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861  Economy / Economics / Re: Lenders and borrowers during inflation on: September 04, 2022, 04:33:40 AM
Inflation has increased rapidly over the last year at the world has emerged from the pandemic. At the moment in the world where inflation rate Observation: Comparing the two men with the lenders profit when loan was given, if in just 9 months the purchasing price of man B is close to the total amount payed back (purchasing price + interest) by man A, what happens at the end of the 16 months if inflation keep increasing. If the lender decide to buy a tricycle after man A had finish paying his money. He will end up adding to the money before he can purchase one. When lending money to man A, the lender believes he’s making a profit of #500,000 but this doesn’t worth it anymore within that 16 months as inflation keeps increasing.

Lenders are factoring this in by just raising their interest rates. It isn't difficult.

Lender recognizes their purchasing power to decreasing over fixed amount of time, by default 2% yearly compounded by whatever government mismanagement adds on top of that, they increase interest rates to cover that reduction in purchasing power by some value X. Whatever calculation that is is beyond what I can articulate, it would be dependent on the lender.

Borrowers aren't in a spot of luxury here. Lenders know the market better than anyone, hence they have the capital to lend. You'd have to take a gamble and secure a loan with low interest prior to inflation.
862  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Our children should be our first priority on: September 03, 2022, 11:55:19 PM
Creat the fear of God in them.

My only omission from your list. Teach them about culture, not instilling god-fearing hyperbole about the deepest parts of hell or jahannam in order to coerce young minds into submission. Children don't need religion to live morally virtuous lives, and they don't need to be fearful of god in order to make good decisions. We live in the most peaceful time in human history because we've escaped the dogma that's contributed to some of the deadliest wars in history. No need to go back.
863  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Presidential address calls out the do-nothing Republicans. on: September 03, 2022, 06:11:22 AM
I'm disappointed in this community honestly.

3 posts and none of them are relevant to the content of this post. Moderator please remove the above spam.

"they ought to have their heads examined" - honestly.


You should give us more details instead of a link and...whatever that pink thing is. This post isn't a slight directed at Joe Biden using Truman's scapegoat of Republicans?

No relation whatsoever?  Shocked
864  Other / Politics & Society / Re: 20220901 - President Biden's Address to American Public on: September 03, 2022, 06:02:45 AM
This particular poll was over six weeks before the speech and it's been my own observation that in classic Republican party fashion, they continue to shoot themselves in the foot failing to defeat a senile radical that needs amphetamines to get through a speech.

What's the solution to Republicans losing against Joe Biden?

Simple. Republicans need to ditch Trump; he's damaged goods. No focus on the economy, immigration, foreign policy, etc. They only focus on Trump and his personal issues with the DoJ. Seeing whatever evidence the DoJ has released convinces me that Trump is at most negligent for his handling of (alleged) classified info, not criminally liable. And if we were playing the game fairly, Hillary Clinton would have long ago been indicted for mishandling classified info and then deleting evidence following a subpoena from congress. I don't see the benefit of going on a tirade against the FBI when there's already a range of viable attacks.

The speech shouldn't help Joe Biden. Ostensibly an iteration of "Dark Brandon" when in actuality his brain dead advisers recreated Third Reich scenery.
865  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Can Bitcoin be worth zero? on: September 03, 2022, 05:09:31 AM
No. The probability of Bitcoin ever hitting zero is so tiny that there'd have to be some sort of technology/AI that could brute force private keys without taking billions of years for this question to have any relevance. Excluding extenuating circumstances, this seems like a pointless discussion to have.

There isn't an absolute minimum from an investors perspective, meaning the current bear market could produce a minimum of 15k USD/coin, 10k USD/coin, etc. Simultaneously, the absolute minimum is not going to be zero. The market wouldn't allow for that to happen, BTC is too engrained in the global economy.
866  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Presidential address calls out the do-nothing Republicans. on: September 02, 2022, 09:58:20 PM
Went from the do-nothing Republicans to the semi-fascist Republicans in two generations.

Biden nailed the Nazi aesthetics. It's unfortunate that he had to walk back his comments today after his handlers told him that his remarks did not reflect too well: https://nypost.com/2022/09/02/biden-walks-back-attacks-on-trump-voters-in-anti-maga-speech/

Approval rating at 38%, so the logical step is to call 70 million voters fascists only to retract <24 hours later.

