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581  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Vow not to exchange bitcoin for fiat on: October 25, 2011, 09:05:43 PM
guarantee its stock price in terms of US dollars? I am considering offering a mining company that will buy back any shares based on the US$ value of the company. The assets can be sold in US dollars so there is no risk to the company or investor. If you buy one share at 1 btc and btc goes down 50% to the US$ the company will be willing to buy back your share for 2 bitcoin. Perfect hedge in protecting value, while investing in a bitcoin operation.

Are you personally backing the price up with dollars?
582  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Vow not to exchange bitcoin for fiat on: October 25, 2011, 08:57:54 PM
The bitcoin exchange is exciting because it is volatile and volatile because bitcoin is exciting. Take any revolutionary idea, hell, just about any idea or company, and it will swing violently in perceived value on its slow march toward general acceptance. Ultimate stability will come only after we trade fiat denominated in bitcoin rather than bitcoin denominated in fiat. A system like Ripple will be stable because it has enormous interpersonal friction. That is both an advantage and a disadvantage. Bitcoin is enormously liquid, that is its advantage. This highly liquid 'pure money' (money whose only function is money with neither industrial nor aesthetic value), bitcoin has perhaps the least friction of any quantifiable commodity humanity has every created. Speculation does not harm bitcoin, it only makes is more liquid and ultimately more stable. There are no bitcoin 'bank runs'. No one should ever hold more of a volatile asset than one can handle. Bitcoin is burning gasoline.

The only people who are complaining about the volatility are those who are attempting to speculate but are getting burned. Otherwise, I must suggest: Check your motivations and expectations! If you are holding bitcoin because they are interesting, because you think a bitcoin has a value in and of itself, then you should not care about the exchange rate.

We may wish bitcoin were more stable. Just as a revolutionary wishes for peace.
583  Economy / Economics / Re: Elliott Wave Educational Video Series on: October 25, 2011, 07:37:34 PM
As I understand Elliott, the only requirement we have for '4' is that it can not rise above '1' at $4.2.

584  Economy / Economics / Re: Elliott Wave Educational Video Series on: October 25, 2011, 03:12:16 PM
I don't think we've hit our II yet for the time period stated....  "I see three upward impulses since Thursday"   I don't think it fits this yet; "..the preceding impulse wave of the same degree"  Though admitedly I have not looked at it as carefully as you likely have.?

This pink wave '4' should be a three wave corrective (ABC). The 5 waves I'm referring to are on an even smaller scale (A). To be sure, I don't trust anything less than a DAY in bitcoins. I posted the above link on the 24th before the little fall. I'll update it so it doesn't keep moving.



What I see (on the seven day chart) is the bottom pink '3' on the 19th at $2.05. We've moved up in three impulses forming an A night of 22 at almost $3.3. Then we've fallen into B. I believe we completed B last night at $2.5 and are moving up on the final C to my pink '4' which will not likely be higher than pink '1' in September.

But again, I have never trusted the hour/day scales. We could just as well have hit pink '4' at $3.3 and are on our way down to '5' at (gulp) $1-ish. We'll see in the next 12-24 hours.

585  Bitcoin / Press / Re: Bitcoin press hits, notable sources on: October 24, 2011, 07:32:24 PM
Maybe We Should Pay Greece With Bitcoin?
http://www.kitco.com/ind/Nadler/oct242011.html

Don’t look now but there is a major currency crash already under way. No, we have not suddenly turned into alarmist newsletter scribes here. The fiat currency Armageddon we are referring to is taking place in the same space that others have tried their hand in and failed previously; the creation of alternative money. Remember Beenz? Remember Flooz? Neither do we. Remember Bitcoin? You won’t, soon.

