3x ... w tydzień.

ps 2 ktoś podał liczbe około 4 tokenów przy 56 tysiącach graczy (podobny tylu jest  graczy )

Czyli ~20$ za tydzień grania dobrze rozumiem. No to już bardziej realne sumy niż 5000$ dziennie Smiley
1767  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Solana made it to top 5 on: November 06, 2021, 04:26:14 PM
Solana's ability to complete a transaction in 400 milliseconds, solving the blockchain trilemma and the new Proof of History.

The TPS of Solana is higher than any of those coins.

Currently it's at rank #4 and on it's way to claim the #3 position.

So Solana claims to be fast. Is it enough to be in top 3?

BNB (current top3):
~60% ROI from lauchpads/lauchpools
-Chain with the biggest traffic - 10x ETH traffic (10M daily TX vs 1 M daily TX)
-reduce fee on biggest exchange
-deflationary (~5% supply down per year)
-3x undervalued comparing to NASDAQ average P/E (binance generates ~ 10B annual profit - P/E ~ 10)
-binance owns CMC
-binance labs is investing all around the crypto space. Most likely binance owns big bags of every promising project. Have so much money and resources that can buy/takeover any new tech that is promising.

Solana ... claims to be fast. But does it really matters that we have 50k TPS or 5k TPS? How much of this solana is using right now with current adoption? 10 TPS? 50 TPS? We will need 50 K TPS chain after 10 years. If ever.

I am just expressing my opinion about this coin.

In my opinion people prefer facts rather than opinions. So far you said its fast.
1768  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: Idena is the first Proof-of-Person Blockchain on: November 06, 2021, 04:04:59 PM
I believe that the mining reward should be increased. Idena's rate is very low. Mining income is unreasonably low and there is no incentive to continue it. Many people only go through validation without using mining.

Are you from FED? Smiley Print more money people will be happier ... Huh

This was already discussed here at least twice. If IDENA will increase mining rewards (more coins), than more coins will hit market each epoch crashing price. You will Mine more coins but they will be worth the same amount of $$. So increasing mining rewards will not work. We need to increase adoption, awareness and availability of idena tokens (more big legit exchanges). That way price will pump so mining rewards will.
1769  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Solana made it to top 5 on: November 05, 2021, 04:09:41 PM
I would not lie but I knew this was gonna happen. When Solana was at rank #15 I read its whitepaper and I found it very fascinating.

What was so fascinating in theirs whitepaper?

I knew that this coin has a very good potential and it will soon rise in marketcap and claim it's position in the top 5.

What potential it has that other coins does not? For example comparing to BSC, DOT, AVAX, EGOLD and many more?

It's at least better than many of the other coins

Why?

Although I think Solana would face a correction very soon and decline in price and marketcap, in the long term I still see it in the top #5.

Why?

You see? All i find in your posit is "i think" "i knew it will pump" "my bag is better than others" "it has big potential" "fascinating whitepaper" etc. The same phrases repeated by every bagholder.
1770  Economy / Speculation / Re: JP Morgan: bitcoin could hit $146,000 on: November 05, 2021, 03:55:25 PM
Sometimes I think that their predictions are all about increasing volatlity and recting new guys. When bitcoin fall they predict massive dump, when BTC start to go up they predict massive rally.

In fact I've never seen price hitting their target. Its always way too high or way too low.
1771  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: Idena is the first Proof-of-Person Blockchain on: November 05, 2021, 03:15:30 PM
I hate to be bearer of bad news, but unused invitation rewards do not exist for few months now.
You can always send invites to me in pm (or by registering on idena.site) and when some good candidate comes along, I will hand them out. I ask them for training certificate and give them suggestions on how to setup their pc.

Damn thats a bad news. And not bcause of the fact that I did not get few $$ last epochs. Its because it was in fact a good feature. Someone did not have anyone worth to invite ... he simply did not invite at all. Now he will give it to anyone, random telegram account, most likely bot, that is collecting all invitation available to try going random. I think it will lower average network node quality.
1772  Local / Alternatywne kryptowaluty / Re: Play to Earn on: November 05, 2021, 03:07:36 PM
Sorry za nieprecyzyjne sformułowanie obecna cena na OKEX jest 5 usd  a cena ICO 0.3 $  (około)  ( z 90 dniowym lockup em )

a oto sposób w jaki tokeny od użytkownikow będą wchodziły na rynek ( https://godsunchained.com/token/claim )

