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361  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: If there is a war between the US and Europe, Bitcoin will hit $1 billion on: December 24, 2023, 10:38:17 AM
If there is a war between the US and Europe, Bitcoin will hit $1 billion

Most of the world's banks, whether big or small, are located in the US and Europe, In case of war, all banks will be closed, Which will immediately benefit Bitcoin, The price of bitcoin will increase infinitely, Many banks will quickly print dollars and euros to buy cryptocurrency quickly, This will have a huge impact on Bitcoin as there will be no other source for cross-border transactions. Remember that most of the world's banks are located in the US and Europe, while 20-25% of them operate in Asia and other regions.

What? How do you come up with this stuff? First of all there is not going to be a war between Europe and USA. Why should there a war between western countries when the tensions are high between the middle east, China and Russia? There are so many big wars more likely than a USA vs Europe war. Secondly, why would central banks be buying bitcoins and other cryptos? It might be the case that the people lose all their trust in Euros and Dollars and would start buying cryptos. But once the price sky rockets I don't think it's going to keep attracting more investors. Also a war is never a permanent situation, eventually the war will be over and things will go back to normal. A price of 1bn for BTC seems unrealistic, even with high inflation for a few years.
362  Economy / Economics / Re: My view of wealth and assets specially now on: December 24, 2023, 06:44:47 AM

Now Im wondering what they will do with all that bonds wich will have maturity on 2026

Im not economic expert i just think people have lost their guard too confident to trust something what does not have solid security.

All of the major companies rely on bonds to finance their operations. For the last 15 years the companies got used to cheap money, paying only 1-3% interest on most of their debt. Without the debt market there would be a huge issue for the companies to create new projects and invest in the future. The problem companies will face now is to roll all their existing debt into much higher interest debt for the next 3-10 years. This is going to put a lot of pressure on the financing department and will likely lead to some bankruptcy. Which is why the Fed already stopped raising rates and will likely lower rates again. If the whole economy is suffering the politicians will demand lower rates again, even if this means rising inflation again. The alternatives for us are bitcoins and gold, but gold is already at the ATH, I am not sure how much upside potential is left.
363  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Risking 1% in Gambling on: December 23, 2023, 03:25:33 PM
But in spite of everything that is happening in the ecosystem of the gambling industry, there are still many gamblers who play even though they know that they often lose because they still hope that they will get lucky eventually; that's how they motivate themselves.

They? That's us, right? unless you aren't a gambler. Personally, I do enjoy gambling if only I win, and if I lose, I would consider it as a challenge and that makes more interested in gambling. However, overtime, I know what kind of gambling to choose as there are skilled based and luck based gambling, of course we choose those skilled based as that gives us a real chance, so for me, I'm more focus into sports betting, continuously finding the working strategy and hoping that one day I'll able to discover it.

Sticking to sports betting and learning everything about our team, the league and the big tournaments will eventually give us an edge and should make us long term money. Everybody needs to decide for himself how much money he is willing to risk. Having a fixed budget in relation to our monthly income makes a lot of sense and I would only consider gambling more if my income or my bankroll goes up. It's all about statistics, because the more we gamble the closer we will get to our expected values. This doesn't mean that we can't get lucky and get a big win. It's just that the number of gamblers achieving that is very small, similar to the number of gamblers getting a big loss. The majority of gamblers will land in the middle of the distribution, either getting a small win or a small loss.
364  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Which one did you use to gamble with more on: December 23, 2023, 03:10:07 PM
I prefer staking before matches start when I started to gamble as a newbie. I later prefer virtual matches. I left both to staking on live matches which is what I gamble with most on bookies now.

This is just for fun. Let us post and have fun to know which one that most people on this forum that are posting on this gambling board like most.


Do not gamble more than you can afford to lose.

I never bet on virtual sports and will probably never do so in the future. For me it's all about betting games that I enjoy watching myself. Betting on something that I see, follow or watch the highlights after seems wrong to me. This probably also comes down to that I only bet on sports that I follow regularly and watch. In university I had a few friends that where all about fantasy league sports games and would actually bet money on it. Somehow it never interested me, because there are already so many different live games happening each week. It's also makes it harder to control our betting history if we bet on a wide range of games.
365  Economy / Gambling / Re: What do you want to see in casino reviews? on: December 23, 2023, 09:45:53 AM
1. Do you read casino reviews?

