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4261  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 28, 2017, 02:34:41 AM
This sideways movement has low volume, but for now there's good support/buy pressure. It feels like a very controlled series of swings. I placed a couple of conservative buy orders just under the recent lows. That was yesterday and none of them has been filled yet - even partially. Ready to BTFD if a significant dip indeed comes.

EDIT: I talked too early. It's going down fast, but it's still above my buy orders.

4262  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 26, 2017, 11:45:17 PM
The only parties who will necessarily know all of the intermediate channel states are you and your counter party.  Yes, you can contract a third-party to monitor the blockchain for you (like I said), but you cannot expect good-Samaritan-type nodes to do this autonomously -- they won't even have the required information.  
You can contract several such third-parties with a "Reward after the bust, first one to catch the thief gets the money" kind of agreement. The fraction of channel value rewarded to the thief hunter would be such to grant maximum attention while leaving a significant profit to the "victim". Talk about opportunities.

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On your second point, I never said the deterrent against fraud in LN was insufficient.  I'm just pointing out that because the channels are all "live" they constantly need monitoring to guard against fraud.  
Fair enough. I don't see this as a negative thing, though. Not implying you do, either.
4263  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 26, 2017, 11:40:29 PM
You are the one who asserted cartelization. Who exactly does this posited cartel consist of?
And you replied BTC is as cartelized as BCH (which I don't think is a correct statement).
Cartel consisting of plainly visible J.Wu and R.Ver, plus some likely big shots of the PBOC/Chinese Party/Government who (will) use then (especially Wu) as a sock puppet as soon as the need arises.

This is a consistent Core talking point. Yet nobody ever bothers to explain how such a cartel was created, is structured, and is managed. Well, some make easily debunked assertions. Will you be the first to elucidate? Or will you drop this inane assertion?

The simple risk it might be so is too much for me. I like it the way it is now, with LN on top. I had a big block of ice fall on my head when I was a child, you know. To each his own (childhood traumas included).
4264  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 26, 2017, 11:30:47 PM
Does the blockchain still have a purpose with LN on ? Educate me !

Yes, it serves two purposes:

1.  If one of your counter parties attempts to settle an old channel state on the blockchain (e.g., a channel state where you held fewer coins), you or your LN-bank acting on your behalf,

Or anyone else, acually.

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must push the up-to-date channel state to avoid being defrauded.  This also means your funds in the LN channels are always "live."

The would-be fraudsters would pay with their whole channel stake. If this isn't a good enough deterrent...
4265  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 26, 2017, 11:28:15 PM
You are the one who asserted cartelization. Who exactly does this posited cartel consist of?
And you replied BTC is as cartelized as BCH (which I don't think is a correct statement).
Cartel consisting of plainly visible J.Wu and R.Ver, plus some likely big shots of the PBOC/Chinese Party/Government who (will) use then (especially Wu) as a sock puppet as soon as the need arises.

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The mess they made with the EDA? The EDA served its declared purpose perfectly. It ensured the validity of the BCH chain in its infancy.

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If it weren't for some of the Core developers, I imagine they would still be there trying to figure out "why the hell doesn't it work, hurr durr?"

What value did the core developers add here?
I understand they helped fix a couple bugs in the code with public suggestions. Why would they? Probably just to ridicule the reckless coding that was going on.


Again, the set of miners for BCH is identical to the set of miners for BTC. Which renders irrelevant the following bit:
The potential set is.

Miners have exactly as much control in Bitcoin Cash as they do in Bitcoin Segwit.
They might have a little more control in Bitcoin than in Bcash, because they don't have Sauron with the master ring above them.


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Censorship can happen. Moderate (or unreasonable!) inflation can be programmed as a "fair reward" for miners (most likely friends of the Party), who would become something like a miniature Central Bank, with similar privileges and arbitrary power.
I would suggest you are ignoring fundamental dynamics of nakamoto consensus. The miners are held in check by the threat of the users abandoning the chain they create.
They seem to be abandoning Bcash. As long as there's the original chain to rely on, we're good.


