Local currencies such as TEM can work very well with Bitcoin. All it takes is for someone in the local community to set up a Bitcoin / TEM exchange based on the relative market price of both currencies.
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Here is the link to the official Singapore Government Website http://statutes.agc.gov.sg/ There are many offenses for which caning is part of the punishment.
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There's nothing bear market about this chart. Any pullback to around 8 is bought aggressively. http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/mtgoxUSD#rg90ztgSza1gSMAzm1g20za2gSMAzm2g50zi1gVolzi2gMACDzi3gRSIAlso, Mt. Gox does not support stop orders. nor do they allow any leverage. So buying high in hopes of triggering others to buy higher, or selling low in hopes of triggering others to sell lower, just does not work in this market. The act of "stop hunting" is also illegal in regulated markets, but it does occur regularly. Anyone issuing a market-buy or market-sell order for 30,000 BTC will guarantee themselves the worst possible price on that trade. That's ok, because you can trade against those people and profit quite handsomely. The biggest buy I made was 3200 BTC below 8 the first time pirate pushed it down there, and bragged that he had the 8.00 ask wall. I sold all of those coins over $9.00 within 24 hours. I agree that we are not in a bear market; however my analysis of Pirate's trading strategy and borrowing structure is that it is very appropriate for a bear market such as the Bitcoin market from July 2011 - December 2011.
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-how taxes would work in a bitcoin dominated world
Depends on what you mean: - what the state should do to continue taxing people +1 Will taxing people still be possible?... +1 A lot US-biased people on these forums seem to complain about US-specific problems, and often advocate some kind of "anarchic" and presumably tax-free society in response to their country's problems. That's all very nice, but there don't seem to be any historic examples demonstrating how a Libertarian Utopia might actually work. And even if there used to be some anarchic societies in the past, clearly they all got destroyed for some or other reason. (Maybe they couldn't collect enough funds for a functional defence force, and a stronger, more evil power overpowered them?) So, what I want to know is how can ordinary societies with ordinary governments incorporate Bitcoin into their taxation systems, while avoiding social upheaval? And why would they want to? This is particularly important when the US based "solutions" have a profound implication on VAT/GST a form of taxation that is prevalent in every major economy with the notable exception of the United States of America. Treating Bitcoin as "money" or "currency" rather than as a "commodity" is critical to avoid major chaos when considering VAT/GST.
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Virtex is acting very bullish Most of the time Virtex is a good 10 - 30 cents lower then mtgox now its almost 20 cents over mtgox price oh and the 2 recently executed order are me filling small bids There is the USD / CAD rate of 1 USD = 1.0219 CAD to also take into account. This still places MtGox higher than Virtex but not by much. 8.691 CAD (8.505 USD) for MtGox vs 8.605 CAD for Virtex.
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I chose 8.50, but there really needs to be an "all of the above" option for those of use who used a dollar cost averaging strategy.
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It works because it plays on the weakness of the bulls. This can be because of thin bids, lack of substantial buyers, lack of competition on the buy side etc. It can also work very well against bulls subject to a margin call. It also takes advantage of stop losses by the bulls very well. The impact on the ask side is to induce either the movement of an ask to a lower price or even better induce sale at market thereby further lowering the price. It is fundamentally a good bear market strategy sell high and later buy low.
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Title pretty much explains it. I'm 17 and id like to know the easiest way I could get some BTC from the comfort of my home sitting in front of my computer. I have a debit / credit card and would like to know if there are any possible ways I can get some bitcoins. Just about every way you get bitcoins requires you to go through a site like dwolla or paypal or something of the nature and you have to be 18 to register on any major online banking / money transfer site and since most of them make you link your bank accounts or verify your CC info you cant get past the age requirement. I tried buying linden dollars through second life and transferring them in game to VirWox but anyone who knows this method probably knows about the risk API that flags new accounts. I even had a 2 year old account and was only able to transfer roughly 8000 linden which is about 5 bitcoins before it flagged me and I was no longer able too. I know I could try and buy from individual people certain ways but id like a trusted secure method if possible. Any input would be nice. Ive been trying to figure something out for a couple months with no luck. Ive made a few trips to the bank for cash deposits but the nearest bank is somewhat 40 minutes away and would just like a sit at home way to get my bitcoins. Any input would be great! Thanks guys, have a good one.