2. Do you find any casino reviews useful? If so, please share some examples of good casino reviews that you find useful.

3. What should a casino review contain to make you read it?

4. I've already tried to write reviews that I find useful.  If you have the opportunity, please share your thoughts on them: WolfBet Review and LTC Casino Review

5. Additionally, please share any thoughts you have on the topic of casino reviews.



1. Yes, I definitely read casino reviews and try to get as much information as possible about new casinos. In case it's an older casino where I have been playing for a few years without any red flags, then I am not too worried about a bad review. Because there can always be a person that lost large and wants to say something bad about the casino. So, for me reviews are mostly important about new casinos that I never heard about.

2. Yes, some casino reviews are useful. When it's about new features or new promotions that I haven't heard about. Also, reviews that warn about delayed payments or issue with the support staff are very important. Any red flag that could lead to serious issues down the line could be a problem.

3.  A casino review should contain all the parts of the casino, how are the games, how is the process to deposit money and withdraw it again, how many promotions are there from time to time, how is the support staff and can you quickly to talk to person when there is an issue.

I think casino reviews are a bit tricky, because we don’t have any verification that all the claims are true. When it comes to the internet people can claim a lot of things, without being accountable for it. That is why we should try and read as many reviews as possible, because the more people share similar experience the more value we can put on them.
366  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Gambling and Behavioral Change!!! on: December 23, 2023, 09:16:24 AM
Does any of feel behavioral change in you based on the win/loss in gambling. Myself had experienced it, and personally I used to be happy and I used to be polite with my family members and kid whenever I am on profit. On the day of losing it changes exactly in the opposite way, even for simple things I get much anger. Particularly while giving food to kid patience is must. On winning days I let him take his own time and eat. On the losing days I used to shout at him. I'm addicted, and I want fellow gamblers to make a self analysis at regular interval and be on the safer side.

I have been gambling for so many years that is hard to tell which of my character traits are coming from gambling and which not. I would say that everybody changes over time depending on the things they are doing. The real question would be now if the changes where good or bad. The whole topic of anger came to me at a much younger age, probably around 12 years of age when I started gaming online. Especially when playing Dota or CSGO I got a lot of frustration after losing and needed to learn how to cope without getting angry so quickly. Which is probably why I never got angry later when I started gambling. Something that I learned through gambling and which helped later when I started to trade, was how budget my gambling money. Building a long term bankroll is very important especially in poker. Playing too quickly at higher stakes tables can lead to going broke during a losing streak. It also helped to work towards a long term plan and get some patience.
367  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Gamblers trickily claims they wins the bet while they never did. on: December 23, 2023, 09:00:12 AM
Don't be deceived, not every gamblers who actually claims that they won really won.
Some falsefully speculates that they won just because they want to pave an ease to those who has been advising them to quit or limits gambling simply because the gambler has been unlucky to win instead he keep betting over and over without a good bankroll management in their gambling carriers.
They basically do this because they feels disturbed and inconveniences of the people's opinions and advices towards the gamblers unprofitable gambling experiences

I think it all comes down to if you can trust someone or not. If a good friend for example tells me about his gambling experience and he mentions that he was lucky and won a good amount, then I definitely believe him. What is there for him to gain by not telling the truth about his gambling endeavours? In case I would find out that he was lying then our friendship would probably be over and since I know most of my friends for more than 10 years, I believe they will tell me the truth. And then there is the complete opposite, where strangers online sharing their gambling experience. If I don't know someone than I would be very cautious believing in how well they are gambling. A lot of the people on the internet are only after attention and in many cases don't earn their living through gambling directly, but rather the advertising people watch to follow the so called "influencers". 


368  Economy / Economics / Re: Learn to use DEBT in a proper way to create asset on: December 23, 2023, 08:32:44 AM
Let's discuss this matter, friends. If others don't already know, there are two types of debt. This is bad debt, and the second is good debt. And we know that this concept was explained by Robert Kiyosaki.

* Bad debt: This is what makes a person suffer, because it is the things that give us liabilities or the ones that decrease in value, such as gadgets and cars. And the common problem with these loans is that you will pay them with high interest.

* Good debt: this is the type of debt that will make a person rich. Or else you will also earn money because, instead of using it for your needs, you will use it to build an asset. Which, if you handle it properly, can give you extra income.


It's true, there are definitely two types of debt, the good and the bad. I would make the classification a bit different, bad debt is the one that we use for consumption. It doesn't provide any additional value for us except a quick boost in consumption, but it won't make our long-term outlook better. The good debt on the other hand is going to create income and returns in the future that will make our situation better. In most cases I think that debt is unnecessary and should better be avoided, but there are also situations where using debt is unavoidable. For example, when buying a house or apartment the majority of people will be unable to make the purchase from their savings alone. For such a large purchase which we only make a few times in our lives we need to use debt. The debt in such a case should always be consider in relation to the benefit we get from it. With our own apartment we would save on paying rent which we then can afford to pay back our loan. So, we should be only using debt if we get something from it and if there is a benefit in the future. The only exception would be if we need money for a medical treatment, health is everything and comes before money.     
369  Economy / Gambling / Re: How to self exclude from anonymous gambling sites on: December 20, 2023, 07:41:30 AM
You take a currency that requires 21 days for staking/unstaking, then you deposit this amount in Atomic Wallet, stake it and then you can't gamble with the crypto you're holding.


