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Question: What happens first:
New ATH - 43 (69.4%)
<$60,000 - 19 (30.6%)
Total Voters: 62

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26371915 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 3 users with 9 merit deleted.)
windjc
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December 29, 2013, 09:30:36 PM
 #70161

New poll: "Price by 1st Jan 2014.?"

How about price by Jan. 6th. As I think the week of the 5th-12th will be the biggest indicator of whether we are in a bull or bear market.
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oda.krell
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December 29, 2013, 09:36:38 PM
 #70162

If this consolidation continues for another week until Jan. 6th, bears are going to be treading on REALLY thin ice, imo.

Depends on the timeframe. Personally I expect the final capitulation in Feb +/- 1 month, so one week does not matter much. Perhaps there should be a different thread for people who trade on daily, weekly and monthly timeframe. Or less slander. If March passes without hitting $400, then the chances of seeing it again are slim.

you're the sorest loser I know Cheesy
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December 29, 2013, 09:38:40 PM
 #70163

Looking at the volume on a 6 month chart its very dismal, this may be the last good to chance to buy boys!

FTFY

lol go for it, im not touching this rally

Its low volume because of the holidays. The fact that the holidays- the time when fresh fiat is less likely to come into the market - has not seen us retest lows, is bullish.

What are you going to do if in January we continue up but on higher volume?

At what point do you concede? 900's?

1243 ?
windjc
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December 29, 2013, 09:39:08 PM
 #70164

If this consolidation continues for another week until Jan. 6th, bears are going to be treading on REALLY thin ice, imo.

Depends on the timeframe. Personally I expect the final capitulation in Feb +/- 1 month, so one week does not matter much. Perhaps there should be a different thread for people who trade on daily, weekly and monthly timeframe. Or less slander. If March passes without hitting $400, then the chances of seeing it again are slim.

you're the sorest loser I know Cheesy

I know. Wasn't it yesterday that he posted that crash was imminent?  I guess we should define "imminent" as "within the next few months probably. unless it doesn't crash and then you should buy."

Wink
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December 29, 2013, 09:40:49 PM
 #70165

New poll: "Price by 1st Jan 2014.?"

How about price by Jan. 6th. As I think the week of the 5th-12th will be the biggest indicator of whether we are in a bull or bear market.

We are now back in a bull market, the first shoots of which have been growing over the past few days. It's going to keep going because Bitcoin is still young and there is a hell of a lot more adoption ready to happen in the months to come. I don't need to wait until the week after next to know that!
granathus
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December 29, 2013, 09:41:07 PM
 #70166

800 on Gox, glad i bought back in...
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December 29, 2013, 09:41:23 PM
 #70167


We will see how deep this will dive - my guess is, quite deep.

Nice timing! Diving deep... deep into 900 territory now!
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December 29, 2013, 09:41:37 PM
 #70168

If this consolidation continues for another week until Jan. 6th, bears are going to be treading on REALLY thin ice, imo.

Depends on the timeframe. Personally I expect the final capitulation in Feb +/- 1 month, so one week does not matter much. Perhaps there should be a different thread for people who trade on daily, weekly and monthly timeframe. Or less slander. If March passes without hitting $400, then the chances of seeing it again are slim.

you're the sorest loser I know Cheesy

I know. Wasn't it yesterday that he posted that crash was imminent?  I guess we should define "imminent" as "within the next few months probably. unless it doesn't crash and then you should buy."

Wink
lol

800

ah shit
Davyd05
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December 29, 2013, 09:41:44 PM
 #70169

think we attack 800 mid week maybe 900 the week after. heavily dependent on news and how much fiat decides to flow.

oh by mid week I meant today lol...

oh well.. I guess it would be nicer to see stamp hit 800.. so I change this prediction to a stamp price to time frame guess lol
rpietila
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December 29, 2013, 09:44:02 PM
 #70170

If this consolidation continues for another week until Jan. 6th, bears are going to be treading on REALLY thin ice, imo.

Depends on the timeframe. Personally I expect the final capitulation in Feb +/- 1 month, so one week does not matter much. Perhaps there should be a different thread for people who trade on daily, weekly and monthly timeframe. Or less slander. If March passes without hitting $400, then the chances of seeing it again are slim.

Well my premise is this one. A lot of new fiat will be hitting the exchanges in January. People want to get in NOW given what happened between Jan to Dec of 2013. Especially if the slow trend up continues.

My timeframe is longer. Bitcoin has been around for 5 years, and it has always been a terrific enlightenment for those who have been ripe for it. The knowledge about bitcoin has grown exponentially and investment into it has grown exponentially. I expect this to continue and every year be on average 12 times more glorious (as it has been), until everybody uses bitcoin (which will happen in 2016-17 at this rate). Everything that has happened since 2009 is captured by the trend and its variations, and will be.

There has been some regularities in the growth that I have researched, some of it is published, some not. I believe knowing them gives an edge in trading, and so far it has proven to be good. I have several million dollars of my own money that I could use to purchase bitcoins but choose not to. Not at this price. I am taking a large, calculated risk, with entry points set according to mathematical model for the rest of the year. I even gave the average sell price a few posts ago. Now there is no need to comment that I am doing bad every time the price rises $10. You could as well post about how good I am doing for the reason that I always have more bitcoins than fiat anyway  Cool

So, after smoking the best the world has to offer, I again feel that taking a break from this thread is in order.

See you at $500. And don't fall in the bull trap Wink
Peter R
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December 29, 2013, 09:44:46 PM
 #70171

If this consolidation continues for another week until Jan. 6th, bears are going to be treading on REALLY thin ice, imo.