Thank you for your post. When I was a teenager and before a tween cash was commonly used for most purchases, debit cards did not exist, PayPal did not exist. The Internet was a not used means of commerce. Credit cards did exist, but they could be replaced for all transactions by either cash, cheques, postal money orders or travelers cheques. In those days young people were not put at a disadvantage in commerce as they are today. How is relevant to Bitcoin? It is the only from of digital money that can be effectively used by tweens and teenagers. This is one of the main reasons why I am very bullish on Bitcoin as tweens and teenagers are a massive online market. The solution to tweens and teenagers purchasing Bitcoin is really the same as what the baby boomers used when they were tweens and teenagers to purchase goods and services: CASH in person. The good news is it is starting to happen right now due to the entrepreneurship in this community.
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Why doesn't he keep his mouth shut, if he's going to burn it to the ground? I mean, if you're George Soros and you're about to break the Bank of England by shorting the pound, surely you wouldn't be letting people know in advance? Dun dun dun.Druckenmiller and Soros were already very well invested in both the German and British economies. It was when Druckenmiller realized that Germany was raising their rates and Britain had absolutely no intention to that he realized he could make a decent amount. He had already put a few million into the German mark prior to reunification, because he saw it was far more devalued than it should have been. At the time Soros basically said if he believed it would have a specific time frame for recovery, he should put in billions, not just millions, so he did, sure enough, the wall came down and Soros and Druckenmiller made hundreds of millions. People forget this. After their sale, they had significant amounts of British pounds, but German was growing quite well, and their economy actually seemed more stable than even Britain's at the time, so when Germany thought it was a good idea to raise interest rates, and Britain basically said it wasn't going to, Druckenmiller saw another opportunity. Again, as the previous time, when he told Soros, Soros indicated that a few hundred million wasn't enough, and they should put in billions since it was basically a sure bet and they knew they had the British pounds to make it happen. So they did. And more importantly, they told everyone about it, because they knew they had enough to do it, it was a psychological thing, they needed the pound to be stronger so that when they bought back into it, it was stable, perhaps not as stable as the US dollar at the time, but stable enough that it mattered. In essence, when someone controls significant amounts of your money supply like Soros or other large traders, you're trusting them to decide public policy, because they can use the bulk of their money to voice a concern and make good on it. Pirate may have a huge investor wanting a significant amount of Bitcoin, but he probably just aims to use vast amounts of cash to do what he is trying to do. He'd never puts up ask walls, instead he only plays the buy side, when he sees how weak the buys are, he drops his walls and used borrowed funds to sell into it. This solution works if you are the major market buyer but stop working if another major market buyer steps in and set up their bot to wait for the buy wall to drop then BUYS INTO the sells done WITH BORROWED COIN. Like I said, I'm looking forward to the next time he does this. http://www.investopedia.com/articles/forex/08/greatest-currency-trades.asp#axzz21ZKmUIcGThis is a great and very profitable strategy in a bear market, especially when combined with the borrowed BTC. Let us not forget that during the bear market in Bitcoin between July 2011 and December 2011 the effective inflation rate for Bitcoin in terms of the USD price was over 7% a week. But in a bull market?
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I guess that explains what pirate is doing with the borrowed funds. He thinks he can daytrade the borrowed funds and beat the market.
That is indeed feasible, but not forever. That kind of activity been compared to "picking up nickels in front of a steamroller". Its profitable until the day he is wiped out.
In a sophisticated market, yes. This is as naïve a market as you can find. You can use short-term trading strategies from the 30s and still do well on mtgox. And by 30s, I mean 1630s. Of course!. The strategy is to sell tulip bulbs short after they peaked in value in February 1637. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tulip_mania
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Do you really think someone as pirate would be stupid enough to tell everyone he is short if he wanted the price to go down?
Actually many smart and successful investors make no secret of what their positions are, long or short, once they have invested. Pirate is more along the lines of keeping his overall strategy secret while dropping hints here and there so that someone willing to "connect the dots" can get a fairly good picture of what he is really up to.
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Read through Pirate's posts. If you read inbetween the lines you will know exactly what he's doing.
Beyond taking on debt at rates that even a love child of Warren Buffett and Bill Gates couldn't repay? Fascinating quote though, where and when is this from? The part I think a lot of people miss is the differences between a rally and a crash as far as how the market reacts. So, I'll attempt to explain it.
During a...
rally a couple big buys cause people to jump on the train, riding it up the hill without much movement on the ask side of the order book. crash a couple big sells induce panic that not only sell off coins but cause orders to be ripped from the bid side of the order book. Driving prices into the ground.