This would be one way to exclude yourself from gambling with your current balance, but what about just depositing new money? I have been in a similar situation in the past where I tried to reduce my gambling size and it was hard to control myself. What has helped me a lot is to drastically reduce my bankroll and really force myself to only stick to that size I can afford to bet with. There were a couple of setbacks when I added new money to the account, but over time I got better at controlling myself. I think this is something many traders and gamblers will have to learn. Another feature many casinos added is the panic button, which let's the gambler log out instantly and even lock the account for 24 hours, 7 days or 1 month.
370  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Has gambling ever whispered you with different strategic prediction measures? on: December 19, 2023, 09:06:37 PM
Since gambling is most based on luck, who else has ever wanted to set your eyes close while you hits the slot or taking your predictions with the believe that.... "Your eye sight has failed you in number of times at when believing that taking your time and plays according to your heart desired based on sights satisfactories was to be the best for you"
Then probably sometimes you want to try a new trick by closing your eyes while picking your predictions or hitting the slots.

Not really, I like to see what is happening and closing my eyes or looking away doesn't feel like it's going to impact my luck anyways. In the past I had issue where I was playing scratch cards and threw away a ticket where I thought all my numbers missed. But actually, I didn't fully scratch away all numbers and I misread the winning numbers. Luckily my friend double checked my ticket out of the bin and I won 20 Euros. After such a mistake I am now always triple checking my numbers, to make sure I am getting all my winnings. The only person that I know that seems a bit superstitious is a good friend of mine and every time he places a bet in Roulette he turns away and doesn't look at the it. He is also the only person that I know that won betting on the 0 couple of times already, but looking at the wheel or not doesn’t make a difference. Doing so regularly will just tell our brain that we have influence over the outcome which isn’t the case.       



371  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: help me not to leave btc on: December 19, 2023, 03:12:55 PM
I'm a 19-year-old boy living in South Korea and now btt, doge, shiba inu, etc.. have skyrocketed in just a few hours on our country exchange 'upbit'. A little fomo is coming. I can't believe it's gone up more than a months I've invested in bitcoin. I personally don't want to invest in other coins, as I think bitcoin is superior.
What kind of mindset should I have to stay in Bitcoin? And I think Bitcoin is about to hit the highest price ever, so how should I plan my dca strategy?

Don't focus so much on the moment, FOMO is always going to be an issue if we focus only on the small picture. It's better to take a step back and look at the whole story. We should remind ourselves where the bitcoin journey started and that it's not going to end any time soon. The bitcoin price had such a good last few months and seems to be holding his gains quite well. After the jump above 40,000 USD I was a bit afraid that many investors would take profits and dumb most of their coins. Luckily this wasn't the case and investors believe in higher prices in the future. There will always be a few people that need money quickly and will sell there coins when there is a good opportunity. For me, I would try to look at the bigger picture. We are still far away from the ATH, there is a lot of upside potential left in the market. Also, the halving is coming up next year putting more pressure on bitcoin to rise. On top of that is the economic outlook for 2024 not that great, if there are issues with economy or another crisis, people will have to put their money someone. Selling stocks seems like the instant reaction, but cash is not attractive with the high inflation and gold is at it's ATH. Crypto currencies and especially bitcoin seem like the only real alternative.
372  Economy / Economics / Re: Is there a correlation between liquidity and volatility? on: December 19, 2023, 02:27:57 PM
As we understand, liquidity refers to the rate at which you can easily sell an asset or investment and convert it to cash (this is the best way I understand it). Some investments include stocks, cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, real estate, high-end wristwatches, and more. Bitcoin is highly liquid because at any time of the day, year, or at any place I am, I can easily sell my Bitcoin for cash. However, Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are also very volatile compared to other assets or investments. Yes, they are liquid but not necessarily non-volatile. Can I, therefore, conclude that the higher the liquidity of an asset, the higher its volatility?

