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41  Economy / Speculation / Re: Analysis on: December 23, 2017, 07:23:20 PM
I have a hard time seeing a 2 year long bear market, there would have to be terrible news. I guess a crash from 70k and an exchange closing might do, time will tell.

There won't be a 2 year bear market. There will be a 6 year bear market.

But before that there will be one final push far above 20k.

 Shocked   Why do you think that?


The length and intensity of a bear market depends on the preluding bull market and this bull market is already extreme and will most likely even get a little bit more extreme. Now we have reached the stage of mainstream and also Wallstreet to enter the market. Just think about all the friends and family constantly asking about Bitcoin or Cryptocurrencies.


Thanks for your answer.
I agree that maybe we have not yet seen the top, and that they have been crazy times, but I can not imagine a bear market of 6 years. This is because if we are somewhere in the bottom of the S-bend of adoption, I think we still have a long way to go.
A scenario like the one you describe, a bear market of ~ 6 years, seems to me more indicated in the case that btc loses its market dominance and network effect.

I apologize for the off topic.

We are near the top imo.

42  Economy / Speculation / Re: Analysis on: December 23, 2017, 07:21:17 PM
I have a hard time seeing a 2 year long bear market, there would have to be terrible news. I guess a crash from 70k and an exchange closing might do, time will tell.

There won't be a 2 year bear market. There will be a 6 year bear market.

But before that there will be one final push far above 20k.

LOL!!
Oh boy! Whatever drugs you use, stop it!  Cheesy
Corrections will happen.Even bear phases will happen.
But 6 years?? Hell no!
Stop writing bullshit pal!


I guess you will have to live and learn then little Padawan.  Grin
43  Economy / Speculation / Re: Analysis on: December 23, 2017, 06:38:49 PM
I have a hard time seeing a 2 year long bear market, there would have to be terrible news. I guess a crash from 70k and an exchange closing might do, time will tell.

There won't be a 2 year bear market. There will be a 6 year bear market.

But before that there will be one final push far above 20k.

 Shocked   Why do you think that?


The length and intensity of a bear market depends on the preluding bull market and this bull market is already extreme and will most likely even get a little bit more extreme. Now we have reached the stage of mainstream and also Wallstreet to enter the market. Just think about all the friends and family constantly asking about Bitcoin or Cryptocurrencies.



44  Economy / Speculation / Re: Analysis on: December 23, 2017, 06:14:47 PM
I have a hard time seeing a 2 year long bear market, there would have to be terrible news. I guess a crash from 70k and an exchange closing might do, time will tell.

There won't be a 2 year bear market. There will be a 6 year bear market.

But before that there will be one final push far above 20k.
45  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 22, 2017, 01:17:49 PM
Time to send in the Guard! (waterloo). I hope Ver/Wu are happy. Their shitcoin is taking a bigger hit than anything else. What did they expect to happen? Destroy bitcoin and bcash would rise up to take the crown. Destroy bitcoin and you destroy all

If a simple interview with CNBC can "destroy" Bitcoin then it was a failure from the start anyhow and should be seen as that.

The same is true if a simple hardfork can "destroy" Bitcoin. What kind of joke would that be "We have an open-soruce project here, it's fabulous. But as soon as someone forks and does is own version it destroys itself."

Lol, seriously.
46  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN][BOS] 🔹🔹 BOScoin 🔹🔹 Self-Evolving Cryptocurrency Platform🔹🔹 on: December 21, 2017, 11:06:53 PM

Hi,

i generated a Seed/Address and tried to login into my wallet just to check if everything works, but i am not able to login.

Is that to be expected?

The wallet is still empty.
47  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 21, 2017, 12:08:35 AM
Why am I getting ads with retarded looking, giant hook-nosed Jews telling me to buy bitcoin AT THE TOP?


Maybe because "jews" is the most searched term in your internet history.


Maybe because that person is actually not jewish but R0ach simply labels every person with a "giant hook-nose" as jewish.  Grin

48  Local / Altcoins (Deutsch) / Re: IOTA - Erste blockchainlose Kryptowährung designed für das Internet der Dinge on: December 12, 2017, 01:51:40 AM
bitte sagt mir einer was mit dieser Transaktion los ist

Hash: IPGVWRPQNBZYQKNOVGIFETROLDSCAESS9BCUYN9PXKAVKVLF9FKSHCHAXZDJXPDGLBGXUPZ9TAJPZ99 99

seit 6 tagen ? und ich soll wie lange noch warten ?
es muss mir doch irgendwie jemand aus dieser misseriere raus helfen können leute ich bitte euch..

bitte nimmt sich jemand die zeit und hilft mir bei meinem Problem.. ich bin echt am ende.. seit tagen nicht geschlafen..

