Regarding the proposal,i personally found it like joke....
As the price goes up there are many scenarios that we will get more than 70% in payout... and in one very dream scenario if price goes more that 2000 and stay there then theoretically
we can have the 100% payout.. so the offer here is way out of thinking!
I certainly can't argue with your hopes and dreams. From a fundamental perspective, in trying to value this is an investment, setting aside any emotional bias, I have to price in the nightmare scenario. And what if the price reverses? Drops to 500. And coinlab gets a chunky settlement. Have we any indication as to what Kobayashi's bill will be? If a US trustee administered a $400mln bankruptcy for 5 years that number would be in the 10s of millions for him and his staff.
All I'm saying is, if you're going to do scenario analysis, consider them all, I did. And then I'd like to make at least 15-20% return to hold on to this for x number of years with zero liquidity, which I'm using as my required rate of return to price the instrument.
I will concede that given the recent rally, while as a contrarian I think is completely propped up, does increase expected value for me. Last trade we did was @ 36%.
If you think it will pay 70 - Then really you should be countering at 50-55. Why is what you think going to happen perfectly valid but my thinking is a joke? Easy to sell something, much harder to make an offer.
I have to admit that you did spend much more time to answer to me from the time that i spend to write before.
There are some points that maybe you are right and others that not. I can comment that the offer of 50% is something that i would for sure take time to think. the numbers i gave is only for example.
anyway, more is happening from what you mentioned and i do think that we will receive more than 50-55% you wrote. if all goes well for all of us one day in the near or long future will be here to write how much we did received. the fact that as the time pass more and more people willing to buy our claims is something that need put us on thinking all of us we have claims there.
i wish you all the best in your investment!
EDIT: can you tell me if decide to proceed for example how i guarantee that i will take the money will agree?
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