No, I would argue against high liquidity meaning high volatility. High liquidity means that there is a large number of buy or sell counterparts that would fill my order. It's not only about the number of traders, but also the quantity of traders. It could be that there are a lot of small buy or sell orders that would be filled by one single large trade and taking out all the liquidity from the market. Just because we can trade small amounts of cryptos all the time doesn't mean the exchange could handle a large order as well. Volatility comes into play when there are news coming out that have a big impact on the markets or economy. For example, the slow down of central banks to keep increasing rates means that risky assets become more attractive anymore. Many investors already expect rates to fall again next year to support the economy. When bonds and savings accounts don't offer interest rates anymore, investors will go back into stocks and cryptos. A constant rise or drop in prices doesn't mean high volatility, that comes from people taking profit and tryinh to get out of the market. Liquidity is people's willingness to trade and volatility is uncertainty and short term noise in the market.
373  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Bankroll! on: December 19, 2023, 08:54:50 AM
1. How much bankroll can you afford to start with?

2. With your bankroll, how much expected profit do you anticipate in a year?

3. Will you be content with your profit? If not, have you considered increasing your bankroll, even if you cannot afford it?

Question 3 is a clear no for me, I will always gamble within my means and not spend more than I can afford to lose. I can't understand people that would gamble and recklessly, it just doesn't make any sense. Let's you are profitable at sports betting, why would bet more than you can afford. Just wait a few months and build up your bankroll from your winnings. And if you are not profitable then any additional spending will just increase your losses. As for the profit, I don't have a particular profit that I am aiming for, every win is great and I appreciate it. My focus is more on the risk, I want to avoid losing large sums of my bankroll. My bankroll depends on the type of game I play, for poker I have 500 USD and I only withdraw when I go above 1,000 USD. For sports betting I usually stick to 100-200 USD, except if there is big tournament then I might bet a little more.
374  Economy / Economics / Re: Growth mindset versus fixed mindset on: December 19, 2023, 07:38:08 AM
CONCLUSION
Since, ones mindset can be changed, it's better for one to develop a growth mindset towards all one's activities in life to achieve a great result. Develop a growth mindset toward all your goals today to improve on your business, studies, etc.
   

I fully agree with you, having a mindset that focuses on growth is much better than a fixed mindset. The world is evolving every single day, new technologies are being developed and new products are being invented, which brings the world forward and we need to go with the time. It's so easy to get lost in time and think that the world hasn't changed much, but once you look at a review from 10 or 20 years ago, we see how far the world come in such a short period of time. A fixed mindset assumes that we learn everything important in school and university and after that we don't have to learn anything new anymore. Which is obviously wrong and will lead to us falling back as the world moves on. Standing still during a forward moving world is like going backwards, we should be trying to learn something new every month and go with the time. For that we need to a dynamic and growth mindset and not a fixed one. Once we become older and go towards retirement it’s fine to switch to a fixed mindset.
375  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Which one is fun, watching with bet or without a bet? on: December 18, 2023, 06:11:18 PM
Just trying to get the communities opinion based on their experience about the topic.

Personally, a a bettor, I find it very stressful when watching the game you are betting especially if it will end up a losing bet.

If we have the same experience, how do you cope up with that problem, after all, gambling should be fun but why we have this kind of feeling that we feel disappointed when our bet loses?

I definitely prefer to watch sports game where I have a stake in it. Placing a bet on my favourite team before a big match makes me even more hyped and enjoy the game. Becoming stressful during a game because of a bet, usually means for me that I bet too much money and are not comfortable anymore. Which is why I try to bet smaller sizes on a larger number of bets than to focus just on a few games where I would bet a lot of money. Usually I watch football, some basketball and of course some esport games like CSGO and Dota2. For me it’s fun to watch all those games, and if I had no more fun from one particular sport, I would start looking for an alternative. Losing bets is part of the game and I stopped to worry so much about losing a single bet, it’s all about the law of large numbers and making sure on average to 55-60% of the bets. Nobody can achieve a 100%-win rate in sports betting, there will always be surprises and we need to live with them. If there is no more fun for you in betting and watching the gamers, you should maybe try to change things up and make it more interesting again for you.
376  Economy / Economics / Re: Do you still use Banks ? on: December 18, 2023, 05:32:26 PM
Do you use more crypto or banks for your daily or average transactions ?
Do you have had problems with hackers or someone steal money from your cryptocurrency or bank
Do you think banks not working reliable any more ?