:-(

würde es mal ruhen lassen und auf die neue IRI-version warten.

laut gerüchten soll das ja jetzt die nächsten tage passieren und dann geht deine TX auch wieder durch.
49  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: IOTA - the scheme is being pumped hard now don't fall for the trap on: December 06, 2017, 01:23:12 PM
Ah I see CFB - you are still not getting it.

Maybe because I still don't read long posts...

Isn't cryptohunter the scammer-cryptohunter?

Wow must be one of those legendary sock puppets that CFB said it didn't matter if he used to promote/pump iota with because bitcointalk was a dump and he will simply promote to those that did not know that had taken place outside of this board.

Are you asking a question? were you hoping for some tips on your next heist.... or you have some factual evidence to present that corroborates your false implication?

Present it now else retract your post. False scam accusations with no corroborating evidence/plausible case is cause for account closure.

I will accept even loosely corroborating evidence as me not reporting you for false accusation with no corroborating evidence or any real reason other than your love of the scheme iota.

I'll await your reply with eager anticipation.

Good to have an idea of the legend accounts involved....

Hmmm...looking at your trust-rating it seems so, but i am not entirely sure, it's already 18 months go. I remember Child Harold and another scammer, both (eventually even the same person) scammed 3-digits BTC at that time.

50  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: IOTA - the scheme is being pumped hard now don't fall for the trap on: December 05, 2017, 11:54:14 PM
Ah I see CFB - you are still not getting it.

Maybe because I still don't read long posts...

Isn't cryptohunter the scammer-cryptohunter?
51  Local / Altcoins (Deutsch) / Re: IOTA - Erste blockchainlose Kryptowährung designed für das Internet der Dinge on: November 30, 2017, 01:55:31 PM

Kannst du mir bitte erklären wo in Iota das MLM steckt?


Es wird nur im Direktvertrieb gehandelt! Klares Ponzi-Schema, da die letzten in der Pyramide die Coins nicht mehr loswerden. Spätestens wenn die Technik final kollabiert, ist es vorbei.

Und sag nicht, das wird irgendwann an einer Exchange gehandelt!!! Das ist ein leeres Versprechen und das weißt du!

Da hat wohl einer in Sachen IOTA vor einiger Zeit mal ziemlich falsch gelegen Tongue Wie teuer ware der coin letztes Jahr im September? Hat da jemand Info?

Zu der Zeit dürfte das Netzwerk stillgestanden haben aufgrund der Peer-Discovery-Geschichte. Kurz davor war 1BTC für 100 Gi üblich.
52  Local / Altcoins (Deutsch) / Re: IOTA - Erste blockchainlose Kryptowährung designed für das Internet der Dinge on: November 27, 2017, 02:00:14 PM
also, habe wieder mal ein problem mit dem iota wallet. 

und zwar habe ich die version 2.5.3 und wollt e heute das wallet wieder ienmal öffnen (zuletzt vor einer woche). nun dauert es ewig um mich einloggen zu können. einmal war ich drin, aber mein wallet war leer und ich probierte zu reattachen. nach über 5 minuten laden beim attachen, bin ich wieder ausgesteigen und habe erneut probiert mich anzumelden, nun warte ich schon wieder einige minuten und jedoch geht mein log in nicht durch.

hat da jemand eine vermutung, wo das problem liegen könnte??

aja, nodes hab ich natürlich mehrmals gewechslet, jedoch keine auswirkungen

Ist normal im moment. Du kannst natürlich auf 2.5.4 updaten aber das wird an "Connection refused" etc nix ändern.

53  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 26, 2017, 09:17:06 PM
Hi to all!

This is my first post to this forum. I have been following this thread for a couple of month and found the discussions to be the most informed I've come across by quite some way.

I have a very modest bitcoin holding. Just less and 1 BTC. So i can't speak about Lambo's or sea front houses on the California Coast. However i can speak with the hope that one day i will be able to pay off my mortgage early. So i hope that my modest investment will become a life changing one in the future.