Konto twitter jest z 2018 a przy tego typu produkcjach czas trzech lat do wersji pre alfa pozwolił na uniknięcie pośpiechu i wstrzelenie się z hypem w okolice ATH



I jak udało ci się już zdumpować tokeny z gry? Wdzię, że cena trzyma się wciąż w okolicach 5$ ... to dobry znak - https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/gods-unchained

Te twoje 30 k Gods Token ma jakieś limity sprzedaży? To się robi 150k $! "Dziennie 1k/2k" daje 5-10k$
1773  Local / Alternatywne kryptowaluty / Re: gdzie rozdają kryptowaluty za darmo? on: November 05, 2021, 03:02:21 PM
3 nowe airdropy na coinmarketcap z cyklu learn and earn. Prosty quiz i kasa do kieszeni:
https://coinmarketcap.com/earn/

Perpetual Protocol (PERP)
odpowiedzi dla leniuszków:
https://www.reddit.com/r/CoinMarketCap/comments/qmsoc2/coinmarketcap_perpetual_protocol_learn_earn_quiz/

Mars Ecosystem (XMS)
odpowiedzi:
https://www.reddit.com/r/CryptoShareApp/comments/qietml/coinmarketcap_x_mars_ecosystem_learn_program_quiz/

oraz Aurox (URUS)
odpowiedzi:
https://www.publish0x.com/cryptocraic/coinmarketcap-earn-quiz-answers-for-aurox-xxygoll

1774  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: Idena is the first Proof-of-Person Blockchain on: November 05, 2021, 02:52:34 PM
I wasted my last invitation because I waited for the last minute to give it to the new account, I made sure it never happen again by giving it to my friend on the first day after the validation, now I'm hoping that he will pass the validation so I can get the 100% rewards, members should give the invitation as soon as you have one, to maximize your rewards.

I spend my first 40 epochs trying to max out invitation rewards. I was educating, reminding 1 day before validation, reminding 1h before validation ... even begging not to waste my invitation. Nothing helped me to exceed 20% success rate. Now I don't care. I'm not inviting anyone. I just grab unused invitation rewards. Especially now, when price is stable and network is not growing. When price will pump, mining reward will pump too, people will take care about mining more than now so they will care more about not wasting m invitations. Thats when I'll come back to send them.
1775  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: The reason why Crash Games usually crash at lower values on: November 04, 2021, 08:47:04 PM
Yes, I think it sounds right to me. What I am going to say is the math may guarantee for gambler will lose for the long term (the return is just 96% for all possible multipliers taken into account); however, if you bet the small multiplier always, since the probability of getting the crash multiplier less than your betted multiplier is smaller than 10% (if my math is correct), it will not increase the return above 100% but it will gain a bit advantage to players?

Player never have advantage over casino. If you plan to grab 1.05 once with more than 90% probability of success and than run away with your profit and thats where you find "advantage" you need to know that even now casino has advantage. Because out of 10 people who will test your strategy 1 will lose more than the other 9 will win. You may in the lucky 9 or in unlucky one guy. You never know, but risk/reward ratio is negative.

1776  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: The reason why Crash Games usually crash at lower values on: November 04, 2021, 08:46:11 AM
If I take multiplier=1.05, should I have P(X<=1.05) = 1/33 + 32/33*(0.01 + 0.99*(1-1/1.05)) = 8.57%, which is pretty low, it doesn't mean if I bet on 1.05x each time, only 8.57% of chance it crashes with multiplier less than 1.05? I am quite confused. If I win 1.05x, deduct the bet=1 I made, I still have 0.05 win, isn't it?

So 857 times out of 10 000 times it will crash below 1.05 (on average). So lets say that you are going to play 10 000 games putting 1$ in each game cashing out at 1.05. In this situation you will win 9143 times winning 9143*0.05 = 457.15$ and lose 857 times losing 857 * 1$ = 857$ ending up with 399.85$ net loss.

I'll check rest of your calculation in free time
1777  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: The reason why Crash Games usually crash at lower values on: November 03, 2021, 07:09:04 PM
ah, now I understand. Many thanks.

If a player decides to bet $1 at a time but chooses to cash out when it is 1.05x reaches and repeat this strategy thousands of times, will it benefit the player to have positive gain? Why not and how does the math forbid that to happen?

with 1.05x you need to bet and win 20 times to double your 1$. When you lose you lose your 1$. The problem with this strategy is that crash (and every casino game) is calculated in a way that casino has statistic advantage over you. So in this case you will lose once each 19 times (ON AVERAGE! You can have 100 wins strike but sooner or later your luck will end). So each time you will win 95 cents with this strategy, you will lose 1$ and be short 5 cents (ON AVERAGE!).