The recently invented “encrypted monetary unit” that is more complex that the design of the Mayan calendar was supposed to take the world by storm. Forget the greenback when you can swear by Bitcoin. Aha. Whereas the latest in alternative cash once traded as high as $33 (hey, near gold standard status!) it is now changing hands at under $3 and it might soon vanish altogether. Some have called it nothing short of a “screwball scheme to bypass the system.” You know; the “IRS and taxes” kind of system. So, do not be shocked if you get “called in” by Uncle Sam for a friendly audit, or to soon read that “Bitcoin…bit the dust.”
586  Economy / Economics / Re: Elliott Wave Educational Video Series on: October 24, 2011, 07:05:49 PM
Think you could stomach $0.75 now?  Wink

I have no love for vampires, but neither am I long bitcoin.


I don't trust < Daily resolution, but none the less, I see three upward impulses since Thursday and am concerned that today we're in a c followed soon by a strong up wave III. What do you see in the crystal ball?

587  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Mappers vs Packers. Why Most People Don't Get Bitcoin on: October 24, 2011, 06:54:56 PM
You can't divide the world into binary cubicles, no. But the Jungian dichotomies are real, albeit imperfect. With a bit of experience with these, you can probably guess your family members, friends, ex girlfriends, and coworkers even before they take the test. No one wants to be put in a box, but the questions are all related to one's own preferences. You can resist the findings all you want, but people do perceive and interact with the world in fairly predictable habitual ways.

Throw an extreme -NTP in the same room with an -SFJ, bring up religion, politics, or finance, and you won't get an argument. You'll just have two bewildered individuals with little to discuss.
588  Bitcoin / Wallet software / Re: libbitcoin on: October 24, 2011, 06:37:03 PM
I suggested just as you, including a suffix or prefix checksum. Perhaps you could carry on the discussion this with FreeMoney and SgtSpike who were responsible for the original implementation and maybe Puik who implemented firstbits in the http://blockchain.info service.

I'm not sure where else it's implemented, but I hope it spreads. My primary concern is to get firstbits implemented as deeply into bitcoin as possible. It's far less cumbersome dealing with 5-7 case-insensitive characters than 30 char base58 strings. Since an address is only a hash of the public key, firstbits could become a first/second class citizen of the blockchain and perhaps reduce the size a wee bit. But most importantly, it would make bitcoin more accessible. The '1' prefix is a minor, though interesting, detail. Smiley

How would you represent the genesis address?
589  Economy / Economics / Re: Elliott Wave Educational Video Series on: October 24, 2011, 05:21:07 PM
Could you apply EWP to this well known asset before 2000?

590  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin in France: first legal decision directly related to Bitcoin? on: October 24, 2011, 03:52:09 AM
As I understand: yes. yes. i don't know but that's ripple's problem.
https://github.com/FellowTraveler/Open-Transactions/wiki/Markets
We should take this discussion elsewhere.
591  Economy / Economics / Re: Elliott Wave Educational Video Series on: October 24, 2011, 02:37:57 AM
Video 1. Hour 1:00:20-40 "A correction usually finds its lowest point in the area of the fourth wave of the preceding impulse wave of the same degree."

592  Bitcoin / Wallet software / Re: libbitcoin on: October 24, 2011, 12:52:21 AM
Glad to hear it! Dropping the '1' prefix has been discussed since the summer with good arguments on either side, however, the '1' prefix distinguishes bitcoin from most altcoin addresses.
593  Other / Off-topic / Re: Why are you not at Wall Street? on: October 23, 2011, 11:44:52 PM
Mikhail Bakunin I will give you, certainly not Adolph.
I was thinking Raymond Poincaré, but Bokonon will do.
594  Bitcoin / Wallet software / Re: libbitcoin on: October 23, 2011, 11:09:27 PM
Hi Genjix, are you considering implementing the firstbits algorithm in libbitcoin?
595  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: FirstBits.com - remember and share Bitcoin addresses on: October 23, 2011, 11:07:41 PM
Hey FreeMoney and SgtSpike, have you chatted with Genjix about implementing firstbits in libbitcoin?

https://gitorious.org/libbitcoin/libbitcoin
596  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin in France: first legal decision directly related to Bitcoin? on: October 23, 2011, 10:58:39 PM
I do think the Open Transactions project might be trying to solve too many problems at once and that jeopardizes its adoption.  I would love it if FellowTraveler focused on nothing but the infrastructure for a p2p/ripple like exchange for bitcoin and put a lot of the other things that open transactions can do on the shelf for a while.

