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881  Economy / Speculation / Re: A Theory on what pirateat40 is doing on: July 18, 2012, 07:13:19 PM
It is a legitimate topic of discussion for the speculation board because if pirateat40 does get caught up in a short squeeze, he is a big enough player that it will have an impact on the price at least in the short term.

Here is a helpful tip:

1. Withdraw your money and profits with him (if you have any with him) ASAP.

2. Don't sell below $10 in the short term.

lol, indeed appears as a valid "squeeeze the pirate" strategy. Withdraw all from pirate, list for sale at 10.12345$ (or better yet in cold storage for a decade).
882  Economy / Speculation / Re: Rally!!!!! on: July 18, 2012, 01:28:02 PM
not sure who was impressed... and guru status... you are going over board there, I hope.

Nope, just an indication of how low opinion I have about his flock, really.

883  Economy / Speculation / Re: Rally!!!!! on: July 18, 2012, 01:08:08 PM
Of course, some people just saw a demonstration of what exactly their coins are being used for i.e. for selling them on mtgox. Not withdrawing it from pirate (if anything is there) would be at least unwise given the circumstances.
So you think pirate is already trapped in his own short squeeze and will thus be bankupt soon?

Yes, I find that scenario quite plausible. I think it is a ponzi and he was steadily selling some part of "invested" BTC for long time now. This time was just a little show added to impress his flock and generate some "guru" status a-la "currin trading lottery". Selling into the bid to drive price down 2$ from current price certainly did not look like a mythical infallible "1-2% a day daytrader". Cannot know for certain, of course, but time will tell.

Also consider claimed quarter to half million USD worth of fake bid walls, one needs money in gox to build those. Where that money came from? Yep, it is likely, from earlier sales of BTC. If those BTC were sold at 5-6$ mark, and there are plans (which is doubtful) to pay it back one needs to actually convert that into BTC. Now how one does that and even pays 3000% annual dividend on top of 50% trading losses.

And BTW, pirate, did you know, if you lost 10%, you need to earn 11.11% to get back to where you have started. If you lost 50% you need to double your money to get back to the starting point.

884  Economy / Speculation / Re: Rally!!!!! on: July 18, 2012, 12:40:40 PM
Pirate was stating that selling 10s of thousands of coins would not be possible without his lenders. Maybe some got scared to actually loose their coins if pirate just sells them all?

Of course, some people just saw a demonstration of what exactly their coins are being used for i.e. for selling them on mtgox. Not withdrawing it from pirate (if anything is there) would be at least unwise given the circumstances.
885  Economy / Speculation / Re: Pirate Manipulation behind the recent price spike? on: July 18, 2012, 07:11:53 AM
I don't think pirate ever said high prices would hurt him, just large spikes at the wrong moment.

If pirate is running ponzi, why would anyone believe a single word he is saying? In that case, by definition, whatever he say must be considered as a potential lie.

Now, if he is not running ponzi, why the hell he needs to say anything at all?

Now get around that simple logic.

886  Economy / Speculation / Re: Pirate Manipulation behind the recent price spike? on: July 18, 2012, 02:30:11 AM
Unless we have cold hard evidence(TM) from mtgox, pirate is just making shit up.
Sounds like something he would do, too, just to fuck with everyone. Grin

Some people find it easy to fuck around with other people's money, apparently.


887  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: [ARTICLE] Bitcoin To Collapse? on: July 18, 2012, 01:00:48 AM
Delusions of Grandeur.
888  Economy / Speculation / Re: Rally!!!!! on: July 17, 2012, 11:16:03 PM
What he did is a sure way to lose money, and a way to wow his clueless flock. Nobody is making 10% per week doing such antics as selling into bid 1$ below the market price. Not consistently anyway.

889  Economy / Speculation / Re: A Theory on what pirateat40 is doing on: July 17, 2012, 08:12:48 AM
The most plausible explanation I see of some people announcing "huge dump" and then dumping large amount of BTC to the marked at bid is eve-like "lottery" where someone is playing with borrowed money that was never intended to be paid back.

IF pirate converts borrowed BTC into USD, now it is all the more difficult to covert it back to pay those "dividends", if not why the hell to try to sell then?

And one final question? How does it feel to sell so much BTC 1$ below market price just to get some more popularity points among already captive audience.


890  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Can anyone speak to this video? Critical of Bitcoin on: July 16, 2012, 10:20:17 PM
Hehehehe the more important point is that if Bitcoin reaches the size of the Visa network, then we already won.

Exactly! He is saying: "if they win, they fail". Quite a logical fallacy this one, is it not?

Anyway, there is that thing, good project managers know about "premature optimisation"...

