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821  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Will digital dollar be a threat to bitcoin? on: September 23, 2022, 03:52:08 PM
Isn't this question also for various other CBDCs?
We can see from the digital dollar function itself. is a legal tender. And became the benchmark currency in most countries in the world. But Bitcoin, this not only applies as a currency, but also has value and trust to be something worth investing in. While the dollar, no. This is what makes Bitcoin most likely not to be disturbed by the digital dollar.

Digitalized dollars are basically CBDC's. Idea is to get rid of paper based cash and force people to rely on a central authority for digitalized funds. It allows the central authority to revoke the funds at any time or disallow users to spend the funds (ie freeze accounts).

Bitcoin isn't inherently threatened by CBDC's because they don't operate the same. That being said, the indirect threat exists because government will never cease to act on an opportunity to regulate Bitcoin into the ground while propping up their own useless currencies riddled with inflation and inept central bank control

I'd be worried if I were you.
822  Economy / Economics / Re: ‘Polluters must pay’: UN chief calls for windfall tax on fossil fuel companies on: September 23, 2022, 03:08:51 PM
This can't get anymore retarded. Only a small fraction of the profits end up with companies such as Exxon, Chevron and BP. And these companies provide employment for millions of people around the world. 95% of the profits end up with national governments of oil/gas producing nations such as Saudi Arabia, Qatar and Russia, who in turn use these revenues to wage wars in third world nations such as Yemen, Syria and Ukraine.

And by imposing additional taxes on oil companies, these retards are driving prices further up, thereby boosting the profits of fuel exporting countries. I am not surprised with all this. In general, human IQ seems to be on a downward slide since the end of WW2.

UN is a globalist organization that paddles around the world on their sanctimonious sailboat telling the developed world that they need to act in accordance to their own virtues. Recall that the UN, among other things, has criticized Israel for constructing a wall for national security, but will not provide much scrutiny to China for its human rights abuses.

Targeting the fossil fuel companies seems next on the agenda because it's popular to be a climate change extremist in 2022. I notice in the article they regurgitate the usual talking points of "record profits" in order to justify these taxes. Seems on par with these folks.
823  Economy / Economics / Re: NTSB says all vehicles need alcohol detectors and the law will soon require them on: September 23, 2022, 02:39:30 PM
There's 11,654 fatalities related to alcohol impairment, which represented approximately 30% of all accident-related deaths so there's a little over 30k fatal accidents in the U.S. yearly. An alcohol detector seems like an unnecessary intrusion to solve an issue that doesn't exist. 11,654 fatalities in a country with how many millions of drivers?

Quote
Details on how the final version of the technology will operate are still being worked out, but the current aftermarket interlock systems typically cost around $60 to $150 to install and $60 to $80 per month to calibrate and monitor remotely, according to manufacturer LifeSaver.

It's always the consumer that foots the bill for these sort of expenses. The car companies are going to factor these costs into the price of their car. And what other data will be monitored? These sort of ideas always start with good intention (ie saving lives) and then turns into government overreach. First it's alcohol detection, then it becomes speed detection. Then law enforcement gets to bust down your door because you went a bit over the speed limit.
824  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Political campaign contribution rules, how’s your country handle them? on: September 22, 2022, 07:05:46 PM
Also curious if anyone has any ideas how to fix this, other than the ways I described.

So money can be considered a form of "speech" in the most liberal forms of democracy and I'm generally okay with it.

I agree with your idea of capping contributions, here are some that I'd also support:

Political contributions are all public, no anonymous donations.
Corporations cannot donate directly on behalf of a candidate, individuals of a corporation are of course exempt (ie board members).
Cap political contributions but also adjust yearly for inflation.
Contributions must be spent only towards campaign towards individual campaign expenses and cannot be stowed for other elections of other politicians.*

*Doing this would prevent one politician from having too much financial power. Say you're Donald Trump and have 100M USD in campaign donations that's ready to be injected into political campaigns of other people, you own everybody else.

Granted every country's laws are different, making a few basic stipulations you can have money in politics without too much problems.

Side note - I suppose there is nothing stopping an individual from registering a business, pouring his money or someone else's money into media campaigns on behalf of a candidate to bypass some of the stipulations I've made above, but I guess there could be laws to address this too.
825  Economy / Economics / Re: The Impact of the Capitalist System on People's Economic Practices, Really? on: September 22, 2022, 06:48:05 PM
This looks pretty crazy, the way they rob people of financial freedom, where for a need (a house), people have to spend that much money and not to mention talking about monthly deposits during the agreed-upon agreement. Of course, the consumer has the authority to buy or not, but if it is considered a house is a necessity, what can they do?
In the context of Economics, there is nothing wrong with this capitalist system. But there should be other ways that can be done to not be burdened by the system, so that people are not trapped in something that is not necessarily capable of being done.

