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721  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Would this Lead to the Mass Adoption of Bitcoin? on: November 06, 2022, 02:22:15 AM
I'd agree with most that there's no way Twitter accepting Bitcoin payments would itself lead to mass adoption, but I wouldn't undermine it's effect either. Recall that Doge surged 35% when the Twitter deal with Musk finalized: https://www.cnbc.com/2022/10/27/dogecoin-surges-40percent-as-elon-musks-twitter-deal-approaches-close.html

I'm aware that Doge is nothing more than a joke of a cryptocurrency that took off -- my point is that there'd be a positive effect if Twitter were to begin accepting Bitcoin that's larger than people might realize. I wouldn't expect a wave of adoption or some monumental shift in the price, but at the least a move in the right direction.
722  Other / Archival / Re: Most investors think regulation is a good thing on: November 05, 2022, 11:38:29 PM
I don't think there's much any regulation would do except to limit the crypto industry. You need to understand that when the government introduces regulation under the guise of consumer safety, they won't merely approach the matter with a light hand -- you give even the slightest leeway, the government will be more than happy to take that opportunity to create industry gutting regulations.

Most regulations that are being introduced aren't doing anything for consumer protections regardless. They're just looking to limit crypto's growth because it exploded over the last couple of years. Combine this fact with the inflation rate of most currencies being near double digits, if not surpassing double digits, the government institutions will look to protect their own interest, and that includes regulating crypto into the dirt to scare away investors and ordinary consumers. Don't fall for their tricks, regulation is NOT a good thing.
723  Economy / Economics / Re: German gas giant has lost 93% of its value or 14.1 billion euros this year on: November 05, 2022, 10:36:59 PM
Uniper (UN01.DE) reported a record 40 billion euro ($39.3 billion) net loss in the first nine months of this year, the biggest in German corporate history, after Russia stopped its supplies.
Since the start of the year shares in Uniper have lost 93% of their value, giving it a current market value of 1.1 billion euros, down from 15.2 billion euros on Jan. 3.


During the 2008 economic crisis, there were bank stocks which had declined more than 93% in value down to $0.03.

Which a few weeks later were worth $3.00 after the bank bailout bill (TARP) had been announced.

Imagine a stock appreciating from $0.03 to $3.00 within the span of a few weeks for a cool 100x gain.

People ask how recession and economic crisis can be profitable. Price volatility of assets tends to shift massively during crisis and recession.

Assets that were once deemed "stable" fluctuate wildly. Which might contribute to potential gains (and losses in unfortunate cases).

Did anyone notice that the stock market is experiencing considerably more volatility than bitcoin is atm.

Where are "bitcoin is too volatile" critics now? Strangely silent aren't they. I doubt they care if stocks have more volatility than bitcoin in 2022. But if they did care, they might find it remarkable.

It wasn't just the banking institutions that the government bailed out, they were happy to bail out other industries too. I understand why the federal government would want to keep the banking institutions from collapsing. After all, it's the government that aimed at creating more home owners in the first place which ended up incentivizing the creation of sub prime mortgages. In any event, with how incestuous the relationship is between the government and banking institutions, their bail out was a given.

I'm generally not in favor of using tax payer money for the government to pick which industries are worthy of saving. Jobs are at risk when these companies collapse, but it seems to me a recovery is quicker when the businesses that can't responsibly manage themselves are taken out of the market for newer businesses to form.
724  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Sharm El-Sheikh Climate Conference 2022 on: November 05, 2022, 07:13:41 PM
These climate conferences never end up successful because it's just another form of global wealth distribution under the guise of climate change action. Take larger and developed countries and force them to sacrifice their cheap energy production while developing countries are allowed to use cheaper energy forms for development of their own country. Even if the carbon emission reduction goals are met, there aren't any guarantees that there'd be a reduction in global temperatures anyways. And of course, that's making the stipulation that these countries meet their reduction goals. No penalties are ever instituted for agreement violations.