Yeah. We've already discussed these very points, have we not? Why you continue to ignore my replies is beyond my ken.
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Not ignoring, but I feel stuck in a loop and it's bad for my health!  Tongue

Well, that I can understand. I realize that my viewpoints are not share by the majority here on BCT.org. And I am fine with us having a disagreement on the desired direction forward. What I am not OK with is mischaracterization. One example thereof: "The "more reason" I was (and am) asking of you is an effective, documented rebuttal of my points or some subjective reason that goes beyond "I like big big big! Blocks big, me happy!"" Obviously, my replies to you have been more than "I like big big big"..., and for you to characterize it as such is not only uncharitable, it is either lazy or dishonest. Frankly, while I expect that from some here, I did not expect it from you.
Right. You arguments are generally much better than "big big big!". The problem with you is you mix fact and opinion/construction in a clever way, and separating chaff from grain is hard work. So I was just trying to have some fun explaining why I find there's a point beyond which it's not worthwhile to extend the discussion. Some people are pissed off by lengthy debates that run in circles.

You must admit, however, than the childhood trauma gag ("bitten by a small block") was quite funny  Tongue
4266  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 26, 2017, 10:24:27 PM
I'm really trying to stay apolitical, but I'm at a total loss with jbreher. It's like that guy in Florida that insisted on eating his own face. I just can't even.

Some valid points and concerns but boy are they glued to the wrong horse.
That's the way I see it too - and the reason why sometimes I do bother to write a detailed, articulated, civil reply. But still the exact mechanism of picking the wrong horse escapes me. It must be pretty dark in that barn.
4267  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 26, 2017, 10:17:17 PM

I like jbreher's posts. Without his posts we would have nothing but BTC cheerleaders here.

That’s like saying I love the big fat hairy guy in the corner of the strip club. If it wasn’t for him there would be just amazing tits and ass.



You know nothing about life dude. Life is a matter of contrasts. Beauty doesn't exist without ugly. Smart doesn't exist without stupid. World would be the most boring place if everybody would be or think the same. Be glad for the hairy guy Smiley
OK, you take the hairy guy then. I'll go for dumb, boring prime T&A.
4268  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 26, 2017, 10:10:58 PM
- BCH doesn't fix transaction malleabilty,
Transaction malleability is not a problem in practice. Any of its effects are easily mitigated.

FWIW, though, the majority opinion within the Bitcoin Cash community is that we will implement a malleability fix. When higher priority issues are in the rearview.
ruling out L2 solutions
No. While it is true that eliminating malleability simplifies known L2 solutions, in no way prevents them.
Preventing them to the point of making them too hard to implement reliably - at least, as of now. If the emergency situation grants hurrying to hardfork a blocksize change, why not fix transaction malleability first?


which are the scaling solution in the medium (possibly long) term.
Perhaps. Though I point out that any transaction on any known L2 is by definition not a Bitcoin transaction. Accordingly, less interesting.

Any L2 solution proven in practice -- including being free of negative side effects -- is likely to be picked up by the Bitcoin Cash chain.
Less interesting, but isn't the point about functionality rather than academic interest?

- BCH is controlled by a cartel.
No more so than Bitcoin Segwit. Less so in fact. Six independent leading implementations of non-mining, fully validating wallets (often mis referred to as 'nodes') as opposed to Bitcoin Segwit's Core implementation's market dominance.
Offhand innuendo, pff. The attitude behind this reply is one of the reasons I got tired of replying.  I am referring to the number of active developers (not just the ones with commit rights!). The fact that one client is more popular on the main bitcoin fork doesn't mean it's controlled by a cartel. Open source development and free client choice produced this result.

Their coders are clueless.
Again, simply false.
To me, the mess they made with the fork and the EDA is the mark of incompetence. If it weren't for some of the Core developers, I imagine they would still be there trying to figure out "why the hell doesn't it work, hurr durr?"