The thing is, no one is entitled to housing the same way no one is entitled to inherently benefit from a capitalistic system. In fact, there's a lot of "losers" in the capitalism system. That doesn't mean communism or socialism is the alternative answer. I don't consider the burden of having to sustain yourself through food, water, and shelter to be a burden that's attributable to capitalism. It's packaged in as part of the deal with being a human.

Only in a utopia would people not be burdened by the system, and that's unattainable.

Not a quote from me, but I borrow from it loosely:

Socialism is a great idea, wrong species.

It works great if we're all mindless insects without any desires to exceed past the norm.
826  Economy / Economics / Re: Going to war means let's ulter the economic progression on: September 21, 2022, 08:40:04 PM
The degradation of environment is also there if war happen and this is major effect on agricultural produce leading into the food shortage and insecurities around that.


The military industrial complex can profit a lot from war, if they are so inclined. It usually involves an incestuous relationship between the private sector and government. The citizens pay, the members of government gets their kickbacks and the war industrial companies profit.

The Russian war is different insofar as "for-profit" wars are concerned. The effects wouldn't be so debilitating had there not been so much focus on environmental concerns within the context of energy production. The entirety of Europe can hardly afford the price hike in energy and winter is coming. Who cares about the environment? The reduction in agricultural industries are because of fertilizer shortages, not the environment.
827  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Twitch gambling problem and Sliker issue on: September 21, 2022, 02:48:20 AM
I saw the announcement from Twitch.tv on Twitter started to circulate and didn't realize that an Amazon subsidiary would single out websites in their blanket gambling ban from platforms outside of the U.S. in their official announcement. But hey, free advertising. Seems unfairly targeted, but I digress.

This character "Sliker" seems to be a big part of why this discussion is even happening. I'm for adults having the liberty of what type of entertainment they choose to consume, and if a disclaimer on gambling related live streamers might waive liability from children watching the shows, then put a disclaimer on the channel. Because one live streamer decides to swindle money from viewers, everyone else has to suffer?
828  Economy / Economics / Re: California sues Amazon, alleging its policies cause higher prices everywhere on: September 20, 2022, 04:43:43 PM
I'm open to the argument that amazon might have a monopoly in local markets because of the wholesale/online advantage, which might require some level of regulation. Except the tyrants in California decided to lockdown their entire economy during COVID and implement business killing regulations which allowed Amazon to drink up the consumer base when small businesses couldn't adhere to the COVID regulations. Combine this with inflation, I'm sure it would appear the higher prices are a result of corporate monopoly and not anti-competition government policy.

Seems on par for California to blame the businesses for their own incompetence. Somehow they're still confused as to why they're leaving.
829  Economy / Economics / Re: $3 billion dollar company Patagonia donated by founder to fight climate change on: September 18, 2022, 07:18:51 AM
I've never heard of Patagonia before. Looks like they're a U.S. company (HQ is in the U.S.)

So hypothetically let's say that all funds of this climate trust group are all allocated to the U.S and factor in basic facts on the climate change debate.

The U.S. produces 12-13% of cumulative global emissions. China, India, are among the other major polluters. China produces the most carbon emissions by far.

Out of only 12-13% of emissions, transportation is the largest contributor of U.S. carbon emissions at 40% of total emissions. Other contributors are electricity production, agriculture, home heating/cooling.

Take 100M USD of their estimated contributions and their impact on temperatures globally will be virtually...zero.

This is what climate change activists don't understand. They think throwing money at the issue will somehow slow global temperature rise when the U.S and EU are the only countries at the forefront of the climate change revolution. It isn't enough.

Take the money and give it to the Germans so they can set it on fire for heat this winter. It'll be put to better use.

830  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Crypto regulation in the EU and the USA on: September 18, 2022, 02:15:48 AM
People could say that it would kill crypto. Some channels on YouTube do.

There are some proposals in the EU and U.S. that are being set in stone for crypto regulation and the basic premise, as they allege, are "anti-fraud" consumer protections and environmental regulations, some of which include European crypto companies to document/register their carbon footprints associated with their commerce (amongst other nonsense).

These regulations won't kill crypto, but anyone suggesting that this won't massively impact the market is under estimating how regulations impact global markets. Adding in hoops that crypto-based companies have to jump through in order to comply with the law discourages their growth.

Others (me) could see this as an investment opportunity.

Plan on shorting crypto/crypto assets? I would call that gambling more than investing. To each his own, I guess.
831  Economy / Economics / Re: "Be your own Bank with Bitcoin" - A reminder why this is so important! on: September 18, 2022, 12:44:35 AM
And in fact, this happens a lot more than people think: https://www.cnn.com/2022/06/23/economy/china-bank-runs-protests-intl-mic-hnk/index.html


Quote
Peter had put his life savings of about $6 million into accounts at three small banks in China’s central Henan province. He says he hasn’t been able to access them since April.