China won't be at the table, they're the world's largest polluters. They just laugh at the rest of the world while they continue to strengthen their economy.
725  Economy / Economics / Re: Elon Musk Becomes Owner Of Twitter, Immediately Fires CEO And CFO on: November 04, 2022, 10:34:20 PM
It is so sad that people started to use "freedom of speech" as a way of saying things that would be hurtful to others and consider it a freedom of speech. Just because you are free to say it, doesn't mean you should, there are nasty things that you could say to people that would not be acceptable in society, but allowed on twitter which is a weird dilemma.

If a famous celebrity came out and said "women are only good in kitchen, they shouldn't be acting, cook food and have sex with, that's all women are good for" then all of Hollywood would banish that actor and nobody would hire them ever again right? That's a wrong sentence that shouldn't be said right? Well on twitter you are "free" to say it, that's the problem, just because you are free to say it, doesn't mean it's an okay sentence to be tweeted.

Free speech was never meant to protect speech that people already agreed with. Free speech is intended to protect speech that is unpopular. There wouldn't be any need of free speech if you said things that were universally accepted as being true or popular. Protecting speech is really something the government should be doing anyways, not a private platform like twitter. Elon made the argument, which I agree with, that Twitter acts as the public town square where ideas and conversations occur in a digital world -- restriction from these conversations is akin to being denied the entitlement to free speech. You're more than welcome to say things that are hurtful or unpopular, you nor anyone else is required to listen.

And by the way, you're able to maintain decorum my just muting or blocking any account you're not inclined to listen to.

10 years ago I'd agree that hate speech shouldn't be included in free speech on private platforms. The idea of hate speech has transformed into "speech I disagree with" unfortunately.
726  Economy / Economics / Re: TSMC says efforts to rebuild US semiconductor industry are doomed to fail on: November 04, 2022, 09:04:37 PM
My question is this....

~ Will Silicon valley be able to catch up with the technological advances that was made by China over all these years?
~ Can they manufacture these chips at the same cost that China are doing, because China are almost 100% mechanized?
~ What hardware patents are there on the existing technology, that are owned by China ...and will they allow the US to infringe on that.

This is going to be a long process, with a lot of political struggles to implement this. China will not take this sitting down.. they will sabotage all efforts to get this off the ground, because they want to retain that leverage and monopoly that they have over chip manufacturing.  Roll Eyes

The chinese chips are terrible compared to TSMC chips. If there was patent infringement, it's not like it matters. There is no global patent police that has jurisdiction.

It takes years and billions of dollars to build these factories. The U.S. tech sector could eventually catch up if they're inclined to do so, with impending Chinese invasion of Taiwan awaiting. TSMC obviously doesn't want the U.S. to become independent on their chip production because it would lessen the reliance U.S. companies have on them. If the U.S. does not have a reliance on Taiwan, there is no incentive for the U.S. to protect them from invasion.
727  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Iran may attack Saudi Arabia? on: November 04, 2022, 06:06:30 PM
It's interesting that Iran needs to scapegoat Saudi Arabia for the regime protests happening in Iran. They're alleging that Sauid Arabia are involved in some nefarious way and they're plotting an attack as retribution.

Iranians finally having enough of the Islamic and theocratic fascism so they revolt against the police and the government. Iranian women taking off the hijabs and throwing it in the dirt. They've had enough. The regime won't tolerate it.
728  Economy / Economics / Re: Is long-term employee retention a losing battle? on: November 03, 2022, 11:00:48 PM
By caring, they're going to have to start paying employees more. I haven't dug down into the reasoning of employees leaving, but I can only assume it's compensation related. Wages aren't keeping up with inflation in most countries so it would make sense why people would leave their job for more lucrative opportunities. Companies will either churn through employees or be forced to pay a wage that's competitive.

I've known companies lose good employees because they won't offer decent pay rises, some office and hybrid jobs don't offer higher pay either to cover the travel expenses - so why wouldn't you work from home if you could? (a 40 minute journey is over £150 in fuel a month - assuming 40 mpg).