Usually you would have to avoid betting continuously since it would make your chances of winning go down and I heard a lot of players say how fixing the seeds again works for them, so therefore I usually use crash after resetting my seeds and not continually at the same time.

Each bet on provably fair casino is completly random. So no ... resetting seed, "avoid betting continuously", wearing talismans does not work.

Mathematics is always theoretically correct but an interesting point to analyze here.

"theoretically" Huh?
1778  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: The reason why Crash Games usually crash at lower values on: November 03, 2021, 03:43:12 PM
Thanks. But I think that example is valid when E=10, what I am confused about is the casino chose E=2^52, even I choose H=1000 or 1E8, the formula still gives me 1 instead.

Maybe because E=2^52 = 4 503 599 627 370 496 so H=1000 is close to 0, even 1E8 is close to 0 in this scale, because comparing to E=2^52 your pick - H=1E8 is 50 million times smaller. Use H=2^50 or something like this (or 2^52-1) to check if you calculate everything correct.
1779  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: The reason why Crash Games usually crash at lower values on: November 03, 2021, 03:31:44 PM
Besides, I saw someone said there is at least 50% of chance the multiplier is 2 or less. If I bet 1 dollar at a time, each time I cash out if saw the multiplier raised to 1.1x, will it give me more chance to win something small each time? If no,  why not?

No. There is always the same risk/reward ratio. There is no difference in strategy you pick. There is no diifference in multiplier you aim to hit. You always have ~90-98% from your bet back to your account from each bet, on average. This 2-10% is casino house edge. There is no way to outperform other, not even saying about outperforming casino. The only way to win is by having luck.


crash multiplier = (100 * e - h) / (e - h) / 100

no matter what h is, the crash multiplier is always ONE?

Its not 1. OP gave few examples. You had to make a mistake in the order of performing mathematical operations

Quote
PossibilitiesMultiplier
H=01
H=11.11
H=21.24
H=31.42
H=41.66
H=51.99
H=62.48
H=73.31
H=84.96
H=99.91

1780  Local / Polski / Re: Zadyma z bitomatami on: November 03, 2021, 07:59:44 AM
*1000 EUR

Zwykle przy tego typu limitach tyczy się to transakcji lub szeregu powiązanych transakcji, gdzie np. w przypadku 15k EUR niektóre firmy potrafiły zakładać, że wszystkie transakcje w danym okresie 12-miesięcznym są ze sobą powiązane. Flyingatom chyba nie ma (póki co?) kamer, więc może tylko będą patrzeć po adresie email lub nr tel w zależności co kto poda. Shitcoins nie wymaga jednego i drugiego, ale ma kamery i będą mieć większe pole do popisu.

Miałeś 100% racji. Zarówno co do 15k euro jak i faktu KYC gdy ktoś zasłania twarz. Ustawa weszła w zycie 4 dni temu i mamy już oficjalne wytyczne od shitcoins.club na ich stornie:

"W związku ze zmianą ustawy o przeciwdziałaniu praniu brudnych pieniędzy, z dniem 30.10 wdrażamy nowe limity.

Transakcje równe lub przewyższające 1 000 EUR wymagają zeskanowania w urządzeniu dokumentu tożsamości.

W przypadku kiedy ta sama osoba kupi lub sprzeda kryptowalutę jednego dnia w kilku transakcjach na kwotę w sumie równą lub wyższą 15 000 EUR to transakcje te interpretujemy jako powiązane i również w takim wypadku wymagamy zeskanowania dokumentu tożsamości.
W szczególnych przypadkach takich jak próby zasłaniania twarzy podczas transakcji zastrzegamy sobie prawo do zażądania zeskanowania dokumentu tożsamości również w przypadku mniejszych kwot."
https://shitcoins.club/



Flyingatom natomiast nie podaje informacji co do limitów na osobę. Podaje tylko limity na transakcję:

"Uwaga! Od 1 listopada przy transakcjach powyżej 1000EUR, przed odbiorem transakcji w bitomacie oraz przy odbiorze w biurze musisz dokonać weryfikacji tożsamości. Można dokonać tego w oddziałach FlyingAtom lub poprzez WhatsApp."
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