How many millions are the White House spending on democratic strategists only for them to come up with the monstrosity that will go down as Biden's worst Presidential address? I'd ask for a refund if I were them.
867  Economy / Economics / Re: UK inflation to top 18% in early 2023 on: September 02, 2022, 09:10:55 PM
What steps can consumers take to protect themselves from rising cost of energy and winter heating? Electric heaters were one option mentioned. Conventional wood stoves could be viable for those in rural areas with renewable and natural sources of fuel to burn. If worse comes to worse, trash could be burned to produce heat.

I've heard that homes in the UK are built without heat insulation in the ceiling in an effort to "trap heat" from sunshine. Adding insulation in the ceiling could help to keep heat contained in living spaces. Although I'm not an architect or home builder who has actually tried this to test it.

Its strange to see these headlines lacking commentary on the internet. No one appears to be scrambling to mitigate rising energy costs. It seems as if many will be caught unprepared and unaware by it.

Should more steps be taken to address this?


The usual methods against protecting one's self from inflation don't apply when there are artificial product shortages, meaning the UK inflation rate is a development strictly from energy costs (in addition to the post COVID money printing, but obviously that would not result in a near 20 percent inflation rate). I don't think there's an actual solution that the government could endorse other than radically shifting their energy policy to include cheap oil/natural gas and dumping renewables entirely. How many UK residents can reasonably obtain alternative heating methods? Consider that the price of firewood, insulation costs, etc. would begin to rise as demand for heating alternatives rise -- you wouldn't end up at a solution even if trying to find alternatives.
868  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Fed policy on Bitcoin worries investors, how do you react? on: September 02, 2022, 04:00:26 PM
Global economy is in a slump and Bitcoin's price is generally tied to the state of the global economy. Predicting Bitcoin's price on micro levels is no better than a coin flip if you want to try contextualize fed policy with the crypto world.

The euro zone is not moving from 9% annual inflation to 50% monthly inflation.

Hyperinflation are the last breaths of a currency. I don't see euros collapsing any time soon nor do most people. It's also probably true that 9 percent inflation isn't the ceiling either. When the energy crisis worsens in the winter time, businesses will collapse in on themselves and wage increases will be only a fraction of the inflation rate. I don't believe the EU can responsibly pull themselves out.
869  Economy / Economics / Re: Banks are changing ..... Bitcoin should wake up and innovate more! on: September 02, 2022, 02:46:05 PM
What innovations are you proposing? The banking industry's only disruption to Bitcoin will be the introduction of CBDC's and they aren't necessarily a direct threat would require Bitcoin to be any different (not that you could make BTC inherently different anyways). Seems to me that Gen Z are less skeptical of government intervention in economic affairs than older generations that have lived through legitimate oppressive regimes, so the banks have open access to a naive market that is willing to deprive themselves of any autonomy. This isn't a slight directed at Bitcoin.
870  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Millennials and Gen Z are now more to embrace luxury products on: September 02, 2022, 06:02:49 AM
and almost two-thirds of Millennials say they follow luxury brands on social networks. And almost as many, 75% and 63%, say they have bought something after seeing it on a social network. YouTube and TikTok are the most popular sites for this.
Even the rush of big fashion houses into the metaverse probably won't change this. More than six out of ten people who have heard of the metaverse say they want to buy luxury goods through this new channel.

This is the explanation, social media. It's become a malignant tumor that's inflicting irreparable damage on society. From polarization to hyperconsumerism to privacy invasion, it doesn't really end.

Just an observation, it seems the loudest group against capitalism also seem to be the group that spends the most money on luxurious items. You'd think a group of angry socialists wouldn't be so attached to materialistic items of wealth.
871  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Crypto Currency acceptance Everywhere on: September 01, 2022, 09:54:37 PM
Amidst the heavy taxation on cryptocurrency, the acceptance of cryptocurrencies have been increasing all around.

It's a bit backwards. I've seen institutional investors and general consumers avoid using Bitcoin because of higher taxes associated with crypto. That's not to say there wouldn't be resistance to the government's effort to curtail crypto users -- merely that higher taxes are effective in stopping most, if not all, economic behaviors.

As far as I'm concerned, if the government wants to ban crypto, they can do it. They don't need higher taxes to accomplish their nefarious intent. Increases taxes is the first step. The next step is criminalization.

872  Economy / Economics / Re: Helping others could help to improve our country's economy on: September 01, 2022, 09:31:44 PM
Teaching them what to do to earn little more money.
By creating more jobs....and many more.