That's a good point. Inflation being one metric, the fuel costs associated with commute (along with rising fuel costs) probably play a huge role too. Many companies are asking workers to return back to the office, I didn't consider that.
729  Economy / Economics / Re: Biden Administration Wants To Make It Easier To Seize Crypto on: November 03, 2022, 10:17:57 PM
Well, in all honesty, i personally do not see anything wrong with this as long they are not seizing crypto from innocent people but criminals and scammers that's been reported to them by the public or whoever and they find the reported person(s) guilty as charged.
It can only become a problem for the ordinary person out there if the future, they ban the use of crypto and are asked to seize crypto from individuals caught transacting on crypto, at this time, we all will know its now a war against crypto itself and no longer a war against criminal elements that uses crypto as a way to avoid being traced.

Does anyone have a good crypto wallet they would like to recommend under these circumstances?
What other wallet is more secure than hardware wallets? except there is a dark web wallet that is more secure and highly untraceable that its addresses, wallet balances and transactions can't be found or viewed on the blockchain explorer, i highly doubt there's a wallet of this capability any where yet.

The problem of civil forfeiture is that it is within itself a civil matter, not a criminal matter. Meaning, the owner of the seized property does not need to be criminally convicted for the property to be seized or sold by authorities.

I wouldn't have a problem if it was guilty people that had their assets seized, this happens all the time with preexisting law in most jurisdictions. A drug dealer gets caught, assets seized, drug dealer gets criminally convicted and they're sent off to prison without retaining any of their illegally obtained assets.

I don't trust the government to apply their arbitrary evidence threshold that's required to seize assets. If you want to dispute them, then you're on the hook for some absurd amount of legal fees for the crime of wanting to get back property that was taken by the government without just criminal cause.
730  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: What will happen to crypto exchanges in the future? on: November 03, 2022, 08:52:53 PM
I consider myself to be a capitalism absolutist within the context of currencies, whether it be fiat or crypto -- I think exchanges have their place. It's my hope that people don't rely on them or need them, but I'm not an advocate of forcing other crypto currencies to cease operations through anything other than consumer choice and market forces. So unless some governmental agency comes in and stops them (I don't see fiat phasing out entirely any time soon either) it's entirely probable that exchanges will exist and continue to operate as they have been.

With how the fees are, one could anticipate more P2P currency exchanges rather than going through an intermediary once crypto becomes more popular than it already is. That might reduce people's dependency on them.
731  Other / Politics & Society / Re: The Bad Effect of Covid 19 Vaccine (It Kills): Bitcointalk women avoid it on: November 03, 2022, 03:21:18 PM
The only relation between COVID-19 vaccination and adverse effects directly to women are menstrual cycle issues: https://www.nih.gov/news-events/news-releases/study-confirms-link-between-covid-19-vaccination-temporary-increase-menstrual-cycle-length

Funny enough, I remember at the end of last year there was clear data that women were having menstrual issues that were just being written off as conspiracy theories. It took the NIH long enough to recognize there were adverse effects between the vaccine and menstrual cycle that were not immediately clear. I think the LNP's were theorized to be the culprit, I'm not sure.

I haven't seen any causal associations between the vaccine and death, let alone the death of pregnant women.
why are people still taking the covid-19 vaccine? In my country nobody taked that anymore. I don't think that there is reason for taking the vaccine, are we expecting another version of the disease? I have been watching international news from my television and I have not heard of any covid related diseases anymore. The covid days are gone let everyone return to their normal style of living. Although I don't know the situation in your own country.

I don't disagree. It baffles me that people are still taking COVID vaccines despite the evidence that you still get COVID anyways, and some evidence that vaccinated people can get infected at elevated rates due to antibody dependent enhancement. I'll repost this article on ADE that describes it - https://www.nature.com/articles/s42003-022-03207-0

Given that we're more than two years out, nearly everybody has already gotten the disease, to which point natural immunity will do its job. Taking the vax + having natural immunity is pointless - no upside, just potential adverse effects from the vaccine. There are still the "Covidiots" that choose to take a booster every 6 months and continue masking -- it's best that these people just self isolate for the rest of their lives if they're going to take that much precaution. Consider it to be a branch of nosophobia.
732  Economy / Economics / Re: Is recession coming actually? on: November 02, 2022, 08:04:02 PM
Recession's probably already here. Companies are anticipating a recession and modifying their business operations as such. Q3 GDP reports for the U.S. showed unexpected growth but I expect it's an anomaly as two previous quarters were negative GDP growth. If the U.S. economy is struggling, and Europe is battling with high energy prices, it spells trouble.