You are at the bank's mercy when you declare your funds to be an asset of a centralized financial institution. Banks should be viewed as nothing more than a business. You put money into the solvency of a business, collect interest payments, and do not guarantee to yourself that your funds should be there the next day. If a bank goes under for whatever reason, what are the chances you'll receive your funds? You don't have recourse.
832  Economy / Economics / Re: More people now work in clean energy than in fossil fuels on: September 17, 2022, 10:29:08 PM
Is renewable power taking over? Or is it simply less efficient. Requiring greater manpower and more jobs to generate an equivalent sum of electricity? But then if it does create more jobs. Maybe that makes it a good thing.

It's in part due to the government subsidies that are allowing renewables to dominate the job market, also ESG. Part of ESG are environmental concerns, so companies are going to be investing into environmental enterprises/initiatives in order to check the box, not because they believe it'll be profitable.

Fossil fuels still hold the vast majority of energy market share and will for the foreseeable future. I don't doubt that fossil fuels will phase out with renewables taking its place. It only seems premature to believe that it can happen within the next 20-30 years (some of the climate change alarmists think it can happen sooner, even).
833  Other / Politics & Society / Re: The economic danger of China and Taiwan war on: September 17, 2022, 07:26:18 PM
Binance sanctions are the least of your concerns if Taiwan and China get into a war. Taiwan is responsible for a large portion of semiconductor manufacturing and Taiwan will destroy these manufacturing facilities rather than allow China to get their hands on them. Chip shortages would get even worse, not great for the crypto scene nor is it stable for the global economy when the U.S. is in a proxy war with China.

There is a possibility of conflict but in my observation now is not the right time for China to invade Taiwan. The US and Nato are still engrossed in the war with Russia through Ukraine, clearly China is the most beneficial party in this war. they would expect these three powers to be mired in a long war. Once Russia's military is weakened, the US and NATO will also be significantly weakened. then is the best time for China to start its invasion.

How would the forces of NATO and US be weakened if they are not even directly participating in the war anyway? They only send in supplies and arms and that's it. Their soldiers are still in perfect shape and the only ones tiring in this war are the Russian and Ukraine forces. NATO and the US is smart enough to not get caught in the middle of the chaos and just provide their support to their ally from a distance. China knows the repercussions of its actions against Taiwan, and IMO they are just testing how the West would react.

The U.S. is involving themselves indirectly in the Ukrainian war by supplying something like 50 billion USD in direct payments or aid. The U.S. relies on Taiwan for semiconductors. If China starts a conflict, they will get involved through sanctions at the absolute minimum. Sanctions don't just hurt the sanctioned country, they inflict economic damage on both parties.
834  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Is Bitcoin anti-inflation? on: September 17, 2022, 04:50:14 AM
According to many analyzes, inflation is caused by the printing of money by the Central Bank.

I think this is the main cause of inflation. However, the effect is not so easily observed in real life.

Central Banks are also able to control inflation increasing interest rates. When interest rates are high, inflation tends to go down.


Quote
Excessive printing of money will create an imbalance in supply and demand, which will have a negative impact on the balance sheet.
As a person who really loves BTC, I want to ask, is Bitcoin anti-Inflation?

Bitcoin  may protect you against inflation, just like gold. The problem is that bitcoin is still very volatile, so you are exactly protecting yourself against inflation. You lose much more money than you would lose to inflation (especially if you live in a country where inflation is controlled), but you may also have huge gains.

So, I think that it is a nice protecting against inflation, but it shouldn't be your only protection against inflation, due to its high volatility.

Central banks only control inflation through interest rates because they don't put a cap on the money supply. You could theoretically have inflation without fluctuation in the money supply if some global event, ie war/COVID-19, caused supply chain issues and increased the scarcity of consumer products. The difference is, induced inflation through money supply increase ensures that the prices do not actually come down. You can't take the money out of circulation once it's already in there (very easily, for that matter). Temporary price increases due to global events eventually stabilize once supply chains return to normal -- it causes prices to go down.

Interest rates are only part of inflation. That's more the reactionary mechanism of inflation. The core mechanism is an unchecked money supply.
835  Economy / Economics / Re: "Cities of the future," built from scratch on: September 17, 2022, 03:50:15 AM
Quote
Billionaire Marc Lore is fleshing out his plan to build a utopian city called Telosa for 5 million people in the American desert

Who the hell would want to live in the American desert?
All those visionaries, who are dreaming of creating utopian cities have to pick a good location first. Creating a city in the desert has two main benefits:
1.Cheap land.
2.Sunny weather for the solar panels.
Those are the only benefits I can think of. The problems are way more:
1.The weather is going to be hot during the entire year.
2.Finding enough water supplies.
3.Finding people, who would want to live in a city in the desert.
4.Creating good infrastructure around the city.
The people, who are building such innovative cities are missing one key point. Making the city comfortable for the people that will live there.