FellowTraveler has already created a generic cypherpunk financial library. The fact that he paid an Indian $1000 to develop a Java app is pure candy. A better question might be: Why are so many developers focusing on other things, recreating the wheel, and not leveraging the OpenTransactions infrastructure?

I hope the same will be asked of Genjix' libbitcoin.
597  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Vow not to exchange bitcoin for fiat on: October 23, 2011, 10:42:19 PM
The responses have been fascinating. Both positive and negative, the presumptions have generally been unfounded. At no point have I mentioned exchange rates as a motivation. Not once.

"Hi, I want to reduce my dependence upon fiat paper. I want to use and support bitcoin as much as possible. Hey you too? Cool. Let's hang."

"Oh, that guy over there agrees? Cool. Let's work together."


other threads about "who's spending instead of selling" and so on, if you take away the hard-language of "pledge" this idea is no longer silly

Whether it's called a pledge, vow, gentleman's agreement, statement of intent, or preference, I am in fact looking for names. I do intend to contact people and find out what they are up to and how we can achieve our common goals. Feel free to PM me, and send your PGP key if you have one, 'cuz I think that's cool too.


Netrin, I think I (don't) understand where you are coming from, but your "solution" isnt one (to the problem that I have in mind)...Such a vow is still pointless and wont change anything (doesn't fit into my view of the world as an exchange market), but if people would actually behave like that (within a network of trust and mutual benefit), we would get a much more viable bitcoin economy.

I don't mean to single the above poster out; It's the majority world view here.


What we would need is some sort of 'Bitcoin supply and demand network' were Individuals and Companies can list their demands for raw materials, goods, services, etc.. and the things they are able to supply.

Yes, this would be an excellent project. I think it would be best to integrate with the many existing web sites that already try to do this. Your network could also be a platform for encouraging suppliers outside of the bitcoin economy to join.

I am looking for a community whose finances might be better modeled in OT and Ripple. Bitcoin currently enjoys wider appeal and is generic. Perhaps bitcoin best serves the transaction level and balancing accounts, but not collaboration and trust.
598  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Vow not to exchange bitcoin for fiat on: October 23, 2011, 07:02:30 AM
in regards to netrin's post... My thoughts are closely related to yours as well.
We need a FDIC insurer but for Bitcoin is really what we need.
Let's pretend you don't actually mean FDIC, but just reputable auditing and insurance services.
599  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Re: I do not think Diaspora is a wise use of cash. on: October 23, 2011, 05:37:34 AM
I have also donated, but I've been a donation slut of late. It strikes me as odd that the developers of a distributed social network based on cryptography would need to be nudged to accept bitcoin and only then clumsily.
600  Economy / Marketplace / Re: Bitcoinica - Advanced Bitcoin Trading Platform on: October 23, 2011, 05:23:07 AM
My question was whether I can place a falling-stop higher than the current price which can only be triggered if my order is filled (I don't want my stop becoming a margin order).

But to your question, in theory yes, if you place a stop at the same price as your position, then if the market moves against you, you lose no money. HOWEVER, you've got spreads, fees, and general fluctuation. Spreads of 0.1 are not uncommon and you probably don't want to trigger a stop until a price movement is decisively against you. You could set your order, watch it for a while, then chase your gains with stops. That way you're only liquidating your position when the market reverses rather than while you are gaining.

If you are sure the price is going up, you buy at $3, then .1 under the bid should be fine. But unfortunately, that might be $2.7
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