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81  Economy / Speculation / Re: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis on: August 24, 2017, 04:12:44 PM
Date:    23-Aug-2017
BETI:   -0.135
VWAP:    4146.85
x:    2594
a:    0.00331
b:    -0.10891
Rsq:    0.81762
The day's expected price:    4747.82
Actual price / expected price:   87.34%
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low   511.16
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high   30736.75
Predicted date for today's price:    13-Jul-2017
Days ahead:    -40.94
Daily price rank:    5
   
   
(See OP for explanation)   
   
   
   
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00330545559798778++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.108910620217511+%29   
82  Economy / Speculation / Re: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis on: August 19, 2017, 02:52:19 PM
83  Economy / Speculation / Re: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis on: August 19, 2017, 02:50:12 PM
Date:    18-Aug-2017
BETI:   -0.112
VWAP:    4180.17
x:    2589
a:    0.00331
b:    -0.10953
Rsq:    0.81683
The day's expected price:    4675.72
Actual price / expected price:   89.40%
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low   503.40
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high   30269.97
Predicted date for today's price:    15-Jul-2017
Days ahead:    -33.89
Daily price rank:    4
   
   
(See OP for explanation)   
   
   
   
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00330616596438299++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.109525431084708+%29   
84  Economy / Speculation / Re: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis on: August 14, 2017, 07:45:47 AM
Quote from: windjc on August 14, 2017, 06:21:45 AM


Do you have a historical chart of BETI? I'd love to see trend line resistances.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=470453.msg20800637#msg20800637
85  Economy / Speculation / Re: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis on: August 14, 2017, 04:47:43 AM
Date:    13-Aug-2017
BETI:   -0.139
VWAP:    4007.10
x:    2584
a:    0.00331
b:    -0.10991
Rsq:    0.81600
The day's expected price:    4602.62
Actual price / expected price:   87.06%
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low   495.53
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high   29796.70
Predicted date for today's price:    2-Jul-2017
Days ahead:    -41.90
Daily price rank:    1
   
   
(See OP for explanation)   
   
   
   
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00330661504558963++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.109913346992637+%29
86  Economy / Speculation / Re: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis on: August 13, 2017, 03:54:53 AM
Quote from: statdude on August 12, 2017, 05:23:19 PM
this is interesting... so just using an exponential trend, basically?

yes, but the regression is done everyday only using the data available at that day

We had a big jump in BETI yesterday. It's now over -0.2. As of writing the price is $4080. I think it's very possible to see 0 BETI

BETI for some psychological resistance:

5000    0.085905352
7500    0.49137046
10000    0.779052532
15000     1.18451764
20000     1.472199713
25000     1.695343264
87  Economy / Speculation / Re: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis on: August 13, 2017, 03:32:06 AM
Date:    12-Aug-2017
BETI:   -0.191
VWAP:    3789.13
x:    2583
a:    0.00331
b:    -0.11002
Rsq:    0.81584
The day's expected price:    4588.41
Actual price / expected price:   82.58%
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low   494.00
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high   29704.71
Predicted date for today's price:    15-Jun-2017
Days ahead:    -57.88
Daily price rank:    1
   
   
(See OP for explanation)   
   
   
   
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00330673975452274++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.11002094625024+%29   
88  Economy / Speculation / Re: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis on: August 12, 2017, 05:04:45 PM
Date:    11-Aug-2017
BETI:   -0.264
VWAP:    3511.92
x:    2582
a:    0.00331
b:    -0.11017
Rsq:    0.81568
The day's expected price:    4574.61
Actual price / expected price:   76.77%
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low   492.51
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high   29615.43
Predicted date for today's price:    23-May-2017
Days ahead:    -79.94
Daily price rank:    1
   
   
(See OP for explanation)   
   
   
   
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00330691215452517++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.110169635850561+%29   
89  Economy / Speculation / Re: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis on: August 11, 2017, 07:16:37 PM
If you like this, please consider donating to 1GdBAuFihJVxypysnkF7jKwcKAoAn8dbvg

Although we have an USD ATH, BETI is still under -0.25.

Today, a 0 BETI means $4561.38. Still $1000 to go.
90  Economy / Speculation / Re: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis on: August 11, 2017, 07:07:15 PM

91  Economy / Speculation / Re: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis on: August 11, 2017, 06:57:43 PM
Date:    10-Aug-2017
BETI:   -0.295
VWAP:    3394.76
x:    2581
a:    0.00331
b:    -0.11038
Rsq:    0.81553
The day's expected price:    4561.38
Actual price / expected price:   74.42%
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low   491.09
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high   29529.75
Predicted date for today's price:    12-May-2017
Days ahead:    -89.32
Daily price rank:    2
   
   
(See OP for explanation)   
   
   
   