891  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Can anyone speak to this video? Critical of Bitcoin on: July 16, 2012, 10:14:49 PM
For example, his attack on scalability has as starting condition "if they operate VISA size network" and conclusion oh they would need to buy 1TB storage per week. Do you think VISA sized network could afford buying a few HDD's per day (even assuming that storage tech freezes forever now)?

Uh sure if there's 1 node, unfortunately this is a problem that every node has to deal with. I can't possibly imagine how someone who works on bitcoin magazine and has 2,300 posts and I think his own bitcoin message board too would not understand the difference.

Do you think VISA size network would have a problem buying 1000 HDD's a day, 4 years from now?
892  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Can anyone speak to this video? Critical of Bitcoin on: July 16, 2012, 08:48:59 PM
Watched this for the second time. That guy has a habit of failing distinguishing between bugs and features. If you listen carefully most things he mentions as supposedly negative are actually positive for Bitcoin. In his Bitcoin part of talk about 80% of whatever he say is actually positive for Bitcoin, just delivered in a snide fashion.

Some huge "bugs" he mentioned are so not a big deal.

For example, his attack on scalability has as starting condition "if they operate VISA size network" and conclusion oh they would need to buy 1TB storage per week. Do you think VISA sized network could afford buying a few HDD's per day (even assuming that storage tech freezes forever now)?

In effect this is a hostile and qualified analysis that could not come up with anything more substantial than Ben's face in blockchain. This is the best he could come up with.
893  Other / Off-topic / Re: Personality types on: July 16, 2012, 05:01:35 PM
lots of INTP's on this forum, including yours truly
894  Economy / Speculation / Re: RALLY! on: July 16, 2012, 04:46:12 PM
and here is the original rally thread, lol

now 60kBTC order book depth goes to 7.9$ and to 18$ choice is yours.
895  Economy / Speculation / Re: Putting the first Bitcoin bubble into context on: July 16, 2012, 08:03:56 AM
If you discount about one week of "irrational exuberance" the price went up only to 15-17$ level, and this is not that crazy. Or at least not such a huge bubble as many think it is.

Now if you take into consideration all those bitcoins "printed" over time and chart total market cap, the chart looks much, much healthier.

Chances are we will see prices above that again before long, it's just an easy double from here.



896  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Is there a way to estimate the number of bitcoin users? on: July 16, 2012, 07:32:57 AM
users ~= [days since block 0]^1.6

More precisely it's [days since block 0]^1.6180339887

Smiley

To be even more precise X^1.6180339887, where X is unknown.
897  Economy / Marketplace / Vladimir's Informal Information Security Training for Bitcoin Teams. on: July 15, 2012, 10:14:55 PM
With a reference to recent and continuing security breaches hitting various companies in Bitcoin Economy I am now offering the following service:

"Informal Information Security Training for Bitcoin Teams."

This can be done over skype as a group video conference.

This can be done in person in your office.

The training can be tailored for individuals as well.

I will customise the content of talks/lessons/workshops for every specific company and your requirements, as appropriate.

This can be as simple as a quick run down over essential techniques or as complex as a series of talks following the process of establishing a sane Information Security Management System and relevant training.

This may include a brief practical no-nonsense workshop to get your team familiar with essential tools and techniques to dramatically reduce risks of information security compromises.

Could be a great start for taking information security seriously for any "Bitcoin Team" that enters this marketpace.

Please contact me to discuss your specific requirements.

skype: vladimir.marchenko.co.uk  (email is the same but @ instead of the leftmost dot)

Naturally, Bitcoin is accepted as one of possible payment methods.
898  Economy / Service Announcements / Re: [Payout Updates] Bitcoinica site is taken offline for security investigation on: July 15, 2012, 07:03:23 PM
Quote
  • Review the data center’s disaster recovery plan (they may have missed this one, but 6(?) outta 7 ain't bad)

Basically Information Security is mostly concerned with so called CIA of data.
i.e.
confidentiality, integrity, availability (CIA) of data.

Integrity is one of the major goals here and "offsite backups"  is always the very first thing one looks into when dealing with data integrity.

From my point of view they blew not 1 of of 7, but 3 out of 3.


899  Economy / Service Announcements / Re: [Payout Updates] Bitcoinica site is taken offline for security investigation on: July 15, 2012, 06:57:04 PM
I would speculate that "CTO with specialisation in information security" thought that "Information Security Audit" = "code audit for SQL injection and XSS and such" plus maybe a port scan.

Given all that we know now this would be the most plausible and simple explanation.



900  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: [Proposal] Debt reconstruction for the Bitcoincia loss: Pay back later on: July 14, 2012, 10:14:05 AM
MtGox is lucky. The hacker didn't delete their database, for once. Bitcoinica wasn't so lucky.

Lady Luck is smiling to those who are well prepared.
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