The cartel is likely under the heavy hand of PBOC.
Again, no more so than Bitcoin Segwit. The miner population is identical between the two chains.
Another prime example of offhand innuendo in my probably biased opinion - and, most importantly, factually incorrect for all I know. Nearly all miners for BCH are in China. Jihan is a Chinese citizen who no doubt is scared shitless of the Gubment and its appendices (like PBOC). Jihan can shut off the whole merry-go-round at the touch of a button - by just restraining his support (like "miner hardware shall only be paid in BCH from now on") or by whispering a few nice words to select clients (big miners). All it takes is the Party to make him an offer he can't refuse.


to gain control.
What exactly do you mean by this?
I mean taking control of Bitcoin by replacing it with Bcash. By doing so, developers would be under Jihan's, Ver's (and PBOC's) thumb. Censorship can happen. Moderate (or unreasonable!) inflation can be programmed as a "fair reward" for miners (most likely friends of the Party), who would become something like a miniature Central Bank, with similar privileges and arbitrary power. Anything can be perpetrated easily, if full nodes become so few as to be irrelevant.

- Big blocks will stifle adoption.
If you believe that the measure of adoption is number of non-mining, fully-validating wallets, then you may have a point. However, it has been demonstrated to my satisfaction that non-mining, fully-validating wallets have fuck-all to do with network health.
It hasn't been demonstrated to my satisfaction, though. Some things show their value only when they are sorely missed. Full nodes are one of these things IMO.


Further, I believe it likely that massive adoption will lead to huge numbers of nodes - naturally. Every common consumer has little reason to run such a non-mining, fully-validating wallet.
Depends how much they're holding, and how much they care about rules that preserve the system their wealth depends upon.

You know who does? Merchants who have a need to verify that their purchasers are actually broadcasting valid transactions for the goods and services they are purchasing.
Right, they do too.

Yes, that's the old "Raspberry pi in rural Afghanistan" argument. Even I, not in rural Afghanistan, would stop my own homespun node (not a pi though) if pressed by bandwidth and storage limits.
Testing has demonstrated that an average 'home computer' on an average 'domestic broadband' connection can handle up to 100 tx/s with no architectural changes to the satoshi client, and 500 tx/s merely by fixing that client's broken threading implementation.
My bandwidth can't. Even in "civilized" nations, some areas can't devote all that bandwidth to a single household - if such significant bandwidth is there in the first place.


"Be your own bank" implies the ability to run your own full verifying node.
Well, no. It most certainly does not. At least I can't see any prerequisite there. How do you figure?
See the point above, before "merchants".


- More adoption will come when we have a scalable system. Big blocks aren't scalable.
Big blocks -- by definition -- are scalable.
The number of bytes per se is scalable, of course. It's the resulting solution that doesn't scale well.


Yeah. We've already discussed these very points, have we not? Why you continue to ignore my replies is beyond my ken.
Not ignoring, but I feel stuck in a loop and it's bad for my health!  Tongue
4269  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 26, 2017, 08:35:14 PM
Gigantic OT, apologies in advance.

I saw a billboard sign outside a hospital recently that said they were researching why instrumental musicians recover from strokes appreciably faster than average.

Instrumental musicians? I sense a tautology.
(For the unaware: it's an inside joke about singers  Wink)
4270  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 26, 2017, 07:11:06 PM
Music also helps to keep us young. See the incredible age managed by famous conductors, often still in full activity.

Is it enough to listen to music?
Not sure, but I'm afraid not. I suspect it's the brain activity involved in making music that makes the magic happen.

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I'm so tone deaf that I was excused from (some) music classes in high school.
Btw was this song ever a international hit? or was it just in Sweden? Always wondered. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QdxCJaPLLE0
I don't think I've heard it before. Certainly nothing big like Abba or Europe.
4271  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 26, 2017, 06:59:06 PM
I have always presumed jbreher is probably at least in the 4 digits BTC, maybe even in the (low) 5's.... Which is why I have always tried to understand why he decided to go the "wrong way" (Jihan/Ver) with so much at stake Smiley

I haven't worked out estimates of jbreher's (or anyone else's) stash, but the man strikes me as a rational thinker with much at stake since a long time. So I also tried to understand the reasons for his choice, and I asked him explicitly. Unfortunately, his explanations with regard to bigblockery/Verism etc. always came short. Disappointing underperformance for a good poster, accurate checker of facts, numerical literate such as he is.