Also consider the U.S. federal reserve has announced yet another interest rate hike, 0.75% increase: https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/2022/11/02/fed-interest-rate-hike-live-updates/10561495002/

It seemed that their strategy was to ease the gas on the money printing, incrementally increasing interest rates and hoping the inflation rate for USD would come down. Obviously, they recognize recession is unavoidable so they're aggressively hiking up the interest rates with the acceptance that GDP will slow down into a recession.

If the U.S. economy is in recession, the global economy is in recession.
733  Economy / Economics / Re: CBDCs are like a digital prison but Bitcoin is the key on: November 02, 2022, 04:39:34 PM
CBDC's were just meant to "officially" digitalized currency that hasn't had any new innovations since conception. I use innovation loosely, of course, because CBDC's are to the detriment of the consumer. Most banking is done online anyways so it's not as if the government needs to digitalize the currency in the first place. They already have the central and private banks within grip.

I speculate the reason is merely to allow even greater control over money supply than they already have -- essentially being able to generate tokens or deduct them from a person's holdings without having to jump through any hoops.
734  Other / Politics & Society / Re: The Bad Effect of Covid 19 Vaccine (It Kills): Bitcointalk women avoid it on: November 02, 2022, 02:48:42 PM
The only relation between COVID-19 vaccination and adverse effects directly to women are menstrual cycle issues: https://www.nih.gov/news-events/news-releases/study-confirms-link-between-covid-19-vaccination-temporary-increase-menstrual-cycle-length

Funny enough, I remember at the end of last year there was clear data that women were having menstrual issues that were just being written off as conspiracy theories. It took the NIH long enough to recognize there were adverse effects between the vaccine and menstrual cycle that were not immediately clear. I think the LNP's were theorized to be the culprit, I'm not sure.

I haven't seen any causal associations between the vaccine and death, let alone the death of pregnant women.
735  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Elon Buys Twitter - Project X (BlueSky / AT Protocol) on: October 31, 2022, 06:03:12 PM
https://theintercept.com/2022/10/31/social-media-disinformation-dhs/

Leaked conversations from Dept. of Homeland Security show folks at Facebook and Twitter routinely communicated with government officials to drive what sort of content was permissible on the platforms.

Included in these monthly communications/meetings was Vijaya Gadde (now fired), head of Twitter's head of Legal, Trust, and Safety, among other heads of companies from Facebook, Microsoft, etc.

When they laid out perma bans for the COVID "disinformation," part of it was government bureaucracy detailing what sort of conversations are and aren't permissible.

Per The Intercept:

Quote
DHS plans to target inaccurate information on “the origins of the COVID-19 pandemic and the efficacy of COVID-19 vaccines, racial justice, U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan, and the nature of U.S. support to Ukraine.”

Right, because the U.S. government should be dictating to all the big tech platforms how the rest of us should think on these controversial and contentious topics.

Elon can have his first amendment/pro-free speech outlook on twitter if he'd like, but if the government steps in and forces regulation then he has no option but to comply. I can only assume that he's in the cross hairs.
736  Economy / Economics / Re: Printing of money doesn't make a country rich but to diversify like a person on: October 30, 2022, 05:49:46 PM
It seems rudimentary to not print an endless amount of money in order to stimulate the economy, yet nearly every developed country in the world decided to shut down their economies in 2020 and print money in lieu of people working. And there are people surprised that the inflation rate for most currencies is ballooning to rates not seen before.
737  Economy / Economics / Re: Elon Musk Becomes Owner Of Twitter, Immediately Fires CEO And CFO on: October 30, 2022, 12:27:36 AM
Do you think the Tesla CEO made the right move by firing these top people in the company? There is no denying that Twitter has a lot of shot comings just like every other big platform out and needs some serious overhauling. There are so many complaints about bots and scams and those are the major area Elon intends to tackle. Hopefully, with this new ownership, we are going to see Twitter in a different state.