Anyway, i thought i'd post this chart which i'm sure many of you have seen before but what i found interesting was the date this chart predicts that 1 BTC would be worth 10k USD. "22-11-17". I can only hope this chart plays out to 2024. Cos if it does then i can pay off my mortgage and still have enough left over to book a holiday to the California coast. Who knows! Might see one of you guys driving down Highway 1 in your Lambo.



Welcome! Who knows maybe 1BTC will be enough to pay your mortgage.
54  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 25, 2017, 10:46:56 PM
Remember?  

One moment of silence for Tarmi, Notlambchop and others who were our constant friends at that time.  Grin



Edit: I remember how happy everyone was once we finally moved from 220 -> 250$.

55  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 13, 2017, 11:02:50 PM
or did I miss something?

yes.
56  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 13, 2017, 10:30:33 PM


You don't buy BCH. That's silly.

It comes free just by holding your BTC.

Not for people who are buying BTC after the fork occurred, they get nothing for free. And the BCH cartel knows this. They know that in order for BCH to survive into the future, it's not enough to have existing holders. They must have new buyers, now and into the future. For decades. And someone's got to buy all the existing free BCH coins being traded for BTC.

Ain't gonna happen.

Ver still has an ungodly wad of coins sitting on Bitfinex, if the story is to be believed. This might not be over yet.

Satoshi and people like WinkleVii, Tim Draper, and Loaded have an ungodly amount of BCH ready to dump at any time. Checkmate?

You mean this Satoshi? -> https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=532.msg6306#msg6306
57  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 13, 2017, 10:27:45 PM
Bcash cost of production (difficulty) is now being slashed by 20% per block for the next 6 blocks. Expect miners to follow cost of production slavishly. Forking guys have no idea what they have unleashed ... it will become apparent soon now.

Yes, the existence of BCH will destabilize BCT mining.  

Everyone knows that at equilibrium, if BCH has 1/10th the value of BTC, that the hash power mining BCH will be 1/10th that mining BTC.  

What is less obvious what happens when the system is not in equilibrium. Imagine that the market reprices BCH 100% higher and BTC 10% lower.  What is the expected distribution of hash power now assuming short-term profit-maximizing miners?  

The answer is "most of it will be mining BCH." Because the difficulty adjusts only very slowly (every 2016 blocks) BCH becomes twice as profitable to mine as BTC.  Hash-per-hash miners would earn double by mining BCH.  This continues until the difficulty reset comes when BCH would go "limit up" (4X), when most miners would leave BCH back for BTC.  BCH's difficulty would slowly ratchet back down due to its fast difficulty adjustment and the process would later repeat.  

What this suggest is that at times when BCH is more profitable to mine and the hash rate migrates to BCH, the average block time for BTC will increase significantly and BTC's already slow and expensive transactions will become much more so.  


What do you know, Marcus, it worked.


It will work until there is someone willing to spend their BTC and pay miners to mine BCH. When they run out of BTC that's the end of the road for the BCH circus.


Ah i remember, just like you predicted ETH to fail when it was going for 1$.   Grin
58  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN][BOS] 🔹🔹 BOScoin 🔹🔹 Self-Evolving Cryptocurrency Platform🔹🔹 on: November 13, 2017, 05:24:28 PM

If user to user transfers are possible, why not start an OTC buy/sell-thread?
59  Local / Trading und Spekulation / Re: Der Aktuelle Kursverlauf on: November 13, 2017, 01:29:16 PM
Habe übrigens gerade versucht mit <setzte hier Altcoin ein> nen Kaffee zu bezahlen. Hat nicht geklappt  Grin

Mit IOTA hätte die Kaffemaschine ihn selbst bezahlt  Cheesy

Mit IOTA wäre die Kaffeemaschine jetzt noch dran mit reattachen.  Grin
60  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 12, 2017, 11:10:01 PM
We can't let them win even once, because that's all it takes. They don't care about logic or morals or any of that stuff. The only way to dislodge them after they take over is through physical violence.

Am i interpreting this correctly that in case that BCH becomes the dominating chain you are here publicly advocating physical violence against BCH-proponents?
I'm saying that the coming global financial collapse will be worse without a version of bitcoin true to Satoshis spirit than with it. Our actions here could literally save lives, maybe a lot of them. But it requires action, and the willingness to accept reality as it is in order to take said action.

Ok, i see a point to that.

Obv it's still to be determined what IS the true vision of Satoshi and which version of Bitcoin follows this vision more closely, but that's another topic.
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