Depends on the timeframe. Personally I expect the final capitulation in Feb +/- 1 month, so one week does not matter much. Perhaps there should be a different thread for people who trade on daily, weekly and monthly timeframe. Or less slander. If March passes without hitting $400, then the chances of seeing it again are slim.

you're the sorest loser I know Cheesy

I know. Wasn't it yesterday that he posted that crash was imminent?  I guess we should define "imminent" as "within the next few months probably. unless it doesn't crash and then you should buy."

Wink
lol

800

ah shit

I know, hey, Adam!  We're both uberbulls but it looks like we sodled when we should have hodled!
Walsoraj
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December 29, 2013, 09:46:01 PM
 #70172

Gox has gone full Doge. Never go full Doge.
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December 29, 2013, 09:46:25 PM
 #70173

Daytraders thrive in a rising longtime trend. Is it rising? It depends on what is your real money, and what you trade in. If your real money is dollar and you trade in bitcoin, we are in an uptrend, and every daytrader wins. But if your real money is bitcoin, and you trade in dollars, we are in a downtrend and the daytraders lose.
wachtwoord
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December 29, 2013, 09:46:52 PM
 #70174

If this consolidation continues for another week until Jan. 6th, bears are going to be treading on REALLY thin ice, imo.

Depends on the timeframe. Personally I expect the final capitulation in Feb +/- 1 month, so one week does not matter much. Perhaps there should be a different thread for people who trade on daily, weekly and monthly timeframe. Or less slander. If March passes without hitting $400, then the chances of seeing it again are slim.

you're the sorest loser I know Cheesy

I know. Wasn't it yesterday that he posted that crash was imminent?  I guess we should define "imminent" as "within the next few months probably. unless it doesn't crash and then you should buy."

Wink
lol

800

ah shit

I know, hey, Adam!  We're both uberbulls but it looks like we sodled when we should have hodled!


You're gonna have a bad time! Sad
Peter R
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December 29, 2013, 09:50:16 PM
 #70175

Daytraders thrive in a rising longtime trend. Is it rising? It depends on what is your real money, and what you trade in. If your real money is dollar and you trade in bitcoin, we are in an uptrend, and every daytrader wins. But if your real money is bitcoin, and you trade in dollars, we are in a downtrend and the daytraders lose.

Good point.  I never looked at it like that but it makes sense.  Some of us enjoy the downtrends because it allows us to accumulate more coins (and that is more important to such people than the instantaneous $ value of those coins). 
Erdogan
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December 29, 2013, 09:50:52 PM
 #70176



bear facepalm
Peter R
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December 29, 2013, 09:51:36 PM
 #70177

lol

800

ah shit

I know, hey, Adam!  We're both uberbulls but it looks like we sodled when we should have hodled!


You're gonna have a bad time! Sad

Just 10% of my coins, so no real worries.  
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December 29, 2013, 09:52:20 PM
 #70178

If this consolidation continues for another week until Jan. 6th, bears are going to be treading on REALLY thin ice, imo.

Depends on the timeframe. Personally I expect the final capitulation in Feb +/- 1 month, so one week does not matter much. Perhaps there should be a different thread for people who trade on daily, weekly and monthly timeframe. Or less slander. If March passes without hitting $400, then the chances of seeing it again are slim.

you're the sorest loser I know Cheesy

A lot can happen in the time between his prediction. So one day of tremendous gains may not mean much. It's best to be prepared for every single day and react accordingly!  Wink
Peter R
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December 29, 2013, 09:54:04 PM
 #70179



bear facepalm

Is this in response to my previous post?  Do you feel I mis-interpretted what you were saying? 
bitcoinvest
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December 29, 2013, 09:54:43 PM
 #70180

If this consolidation continues for another week until Jan. 6th, bears are going to be treading on REALLY thin ice, imo.

Depends on the timeframe. Personally I expect the final capitulation in Feb +/- 1 month, so one week does not matter much. Perhaps there should be a different thread for people who trade on daily, weekly and monthly timeframe. Or less slander. If March passes without hitting $400, then the chances of seeing it again are slim.

Well my premise is this one. A lot of new fiat will be hitting the exchanges in January. People want to get in NOW given what happened between Jan to Dec of 2013. Especially if the slow trend up continues.

My timeframe is longer. Bitcoin has been around for 5 years, and it has always been a terrific enlightenment for those who have been ripe for it. The knowledge about bitcoin has grown exponentially and investment into it has grown exponentially. I expect this to continue and every year be on average 12 times more glorious (as it has been), until everybody uses bitcoin (which will happen in 2016-17 at this rate). Everything that has happened since 2009 is captured by the trend and its variations, and will be.

There has been some regularities in the growth that I have researched, some of it is published, some not. I believe knowing them gives an edge in trading, and so far it has proven to be good. I have several million dollars of my own money that I could use to purchase bitcoins but choose not to. Not at this price. I am taking a large, calculated risk, with entry points set according to mathematical model for the rest of the year. I even gave the average sell price a few posts ago. Now there is no need to comment that I am doing bad every time the price rises $10. You could as well post about how good I am doing for the reason that I always have more bitcoins than fiat anyway  Cool

So, after smoking the best the world has to offer, I again feel that taking a break from this thread is in order.

See you at $500. And don't fall in the bull trap Wink

When we post here i think it's better to leave our drinks on the bar not next to your keyboard....
I can see some people don't know what the are writting ....

HOLD your BTC..... Some people want your BTC now and they do write a lot to make you sell......

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