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00330715045894681++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.110375086243728+%29   
92  Economy / Speculation / Re: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis on: June 12, 2017, 08:01:04 AM
Date:    11-Jun-2017
BETI:   -0.295
VWAP:    2911.89
x:    2521
a:    0.00333
b:    -0.13332
Rsq:    0.80788
The day's expected price:    3912.45
Actual price / expected price:   74.43%
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low   421.22
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high   25328.64
Predicted date for today's price:    14-Mar-2017
Days ahead:    -88.59
Daily price rank:    1
   
   
(See OP for explanation)   
   
   
   
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00333408979094182++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.133322254723592+%29   
93  Economy / Speculation / Re: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis on: June 07, 2017, 09:16:42 AM
Date:    6-Jun-2017
BETI:   -0.314
VWAP:    2818.78
x:    2516
a:    0.00334
b:    -0.13460
Rsq:    0.80712
The day's expected price:    3857.54
Actual price / expected price:   73.07%
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low   415.31
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high   24973.20
Predicted date for today's price:    3-Mar-2017
Days ahead:    -94.05
Daily price rank:    1
   
   
(See OP for explanation)   
   
   
   
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00333560500258656++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.134596607359385+%29   
94  Economy / Speculation / Re: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis on: June 01, 2017, 09:00:39 AM


As predicted, we had some support around -0.5. Today is over -0.5 again.

The next major resistance is -0.25 at $2956, then 0 at $3796.
95  Economy / Speculation / Re: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis on: June 01, 2017, 08:54:00 AM
Date:    31-May-2017
BETI:   -0.517
VWAP:    2264.38
x:    2510
a:    0.00334
b:    -0.13655
Rsq:    0.80627
The day's expected price:    3795.88
Actual price / expected price:   59.65%
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low   408.67
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high   24573.99
Predicted date for today's price:    27-Dec-2016
Days ahead:    -154.77
Daily price rank:    4
   
   
(See OP for explanation)   
   
   
   
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00333793840260933++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.136554694291936+%29   
96  Economy / Speculation / Re: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis on: May 26, 2017, 04:02:16 AM
Date:    25-May-2017
BETI:   -0.395
VWAP:    2518.72
x:    2504
a:    0.00334
b:    -0.13908
Rsq:    0.80550
The day's expected price:    3739.37
Actual price / expected price:   67.36%
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low   402.59
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high   24208.16
Predicted date for today's price:    26-Jan-2017
Days ahead:    -118.28
Daily price rank:    1
   
   
(See OP for explanation)   
   
   
   
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00334095545799238++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.139080606975029+%29   
97  Economy / Speculation / Re: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis on: May 25, 2017, 09:36:43 AM
Quote from: mmortal03 on May 25, 2017, 09:24:54 AM
Quote from: jl2012 on May 25, 2017, 04:49:01 AM

You want this? I don't think it's very useful but anyway



Thanks, I've also been wanting to see it. It's not as useful practically speaking, but it's still a good visual. I've got a similar long term chart with exponential trend line in a spreadsheet.

If there is one thing interesting, it is the red line never went down since 2012. That means the expected price has always been going up, despite the long bear market from 2014-2016
98  Economy / Speculation / Re: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis on: May 25, 2017, 04:49:01 AM
Quote from: DoktorKopf on May 08, 2017, 10:31:24 AM
Quote from: jl2012 on May 06, 2017, 04:33:05 PM
Quote from: DoktorKopf on May 06, 2017, 11:51:31 AM
Yes, thank you jl2012 for one of the very best and helpful (long-term context providing) threads on this board.

You used to update a graph (as per OP) that, apart from price and regression line, showed the expected price of any day based on the best regression line up to that day. I thought that interesting. If you get the time and inclination, could you perhaps update it again at some point?

TIA



Please see last page. This chart doesn't need to update every day as it makes very small difference

Thanks - I was thinking of your "series2" red line which doesn't seem to have been updated for over three years. I appreciate that it barely murmurs on a daily or even monthly basis, but it does record the changes in the implied angle or 'aim' of the best-fit line and with it the acreage of our fantasy islands.

For an example (of the fun to be had) I still have a bookmark (which I think is from your work, a then best-fit that now needs the crotch taking in a bit):

https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+(+0.006044++(+number+of+days+since+jul+17,+2010+%2Fdays+)+-1.82447+)

Oh how I dreamed of today back then!



You want this? I don't think it's very useful but anyway
99  Economy / Speculation / Re: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis on: May 25, 2017, 04:36:53 AM


It is now within the historical resistance/support zone between -0.5 and -0.25 (about $2261 - $2900)
100  Economy / Speculation / Re: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis on: May 25, 2017, 04:33:05 AM
Date:    24-May-2017
BETI:   -0.448
VWAP:    2383.53
x:    2503
a:    0.00334
b:    -0.13940
Rsq:    0.80536
The day's expected price:    3729.25
Actual price / expected price:   63.91%
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low   401.50
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high   24142.65
Predicted date for today's price:    10-Jan-2017
Days ahead:    -133.97
Daily price rank:    1
   
   
(See OP for explanation)   
   
   
   
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00334133418444225++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.139397238706605+%29   
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