Let's all join hand together for the growth of our country and for the betterment of the world.


Not to be pessimistic, but these factors wouldn't improve an entire country's economy unless you're talking about a massive overhaul of governmental systems. Inflation can impact someone with low financial literacy the same way as someone with higher financial literacy. Demanding answers from your government as to why inflation is occurring in the first place seems like the prudent solution. Teaching financial literacy to someone that has to pay 10% more for goods than the previous year doesn't actually tackle the core issue. You couldn't create jobs out of thin air either.
873  Economy / Economics / Re: Hydrogen train network goes live in Germany on: August 31, 2022, 06:53:22 PM
The project so far is said to have costed $93 million. It is interesting that they plan to generate hydrogen fuel on site. Which should save dramatically on fuel shipping costs. The pro versus cons of on site fuel generation rather than a dedicated location could make for an interesting topic. Hydrogen fuel generated by steam reformation versus electrolysis could be yet another hot topic in the coming years. The article mentions that hydrogen will be generated on site through regenerative methods. Which would seem to imply energy scavenging of some type. Not much in the way of details, unfortunately.

The united states has lagged behind the rest of the world on new developments like high speed rail. I doubt there is much hope of hydrogen fueled trains in a native setting.

93 million USD spent on this project not including future maintenance costs and upkeep. The projected ROI is what, exactly?

Could be calculated in two ways: Produces energy more cheaply than oil/gas (we all know this isn't true, strike this immediately).

Alternatively: If the ROI for energy savings is negative, the investment could be recouped by the projected savings in climate change expenditures associated with rising temperatures. The problem with Germany's grand plan is that their individual climate change efforts will do nothing to stop global rise in temperatures. This has always been the issue.

They should use this money and burn it for this coming winter. I think they'd get more usage out of it this way.
874  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Your opinion about USA vs CHINA on: August 31, 2022, 03:04:47 PM
I am in China side because i don't like the policy of usa on how she monitored the global economy. I think China is less harmful with Russia in the same side.

Cheesy that's funny. You're saying that Russia is going to be a peacekeeping force in this conflict? Russia is the most threatening, bullying, scheming country in the world at this point. You can never be sure what they want and what they'll do, which is why whole Europe is running to NATO because they see that Russia says one thing and does the opposite. Also, Russian bombers trying to sneak into Europe isn't an act of peace and good will.

To answer OP, I'd rather if US won the conflict and not China if it comes down to it.

You certainly have not heard of America's crimes in Iraq. Have you ever heard about Abu Ghraib prison or about the rape of men? Yes, it is rape of men, not women. Do you have an idea about the crimes of the Israeli occupation in Palestine?

Everything Russia does is not equal to 1 percent of America's crimes throughout its history (Iraq, Vietnam and all the proxy wars led by the intelligence services).

China, of course, was never a colonial country, and it suffered from a long colonial era in which it paid the highest price.

Crimes of the west don't justify crimes of Russia. And the dirty secret of global politics is that the U.S. gets away with a lot because their interests aligns with eastern Europe. Same goes for Israel and U.S./Europe. Wiping Ukraine off the map only serves the interest of Russia and China.
875  Economy / Economics / Re: EU countries agree deal to cut use of gas this winter on: August 28, 2022, 06:58:43 AM
Russia is not suffering at all...If some of the buyers have left the trade there are many in line with them too.

India and China are okay with continuing business with Russia for their oil despite the condemnation from the west. The problem is, the Russian economy isn't solely based on oil/gas. There's sanctions on most Russian exports from the west and India/China cannot pick up the remnants of the Russian economy on their own.

Russia is suffering, just not to the extent the west had hoped for because of the bone India and China has thrown them.

My country also wanted to buy oil and gas from Russia but due to US and EU pressure  - they were unable to do it.