Not a big surprise that they majority people here on the forum trust Bitcoins over their banks. After the 2008 financial crisis with the collapse of several big banks I am quite careful when it comes to storing larger amounts of money at the banks. I am still required to use banks every day for my transactions, because I get my salary in FIAT money and also have to pay my bills in FIAT money. Our whole economy is based on using banks and quite a few stores are stopping to accept larger amounts of cash. Before the covid pandemic I only used to pay with cash and leave my debit card at home, but now it becomes harder and harder to only rely on cash. It would be nice to switch to only use Bitcoins, unfortunately most stores still don't accept cryptos. I do get a lot of scam mails every week from my "bank" which wants me to open suspicious links. But since my bank has their own App, I would never receive such legit emails directly. From crypto hackers I didn't receive any emails so far and I am trying to be cautious as much as possible. Banks are definitely not as safe as Bitcoins, my solution for that is to spread my money out across multiple banks and never rely only on one bank.
377  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Do you have a "gambling problem" which you can sometimes control for years? on: December 18, 2023, 09:02:12 AM
Let's start with the simple choice: Do you consider yourself to have a gambling problem affecting your happiness, security, relationships, finances, etc? (Yes or No)



No I don't think I have a gambling problem. Even though I have been enjoying casinos since I am 18, I wouldn't call it a problem. Gambling for me is not my main focus in life and I can still control my spending habits. My finances are okay, my family knows about gambling activities and my mood is good after I finally managed to quit smoking and cut down on my alcohol consumption. Looking back at my younger days it's crazy how much money I spend during a night out on the weekends. Comparing 200 Euros for food and drinks in one night, to spending the same in a month on gambling is an easy to choice to me now. Especially when you have the chance to make a profit in gambling, whereas going out just gives you a hangover on the next day.
378  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Ever heard about financing a gambler? on: December 18, 2023, 07:56:10 AM
How will you feel if someone you know or just a friend of a friend walk up to you and ask you to finance them in gambling in exchange for a portion of their winnings? Does this even make any sense?

Because the only place this makes a bit sense is the skills base niche like forex trading or crypto trading, how can gambling/gambler be financed?

Have you heard of such before? What is the end result if you have?


This is a tricky question and I would only consider it for a few good of my friends and even then I feel like it's not a good idea. In the past I got asked by friends for money for gambling and I normally don't have an issue with it, as long as I am getting paid back later. Participating on the potential winnings of my friends doesn't seem like a good deal, because then I could be just gambling myself. When I go to our local casino with my friends, we only take cash and leave all credit cards at home. This is the best way for us to make sure we stay within our limits and don't spend more money than we are comfortable with it. The only issue is if you go broke early in the evening you can't gamble anymore at all. Which is when you start asking friends for a small loan. In my opinion, this should be always small amounts to only give a few more bets at the minimum bet size. I had never any issues with it, because my friends will pay me back no matter what. Gambling should be financed through our normal job, where we can save some money each week and use it for our entertainment.
379  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: What are some things you should always avoid while gambling ? on: December 18, 2023, 07:49:01 AM
1) Do not gamble in work area : It is not ethical to do so. Your employer is paying you to work for him for certain hours. If you waste these hours for gambling, it is a bad habit.

2) Do not take loan to gamble: Some young guys are so irresponsible that they take loans to gamble. It is a very bad move and can even produce life threatening conditions in future when loan recover agents knock your door.

I fully agree with you, we should never be gambling at our job. The risk is just way to high that a colleague or our boss will find out about our other activities and we will have negative consequences at work. At my company we are not allowed to even check social media from our work laptops. There is some websites being blocked and there is also some checking on the internet history by the IT department from time to time. In case you really want to gamble during a long day at work, you should limit it down to your breaks at least. And even it then it seems not right, to just gamble for 10 minutes before going back to work. Why not wait to finish work and relax in the evening where we have more time and don’t face nay issues. For me the number rule of gambling is always going to be: Only use money that you can afford to lose.

380  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Who should own a demo account? on: December 18, 2023, 07:21:20 AM
There is no restriction to who can own a Demo trading account, a new trader or an expert trader. I know many traders may feel like they are now bigger than demo accounts, and only new traders should have demo accounts for demo trades, but I think that to avoid losses still, expert traders should also have demo accounts for trying out new strategies before they try it live. What do you think?

Do you as an experienced trader that has made profit from the market repeatedly, do you still have a demo account for trying out new strategies?

Yes, I still have a demo account and use it from time to time to check strategies and also have a live watchlist. Demo accounts are free and in my opinion everybody should use them to get better at trading. When developing new strategies and trying out new ideas we tend to focus on past data and analyse it as much possible. Finding the best possible strategy for historic data is good, but it's no guarantee that the future prices are going to follow the same pattern. When testing new ideas, I would recommend to have some historic data test and also some live testing in a demo account. Before putting money into our new strategy, we can let it run for a few weeks in our demo accounts and see how well it performs. Also, in the demo accounts we can make small changes to our strategies without paying transaction fees directly. For me demo accounts are a free tool that I try to use as much as possible.   
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