Twitter is ran by political radicals that are inflicting their own personal politics, which is out of tune with most people, and imposing it on a platform that has too much control on U.S. elections. He could not have fired them sooner. Watching the meltdown and protest this garnered from the U.S. press was amusing. It's as if the monopoly they've held on big tech having come crashing down is somehow going to destroy the democratic institution that is the United States republic. How hyperbolic. When Jeff Bezos bought the Washington Post, it was celebrated by the same folks who disavowed Elon's Twitter takeover.

I don't think centralized social media platforms should be used to drive discussion and ultimately decide elections, nor do I think a billionaire like Elon should be put in charge of such a powerful tool. But, I'm willing to make exception given who Musk's predecessors. He can't be any worse, even if he tried.
738  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Imagine a world without electricity on: October 29, 2022, 10:24:47 PM
I've traveled to some remote villages in 3rd world countries in the past around west Africa -- I can tell you that the luxuries the developed world takes for granted instill a sense of complacency that people are not aware of. These villages do have some electricity but issue is with the food supply and healthcare. Ironic that some folks in the developed world can have so much food that they eat themselves to death that they rely on the healthcare infrastructure to keep them alive.

The only time people do a bit of self reflection is when these luxuries are taken away.
739  Economy / Economics / Re: Fiat in trouble on: October 29, 2022, 06:01:14 PM
As it is, the value of the fiat is collapsing and as it's not linked to a physical reserve and has no intrinsic value unlike gold and silver, it has the tendency to disappoint.


Historically, fiat currency in the united states was considered intrinsically backed by gold reserves inside fort knox and US central bank vaults.

(There are near to 13,000 metric tons of gold stored in fort knox to help back the US dollar.)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fort_Knox

The degree to which fiat currencies are backed by gold reserves has arguably diminished over time with the loss of gold standards. Fractional reserve banking has also played a role in gold reserve capacity to back fiat thanks to general expansion of money supply.

More recently, internet trolls have claimed the US dollar is backed by the combined might of the US military which will seize foreign assets in the event of the US economy becoming insolvent. Considering russia's unpopularity when Putin attempted this with ukraine, I don't know how the united states was supposed to pull this off. Yet it seemed to be a common sentiment and urban myth and so may be worth acknowledging if only for pure myth busting purposes.

Well, the U.S. economy is backed by an entire military industrial complex that is prepared to defend its own sovereignty and the sovereignty of its allies at a moment's notice. It's not entirely a conspiracy or anything, a currency is backed by the government's solvency and that solvency includes a military ready to defend a country's assets.

I'm not suggesting that the U.S. military will go out and invade a country for pure profit motive, war's are expensive. USD has long drifted from the gold standard and even some of the looniest conspiracy theorist will say that Fort Knox doesn't have the gold anymore. Without dispute, USD isn't backed by anything anymore.
740  Economy / Economics / Re: Bitcoin as a secure investment amidst recession on: October 29, 2022, 12:21:16 PM
All assets go down in a recession, Bitcoin isn't going to be immune to the effects of a recession. The recovery of Bitcoin along with the global economy will be robust, so you shouldn't worry about your funds going up in flames, but in the event you need to liquidate your investment while the economy is still in recession, you're probably going lose money. It depends on how stable your country's currency is during recession, I suppose.

With recession lurking around some countries, bitcoin could be lifeboat for people looking for safe landing without it been influenced by government policies.
Although there is fluctuation in bitcoin's price, some as a result of government recent policies on its mining, Its value guarantees less risk for savings than any other coins or fiat currency.
1btc remains 1btc

The purchasing power still varies, though. 1 unit currency will always equal 1 unit currency when talking about fiat too.
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