Granted, there will be people buying at any price but the traders are smart and we've got some big players in the market this time.
My two cents are free.
-pirate
Why doesn't he keep his mouth shut, if he's going to burn it to the ground? I mean, if you're George Soros and you're about to break the Bank of England by shorting the pound, surely you wouldn't be letting people know in advance? Dun dun dun.I looked at the George Soros case because as with Pirate he was also a short. I am not convinced; however that George Soros had anywhere near the influence over GBP than Pirate has over BTC. A much closer case although in this case the manipulators were bulls is when the Hunt brothers tried to corner the silver market in 1979 - 1980. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nelson_Bunker_Hunt and http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Silver_Thursday
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There are many ways for even a small player to trade successfully against Pirate. One of the simplest is to arbitrage his MtGox trades on one or more of the smaller exchanges. This is simplest if both exchanges trade in USD. The net effect is to leverage the smaller market against him.
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In a bear market Pirate's strategy makes a lot of sense. It just does not work very well in a bull market.
And why do you assume this is Pirate's strategy. Do you really think he's that stupid? I've discussed his risk profile with him and he's not as dumb as you assume. Again, I'll ask: Where is one scrap of evidence that your claims have anything to do with reality? We already know his strategy works very well in a bear market. The proof in that he has not missed a payment. Let us see how he does in a bull market particularly one where the BTC / USD price rises sharply. Way to ignore the question. We will see, but in the mean time can you quit with the strong assertions without a shred of evidence to back them up? If you want to say "I think that...", fine, but going around acting like you know Pirate's every move/position makes you look like an idiot. The evidence is there in plain view including in Pirate's own posts and comments to anyone willing to spend the time and effort to do their own research using publicly available information. I must say all I have seen for the most part is either it is a very profitable propriety business method that cannot be disclosed in order to maintain its profitability (supporters) or it is some kind of illegal ponzi or money laundering scheme (detractors). I am quite prepared to let time and the markets judge who is and who is not an idiot on both sides of this matter.
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In a bear market Pirate's strategy makes a lot of sense. It just does not work very well in a bull market.
And why do you assume this is Pirate's strategy. Do you really think he's that stupid? I've discussed his risk profile with him and he's not as dumb as you assume. Again, I'll ask: Where is one scrap of evidence that your claims have anything to do with reality? We already know his strategy works very well in a bear market. The proof in that he has not missed a payment. Let us see how he does in a bull market particularly one where the BTC / USD price rises sharply.
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In a bear market Pirate's strategy makes a lot of sense. It just does not work very well in a bull market.
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how does pirate make money if he buys high and sells low Buying high pushes the price extremely high, allowing someone who can corner the market to profit by selling. Selling low pushes the price extremely low, allowing someone who can corner the market to profit by buying. If you're the one doing the high buying and low selling, you know when it's going to start and when it's going to stop, allowing you to time your trades until after the walls re-appear. Some lucky and/or wise counterparty recognizing this happening can both profit during the buy up or sell down (when you're buying high and selling low) by taking your trades and they can also profit during the buy low and sell high phases by taking the trades of the walls that other people put up. No. His strategy is to sell high and then buy low. The reason he may end up selling low and then buying high is because selling high and then buying low is a bear market strategy that does not work in a bull market. How do you know his strategy? Because he is paying a premium 7% a week to borrow BTC rather than say 2% a year to borrow USD. So it is pretty obvious we are talking about a bear rather than a bull here.
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how does pirate make money if he buys high and sells low Buying high pushes the price extremely high, allowing someone who can corner the market to profit by selling. Selling low pushes the price extremely low, allowing someone who can corner the market to profit by buying. If you're the one doing the high buying and low selling, you know when it's going to start and when it's going to stop, allowing you to time your trades until after the walls re-appear. Some lucky and/or wise counterparty recognizing this happening can both profit during the buy up or sell down (when you're buying high and selling low) by taking your trades and they can also profit during the buy low and sell high phases by taking the trades of the walls that other people put up. No. His strategy is to sell high and then buy low. The reason he may end up selling low and then buying high is because selling high and then buying low is a bear market strategy that does not work in a bull market.
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I'd be more interested in speculating how many people have 100.000 or more bitcoins. That's almost a million USD.
I am equally interested in speculating how many people are short 100.000 or more bitcoins since that short position is almost a million USD.
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