Getting closer to Halving but .. no increase ?

[gentlemand]

Comparisons to 2012, LTC or Doge halvings are pointless. Comparing the 2020 halving to this one will be equally pointless. Each slice of time has its own circumstances and will act according to those. I'm not holding my breath for any action.

[Junko]

There was not much of a significant rise in price prior to or the day of or even some weeks after the last halving as Meuh6879's posted chart shows. It wasn't until a little over a month and a havlf before we saw a significant rise in price.

I remember in the months and weeks leading up to the first halving, there was lots more excitement and anticipation than there is now. Though that might change as we get closer to this second halving, I imagine. I also remember people wringing their hands and being worried and wondering why the price wasn't shooting up yet also during that time before it actually did finally some weeks to a month or so later. Some at the time said that the halving had already been priced in long before and that was why we didn't see an immediate skyrocket in price when the halving occurred.

Anyway, I wouldn't worry about the price not rising significantly eventually. Just focus on accumulating as much as you can while you can.

Halving is coming.

[Ya-ing]

For me it's hard to tell if halving is already discounted in price or not. Perhaps it is already.

[Amph]

i'm expecting an increase any time from here to the end of the year, don't be impatient nothing is telling us that it will happen before or after or on the same date

[tertius993]

I can't see any real justification for a price rise - the supply of bitcoins will not change only the rate of increase in the supply will reduce.

Happy to hear arguments to the contrary, however.

[Pk880058]

i'm expecting an increase any time from here to the end of the year, don't be impatient nothing is telling us that it will happen before or after or on the same date

This is true, for the price increase i also dont think that for that halving is necessary, already the price has gone up from $300 to $400 + as last time halving before their were very less peoples knowing about bitcoin and most of them dont knew about halving , after the price shoot up after halving made crazy to peoples. So they are expecting the same type of halving this time also but they dont know that this time most of them are knowing that after halving price will increase and this thinking itself will kill the price as per my view.

[r0ach]

Holy shit am I surrounded by fucking idiots.

There is a finite number of bitcoins.  Around 77% have already been mined.  Since the price is actually somewhat stable, the coins are in somewhat strong hands.  This means when the inflation rate drops even more, these people can then manipulate the market using a relatively small amount of money compared to what they've already spent to vastly increase the price of the coins they already own.  The lower the inflation goes, the more effective and easy this game can be played.  Bitcoin, just like any other market on earth that can be cornered, has whales that control an obscene number of coins compared to the general population.  The price will not be raised for you, the price will be raised for them.  You're just one of those tiny plankton fish that latches onto the sharks hoping for crumbs that everyone knows is coming.

So, yes you fucking retards, the price will go up because every market on the entire planet is controlled by scheming and manipulating lunatics and whales.

[MatTheCat]

Is it normal ? I wasn't here when the old halving block rewards happened before so I'm not sure how things work exactly but logically ... should we see a price increase (at least little bit) since we are getting closer and closer ?

are we rich yet?? 

[r0ach]

Fucking rat cocksuckers.

6 fucking BTC trade with Stop Order

[coinzat]

My bet is on a price drop, a big drop.

why you think this? Like a lot of miners decide to stop investing and chain could "stop" (or produce really slow new blocks?)

there is no problem with the price for miners. because even if the price drop dramatically and miners stop because of the low prices, the difficulty will adjust itself and mining will be less costing. so there is no reason for thinking that mining new blocks will ever stop

[talks_cheep]

After the halving in July 2016, we're going to have 1800 new bitcoins generated every day instead of 3600 new bitcoins being generated today. Considering that millioins of bitcoins are being traded on the different markets every day, it's NOT going to have any effect on the market. We will still have 1800 brand new bitcoins every day, and millions of bitcoins will be traded every day. Business as usual. Only the disappointed people will panic sell their expensive bitcoins for cheap. We will see 300 per bitcoin before we see 600.

[newcoins1978]

My bet is on a price drop, a big drop.

why you think this? Like a lot of miners decide to stop investing and chain could "stop" (or produce really slow new blocks?)

there is no problem with the price for miners. because even if the price drop dramatically and miners stop because of the low prices, the difficulty will adjust itself and mining will be less costing. so there is no reason for thinking that mining new blocks will ever stop

I also think that it will not rise after the halving you can see now that the value is now a bit stable and that is quite good.
I hope later that more people of course will use Bitcoin and that they can have some profit, but we have to wait for a good price increase.

[r0ach]

After the halving in July 2016, we're going to have 1800 new bitcoins generated every day instead of 3600 new bitcoins being generated today. Considering that millioins of bitcoins are being traded on the different markets every day, it's NOT going to have any effect on the market. We will still have 1800 brand new bitcoins every day, and millions of bitcoins will be traded every day. Business as usual. Only the disappointed people will panic sell their expensive bitcoins for cheap. We will see 300 per bitcoin before we see 600.

Anyone with an IQ over 2 can look at your post history and tell you're a banker shill spam account.  22 pages of "sell everything price is going to 0!" in your post history.  Then the price went from $200 to $500 while you were spamming it.

[Herbert2020]

there is not guarantee than the price rises before halving. i personally think the rise (the big rise) is going to start so fast and is going to be huge, but there needs to be some sort of initiation for that to start, like for example news about ending of block size drama.

After the halving in July 2016, we're going to have 1800 new bitcoins generated every day instead of 3600 new bitcoins being generated today. Considering that millioins of bitcoins are being traded on the different markets every day, it's NOT going to have any effect on the market. We will still have 1800 brand new bitcoins every day, and millions of bitcoins will be traded every day. Business as usual. Only the disappointed people will panic sell their expensive bitcoins for cheap. We will see 300 per bitcoin before we see 600.

good, i will sell everything i own if bitcoin price goes down to $300 and buy all the bitcoin i can. ezmoney

[n0ne]

Being close to halving doesn't make much changes in the price increase. Only on halving can expect a big jump in price.

[alyssa85]

My bet is on a price drop, a big drop.

why you think this? Like a lot of miners decide to stop investing and chain could "stop" (or produce really slow new blocks?)

It's the old "Buy on the anticipation, sell on the news". BTC's price is in the hands of the speculators, not the miners.

[The Sceptical Chymist]

I've been saying in other threads for the past few months that the halving is priced in already.  Or at least it seems like it should be--it's definitely not going to surprise anyone like a news report might.  So this is kind of what I expected.

[maokoto]

So, if I get the charts well... a movement is to be expected but quite after the halving? Makes sense. Most will be waiting to see what happen and then react one way or another...

[pedrog]

My bet is on a price drop, a big drop.

why you think this? Like a lot of miners decide to stop investing and chain could "stop" (or produce really slow new blocks?)

People preparing for that possibility will move price down, although if/when transaction capacity increases we may see a bull run, if so the apocalyptic mining scenario will not happen.

[makingwin1]

Is it normal ? I wasn't here when the old halving block rewards happened before so I'm not sure how things work exactly but logically ... should we see a price increase (at least little bit) since we are getting closer and closer ?

price rises now because everyone is afraid, and everyone hopes for huge price rise after halving so everyone buys bitcoins now to sell later for more

and i don't care if price rises by few $ now, it still rises, we will see price after halving,  i hope that it will be large one