What more reason do you need other than the fact that the current blocksize limitation is destroying the user experience thereby constraining adoption?
You seem to like BCH a lot, which IMO is not a rational strategy. This dissonance is unresolved as yet. A few reasons:

- BCH doesn't fix transaction malleabilty, ruling out L2 solutions which are the scaling solution in the medium (possibly long) term.

- BCH is controlled by a cartel. Their coders are clueless. The cartel is likely under the heavy hand of PBOC. They use guerrilla tactics (esp. transaction spam) to gain control.

- Big blocks will stifle adoption. Yes, that's the old "Raspberry pi in rural Afghanistan" argument. Even I, not in rural Afghanistan, would stop my own homespun node (not a pi though) if pressed by bandwidth and storage limits. "Be your own bank" implies the ability to run your own full verifying node.

- More adoption will come when we have a scalable system. Big blocks aren't scalable.

You know all these things already. You are too intelligent not to see the logical implications. So, my fuzzy inference is: you have other reasons. Not saying you are necessarily a paid shill, although it can't be ruled out. The "more reason" I was (and am) asking of you is an effective, documented rebuttal of my points or some subjective reason that goes beyond "I like big big big! Blocks big, me happy!" Something like "I was bitten by a small block when I was a child, try to understand my shock" would be a little better, but as you understand, still not quite satisfactory.
4272  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 26, 2017, 06:37:42 PM
I can't get angry with old Jimbo.  He's had a tough life.

Tough life? Hardly.

Job-free since 1976, spent most of my adult life partying, debt-free for over 20 years, enjoying relatively good health because of stress avoidance, lots of good friends and thousands of acquaintances (many who are considerably younger than me), and now a nice fat retirement fund thanks to Bitcoin.

I can't complain.
Music also helps to keep us young. See the incredible age managed by famous conductors, often still in full activity.
4273  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 26, 2017, 06:05:32 PM
I use Opera and I'm quite happy with it.

I haven't used Opera since the days of Win95 but I liked it back then.
I've kept on using the original Opera well into my Windows XP years. It used to be the best browser under all aspects. Fast, secure, customizable, dependable, obedient to the user (not to the website).
Unfortunately, they weren't able to maintain their Presto engine anymore, so they switched to Chromium, and now Opera is only a Chrome clone with a difference. I'm still using it on the sites where it works, but most of my browsing is on Firefox these days.

4274  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 26, 2017, 05:47:02 PM
I would also like to bump my questions posted some 10 hours ago or something.

If you GPU mine, does it matter if your computer is connected to your browser via wifi or cable?

And does anyone know anything about the OS called PureOS. Are there any issues with that OS that you know of?
I'd say a cable can't hurt. It really depends on the bandwidth required. Not sure GPU mining can actually manage without a solid ethernet cable. A full (non mining) bitcoin node would at least choke a bit on wifi.
For authoritative answers, you'd better wait for one of our miners to chime in.
4275  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 26, 2017, 03:12:45 PM
time to get out
You mean you get out of here?  Tongue
J/k, we need some contrary voices sometimes.
Keyword: SOMETIMES!  Grin
4276  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 26, 2017, 02:40:50 PM
And - sorry for repeated posting, but I'm getting a bit excited - is there any new gospel from masterluc? Was the last dip "it"?
4277  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 26, 2017, 02:38:43 PM
$50k by March 2018 anyone?
McAfee is safe  Cool










Not at all impossible. Now could be a nice time to long some of them futures if one had balls and access to the platform. Or better yet last week, with a slightly larger dose of balls.
4278  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 26, 2017, 02:33:41 PM
Thanks for cheering up, fabiorem and conspirosphere! My favorite indicators (RSI/Stoch RSI) are still all in neutral (around 0), that's why I asked  Grin

EDIT: on the 12h chart, I mean.
4279  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 26, 2017, 02:16:58 PM
Going up nicely. Small bulltrap or real lift?
4280  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 25, 2017, 11:21:42 PM
The core team, unlike the tree or two people calling the shots for bcash, are hundreds of developers working for *free* vs just a handful. You speak in total disrespect of opensource as such...

Thats where you're wrong kiddo. Look at the github and filter those developers which did more than 1 commit and did not just changed a typo...you're left with basically 5-10 persons
And you, try and take a look at the other github.
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