Which is rather unfortunate because the west has no authority to become global arbitrators in economic affairs.
876  Economy / Economics / Re: Education on: August 28, 2022, 05:14:35 AM
Education is not the only key to success anymore, then we all be believe that, if we don't go to school, we can't make it, the country is something else, we should find all means to be a successful person in life, education is good, but we have to find all means to make it, country which a graduate is riding bike, someone that spend thousands of naira to go to the school, is now riding bike, imagine,

So is always good to invest in once self, than working under someone, which you won't have time for yourself,

Just an advise

Education doesn't have to be the proverbial college/university or (insert institution of higher learning here). I'd argue that education is critical no matter the field you choose to go to. It's not that any of us knew about cryptocurrency inherently. There was a learning curve before diving into the industry, ie we educated ourselves/

You don't need college/university to be successful, but you do need an education in something, whether that be through self learning or the professional schooling route.
877  Economy / Economics / Re: Taliban Leadershipeadership Impose Ban on Cryptocurrency in Afghanistan on: August 28, 2022, 01:34:56 AM
Taliban is the illegitimate fascist government of Afghanistan. This is akin to North Korea banning crypto currency. Has no effect on the crypto economy, and I would have already made the presumption that cryptocurrency was banned the moment they took over.

You can choose to travel abroad but I think it's not worth it if you are just holding small crypto, you just need to hold for now and secure that wallet. The market in Afghanistan is not that big, and they are experience a lot of problem since Taliban takes over their country, for now crypto user there should take cautious and avoid being caught.

I would highly advise against this, as the Taliban are known to execute innocent Afghan citizens on a whim. Getting caught with crypto currency sounds like the death penalty. Is it worth it?
878  Economy / Economics / Re: More Americans Than Ever Can’t Afford to Pay Their Electric Bill on: August 27, 2022, 06:44:51 AM
...
There "is" a silver lining because USA is not spending trillions on renewable, that is a wrong number and I do not know why you wanted to say that. Right now Solar is getting 3% of what oil/gas is getting, literally subs and not just tax breaks as well.

So, we are talking about a situation where oil is still seen as the most important thing and government is helping those companies. You know how much solar panel is needed to light entire USA up? Just one quarter of Utah (number was given by Elon, but this stat seems a lot more fun) so all in all, there isn't enough investment to USA because if we ever did then we would have it already by this time, there wouldn't be any problems like this.

I should clarify that I'm talking about all expenditures related climate change, not just money spent on renewables, over the last 2 decades at least. Spending has been ramped up over the last decade, but it was going on for much past that. How many subsidies, defaulted loans, tax credits and such, have gone out to "green" enterprises that haven't posed a positive ROI? Climate change expenditures are not only the funds associated with building more wind turbines. The opportunity cost isn't factored in either (as in taking the billions spent on climate change initiatives that have accomplished nothing, and factoring what those funds might have returned had they been invested properly)

I've tried looking for accurate figures of total climate change expenditures and can't seem to find it. If you have a figure that's more accurate, I'd be informed of a more reliable estimate.
879  Economy / Economics / Re: Consequences and effects of inflation | Financially and Mentally on: August 26, 2022, 09:48:17 PM
Approximately since March, inflation has started taking a toll on me, first financially and then psychologically. At first, I wasn't really bothered; it wasn't that extreme and wasn't too worried. I was still making ends meet without too many issues and still managed to save a little, without taking into account my cryptocurrency investments. However, as time passes by, it gets worse and worse. I believed that the tourism sector could slow down the recession in Greece, but that didn't happen. Prices of goods are increasing every week, while electricity bills have soared.

Some industries are more recession proof than others -- tourism is a tough industry to weather out during a recession. The first expenses people cut are vacations and travel.

Do you believe that we'll see any kind of improvement in the next few months/years?

No, probably not. I'd love to sugarcoat it, even for my own sanity considering a large portion of this recession was inevitable had COVID policy been handled different, but the state of stagflation lasts years. Greece will lag behind the curve in terms of the recovery if a larger portion of its GDP is affiliated with tourism. You'll need to wait for Europe to regain economic control, presumably the U.S. as well before smaller economies follow.

Setting aside the battered economy from COVID, Ukrainian war will likely last years so the absolute earliest I'd see a return to pre-pandemic GDP/inflation rates is probably 2025-2026.
880  Other / Politics & Society / Re: "OKLAHOMA RANCHERS PREDICT BEEF TO RISE TO $50 PER POUND" on: August 26, 2022, 06:32:57 PM
The land is still there, same as before. The ocean is full of water, which can be desalinized. We're a long way from not being able to grow enough food,meat or otherwise.

Cool

And how much energy is required to desalinized ocean water?

The issue isn't just food supply shortages. It's distribution. The western world is largely obese, wastes a fair portion of the food that it produces and yet tens of thousands can still die from famine every day. If the energy costs associated with distribution goes up then so do food prices. Poor countries are the first to suffer famines. Developed countries have enough funds to to cover the higher food costs so they'll be fine, hopefully.
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