Las Vegas was built in a desert. They turned a wasteland into a casino/competitive sports hub. I don't have the specifics on how they're able to import water to supply the city, but it can be done.

The housing problem wouldn't be an issue as long as the infrastructure is built. There are housing shortages and an influx of folks leaving California for states more Eastern. Whether this "Marc Lore" character ends up building this thing in Utah, Arizona, or Nevada, they might attract some fleeing California residents.
836  Other / Politics & Society / Re: If Putin leaves power is that the end for our friend Edward Snowden? on: September 16, 2022, 08:40:13 PM
If the US and Russia get on better relations, will the new Russian government hand over people activists like Edward Snowden?

Edward Snowden will die of old age before the West and Russia establish a working relationship.

And that includes Putin dying of natural causes and a new Russian government installment. There is no repairing the broken relations. It will be like this for decades.


What other countries might not hand him over? China? Iran? maybe Serbia?

Snowden is safe.

Hypothetically, let's say it was not Snowden and it was the next NSA leaker that wanted to seek asylum. The question is which one of these countries is least likely to extradite to the U.S.

Iran and China maybe, but then you'd have to live in Iran or China...I'd take my chances being caught by the feds in the U.S.  Roll Eyes
837  Economy / Economics / Re: How to save as food inflation jumps more than 11% in a year on: September 16, 2022, 07:56:19 PM
Discloser that this not meant to be a long term solution or solution for urban residents: Self sustenance through gardening is an idea that I ridiculed in the past because I believe it to be an unreliable source of food. As in, what people could be agriculturally inclined and start a garden that would be diverse enough to sustain a family?

Turns out it would it's a whole lot easier than people might think, the primary limiting factor is land availability. Once you've sourced the seeds, the land/soil conditions can be an obstacle.

If you're willing to put in the work, the idea isn't so outlandish. Would save on your grocery bills, and probably taste better than the processed junk they have in stores anyways.
838  Economy / Economics / Re: Irish Government Pays Artists & Musicians $330 ‘Basic Income’ Allowance on: September 16, 2022, 02:15:11 PM
The idea here being that Ireland is looking to restore it's tourism and entertainment sector, so they're issuing a UBI to produce creative content.

My guess is this will have a negative ROI, as with most UBI expenditures. The government isn't as good as allocating funds as the market would allow. Meaning, if the tourism industry is sunk due to COVID, investing into UBI for musicians and artists in order to restore a dead industry that the market hasn't afforded a recovery for yet is money down the drain.

UBI only works if there was some seismic economic event that put a large segment of the working population out the workforce. COVID and the entertainment tourism industry hardly qualifies.
839  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping: an increasingly unequal relationship on: September 16, 2022, 01:57:11 PM
Even if Xi is not an ally in Putin's attack of Ukraine, he has pledged to be with Russia as he believes the two can play " a leading role in injecting stability into a world of change and disorder". Since in business there are no friends, would Xi follow through with his actions or is he planning a fatal blow in the form of renegading on Putin? https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-62922747

I'm not clear on what China's immediate goal here is. Their economy isn't doing great so it's within China's interest to form some workable relationship with Putin for the sake economic benefit. That's not to say that the CCP is cozy with the Kremlin. The relationship is symbiotic and once either side no longer seems utility in one another, the relationship ceases.

If Xi Jinping beings to question your war strategies, then you're in a bad place and Putin's economy hangs in the balance.
840  Economy / Economics / Re: Crypto adoption index 2022 - Chainanalysis on: September 15, 2022, 08:48:20 PM
Some of the larger markets, U.S. and China, matter a lot for Bitcoin's price but I see their government's as being extremely anti-crypto. China is in a league of it's own, but with this methodology you have the U.K. ranked below China in crypto adoption. Doesn't make any sense, even with the U.K.'s regulation on the crypto space.

China's economy is fragile and their government has expressed anti-Bitcoin rhetoric in the past. Their enforcement and penalty for using crypto isn't stringent. If they wanted it to be, they could flip the switch on a whim. China shouldn't be on this list.

Methodology used is based on five sub-indexes, 146 countries were ranked between scale of 0 to 1, the ranking from 0 which is the lowest score, to 1 which is the highest score. For the sub-index calculation, countries transaction volume for different services and protocols based on web traffic are estimated.

Precisely the problem. Transaction volumes only give the partial story. Adoption is government dependent. Some number of whales could inflate the transaction volumes.
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